Bapepam: IHSG Turun Karena Sentimen Global
Badan Pengawas Pasar Modal Lembaga Keuangan (Bapepam-LK) menilai penurunan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) karena sentimen global.
DOID Batalkan Akuisisi Berau Gara-gara BUMI?
PT Delta Dunia Makmur (DOID) membatalkan rencana akuisisi Berau Coal. Hal ini disinyalir terkait tertundanya aksi korporasi PT Bumi Resources (BUMI). Benarkah?
Bank ICB Bumiputera Rencana 'Rights Issue'
PT Bank ICB Bumiputera Tbk akan melakukan penawaran umum terbatas II kepada para pemegang saham dengan hak memesan efek terlebih dahulu.
CPRO Berhasil Tekan Kerugian 47%
PT Central Proteinaprima Tbk (CPRO) sepanjang tahun 2009 menekan kerugian sekitar 47% menjadi Rp217,17 miliar dari tahun sebelumnya Rp407,18 miliar.
Hasil Rapat Umum Pemegang Saham Tahunan (RUPST) PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (INDF) menyetujui pembagian dividen tunai 2009 sebesar Rp93 per lembar saham.
Anak usaha PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (INDF) yaitu PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur berencana melakukan penawaran saham umum ke publik pada kuartal keempat 2010.
Bank Indonesia (BI) mengakui, saat ini nilai tukar rupiah terus mengalami tekanan akibat masih munculnya ketidakpastian soal krisis utang di Eropa. Saat ini rupiah menyentuh posisi Rp 9.320-9.330 per dolar AS.
IHSG Berpeluang Anjlok Hingga ke Level 2.450-2.550
Krisis likuiditas yang melanda kreditur besar seperti Jerman, Inggris, Perancis dan AS ikut mengguncang Bursa Indonesia yang berpeluang turun hingga ke level 2.450-2.550. Rupiah melemah ke Rp 9.365 saat ini.
Bursa Asia 'Nyungsep' Dilanda Gelombang Aksi Jual
Pasar Asia Jumat (21/5) jatuh menyusul nyungsepnya Wall Street. Gelombang menjual datang di tengah kekhawatiran bahwa krisis utang Eropa bisa menyebar ke seluruh dunia.
IHSG Berpeluang Anjlok Hingga ke Level 2.450-2.550
Krisis likuiditas yang melanda kreditur besar seperti Jerman, Inggris, Perancis dan AS ikut mengguncang Bursa Indonesia yang berpeluang turun hingga ke level 2.450-2.550.
Antara Bakrie, Cahyadi & Bambang Tri
Bakrieland disebut-sebut akan membeli Bukit Centul. Kabarnya, hasil penjualan perusahaan properti itu akan dipakai untuk melunasi utang-utang Bambang Trihatmodjo.
10 Menit Perdagangan, IHSG Anjlok ke 2.595,38
Baru 10 menit perdagangan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Jumat (21/5) rontok 98,87 poin atau turun 3,67% ke level 2.595,38.
Panin Life (PNLF) berencana melepas seluruh kepemilikannya pada Bank Panin (PNBN) atau sebesar 46%. Reuters melaporkan Australia & New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) dikabarkan akan membeli keseluruhan saham yang dilepas PNLF.
PT Berau Coal Energy merencanakan akan melakukan Initial Public Offering (IPO) pada Juli atau Agustus 2010.
PT Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY) memastikan akan menerbitkan 33,931 miliar saham baru dengan Hak Memesan Efek Terlebih Dahulu (HMETD) alias rights issue seniai Rp 5,429 triliun.
* BNGA: Naikkan Proyeksi PDB Ke 6,1%
* BEKS: Recapital Suntikkan Dana Rp 1,5 T Ke Bank Eksekutif
* CTRS: UC Apartemen Ciputra Surabaya Terjual 90%
* BDMN: Mediasi Capai Titik Terang
* BBTN: Jadwal Pembagian Dividen Tunai Tahun Buku 2009
* BEKS: Recapital Kuasai 85,7% Saham Bank Eksekutif
* ELTY: Right Issue Rp5,42 Triliun
* TRUB: Dapat Proyek Soros US$16 Juta
* AUTO: Naikan Capex Untuk Tambah Produksi
* ETWA: Subsidi Biodiesel Pacu Industri Pacu Industri
* IPO: Berau Energy Siap IPO pada 2H10
* IPO: Sari Roti Tawarkan Harga Rp1.250-1.500.
Hari ini (21/5), cum dividen tunai Bank Danamon Tbk (BDMN) Rp 90,97 per saham Ex dividen (24 Mei 2010).
PT Bank Mega Tbk berencana akan mengakuisisi salah satu bank swasta. Bank swasta yangs edang dilirik perseroan yaitu Bank Capital. Dikabarkan Bank Mega akan menjadikan Bank Capital menjadi bank Mega Syariah. Pada perdagangan saham kemarin, saham Bank Mega ditutup di kisaran Rp2.500 atau naik 100 poin.
PT Asia Natural Resources Tbk (ASIA) dikabarkan akan menjalin kerjasama dengan investor strategis dari Singapura. Perseroan juga akan mendapatkan ijin penambangan di kabupaten Bombana, Sulawesi Tenggara dengan konsensi lahan yang akan digarap seluas 37.213 hektar. Dengan kabar tersebut saham ASIA menarik untuk diakumulasi.
PT Davomas Tbk (DAVO) melakukan restrukrisasi utang yang akan dilakukan tahun ini.
Cadangan devisa Indonesia saat ini menyentuh level US$ 77 miliar. Jika dibandingkan dengan akhir April 2010 yang berada di US$ 78,5 miliar, posisi cadangan devisa ini menurun sekitar US$ 1 miliar.
Maret 2010, Penjualan BISI Turun
sepanjang kuartal I pendapatan BISI turun 11,9% dari Rp 245,8 miliar menjadi Rp 216,4 miliar
Kuartal I 2010, Laba Bersih JAPFA Naik 111%
Berdasarkan laporan keuangannya, JPFA berhasil membukukan laba bersih Rp 166,35 miliar
Tiga Pemegang Saham WIKA Jual Saham
Tiga pemegang saham PT Wijaya Karya Tbk (WIKA) menjual saham mereka, yakni Tonny Warsono, Soepomo dan Pontas Tambunan
RAJA Akan Akuisisi 3 Perusahaan Energi
PT Rukun Raharja Tbk (RAJA) menegaskan akan mengakuisisi 3 perusahaan energi.
Sumber: Detikfinance.com (market flash), inilah.com, kontan
Friday, May 21, 2010
Update Daily Investment News
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.2510 and 1.2454(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2418, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2378. Break of the latter would result in 1.2353. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.2327. Continuation will give 1.2296.
Today's resistance: - 1.2678 and 1.2713(main). Break would give 1.2734, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.2755. Break of the latter would result in 1.2784. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.2812. Continuation will give 1.2832 and 1.2857.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 89.66 and 89.33(main). Break would bring 89.12, where correction is possible. Then 88.82, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 88.46. If a strong impulse, we would see 88.30. Continuation would give 88.09.
Today's resistance: - 90.90 and 91.48(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 91.82, where also a correction may be. Then 92.26. If a strong impulse, we would see 92.44. Continuation will give 92.70.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10023.65 and 9990.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 9958.25, where correction also can be. Then follows 9936.70. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 9922.50. Continuation will bring 9903.30 and 9872.00.
Today's resistance: - 10283.50, 10306.14 and 10328.36(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10361.22, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10383.80, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10398.00. Continuation would bring 10425.15.
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
Forex Technical Update
The EURUSD is currently trading at 1.2584and in a very short term correction mode. It has already reached 1.26 levels (refer yesterdays view) Exporters and traders should go short euro around there 1.26-1.28 for a target of 1.20- 1.22 and below. We had advised exporters to cover at 1.30 levels for medium term (refer week back update). Bearish-target 1.2000 & below . (EURUSD - 1.2584).
GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.4420 levels . The bias clearly bearish further down but in short term we might see a move till 1.45-1.47 levels . We can cover for exports there. We got some exporters covered few days back at 1.5050 levels (refer previous updates) .We are still bearish on the pair. Target 1.41 & below in medium term. (GBPUSD - 1.4420).Bearish.
USDJPY is currently trading 90.12 levels. We have seen a 89-90 levels due to increased risk aversion. Stay short on the USD/JPY pair . The trend for the pair is bearish. Importers cover yen at 92 levels. (USDJPY 90.12) Neutral.
AUDUSD is currently trading at 0.8290 levels. Exporters got booked few days back at 0.9050 levels. Target of .8000 expected in medium term. Bearish Still. (AUDUSD - 0.8290).
Gold is currently trading at $1180 levels and its bias is clearly on the upside. It had reached our target of 1st Target of 1200 dollars and 2nd target of 1240 levels. Buying on dips remains the strategy. Start averaging gold at every levels till 1174 and hold for 70- 100 dollars move. (Gold- $1180) Bullish.
The Index has also reached our second target of 87.00. Dollar index's rise from 74.19 has accelerated after staying firm above upper channel resistance. The powerful impulsive move is in line with our view that rise from 74.19 is resuming the long term up trend from 70.70. We'd expect a test on 87 high sooner or later (already reached). Strong support comes near 85 levels . Dollar index is clearly bullish above 80 levels. Still room higher .(Dollar Index- 85.57)
Shocking Disconnect Between Market & Fundamentals
Wall Street analysts expect the S&P 500 [.SPX 1071.59 -43.46 (-3.9%) ] to climb more than 20 percent in the next 12 months, while many traders and technical analysts predict a 20 percent decline is ahead. The shocking 40 percentage point disconnect between the two camps either means fear is spiraling out of control on trading floors or analysts are dangerously out of touch with the realities rapidly unfolding with the global economy.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37256129
Stocks Dropping Near Bottom of May 6 Crash Signal Worse to Come
(Bloomberg) -- Any investor who wants to gauge how serious the stock market’s retreat is need only know the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has fallen to within 6 points of its low on May 6, when panic selling prompted calls for reform.
http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=3660745820061700082
Short-Term Market Bounce Coming: Chief Strategist
Stocks continued to decline on Thursday after an unexpected jump in jobless claims and ongoing worries over the euro zone. Rob Morgan, chief investment strategist at Fulcrum Securities, and Scott Redler, chief strategist officer at T3live.com, discussed their insights.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37254284
15% Correction Likely — But I'm Still Bullish: Strategist
Stocks fell sharply on Thursday after an unexpected spike in jobless claims and global jitters pushed the dollar higher. Alec Young, equity strategist at Standard & Poor’s, and Phil Dow, managing director at RBC Wealth Management, shared their market outlooks.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37253613
Prepare for an EU-Inspired Rally?
Short sellers with heavy bets on the tumult in Europe should be careful, Cramer warned during Thursday’s Stop Trading!. Whether the European Union collapses or not, any resolution at all could be enough to send American stocks higher.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37254403
Halftime: Beware The Bear
With the S&P [.SPX 1071.59 -43.46 (-3.9%) ] entering correction territory, and the Dow [.DJIA 10068.01 -376.36 (-3.6%) ] down sharply on the day, what's the best move for your money now.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37257730
Friday Look Ahead: More Volatile Swings Ahead
Stocks could see another fierce move down, but some traders and strategists say the worst rout since the 14-month rally began may be closer to its end than beginning.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37266220
Bill Ending Wall Street’s ‘Joyride’ Goes to House-Senate Talks
(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Senate approved a sweeping overhaul of Wall Street regulation that would create a consumer protection agency, strengthen oversight of derivative trading and ban proprietary trading at banks.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPGeiMVCv8vA&pos=2
Euro Rises for Third Day Before EU Officials Meet; Aussie Gains
(Bloomberg) -- The euro advanced for a third day against the dollar on speculation European Union officials meeting today will discuss more measures to counter the region’s spreading debt crisis.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aa8gfCRW34zo&pos=5
Malaysia ‘Dead Cross’ Signals Stock Losses: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Malaysia’s benchmark stock index has formed a “dead cross” pattern, a bearish indicator that signals further losses for the gauge, according to RHB Research Institute Sdn.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aW2O7xdjIei4
Dollar Rally Bearish Signal for Risk: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The dollar’s rally above its 200-day moving averages against the Canadian dollar, Mexican peso and South Korean won signals market volatility is damping risk appetite, according to strategists.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aWKgeIi1LS9U
Bollinger Break Suggests Notes Overextended: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The 10-year Treasury note’s drop today below the resistance level implied by the security’s lower Bollinger band suggested the rally in government securities is “overextended,” according to Jefferies Group Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aj0KwDQOSlRE
Euro May Slide to Six-Year Low on Fibonacci: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro may fall to a six-year low against the dollar should it close below so-called support at $1.2134, Okasan Securities Co. said, citing trading patterns.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=avIAZ3sXxXd4
Euro Shows ‘Embryonic’ Signs of Rebound: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro may stabilize against the dollar if it holds above a “major” support level of $1.2135 following this month’s decline, Commerzbank AG said, citing technical indicators.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a7DGOoXPPR80
S&P 500 Slips Below 200-Day Average in Bearish Signal (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- The decline in U.S. stocks pushed the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index below its average closing price during the previous 200 days, a sign to some analysts that more losses are in store.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aqdJnUR_8sRo
Hedge Fund Managers: Drowning in 'Liquidity'
If there were an official buzzword of the Skybridge Alternatives Conference, it might be "liquidity."
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37263537
Stocks to Tumble Another 20%, Cash the Safest Place: Roubini
Stocks are likely to continue their aggressive decline and shed another 20 percent in value as the world economy weakens, economist Nouriel Roubini told CNBC.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37259541
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.2510 and 1.2454(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2418, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2378. Break of the latter would result in 1.2353. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.2327. Continuation will give 1.2296.
Today's resistance: - 1.2678 and 1.2713(main). Break would give 1.2734, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.2755. Break of the latter would result in 1.2784. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.2812. Continuation will give 1.2832 and 1.2857.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 89.66 and 89.33(main). Break would bring 89.12, where correction is possible. Then 88.82, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 88.46. If a strong impulse, we would see 88.30. Continuation would give 88.09.
Today's resistance: - 90.90 and 91.48(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 91.82, where also a correction may be. Then 92.26. If a strong impulse, we would see 92.44. Continuation will give 92.70.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10023.65 and 9990.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 9958.25, where correction also can be. Then follows 9936.70. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 9922.50. Continuation will bring 9903.30 and 9872.00.
Today's resistance: - 10283.50, 10306.14 and 10328.36(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10361.22, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10383.80, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10398.00. Continuation would bring 10425.15.
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
Forex Technical Update
The EURUSD is currently trading at 1.2584and in a very short term correction mode. It has already reached 1.26 levels (refer yesterdays view) Exporters and traders should go short euro around there 1.26-1.28 for a target of 1.20- 1.22 and below. We had advised exporters to cover at 1.30 levels for medium term (refer week back update). Bearish-target 1.2000 & below . (EURUSD - 1.2584).
GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.4420 levels . The bias clearly bearish further down but in short term we might see a move till 1.45-1.47 levels . We can cover for exports there. We got some exporters covered few days back at 1.5050 levels (refer previous updates) .We are still bearish on the pair. Target 1.41 & below in medium term. (GBPUSD - 1.4420).Bearish.
USDJPY is currently trading 90.12 levels. We have seen a 89-90 levels due to increased risk aversion. Stay short on the USD/JPY pair . The trend for the pair is bearish. Importers cover yen at 92 levels. (USDJPY 90.12) Neutral.
AUDUSD is currently trading at 0.8290 levels. Exporters got booked few days back at 0.9050 levels. Target of .8000 expected in medium term. Bearish Still. (AUDUSD - 0.8290).
Gold is currently trading at $1180 levels and its bias is clearly on the upside. It had reached our target of 1st Target of 1200 dollars and 2nd target of 1240 levels. Buying on dips remains the strategy. Start averaging gold at every levels till 1174 and hold for 70- 100 dollars move. (Gold- $1180) Bullish.
The Index has also reached our second target of 87.00. Dollar index's rise from 74.19 has accelerated after staying firm above upper channel resistance. The powerful impulsive move is in line with our view that rise from 74.19 is resuming the long term up trend from 70.70. We'd expect a test on 87 high sooner or later (already reached). Strong support comes near 85 levels . Dollar index is clearly bullish above 80 levels. Still room higher .(Dollar Index- 85.57)
Shocking Disconnect Between Market & Fundamentals
Wall Street analysts expect the S&P 500 [.SPX 1071.59 -43.46 (-3.9%) ] to climb more than 20 percent in the next 12 months, while many traders and technical analysts predict a 20 percent decline is ahead. The shocking 40 percentage point disconnect between the two camps either means fear is spiraling out of control on trading floors or analysts are dangerously out of touch with the realities rapidly unfolding with the global economy.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37256129
Stocks Dropping Near Bottom of May 6 Crash Signal Worse to Come
(Bloomberg) -- Any investor who wants to gauge how serious the stock market’s retreat is need only know the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has fallen to within 6 points of its low on May 6, when panic selling prompted calls for reform.
http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=3660745820061700082
Short-Term Market Bounce Coming: Chief Strategist
Stocks continued to decline on Thursday after an unexpected jump in jobless claims and ongoing worries over the euro zone. Rob Morgan, chief investment strategist at Fulcrum Securities, and Scott Redler, chief strategist officer at T3live.com, discussed their insights.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37254284
15% Correction Likely — But I'm Still Bullish: Strategist
Stocks fell sharply on Thursday after an unexpected spike in jobless claims and global jitters pushed the dollar higher. Alec Young, equity strategist at Standard & Poor’s, and Phil Dow, managing director at RBC Wealth Management, shared their market outlooks.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37253613
Prepare for an EU-Inspired Rally?
Short sellers with heavy bets on the tumult in Europe should be careful, Cramer warned during Thursday’s Stop Trading!. Whether the European Union collapses or not, any resolution at all could be enough to send American stocks higher.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37254403
Halftime: Beware The Bear
With the S&P [.SPX 1071.59 -43.46 (-3.9%) ] entering correction territory, and the Dow [.DJIA 10068.01 -376.36 (-3.6%) ] down sharply on the day, what's the best move for your money now.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37257730
Friday Look Ahead: More Volatile Swings Ahead
Stocks could see another fierce move down, but some traders and strategists say the worst rout since the 14-month rally began may be closer to its end than beginning.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37266220
Bill Ending Wall Street’s ‘Joyride’ Goes to House-Senate Talks
(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Senate approved a sweeping overhaul of Wall Street regulation that would create a consumer protection agency, strengthen oversight of derivative trading and ban proprietary trading at banks.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPGeiMVCv8vA&pos=2
Euro Rises for Third Day Before EU Officials Meet; Aussie Gains
(Bloomberg) -- The euro advanced for a third day against the dollar on speculation European Union officials meeting today will discuss more measures to counter the region’s spreading debt crisis.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aa8gfCRW34zo&pos=5
Malaysia ‘Dead Cross’ Signals Stock Losses: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Malaysia’s benchmark stock index has formed a “dead cross” pattern, a bearish indicator that signals further losses for the gauge, according to RHB Research Institute Sdn.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aW2O7xdjIei4
Dollar Rally Bearish Signal for Risk: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The dollar’s rally above its 200-day moving averages against the Canadian dollar, Mexican peso and South Korean won signals market volatility is damping risk appetite, according to strategists.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aWKgeIi1LS9U
Bollinger Break Suggests Notes Overextended: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The 10-year Treasury note’s drop today below the resistance level implied by the security’s lower Bollinger band suggested the rally in government securities is “overextended,” according to Jefferies Group Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aj0KwDQOSlRE
Euro May Slide to Six-Year Low on Fibonacci: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro may fall to a six-year low against the dollar should it close below so-called support at $1.2134, Okasan Securities Co. said, citing trading patterns.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=avIAZ3sXxXd4
Euro Shows ‘Embryonic’ Signs of Rebound: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro may stabilize against the dollar if it holds above a “major” support level of $1.2135 following this month’s decline, Commerzbank AG said, citing technical indicators.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a7DGOoXPPR80
S&P 500 Slips Below 200-Day Average in Bearish Signal (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- The decline in U.S. stocks pushed the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index below its average closing price during the previous 200 days, a sign to some analysts that more losses are in store.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aqdJnUR_8sRo
Hedge Fund Managers: Drowning in 'Liquidity'
If there were an official buzzword of the Skybridge Alternatives Conference, it might be "liquidity."
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37263537
Stocks to Tumble Another 20%, Cash the Safest Place: Roubini
Stocks are likely to continue their aggressive decline and shed another 20 percent in value as the world economy weakens, economist Nouriel Roubini told CNBC.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37259541
3 Saham Small Cap: DILD/PNLF/RAJA
DILD: Buy on weakness 1.030/1060 target 1140 stop 990.
PNLF: Sell, namun Buy breakout 260 target 300/350 (med-term 500), stop loss 30 rp
RAJA: Sell on rally hingga 880 target 700, buy breakout 890 target 1.000
PNLF: Sell, namun Buy breakout 260 target 300/350 (med-term 500), stop loss 30 rp
RAJA: Sell on rally hingga 880 target 700, buy breakout 890 target 1.000
Thursday, May 20, 2010
De Javu 2008 / A Short-Term Correction: After Wave 5???
Learn the Power of DowTheory + 3 Fibonacci + Elliott Wave = Dahsyat/Awesome!!!
IHSG 4-Hours
DJIA 4-Hours
Euro-Dollar 4-Hours
GBP-USD Daily
IHSG 4-Hours
DJIA 4-Hours
Euro-Dollar 4-Hours
GBP-USD Daily
JPMorgan Model Says - England Will Win 2010 Soccer World Cup
(Bloomberg) -- England will repeat its 1966 soccer World Cup triumph in South Africa this year, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.While record five-time champion Brazil is the strongest team playing in the 32-nation event, England will beat Spain in the July 11 final, according to Matthew Burgess and Marco Dion, London-based analysts with JPMorgan’s equity quantitative analysis team.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aoxWEMmV_iIM
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aoxWEMmV_iIM
Laporan Saham Indonesia
BRI: Akuisisi Bank Agro Selesai Kuartal III
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) Tbk akan menyelesaikan proses akuisisi Bank Agro pada kuartal III tahun ini. Saat ini proses akuisisi telah mencapai tahap final.
TDE Akan Jual ELSA di Rp670
Sisa saham PT Elnusa (ELSA) akan dijual di Rp670. Berbeda dengan keinginan PT Benakat Petroleum Energy (BIPI) yang justru ingin melepas di harga murah.
IPO, Harga Penawaran Perdana Sari Roti Rp1.250-1.500
PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (Sari Roti) menawarkan harga penawaran saham umum perdana di kisaran 1.250 -1.500.
BRI Bagi Dividen Rp177,81 Per Saham
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) Tbk akan membagikan dividen kepada pemegang saham Rp177,81 perlembar saham atau senilai Rp2.192.487.498.78.
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) sesi I pada perdagangan Kamis (20/5) ditutup turun 41,75 poin (1,53%) ke level 2.687,73karena terimbas bursa regional yang negatif. Pelemahan indeks saham siang ini dipicu turunnya 190saham. Sementara saham 26 emiten masih naik. Sementara 41 saham masih terpantau stagnan.
DOID dan Recapital Sepakati Dana Akuisisi Berau Energy
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk dan Recapital Investment Group menyepakati rencana transaksi yang melibatkan akuisisi oleh Perseroan atas kepemilikan mayoritas di Berau Energy.
Chandra Asri Kaji Pembangunan Pabrik BTX
Anak usaha PT Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) yaitu PT Chandra Asri masih melakukan pengkajian untuk pembangunan pabrik ekstraksi benzene toluene xylene (BTX).
Agus Marto Ingatkan Bursa Waspadai Aliran Dana Asing
Menkeu Agus Marto Wardojo mengingatkan Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) agar mewaspadai derasnya aliran modal asing yang masuk ke pasar modal Indonesia.
* JSMR: Gandeng PP Bangun Perumahan dan Pusat Bisnis
* BBTN: Bagi Dividen 45% Laba Bersih
* UNVR: Ganti Pemasok CPO
* INDY: Incar Proyek PKT US$700 Juta
* SSIA: Surya Semesta tekan kerugian
* SMMT: Grup Rajawali Tender Offer 29,12% Saham
* MKPI: Berca tambah kepemilikan
* ASGR: Astra Graphia bidik pendapatan Rp1,5 triliun
* UNVR: Unilever siap belanjakan Rp4 triliun
* BBTN: Incar Laba Rp775 M
* EXCL: XL Gandeng Motricity
* KARK: Siapkan Investasi Rp4,5 Triliun
* PNBN: Keluarga Gunawan Jual Saham Panin US$1,4 Miliar
* INCO: Otoritas Modal Hentikan Penambahan Konsesi Lahan INCO
* AQUA: Pemeriksaan Rampung, Aqua Segera Tender Offer
Hari ini (20/5), cum dividen Goodyear Indonesia Tbk (GDYR) Rp 225 per saham Ex dividen (21 Mei 2010)
PT Indal Aluminium Indonesia Tbk (INAI) dikabarkan akan mendapat dana dari mitra strategis untuk membangun pabrik baru di Jawa Timur. Harga saham PT Indal Aluminium Industri Tbk (INAI) akan dikerek ke level Rp475 dalam jangka pendek.
Dikabarkan PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) akan masuk pasar hypermarket di luar pulau Jawa. Dengan ekspansi perseroan tersebut, harga saham Ramayana Lestari Sentosa akan dikerek ke level Rp1.000 dalam jangka pendek. Seperti diketahui, Ramayana fokus pada segmen department store.
Dikabarkan juga, perseroan akan mendapatkan dana investasi dari investor strategis asing.
Perusahaan ritel Timur Tengah (Timteng) dikabarkan akan mengakuisisi PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) melalui private placement. Dikabarkan rencana akuisisi CSAP lewat private placement di harga Rp125. Dengan membaiknya industri properti nasional, serta peningkatan kinerja perseroan di kuartal pertama 2010 turut menopang penguatan harga.
PT Enseval Putera Megatrading (EPMT) akan membagikan dividen tunai untuk tahun buku 2009, sebesar Rp27,5 per lembar saham.
Sumber: detikfinance.com (market flash), inilah.com, kontan
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) Tbk akan menyelesaikan proses akuisisi Bank Agro pada kuartal III tahun ini. Saat ini proses akuisisi telah mencapai tahap final.
TDE Akan Jual ELSA di Rp670
Sisa saham PT Elnusa (ELSA) akan dijual di Rp670. Berbeda dengan keinginan PT Benakat Petroleum Energy (BIPI) yang justru ingin melepas di harga murah.
IPO, Harga Penawaran Perdana Sari Roti Rp1.250-1.500
PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (Sari Roti) menawarkan harga penawaran saham umum perdana di kisaran 1.250 -1.500.
BRI Bagi Dividen Rp177,81 Per Saham
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) Tbk akan membagikan dividen kepada pemegang saham Rp177,81 perlembar saham atau senilai Rp2.192.487.498.78.
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) sesi I pada perdagangan Kamis (20/5) ditutup turun 41,75 poin (1,53%) ke level 2.687,73karena terimbas bursa regional yang negatif. Pelemahan indeks saham siang ini dipicu turunnya 190saham. Sementara saham 26 emiten masih naik. Sementara 41 saham masih terpantau stagnan.
DOID dan Recapital Sepakati Dana Akuisisi Berau Energy
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk dan Recapital Investment Group menyepakati rencana transaksi yang melibatkan akuisisi oleh Perseroan atas kepemilikan mayoritas di Berau Energy.
Chandra Asri Kaji Pembangunan Pabrik BTX
Anak usaha PT Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) yaitu PT Chandra Asri masih melakukan pengkajian untuk pembangunan pabrik ekstraksi benzene toluene xylene (BTX).
Agus Marto Ingatkan Bursa Waspadai Aliran Dana Asing
Menkeu Agus Marto Wardojo mengingatkan Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) agar mewaspadai derasnya aliran modal asing yang masuk ke pasar modal Indonesia.
* JSMR: Gandeng PP Bangun Perumahan dan Pusat Bisnis
* BBTN: Bagi Dividen 45% Laba Bersih
* UNVR: Ganti Pemasok CPO
* INDY: Incar Proyek PKT US$700 Juta
* SSIA: Surya Semesta tekan kerugian
* SMMT: Grup Rajawali Tender Offer 29,12% Saham
* MKPI: Berca tambah kepemilikan
* ASGR: Astra Graphia bidik pendapatan Rp1,5 triliun
* UNVR: Unilever siap belanjakan Rp4 triliun
* BBTN: Incar Laba Rp775 M
* EXCL: XL Gandeng Motricity
* KARK: Siapkan Investasi Rp4,5 Triliun
* PNBN: Keluarga Gunawan Jual Saham Panin US$1,4 Miliar
* INCO: Otoritas Modal Hentikan Penambahan Konsesi Lahan INCO
* AQUA: Pemeriksaan Rampung, Aqua Segera Tender Offer
Hari ini (20/5), cum dividen Goodyear Indonesia Tbk (GDYR) Rp 225 per saham Ex dividen (21 Mei 2010)
PT Indal Aluminium Indonesia Tbk (INAI) dikabarkan akan mendapat dana dari mitra strategis untuk membangun pabrik baru di Jawa Timur. Harga saham PT Indal Aluminium Industri Tbk (INAI) akan dikerek ke level Rp475 dalam jangka pendek.
Dikabarkan PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) akan masuk pasar hypermarket di luar pulau Jawa. Dengan ekspansi perseroan tersebut, harga saham Ramayana Lestari Sentosa akan dikerek ke level Rp1.000 dalam jangka pendek. Seperti diketahui, Ramayana fokus pada segmen department store.
Dikabarkan juga, perseroan akan mendapatkan dana investasi dari investor strategis asing.
Perusahaan ritel Timur Tengah (Timteng) dikabarkan akan mengakuisisi PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) melalui private placement. Dikabarkan rencana akuisisi CSAP lewat private placement di harga Rp125. Dengan membaiknya industri properti nasional, serta peningkatan kinerja perseroan di kuartal pertama 2010 turut menopang penguatan harga.
PT Enseval Putera Megatrading (EPMT) akan membagikan dividen tunai untuk tahun buku 2009, sebesar Rp27,5 per lembar saham.
Sumber: detikfinance.com (market flash), inilah.com, kontan
Rekomendasi & Strategy IHSG 20-05
Kondisi di Yunani akan meluas ke sejumlah negara di Eropa (diperburuk komentar Kanselir Jerman Merkel bahwa Euro in danger: spekulasi Yunani akan dipaksa keluar dari Euro), diperburuk krisis politik di Thailand dan Korea (Misil Pudong) hari ini, indeks DJIA terkoreksi diikuti perkiraan positif dari pelaku pasar lokal terhadap pemilihan Menkeu dan wakil menkeu yang baru.
Trading Buy : B7, ASII, TLKM, DILD, ELSA, PNBN, BBRI, BMRI, BBCA, BBTN, AGRO, BKSL, ASRI, BSDE, DOID, INCO, TINS, GGRM, UNVR. (Risk 3%)
Rekomendasi 19-05:
All done today (20/05)
Hold ASRI: Buy 175-180 target 200, stop dibawah 172.
Hold BBNI: Buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.450-2.500, stop loss 2.250.
Hold MEDC: 2.850-2.900 target 3.100 stop loss, 2.700, buy breakout 3.125 target 3.400.
Hold ADRO: Rounding TOP, trend bearish (MACD), Bear Flag, Trading Buy 1.950 target 2025/2.050, stop 1.880
Hold BUMI: Head & Shoulder with symmetrical triangle, neckline di 2.250, trend bearish, Trading buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.500, stop loss 2.200.
Hold TLKM: Buy 7.550-7.600 target 7.800, stop dibawah 7.450.
Hold INCO: Sell 4.200 & then Buy 3.925 target 4.500, stop loss 3.700.
Hold KLBF: Buy 1.920 target 2.000, stop 1.880
Sell 2.787 & 2.800 target 2.690, stop 20p (revisi)
Closed Sell breakout 2.760 target 2.690 (+20p). Buy 2.690 target 2.760 stop 30p. Closed sell breakout 2.842 stop 30p (+62 point).
Closed Sell breakout 2.818 target 2.765 (+53 point)
Track Record IHSG: 30 Recommendations (24 profits: 2 break even: 4 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p). Total : Net +802 points = Average 26.73 point.
Trading Buy : B7, ASII, TLKM, DILD, ELSA, PNBN, BBRI, BMRI, BBCA, BBTN, AGRO, BKSL, ASRI, BSDE, DOID, INCO, TINS, GGRM, UNVR. (Risk 3%)
Rekomendasi 19-05:
All done today (20/05)
Hold ASRI: Buy 175-180 target 200, stop dibawah 172.
Hold BBNI: Buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.450-2.500, stop loss 2.250.
Hold MEDC: 2.850-2.900 target 3.100 stop loss, 2.700, buy breakout 3.125 target 3.400.
Hold ADRO: Rounding TOP, trend bearish (MACD), Bear Flag, Trading Buy 1.950 target 2025/2.050, stop 1.880
Hold BUMI: Head & Shoulder with symmetrical triangle, neckline di 2.250, trend bearish, Trading buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.500, stop loss 2.200.
Hold TLKM: Buy 7.550-7.600 target 7.800, stop dibawah 7.450.
Hold INCO: Sell 4.200 & then Buy 3.925 target 4.500, stop loss 3.700.
Hold KLBF: Buy 1.920 target 2.000, stop 1.880
Sell 2.787 & 2.800 target 2.690, stop 20p (revisi)
Closed Sell breakout 2.760 target 2.690 (+20p). Buy 2.690 target 2.760 stop 30p. Closed sell breakout 2.842 stop 30p (+62 point).
Closed Sell breakout 2.818 target 2.765 (+53 point)
Track Record IHSG: 30 Recommendations (24 profits: 2 break even: 4 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p). Total : Net +802 points = Average 26.73 point.
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Update Daily Investment News
Sell it All, Risk of 'Major Crash': Dow Theory’s Russell
The author of the closely-watched Dow Theory Letters newsletter warned investors to get out of US stocks now in a report published Tuesday.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37228003
Europe May Drop If S&P 500 Breaches 1,110: Technical Analysis
Bloomberg) -- European stocks may be set for a further selloff if the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and E-mini futures close below key levels, removing an “important source of support” for euro-region markets, according to the head of technical analysis at Mint Equities Ltd.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a.Tj1EXWCPME
Oil May Drop to $66 as June Futures Expire: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil may fall to an eight-month low of $66 a barrel in New York when the June contract in New York expires tomorrow, according to Cameron Hanover Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aQHbGkKfk3YM
S&P 500’s Candlestick Chart Signals Gains: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The biggest drop in U.S. stocks since the bull market began may be over after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index generated a chart similar to the one that signaled the market’s last bottom, according to Auerbach Grayson & Co.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a7wKCWPNrxZc
China Stocks Will Extend Bear Market Plunge: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The bear market in Chinese stocks will probably deepen after the nation’s Shanghai Composite Index dropped beneath its low reached in August, according to Bespoke Investment Group LLC.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=artYuemGM2Lc
European Stocks 'Will End the Year Higher': Strategist
Now is a prime opportunity to start buying European stocks, as European companies are not reliant on overly euro-zone strength, Ronan Carr, research analyst at Morgan Stanley, said.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37231804
Germany's Merkel Says Euro Is in Danger
German Chancellor Angela Markel, spooking investors on Wednesday by saying the euro was in danger, urged speedy action to stop market "extortion" and said the EU needed a process for "orderly" insolvency of members.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37227144
What Will German Short Ban Mean for Investors?
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Wednesday that the “euro is in danger” and warned that if the “euro fails, Europe fails.”
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37227456
The Six Best American Blue Chip Stocks: Pros
With small-cap stocks thus far outperforming their large-cap counterparts off the market's lows, is now the time to invest in American blue chip companies?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37217197
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.2150(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2124, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2103. Break of the latter would result in 1.2080. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.2048. Continuation will give 1.2026.
Today's resistance: - 1.2287 and 1.2339(main). Break would give 1.2373, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.2407. Break of the latter would result in 1.2424. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.2476. Continuation will give 1.2512.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 91.58(main). Break would bring 91.34, where correction is possible. Then 91.01, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 90.79. If a strong impulse, we would see 90.37. Continuation would give 90.05.
Today's resistance: - 92.70, 93.04, 93.17 and 93.66(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 94.15, where also a correction may be. Then 94.40. If a strong impulse, we would see 94.68. Continuation will give 95.11.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10479.30 and 10445.63 (main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10429.72, where correction also can be. Then follows 10378.13. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 10352.80. Continuation will bring 10293.72 and 10262.19.
Today's resistance: - 10631.30, 10669.22 and 10711.80(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10734.50, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10769.26, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10804.63. Continuation would bring 10832.65
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
The EURUSD is currently trading at 1.2200 breaking below our target of 1.2350 (please refer our earlier reports) .We had advised exporters to cover at 1.30 levels for medium term (refer week back update). Bearish-target 1.2000 & below . (EURUSD - 1.2200).
GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.4291 levels . The bias clearly bearish further down. We got some exporters covered few days back at 1.5050 levels (refer previous updates). We have reached our target of 1.45 levels as expected (Refer previous update). We are still bearish on the pair. Target 1.41 & below. Moving towards the target (GBPUSD 1.4291). Bearish.
USDJPY is currently trading 91.96 levels. We have not seen a break of 94.50 consistently since so many days. Moroever we are witnessing a huge risk aversion in global markets pushing usd/jpy lower everytime. Please note that the yen is also not getting strong the way it should be , so any retracements in the currencies would push yen above 94. (USDJPY 91.96) Neutral.
AUDUSD is currently trading at 0.8555 levels. Exporters got booked few days back at 0.9050 levels. Target of .8700 achieved . Bearish Still. (AUDUSD - 0.8555).
Gold is currently trading at $1211.05 levels and its bias is clearly on the upside. It had reached our target of 1st Target of 1200 dollars and 2nd target of 1240 levels. Buying on dips remains the strategy. Start averaging gold at every levels till 1174 and hold for 70- 100 dollars move. (Gold- $12311.05) Bullish.
The Index has also reached our second target of 87.00. Dollar index's rise from 74.19 has accelerated after staying firm above upper channel resistance. The powerful impulsive move is in line with our view that rise from 74.19 is resuming the long term up trend from 70.70. We'd expect a test on 87 high sooner or later (already reached) depending how fast stock market selling intensifies. Strong support comes near 85 levels . Dollar index is clearly bullish above 80 levels. Still room higher.(Dollar Index- 87.20) Overall Bullish.
The author of the closely-watched Dow Theory Letters newsletter warned investors to get out of US stocks now in a report published Tuesday.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37228003
Europe May Drop If S&P 500 Breaches 1,110: Technical Analysis
Bloomberg) -- European stocks may be set for a further selloff if the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and E-mini futures close below key levels, removing an “important source of support” for euro-region markets, according to the head of technical analysis at Mint Equities Ltd.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a.Tj1EXWCPME
Oil May Drop to $66 as June Futures Expire: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil may fall to an eight-month low of $66 a barrel in New York when the June contract in New York expires tomorrow, according to Cameron Hanover Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aQHbGkKfk3YM
S&P 500’s Candlestick Chart Signals Gains: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The biggest drop in U.S. stocks since the bull market began may be over after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index generated a chart similar to the one that signaled the market’s last bottom, according to Auerbach Grayson & Co.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a7wKCWPNrxZc
China Stocks Will Extend Bear Market Plunge: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The bear market in Chinese stocks will probably deepen after the nation’s Shanghai Composite Index dropped beneath its low reached in August, according to Bespoke Investment Group LLC.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=artYuemGM2Lc
European Stocks 'Will End the Year Higher': Strategist
Now is a prime opportunity to start buying European stocks, as European companies are not reliant on overly euro-zone strength, Ronan Carr, research analyst at Morgan Stanley, said.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37231804
Germany's Merkel Says Euro Is in Danger
German Chancellor Angela Markel, spooking investors on Wednesday by saying the euro was in danger, urged speedy action to stop market "extortion" and said the EU needed a process for "orderly" insolvency of members.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37227144
What Will German Short Ban Mean for Investors?
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Wednesday that the “euro is in danger” and warned that if the “euro fails, Europe fails.”
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37227456
The Six Best American Blue Chip Stocks: Pros
With small-cap stocks thus far outperforming their large-cap counterparts off the market's lows, is now the time to invest in American blue chip companies?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37217197
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.2150(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2124, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2103. Break of the latter would result in 1.2080. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.2048. Continuation will give 1.2026.
Today's resistance: - 1.2287 and 1.2339(main). Break would give 1.2373, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.2407. Break of the latter would result in 1.2424. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.2476. Continuation will give 1.2512.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 91.58(main). Break would bring 91.34, where correction is possible. Then 91.01, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 90.79. If a strong impulse, we would see 90.37. Continuation would give 90.05.
Today's resistance: - 92.70, 93.04, 93.17 and 93.66(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 94.15, where also a correction may be. Then 94.40. If a strong impulse, we would see 94.68. Continuation will give 95.11.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10479.30 and 10445.63 (main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10429.72, where correction also can be. Then follows 10378.13. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 10352.80. Continuation will bring 10293.72 and 10262.19.
Today's resistance: - 10631.30, 10669.22 and 10711.80(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10734.50, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10769.26, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10804.63. Continuation would bring 10832.65
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
The EURUSD is currently trading at 1.2200 breaking below our target of 1.2350 (please refer our earlier reports) .We had advised exporters to cover at 1.30 levels for medium term (refer week back update). Bearish-target 1.2000 & below . (EURUSD - 1.2200).
GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.4291 levels . The bias clearly bearish further down. We got some exporters covered few days back at 1.5050 levels (refer previous updates). We have reached our target of 1.45 levels as expected (Refer previous update). We are still bearish on the pair. Target 1.41 & below. Moving towards the target (GBPUSD 1.4291). Bearish.
USDJPY is currently trading 91.96 levels. We have not seen a break of 94.50 consistently since so many days. Moroever we are witnessing a huge risk aversion in global markets pushing usd/jpy lower everytime. Please note that the yen is also not getting strong the way it should be , so any retracements in the currencies would push yen above 94. (USDJPY 91.96) Neutral.
AUDUSD is currently trading at 0.8555 levels. Exporters got booked few days back at 0.9050 levels. Target of .8700 achieved . Bearish Still. (AUDUSD - 0.8555).
Gold is currently trading at $1211.05 levels and its bias is clearly on the upside. It had reached our target of 1st Target of 1200 dollars and 2nd target of 1240 levels. Buying on dips remains the strategy. Start averaging gold at every levels till 1174 and hold for 70- 100 dollars move. (Gold- $12311.05) Bullish.
The Index has also reached our second target of 87.00. Dollar index's rise from 74.19 has accelerated after staying firm above upper channel resistance. The powerful impulsive move is in line with our view that rise from 74.19 is resuming the long term up trend from 70.70. We'd expect a test on 87 high sooner or later (already reached) depending how fast stock market selling intensifies. Strong support comes near 85 levels . Dollar index is clearly bullish above 80 levels. Still room higher.(Dollar Index- 87.20) Overall Bullish.
Sell on rally euro above 1.2360 for (iii/c in 2/5) target 1.2000 stop above 1.2450, Closed sell DJIA breakout 10.408 target 10.200/10.040 (-40p). Disc On.
Sell DJIA breakout 10.408 target 10.200/10.040 = -40p
Closed Sell break 10.490 &10.570 at 10.370 = Profit +120 point + 200 Point
Sell breakout 10.200 target 150/200p stop 30p (Use Trailing stop 100p). Buy 9.900 stop 100p, target 10.800. Sell 10.730 (fibo 38.2%) target 10.500 stop 30p. Buy break 10.840 target 10.920. stop 30p.
Closed buy breakout 10.680 & (-30p)
Closed Sell breakout 10.680 at 10.450 stop 30p = Profit +230 points.
Closed Buy breakout DJIA 10440/10.530/10.620 (trendline) target 10.810 (ex support), stop loss 30 p.
Profit: +370p + 280p + 190p =840 points. Track record 10 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p + 190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p). Total Net +1195 points = Average +119.5 points/trade.
Closed Sell break 10.490 &10.570 at 10.370 = Profit +120 point + 200 Point
Sell breakout 10.200 target 150/200p stop 30p (Use Trailing stop 100p). Buy 9.900 stop 100p, target 10.800. Sell 10.730 (fibo 38.2%) target 10.500 stop 30p. Buy break 10.840 target 10.920. stop 30p.
Closed buy breakout 10.680 & (-30p)
Closed Sell breakout 10.680 at 10.450 stop 30p = Profit +230 points.
Closed Buy breakout DJIA 10440/10.530/10.620 (trendline) target 10.810 (ex support), stop loss 30 p.
Profit: +370p + 280p + 190p =840 points. Track record 10 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p + 190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p). Total Net +1195 points = Average +119.5 points/trade.
Top 4 Buy & Hold Stocks Recommendation (Check Out The Charts)
Top 45 Stock yang telah ditutup posisinya (Profit 35; Loss 10; Break even 0).
19/05 Closed Loss. 11/03 ELTY (270) hold Buy (270 & 255) target new high 285/300/360. Risk (220-235). Buy breakout 310 for 360 then.
18/05 Closed Loss 05/03 BIPI (250). hold buy breakout 215/235 & hold Buy area 245 & 270 /342 (261.8%) for profit taking/450 (423.6% FR), risk is below 199.
19/05. Closed (Loss) 16/03 KARK (104) hold Cicil beli (buy) 99-105, target 159 (panjang symmetrical triangle), resiko di 90-85
17/03 Closed (Loss) 31.03 Revisi DOID Buy 1.000-1.050 target 1.300 stop dibawah 960, short dibawah 970. Buy 850 target 1.300 stop 790.
17/03 Closed Loss. 11/03 BRPT (1320) hold Buy 1.300-1.340 for wave i-v/1 & 1.430/1.460 for breakout 1.420), risk is below 1.200.
12/05 Closed (Loss) 30/03 SULI (178) Buy (cicil beli) di 100 & 160 & 170-175 stop dibawah 10%, target 300-330, buy breakout 350 target 600/640, resiko 10-15%. Cautious Trade! Berada dalam down channel & wave v/A dalam 2.
29/04. Closed 16/03 KAEF (127) hold Buy di lingkaran 125-128, target 147 (38.2% FR)/152 (50%)/159 (61.8%),
22/04. Closed / Done. 04/03. MRAT (445) Hold buy 390/400 target 500-530, risk is below 370
21/04. Closed. 24/02: KIJA (104) hold Accumulation 101-105 area in 138.2% & 161.8% Fibo, risk is below 96, target 119/127
20/04. Closed. 11/03 BSDE (610) hold Buy (600-620; breakout 740) target 800 (61.8% Fibo), stochastic crossover buy & oversold, risk are at 570-550
14/04. Closed. 04/03. TBLA (430) hold Buy 410 (double top) for impulse 3 wave, should be headed to 490 (50.0% FR), then buy breakout 500 for 600/660, risk is below 380 if price go below double trendline at 325.
12/04. Closed 22/03 ANTM (2.200) 19/03: Hold Buy di lingkaran (1-2 (2150-2250:cicil beli) target 2.500, buy breakout (2) 2.550 target 2.700, buy breakout (3) 2.800/2.825, resiko di kotak bergaris (1975-1750).
08/04. Closed 15/03 BKSL (95) hold Buy di 96-92, target 117-138 (61.8 FR), stop loss dibawah 90 (89-85)
07/04. Closed at 420. 17/03 WIKA (350) hold Buy 350 target 380/400 resiko di bawah 320/300
06/04 10/03 closed at 182. ASRI (142) hold Buy 138-142, risk is below 140, target 195/245
10/03 closed. INDY (2.275) Accumulation Buying 2.150-2.200, risk (2.050-2.150), for target 2.850/2.950.
05/04. Closed.23/02: BHIT (780).Trend masih bullish jangka pendek, koreksi penurunan dalam bull flag, seharusnya memberikan peluang Buy on weakness (lingkaran besar & run away gap di kisaran 700-780: cicil beli) target 1.000-1.050 (panjang flag) jika tembus garis segitiga dalam chart. BHIT saat ini berada dalam correction wave iv/3 untuk target 61.8% wave iv = kisaran Rp 950-1000 (final 3). Resiko (Stop loss) berada di kotak bergaris (kisaran 620-560).
O1.04 04/03 ADRO hold Buy 1.870 (17/03) target 2.000/2.075/2.195 (138.2 FR), risk is below 1760.
31.03 closed di 1.520. 24/02: BISI (1.390): hold buy target 1.570/1.670, Risk is below 1.310.
31.03 30.03 Daily long marubozu, bullish engulfing, vol meningkat. Chart hourly. Buy 1.150-1.200 area (cicil beli) target 1.300/1.340 stop 1.080, buy breakout 1360 (lihat trendline di segitiga mengerucut keatas; chart hourly) stop 1.290 target 1.700/1.740. Disclaimer on
31.03 (15/03) AKRA (1.000) hold buy di area 980-1020 (lingkaran 1), buy area 1060-1080 target 1.190/1.330 dan bahkan 1.475 (138.2 FR) dalam 1-2 bulan mendatang, resiko (stop loss) di kisaran 950-900
30.03 Closed 24/02: ENRG (162) Hold buy area 156-164 target 192 (buy breakout)/242, Risk below 154.
30.03 05/03 MPPA (1.140) Impulse B / iii/5?. Buy area 1080-1140 target 1.245, buy breakout 1.260 target 1.390, risk is below 990
29/03 10/03 APOL (153) hold Buy 152-156, risk is below 141, target 184/190-194.
26/03 11/03 LPKR (530) hold Buy 510 & 530 target channel top at 585 (target H&S),Risk is on the box (470-450). Buy breakout 650 (61.8% Fibo) for target 750, risk below 620.
25/03 PLAS (1.060) Trend masih bullish, terutama melihat hitungan Elliott wave (iii/3 dalam impulse 3) , koreksi penurunan saat ini merupakan peluang untuk akumulasi beli (lingkaran I di 1.010 & 1.060: cicil beli) untuk target breakout double top (1.120) & flag & lingkaran II (dalam segitiga kerucut) untuk buy breakout 1.130 target 1.180/1.320 bahkan 1.540 (triple top daily: buy breakout 1.550/1.560 target 1.750). Resiko saat ini di 930/990.
24/03. Done. 24/02: SMRA (730) hold buy 710-730 (circles) target 890 (channel top)/near 1170 (double top)Cup with handle & Impulse wave, Risk below 670
23/03. Done. 15/03 ASIA (121) Hold buy 102-105, target 129 (38.2% Fibo)/150 (50.0% Fibo)/169 (61.8% Fibo), resiko dibawah (100-90).
22/03. Closed: BUMI at 2.400 (setelah tembus ex breakout 2425 & stochastic breakout & ditutup dibawah trendline support 2.575 ). Potensi kembali ke 2.050/2.150, Speculative Buy 2.050/2.150 target 2.500/2.550, resiko (stop loss di bawah 2.000). Short sell dibawah 1.975 target 1.700/1.550. 03/03. BUMI (2.325) Hold buy 2.150 (11/02; on circle) & breakout 2.425/2.450 (11/03)target 2.650/2.750, risk below 2.000.
22/03. Closed PGAS di 4.125. 17/03 PGAS (4.250) hold Buy di 4.150-4.250 target 4294 (138.2%)/4.550 (161.8 FR), resiko di 3800-3900, 03/03 PGAS (3.800) hold Buy 3.750-3.800 (circles) , for impulse iii/B. buy breakout 4.075 at 4.100 & 4.175 (17/03) target Rp 4.395 (138.2 FR)/4.550 (161.8) to get short
12-15/03 Done. 10/03 SULI (200) Short Area above 260-345 was done for the area for profit takers.
22/03 Done 04/03.RAJA (315) hold Buy 280/290 take profit 400 (neckline of cup with handle target), then buy breakout 500 target 610 (61.8 FR 950-60), risk is below 240.
19/03 closed 15/03 BKSL (95) hold Buy di 96-92, target 117-138 (61.8 FR), stop loss dibawah 90 (89-85)
19/03 Done. 21/03 17/03 ITMG (36.150) Buy on weakness 35.500-36.200 masih dapat dilakukan target 36.950 (138.2% FR) & 38.425 (161.8 FR), resiko di kotak 34200-33.300.
18/03 Done. 02/03 MNCN (250) hold Buy area 215-225 (circles), risk is below 195, on the way to 300 & buy breakout 325 (18/03) for 382 (138.2 FR)/417 (161.8 FR)
17/03 Done. 24/02: SDRA (225). hold Buying opportunity on circle signs at 215-230 target 325 (23.6% FR), risk below 195.
17/03 Done. 23/02. BMTR (290) hold buy on x sign (280-former double top resistance) target 345, Impulse iii/3 is going on.
NB: Target tercapai 31.03. Rekomendasi 25/02: MASA/ APLI/ ITMG/ CTRP/ DILD
HOLD Strategies of 10 stocks (Gallery Saham Mania):
30/03 ASIA (106) Buy (cicil beli)di area 98-106 target 150/156 setelah breakout bull flag, resiko dibawah 10% atau dibawah 80 (segitiga bergaris). Disclaimer on.
23/03 CNKO (79) CNKO kembali menunjukkan pola bull flag yang kedua, buy di area lingkaran (cicil beli 76-80) untuk breakout segitiga kerucut target 97 (buy breakout 98/99 target 150). Risk < reward = resiko berada di 67-62. Saat ini CNKO membentuk pola koreksi minuette ii/3 impulse.
10/03 DGIK (86) hold Buy 86-88 area, risk is below 81, target 150.
24/02: BTEL (143): hold buy 139-143 (circles) Supported by 50% Fibonacci target 158/167, risk below 130, on the way
Use trailing stop if the prices going higher further, use tight stop as needed.
All recommendations available on the chart in this blogspot (gallery saham mania: globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com)
Disclaimer on.
19/05 Closed Loss. 11/03 ELTY (270) hold Buy (270 & 255) target new high 285/300/360. Risk (220-235). Buy breakout 310 for 360 then.
18/05 Closed Loss 05/03 BIPI (250). hold buy breakout 215/235 & hold Buy area 245 & 270 /342 (261.8%) for profit taking/450 (423.6% FR), risk is below 199.
19/05. Closed (Loss) 16/03 KARK (104) hold Cicil beli (buy) 99-105, target 159 (panjang symmetrical triangle), resiko di 90-85
17/03 Closed (Loss) 31.03 Revisi DOID Buy 1.000-1.050 target 1.300 stop dibawah 960, short dibawah 970. Buy 850 target 1.300 stop 790.
17/03 Closed Loss. 11/03 BRPT (1320) hold Buy 1.300-1.340 for wave i-v/1 & 1.430/1.460 for breakout 1.420), risk is below 1.200.
12/05 Closed (Loss) 30/03 SULI (178) Buy (cicil beli) di 100 & 160 & 170-175 stop dibawah 10%, target 300-330, buy breakout 350 target 600/640, resiko 10-15%. Cautious Trade! Berada dalam down channel & wave v/A dalam 2.
29/04. Closed 16/03 KAEF (127) hold Buy di lingkaran 125-128, target 147 (38.2% FR)/152 (50%)/159 (61.8%),
22/04. Closed / Done. 04/03. MRAT (445) Hold buy 390/400 target 500-530, risk is below 370
21/04. Closed. 24/02: KIJA (104) hold Accumulation 101-105 area in 138.2% & 161.8% Fibo, risk is below 96, target 119/127
20/04. Closed. 11/03 BSDE (610) hold Buy (600-620; breakout 740) target 800 (61.8% Fibo), stochastic crossover buy & oversold, risk are at 570-550
14/04. Closed. 04/03. TBLA (430) hold Buy 410 (double top) for impulse 3 wave, should be headed to 490 (50.0% FR), then buy breakout 500 for 600/660, risk is below 380 if price go below double trendline at 325.
12/04. Closed 22/03 ANTM (2.200) 19/03: Hold Buy di lingkaran (1-2 (2150-2250:cicil beli) target 2.500, buy breakout (2) 2.550 target 2.700, buy breakout (3) 2.800/2.825, resiko di kotak bergaris (1975-1750).
08/04. Closed 15/03 BKSL (95) hold Buy di 96-92, target 117-138 (61.8 FR), stop loss dibawah 90 (89-85)
07/04. Closed at 420. 17/03 WIKA (350) hold Buy 350 target 380/400 resiko di bawah 320/300
06/04 10/03 closed at 182. ASRI (142) hold Buy 138-142, risk is below 140, target 195/245
10/03 closed. INDY (2.275) Accumulation Buying 2.150-2.200, risk (2.050-2.150), for target 2.850/2.950.
05/04. Closed.23/02: BHIT (780).Trend masih bullish jangka pendek, koreksi penurunan dalam bull flag, seharusnya memberikan peluang Buy on weakness (lingkaran besar & run away gap di kisaran 700-780: cicil beli) target 1.000-1.050 (panjang flag) jika tembus garis segitiga dalam chart. BHIT saat ini berada dalam correction wave iv/3 untuk target 61.8% wave iv = kisaran Rp 950-1000 (final 3). Resiko (Stop loss) berada di kotak bergaris (kisaran 620-560).
O1.04 04/03 ADRO hold Buy 1.870 (17/03) target 2.000/2.075/2.195 (138.2 FR), risk is below 1760.
31.03 closed di 1.520. 24/02: BISI (1.390): hold buy target 1.570/1.670, Risk is below 1.310.
31.03 30.03 Daily long marubozu, bullish engulfing, vol meningkat. Chart hourly. Buy 1.150-1.200 area (cicil beli) target 1.300/1.340 stop 1.080, buy breakout 1360 (lihat trendline di segitiga mengerucut keatas; chart hourly) stop 1.290 target 1.700/1.740. Disclaimer on
31.03 (15/03) AKRA (1.000) hold buy di area 980-1020 (lingkaran 1), buy area 1060-1080 target 1.190/1.330 dan bahkan 1.475 (138.2 FR) dalam 1-2 bulan mendatang, resiko (stop loss) di kisaran 950-900
30.03 Closed 24/02: ENRG (162) Hold buy area 156-164 target 192 (buy breakout)/242, Risk below 154.
30.03 05/03 MPPA (1.140) Impulse B / iii/5?. Buy area 1080-1140 target 1.245, buy breakout 1.260 target 1.390, risk is below 990
29/03 10/03 APOL (153) hold Buy 152-156, risk is below 141, target 184/190-194.
26/03 11/03 LPKR (530) hold Buy 510 & 530 target channel top at 585 (target H&S),Risk is on the box (470-450). Buy breakout 650 (61.8% Fibo) for target 750, risk below 620.
25/03 PLAS (1.060) Trend masih bullish, terutama melihat hitungan Elliott wave (iii/3 dalam impulse 3) , koreksi penurunan saat ini merupakan peluang untuk akumulasi beli (lingkaran I di 1.010 & 1.060: cicil beli) untuk target breakout double top (1.120) & flag & lingkaran II (dalam segitiga kerucut) untuk buy breakout 1.130 target 1.180/1.320 bahkan 1.540 (triple top daily: buy breakout 1.550/1.560 target 1.750). Resiko saat ini di 930/990.
24/03. Done. 24/02: SMRA (730) hold buy 710-730 (circles) target 890 (channel top)/near 1170 (double top)Cup with handle & Impulse wave, Risk below 670
23/03. Done. 15/03 ASIA (121) Hold buy 102-105, target 129 (38.2% Fibo)/150 (50.0% Fibo)/169 (61.8% Fibo), resiko dibawah (100-90).
22/03. Closed: BUMI at 2.400 (setelah tembus ex breakout 2425 & stochastic breakout & ditutup dibawah trendline support 2.575 ). Potensi kembali ke 2.050/2.150, Speculative Buy 2.050/2.150 target 2.500/2.550, resiko (stop loss di bawah 2.000). Short sell dibawah 1.975 target 1.700/1.550. 03/03. BUMI (2.325) Hold buy 2.150 (11/02; on circle) & breakout 2.425/2.450 (11/03)target 2.650/2.750, risk below 2.000.
22/03. Closed PGAS di 4.125. 17/03 PGAS (4.250) hold Buy di 4.150-4.250 target 4294 (138.2%)/4.550 (161.8 FR), resiko di 3800-3900, 03/03 PGAS (3.800) hold Buy 3.750-3.800 (circles) , for impulse iii/B. buy breakout 4.075 at 4.100 & 4.175 (17/03) target Rp 4.395 (138.2 FR)/4.550 (161.8) to get short
12-15/03 Done. 10/03 SULI (200) Short Area above 260-345 was done for the area for profit takers.
22/03 Done 04/03.RAJA (315) hold Buy 280/290 take profit 400 (neckline of cup with handle target), then buy breakout 500 target 610 (61.8 FR 950-60), risk is below 240.
19/03 closed 15/03 BKSL (95) hold Buy di 96-92, target 117-138 (61.8 FR), stop loss dibawah 90 (89-85)
19/03 Done. 21/03 17/03 ITMG (36.150) Buy on weakness 35.500-36.200 masih dapat dilakukan target 36.950 (138.2% FR) & 38.425 (161.8 FR), resiko di kotak 34200-33.300.
18/03 Done. 02/03 MNCN (250) hold Buy area 215-225 (circles), risk is below 195, on the way to 300 & buy breakout 325 (18/03) for 382 (138.2 FR)/417 (161.8 FR)
17/03 Done. 24/02: SDRA (225). hold Buying opportunity on circle signs at 215-230 target 325 (23.6% FR), risk below 195.
17/03 Done. 23/02. BMTR (290) hold buy on x sign (280-former double top resistance) target 345, Impulse iii/3 is going on.
NB: Target tercapai 31.03. Rekomendasi 25/02: MASA/ APLI/ ITMG/ CTRP/ DILD
HOLD Strategies of 10 stocks (Gallery Saham Mania):
30/03 ASIA (106) Buy (cicil beli)di area 98-106 target 150/156 setelah breakout bull flag, resiko dibawah 10% atau dibawah 80 (segitiga bergaris). Disclaimer on.
23/03 CNKO (79) CNKO kembali menunjukkan pola bull flag yang kedua, buy di area lingkaran (cicil beli 76-80) untuk breakout segitiga kerucut target 97 (buy breakout 98/99 target 150). Risk < reward = resiko berada di 67-62. Saat ini CNKO membentuk pola koreksi minuette ii/3 impulse.
10/03 DGIK (86) hold Buy 86-88 area, risk is below 81, target 150.
24/02: BTEL (143): hold buy 139-143 (circles) Supported by 50% Fibonacci target 158/167, risk below 130, on the way
Use trailing stop if the prices going higher further, use tight stop as needed.
All recommendations available on the chart in this blogspot (gallery saham mania: globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com)
Disclaimer on.
Update Daily Equity News
INDY Bagi Dividen Rp363 M
RUPST PT Indika Energy (INDY) memutuskan besaran pembagian deviden senilai Rp362,8 miliar atau Rp69,68 per lembar saham.
IHSG Sesi I Masih Merah di Level 2.786
Pada penutupan perdagangan sesi I Rabu (19/5), IHSG tetap berada di zona merah dengan turun 48,51 poin (1,71%) ke 2.785,68.
INAI Akan Dikerek Ke Rp475
Saham PT Indal Aluminium Indonesia (INAI) dikabarkan akan dikerek naik pada pekan ini. Hal ini terkait perolehan dana untuk mendukung aksi korporasinya.
ELSA Akan Dikerek Turun ke 330
Beredar kabar bahwa saham Elnusa (ELSA) akan ditekan ke Rp330 per lembarnya. Hal ini untuk memuluskan akuisisi sisa sahamnya oleh PT Benakat Petroleum Energy (BIPI).
MEDC Dikabarkan Akan Tingkatkan Saham di Proyek Donggi-Senoro
Dikabarkan PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk (MEDC) akan mendapatkan tambahan saham di PT Donggi Senoro LNG (DSL) dari Mitsubishi Corp Jepang.
Saham Ciputra Property Akan Dinaikkan ke Level Rp500
INILAH.COM, Jakarta - Saham PT Ciputra Property Tbk (CTRP) dikabarkan akan dinaikkan ke level Rp500.
Saham Bank Bumi Arta Akan Dikerek ke Level Rp200
PT Bank Bumi Arta Tbk (BNBA) dikabarkan tengah diincar oleh institusi finansial domestik dan mancanegara.
Bukit Sentul Tidak Tahu Rencana ELTY
PT Bukit Sentul City (BKSL) mengaku belum tahu tentang rencana akuisisi yang akan dilakukan PT Bakrieland Development (ELTY) terhadapnya
PT Enseval Putera Megatrading Tbk (EPMT) berencana membagikan dividen tunai tahun buku 2009 sebesar Rp27,50 per lembar saham atau 19,05% dari laba bersih 2009 sebesar Rp329,067 miliar.
PT Mutiara Timur Pratama akan melakukan penawaran tender saham PT Eartertainment International Tbk (SMMT) dengan harga penawaran tender senilai Rp230.
Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) mengawasi aktivitas perdagangan saham PT Pan Brothers Tbk (PBRX) karena terjadi peningkatan harga sahamnya yang di luar kebiasaan (UMA/Unusual Market Activity).
Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) dan Badan Pengawas Pasar Modal dan Lembaga Keuangan (Bapepam-LK) masih terus mengembangkan dugaan adanya praktik insider trading saham PT Matahari Dept. Store Tbk (LPPF).
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk (PGAS) memperpanjang jangka waktu penyaluran gas Muara Karang sebanyak 3,78 TBtu dari PT Pertamina (Persero). Dengan adanya perjanjian baru maka Pertamina akan mulai menyalurkan gas dari bulan Mei sampai dengan Desember 2010.
* AALI: Juni Bayar Dividen Final Rp732 Miliar
* INCO: INCO Targetkan Produksi Hingga 76 Ribu Metrik Ton
* KLBF: Masih Jajaki Emisi Obligasi
* HITS: Humpuss Terlilit Utang Rp 622,08 Miliar
* CPIN: Belanja Modal Charoen US$ 70 Juta
* INDY: Wiwoho dan Lasmono Kuasai 73,12% Saham Indika
* DILD: Laba DILD Meroket 28 Kali Lipat
* CTRS: Targetkan Penjualan Apartement Rp125 Miliar
* ELTY: Bakrieland Targetkan Pendapatan Naik 25%
* BBCA: Booking BCA Finance Naik
* JSMR: Butuh Investasi Rp25 Triliun
* TLKM: Incar 24,4 Juta Pelanggan
* BPFI: Ekspansi Cabang Rp2,4 Triliun
* SMSM: Penjualan Komponen Otomotif Melonjak 19,2%
PT Medco Energy Tbk (MEDC) dikabarkan bakal meningkatkan kepemilikan saham PT Donggi-Senoro di Sulawesi Tengah. Rumor di kalangan pelaku pasar menyebut, Medco disebut-sebut akan mendapatkan tambahan saham di PT Donggi-Senoro LNG (DSL) dari Mitsubishi Corp Jepang bila proyek hilir migas Donggi-Senoro disetujui pemerintah dalam waktu dekat. Mitsubishi saat ini menguasai 51% saham DSL. Sisanya dibagi 20% untuk Medco dan 29% PT Pertamina.
Para bandar bakal mengerek saham PT Ciputra Property Tbk (CTRP) ke level Rp 500 seiring kabar perseroan bakal membagikan dividen dalam waktu dekat. Selain itu, rencana aksi korporasi PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) yang akan memecah nilai nominal saham dan penunjukan Ciputra Property dalam mengerjakan proyek-proyek besar turut dimanfaatkan investor untuk memburu saham CTRP.
AALI Bangun Tanki Logistik Senilai Rp8 Miliar
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) akan membangun tanki penimbunan logistik dari 2 tanki setiap pelabuhan menjadi 3 hingga 4 tangki di Kalimantan dan Sulawesi.
AALI akan Bagi Sisa Dividen Senilai Rp465 Miliar
Hasil Rapat Umum Pemegang Saham Tahunan (RUPST) PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) memutuskan menyetujui pembayaran sisa dividen tunai sebesar Rp465 per saham.
GGRM Akan Dikerek Menuju 5.000
Kabar stock split Gudang Garam (GGRM) tampaknya semakin santer. Harga sahamnya pun diperkirakan akan mengarah ke Rp50.000 per lembarnya.
TOTL Bentuk Anak Usaha di Bidang Properti
PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) mulai melebarkan sayapnya ke bisnis properti dengan membentuk anak usaha, PT Total Persada Development
Sumber: Detikfinance.com (market Flash), inilah.com, kontan
RUPST PT Indika Energy (INDY) memutuskan besaran pembagian deviden senilai Rp362,8 miliar atau Rp69,68 per lembar saham.
IHSG Sesi I Masih Merah di Level 2.786
Pada penutupan perdagangan sesi I Rabu (19/5), IHSG tetap berada di zona merah dengan turun 48,51 poin (1,71%) ke 2.785,68.
INAI Akan Dikerek Ke Rp475
Saham PT Indal Aluminium Indonesia (INAI) dikabarkan akan dikerek naik pada pekan ini. Hal ini terkait perolehan dana untuk mendukung aksi korporasinya.
ELSA Akan Dikerek Turun ke 330
Beredar kabar bahwa saham Elnusa (ELSA) akan ditekan ke Rp330 per lembarnya. Hal ini untuk memuluskan akuisisi sisa sahamnya oleh PT Benakat Petroleum Energy (BIPI).
MEDC Dikabarkan Akan Tingkatkan Saham di Proyek Donggi-Senoro
Dikabarkan PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk (MEDC) akan mendapatkan tambahan saham di PT Donggi Senoro LNG (DSL) dari Mitsubishi Corp Jepang.
Saham Ciputra Property Akan Dinaikkan ke Level Rp500
INILAH.COM, Jakarta - Saham PT Ciputra Property Tbk (CTRP) dikabarkan akan dinaikkan ke level Rp500.
Saham Bank Bumi Arta Akan Dikerek ke Level Rp200
PT Bank Bumi Arta Tbk (BNBA) dikabarkan tengah diincar oleh institusi finansial domestik dan mancanegara.
Bukit Sentul Tidak Tahu Rencana ELTY
PT Bukit Sentul City (BKSL) mengaku belum tahu tentang rencana akuisisi yang akan dilakukan PT Bakrieland Development (ELTY) terhadapnya
PT Enseval Putera Megatrading Tbk (EPMT) berencana membagikan dividen tunai tahun buku 2009 sebesar Rp27,50 per lembar saham atau 19,05% dari laba bersih 2009 sebesar Rp329,067 miliar.
PT Mutiara Timur Pratama akan melakukan penawaran tender saham PT Eartertainment International Tbk (SMMT) dengan harga penawaran tender senilai Rp230.
Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) mengawasi aktivitas perdagangan saham PT Pan Brothers Tbk (PBRX) karena terjadi peningkatan harga sahamnya yang di luar kebiasaan (UMA/Unusual Market Activity).
Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) dan Badan Pengawas Pasar Modal dan Lembaga Keuangan (Bapepam-LK) masih terus mengembangkan dugaan adanya praktik insider trading saham PT Matahari Dept. Store Tbk (LPPF).
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk (PGAS) memperpanjang jangka waktu penyaluran gas Muara Karang sebanyak 3,78 TBtu dari PT Pertamina (Persero). Dengan adanya perjanjian baru maka Pertamina akan mulai menyalurkan gas dari bulan Mei sampai dengan Desember 2010.
* AALI: Juni Bayar Dividen Final Rp732 Miliar
* INCO: INCO Targetkan Produksi Hingga 76 Ribu Metrik Ton
* KLBF: Masih Jajaki Emisi Obligasi
* HITS: Humpuss Terlilit Utang Rp 622,08 Miliar
* CPIN: Belanja Modal Charoen US$ 70 Juta
* INDY: Wiwoho dan Lasmono Kuasai 73,12% Saham Indika
* DILD: Laba DILD Meroket 28 Kali Lipat
* CTRS: Targetkan Penjualan Apartement Rp125 Miliar
* ELTY: Bakrieland Targetkan Pendapatan Naik 25%
* BBCA: Booking BCA Finance Naik
* JSMR: Butuh Investasi Rp25 Triliun
* TLKM: Incar 24,4 Juta Pelanggan
* BPFI: Ekspansi Cabang Rp2,4 Triliun
* SMSM: Penjualan Komponen Otomotif Melonjak 19,2%
PT Medco Energy Tbk (MEDC) dikabarkan bakal meningkatkan kepemilikan saham PT Donggi-Senoro di Sulawesi Tengah. Rumor di kalangan pelaku pasar menyebut, Medco disebut-sebut akan mendapatkan tambahan saham di PT Donggi-Senoro LNG (DSL) dari Mitsubishi Corp Jepang bila proyek hilir migas Donggi-Senoro disetujui pemerintah dalam waktu dekat. Mitsubishi saat ini menguasai 51% saham DSL. Sisanya dibagi 20% untuk Medco dan 29% PT Pertamina.
Para bandar bakal mengerek saham PT Ciputra Property Tbk (CTRP) ke level Rp 500 seiring kabar perseroan bakal membagikan dividen dalam waktu dekat. Selain itu, rencana aksi korporasi PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) yang akan memecah nilai nominal saham dan penunjukan Ciputra Property dalam mengerjakan proyek-proyek besar turut dimanfaatkan investor untuk memburu saham CTRP.
AALI Bangun Tanki Logistik Senilai Rp8 Miliar
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) akan membangun tanki penimbunan logistik dari 2 tanki setiap pelabuhan menjadi 3 hingga 4 tangki di Kalimantan dan Sulawesi.
AALI akan Bagi Sisa Dividen Senilai Rp465 Miliar
Hasil Rapat Umum Pemegang Saham Tahunan (RUPST) PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) memutuskan menyetujui pembayaran sisa dividen tunai sebesar Rp465 per saham.
GGRM Akan Dikerek Menuju 5.000
Kabar stock split Gudang Garam (GGRM) tampaknya semakin santer. Harga sahamnya pun diperkirakan akan mengarah ke Rp50.000 per lembarnya.
TOTL Bentuk Anak Usaha di Bidang Properti
PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) mulai melebarkan sayapnya ke bisnis properti dengan membentuk anak usaha, PT Total Persada Development
Sumber: Detikfinance.com (market Flash), inilah.com, kontan
Rekomendasi & Strategy IHSG 19-05
Mayday...Mayday...Mayday. Sell in May & Go Away??? Indeks saham DJIA (memasuki wave impulse correction C) dan Shanghai Composite memasuki BEAR MARKET (anjlok lebih dari 20% di tahun ini; akibat pengetatan lending di China), memburuknya kondisi krisis di Eropa mendorong spekulasi Yunani akan keluar dari euro???, krisis politik di Thailand (berpotensi negatif dari perkiraan investor asing akan keluar dari pasar emerging Asia Tenggara), penguatan USD (indeks mencapai tertinggi 87.06: imbas Eropa cetak $ 1 triliun yang melemahkan euro-dolar), anjloknya harga komoditas minyak (sempat capai terendah $ 69.28: inventory minyak melonjak pekan lalu), ketidakpastian menjelang calon menteri keuangan & Gubernur BI pada 20 Mei ini, pelemahan rupiah berada di kisaran Rp 9.113/dolar, dan faktor teknikal (trend bearish selama dibawah 2850), masih membebani kinerja IHSG di awal pekan ini.
Liat analisa mingguan (17-05) untuk lebih detail.
Watch out: Krisis Yunani (+ downgrade Portugal, Spanyol, Irlandia) berimbas ke UK > Revaluasi China (+PBOC Rate Hike) > kemelut bank AS (Kasus Goldman Sachs & 5 bank lainnya) > terorisme global > World Cup 2010 Afsel.
IHSG diperkirakan dapat melanjutkan trend penurunan setelah karena masih gagal ditutup diatas 2.850 (50% fibo retracement) yang mendorong spekulasi IHSG saat ini telah berada dalam wave koreksi abc dalam 2/C yang terkenal "ganas", selama gagal menembus level high 2.869 (peak wave B). Jika gagal berpeluang menuju support 2.800/2.780/2.768/2.746. Resist di 2.824/2.836/2.869. IHSG berpeluang membentuk pola EW correction impulse C (1-5) dengan target 2.690/2.650.
Trading Buy on weakness: Bumi, btel, unvr, ggrm, hmsp, doid, smcb, bbca, bmri, asri,bksl, dgik, tlkm. Risk 3.5%, Reward >10%.
Closed sell breakout 2.842 stop 30p (+62 point). Sell breakout 2.818 target 2.765 stop 20p, Sell breakout 2.760 target 2.690 stop 20p. Buy 2.700 target 2.760 stop 30p.
Track Record IHSG: 28 Recommendations (22 profits: 2 break even: 4 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p). Total : 909 point - 259 point = Net +650 points = Average 23.21 point.
BNI Technical Research 19-05: http://www.ziddu.com/download/9920491/051910t.pdf.html
ASRI: Buy 175-180 target 200, stop dibawah 172.
BBNI: Buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.450-2.500, stop loss 2.250.
MEDC: 2.850-2.900 target 3.100 stop loss, 2.700, buy breakout 3.125 target 3.400.
ADRO: Rounding TOP, trend bearish (MACD), Bear Flag, Trading Buy 1.950 target 2.025/2.050, stop 1.880
BUMI: Head & Shoulder with symmetrical triangle, neckline di 2.250, trend bearish, Trading buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.500, stop loss 2.200.
TLKM: Buy 7.550-7.600 target 7.800, stop dibawah 7.450.
INCO: Sell 4.200 & then Buy 3.925 target 4.500, stop loss 3.700.
KLBF: Buy 1.920 target 2.000, stop 1.880
EW: IHSG 4-jam
Liat analisa mingguan (17-05) untuk lebih detail.
Watch out: Krisis Yunani (+ downgrade Portugal, Spanyol, Irlandia) berimbas ke UK > Revaluasi China (+PBOC Rate Hike) > kemelut bank AS (Kasus Goldman Sachs & 5 bank lainnya) > terorisme global > World Cup 2010 Afsel.
IHSG diperkirakan dapat melanjutkan trend penurunan setelah karena masih gagal ditutup diatas 2.850 (50% fibo retracement) yang mendorong spekulasi IHSG saat ini telah berada dalam wave koreksi abc dalam 2/C yang terkenal "ganas", selama gagal menembus level high 2.869 (peak wave B). Jika gagal berpeluang menuju support 2.800/2.780/2.768/2.746. Resist di 2.824/2.836/2.869. IHSG berpeluang membentuk pola EW correction impulse C (1-5) dengan target 2.690/2.650.
Trading Buy on weakness: Bumi, btel, unvr, ggrm, hmsp, doid, smcb, bbca, bmri, asri,bksl, dgik, tlkm. Risk 3.5%, Reward >10%.
Closed sell breakout 2.842 stop 30p (+62 point). Sell breakout 2.818 target 2.765 stop 20p, Sell breakout 2.760 target 2.690 stop 20p. Buy 2.700 target 2.760 stop 30p.
Track Record IHSG: 28 Recommendations (22 profits: 2 break even: 4 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p). Total : 909 point - 259 point = Net +650 points = Average 23.21 point.
BNI Technical Research 19-05: http://www.ziddu.com/download/9920491/051910t.pdf.html
ASRI: Buy 175-180 target 200, stop dibawah 172.
BBNI: Buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.450-2.500, stop loss 2.250.
MEDC: 2.850-2.900 target 3.100 stop loss, 2.700, buy breakout 3.125 target 3.400.
ADRO: Rounding TOP, trend bearish (MACD), Bear Flag, Trading Buy 1.950 target 2.025/2.050, stop 1.880
BUMI: Head & Shoulder with symmetrical triangle, neckline di 2.250, trend bearish, Trading buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.500, stop loss 2.200.
TLKM: Buy 7.550-7.600 target 7.800, stop dibawah 7.450.
INCO: Sell 4.200 & then Buy 3.925 target 4.500, stop loss 3.700.
KLBF: Buy 1.920 target 2.000, stop 1.880
EW: IHSG 4-jam
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Elliot Wave Analysis: Ready For A Wild "C" (Stop loss above 10.920)?
Sell break 10.490 &10.570 & breakout 10.200 target 150/200p stop 30p (Use Trailing stop 100p). Buy 9.900 stop 100p, target 10.800. Sell 10.730 (fibo 38.2%) target 10.500 stop 30p. Buy break 10.840 target 10.920. stop 30p.
Closed buy breakout 10.680 & (-30p)
Closed Sell breakout 10.680 at 10.450 stop 30p = Profit +230 points.
Closed Buy breakout DJIA 10440/10.530/10.620 (trendline) target 10.810 (ex support), stop loss 30 p.
Profit: +370p + 280p + 190p =840 points. Track record 7 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p + 190p-30p+230p-30p). Total Net +915 points = Average +130.71 points/trade.
Closed buy breakout 10.680 & (-30p)
Closed Sell breakout 10.680 at 10.450 stop 30p = Profit +230 points.
Closed Buy breakout DJIA 10440/10.530/10.620 (trendline) target 10.810 (ex support), stop loss 30 p.
Profit: +370p + 280p + 190p =840 points. Track record 7 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p + 190p-30p+230p-30p). Total Net +915 points = Average +130.71 points/trade.
Update Daily Investment News
Yoshikami: Learn From Warren Buffett
Warren Buffett latest SEC filings to the SEC show that those that say he's an investment dinosaur simply don't understand how the mind of the Omaha Oracle works.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37209789
March 2009 Lows Will Be Tested: Strategist
The stock markets’ March 2009 lows could be tested and even broken as sovereign debt continues to grow in Europe and stimulus measures wane, Philippe Gijsels, head of research at BNP Paribas Fortis global markets, told CNBC.com Tuesday. http://www.cnbc.com/id/37205731
Investors Favor U.S. Stocks Amid EU Crisis, Merrill Survey Says
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks were the most favored by investors in May as the outlook for growth in the euro region and its currency deteriorated amid a spiraling sovereign debt crisis, a BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report showed.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aeMAb35wj_JI
Hedge Funds Betting More Trouble Ahead For This Sector
If you think late day buying on Monday is a sign that bulls are back, you may be in for a rude awakening.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37196097
Gold Investors Should 'Rush to the Exits': Dennis Gartman
Investors should get out of gold immediately as the metal reaches a technical top and is due for a pullback, says Dennis Gartman, hedge fund manager and author of The Gartman Letter.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37209570
Which is the Better Buy: Oil or Gold?
Oil prices have taken a spectacular slide in May, down 18 percent at $70 a barrel. Part of the reason is global demand and potential cutbacks in shipping, manufacturing and other industries. Meanwhile, gold is near record highs as investors seek safety from the ongoing European debt threat. Which do you think is the better buy right now: oil or gold?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37208082
Copper’s ‘Uptrend’ Not Dead, Barclays Says: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Copper’s “uptrend” may not be over yet, even after prices slumped the most in almost 16 months and closed below their 200-day moving average, according to technical analysis by Barclays Capital.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=akYjuvml3.hA
Philippine Stocks May Drop on ‘Triple Top’: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The Philippine Stock Exchange Index may decline with the formation of a “triple top” pattern after it failed to breach peaks three times in the past five weeks, according to Banco de Oro Unibank Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aI_14OnqBnx4
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
The EURUSD is currently trading at 1.2345 already breaking below our target of 1.2350 (please refer our earlier reports) .We had advised exporters to cover at 1.30 levels for medium term (refer week back update). Bearish-target 1.2000 & below. (EURUSD - 1.2345).
GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.4438 levels . The bias clearly bearish further down. We got some exporters covered few days back at 1.5050 levels (refer previous updates). We have reached our target of 1.45 levels as expected (Refer previous update). We are still bearish on the pair. Target 1.41 & below. (GBPUSD 1.4438). Bearish.
USDJPY is currently trading 92.48 levels. We have not seen a break of 94.50 consistently since so many days. Moroever we are witnessing a huge risk aversion in global markets pushing usd/jpy lower everytime. Please note that the yen is also not getting strong the way it should be , so any retracements in the currencies would push yen above 94. (USDJPY 92.48) Neutral.
AUDUSD is currently trading at 0.8726 levels. Exporters got booked few days back at 0.9050 levels. Target of .8700 achieved . (AUDUSD - 0.8726).
Gold is currently trading at $1225 levels and its bias is clearly on the upside. It had reached our target of 1st Target of 1200 dollars and 2nd target of 1240 levels. Buying on dips remains the strategy. (Gold- $1225) Bullish.
The Index has reached our target of 86.00. Dollar index's rise from 74.19 has accelerated after staying firm above upper channel resistance. The powerful impulsive move is in line with our view that rise from 74.19 is resuming the long term up trend from 70.70. The next objective rests at 87.14. That's where wave three (in rally sequence from 82.90) will be 1.618x wave one .(Dollar Index- 86.46) Overall Bullish
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.2282, 1.2206, 1.2178 and 1.2150(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2124, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2103. Break of the latter would result in 1.2080. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.2048. Continuation will give 1.2026.
Today's resistance: - 1.2424, 1.2476 and 1.2512(main). Break would give 1.2549, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.2573. Break of the latter would result in 1.2600. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.2655. Continuation will give 1.2676.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 91.58(main). Break would bring 91.34, where correction is possible. Then 91.01, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 90.79. If a strong impulse, we would see 90.37. Continuation would give 90.05.
Today's resistance: - 92.70, 93.04, 93.17 and 93.66(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 94.15, where also a correction may be. Then 94.40. If a strong impulse, we would see 94.68. Continuation will give 95.11.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10530.17(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10479.30, where correction also can be. Then follows 10445.63. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 10429.72. Continuation will bring 10378.13.
Today's resistance: - 10711.80, 10734.50 and 10769.26(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10804.63, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10832.65, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10866.70. Continuation would bring 10911.50 and 10932.37
Why Dow 5000 Is Still 'Very Likely': Strategist
Last week, David Hefty, chief executive of Cornerstone Wealth Management, warned investors of a sudden market “freefall,” sending the Dow below 5,000. But James Hardesty, president, market strategist and chief economist at Hardesty Capital Management said there is still “much strength” in the economy and expects to end the year higher. They returned to CNBC Monday to share their insights.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37190967
Art Cashin: Expect Markets to Head Lower
The euro slid to a four-year low on Monday amid persistent Eurozone sovereign debt worries. How will it affect markets today? Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services, and Peter Costa, president of Empire Executions and a CNBC market analyst, shared their insights.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37189529
Halftime: How Low Will Bears Push Market?
Selling dominated afternoon trade on Monday with ongoing concerns about Europe overshadowing any optimism generated by the latest mergers including a deal inked by Universal Health Services [UHS 42.14 3.10 (+7.94%) ] to buy Psychiatric Solutions [PSYS 32.39 -0.24 (-0.74%) ], for about $2 billion.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37192039
Cash-Strapped Funds May End Bull
Your fund manager needs you. Equity mutual funds are the most fully invested in the stock market that they’ve ever been … ever. The record low levels of cash are a signal that a bear market may be ahead, according to strategist Alan Newman, editor of the "Crosscurrents" investment newsletter.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37192898
Asia Should Consider Capital Controls to Cap Inflows (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- Asian countries may benefit from capital controls to help limit inflows that pose a risk to their economies and financial systems, according to the Asian Development Bank.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aKFDyZxxI5_4
Euro May Fall to $1.2045 After Failed Rally: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro may weaken toward $1.2045 after failing to make “any significant retracement,” from yesterday’s four-year low, ANZ National Bank Ltd. said, citing trading patterns.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a_yiTF7doi28
Euro at Dollar Parity ‘Sooner Or Later,’ CLSA Says (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- The euro will be on par with the U.S dollar “sooner or later” as the region’s debt crisis worsens, according to Christopher Wood, chief equity strategist at CLSA Asia Pacific Markets.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aJY3L9pbb0Bs
Philippine Stocks May Drop on ‘Triple Top’: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The Philippine Stock Exchange Index may decline with the formation of a “triple top” pattern after it failed to breach peaks three times in the past five weeks, according to Banco de Oro Unibank Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aI_14OnqBnx4
Buy China Stocks in Second Half, CLSA’s Wood Says (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- Investors should avoid buying China’s stocks until the third quarter when the government starts unwinding measures to curb asset bubbles, said Christopher Wood, chief equity strategist at CLSA Asia Pacific Markets.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aMs2as5z3Z6k
Oil May Extend Declines This Week as Dollar, Stockpiles Weigh: CNBC Survey
Benchmark oil prices will likely extend losses this week, hit by lingering anxiety over the Euro Zone debt crisis and rising crude stockpiles, CNBC's latest oil market opinion poll shows.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37204463
Gold May Fall as Some Investors Sell After Climb to Near Record
(Bloomberg) -- Gold may decline in New York on sales by some investors after the precious metal climbed near a record over concerns that Europe’s debt crisis will sap the region’s economic recovery and weaken its 16-nation currency.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aAyZNgqZehFg
‘Reverse Diversification’ Boosts Global Demand for U.S. Assets
(Bloomberg) -- “Reverse diversification” boosted global demand for long-term U.S. financial assets to a record as the European fiscal crisis may be beginning to translate into increased demand for dollar assets.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aOWHg2U9SrQY
S&P 500’s ‘Constructive’ Retreat Not Over: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks’ gain last week wasn’t enough to spell the end of a retreat that sent the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to the biggest decline since the bull market began, according to Katie Stockton of MKM Partners.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aZLXMviyE1I4
Warren Buffett latest SEC filings to the SEC show that those that say he's an investment dinosaur simply don't understand how the mind of the Omaha Oracle works.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37209789
March 2009 Lows Will Be Tested: Strategist
The stock markets’ March 2009 lows could be tested and even broken as sovereign debt continues to grow in Europe and stimulus measures wane, Philippe Gijsels, head of research at BNP Paribas Fortis global markets, told CNBC.com Tuesday. http://www.cnbc.com/id/37205731
Investors Favor U.S. Stocks Amid EU Crisis, Merrill Survey Says
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks were the most favored by investors in May as the outlook for growth in the euro region and its currency deteriorated amid a spiraling sovereign debt crisis, a BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report showed.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aeMAb35wj_JI
Hedge Funds Betting More Trouble Ahead For This Sector
If you think late day buying on Monday is a sign that bulls are back, you may be in for a rude awakening.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37196097
Gold Investors Should 'Rush to the Exits': Dennis Gartman
Investors should get out of gold immediately as the metal reaches a technical top and is due for a pullback, says Dennis Gartman, hedge fund manager and author of The Gartman Letter.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37209570
Which is the Better Buy: Oil or Gold?
Oil prices have taken a spectacular slide in May, down 18 percent at $70 a barrel. Part of the reason is global demand and potential cutbacks in shipping, manufacturing and other industries. Meanwhile, gold is near record highs as investors seek safety from the ongoing European debt threat. Which do you think is the better buy right now: oil or gold?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37208082
Copper’s ‘Uptrend’ Not Dead, Barclays Says: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Copper’s “uptrend” may not be over yet, even after prices slumped the most in almost 16 months and closed below their 200-day moving average, according to technical analysis by Barclays Capital.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=akYjuvml3.hA
Philippine Stocks May Drop on ‘Triple Top’: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The Philippine Stock Exchange Index may decline with the formation of a “triple top” pattern after it failed to breach peaks three times in the past five weeks, according to Banco de Oro Unibank Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aI_14OnqBnx4
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
The EURUSD is currently trading at 1.2345 already breaking below our target of 1.2350 (please refer our earlier reports) .We had advised exporters to cover at 1.30 levels for medium term (refer week back update). Bearish-target 1.2000 & below. (EURUSD - 1.2345).
GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.4438 levels . The bias clearly bearish further down. We got some exporters covered few days back at 1.5050 levels (refer previous updates). We have reached our target of 1.45 levels as expected (Refer previous update). We are still bearish on the pair. Target 1.41 & below. (GBPUSD 1.4438). Bearish.
USDJPY is currently trading 92.48 levels. We have not seen a break of 94.50 consistently since so many days. Moroever we are witnessing a huge risk aversion in global markets pushing usd/jpy lower everytime. Please note that the yen is also not getting strong the way it should be , so any retracements in the currencies would push yen above 94. (USDJPY 92.48) Neutral.
AUDUSD is currently trading at 0.8726 levels. Exporters got booked few days back at 0.9050 levels. Target of .8700 achieved . (AUDUSD - 0.8726).
Gold is currently trading at $1225 levels and its bias is clearly on the upside. It had reached our target of 1st Target of 1200 dollars and 2nd target of 1240 levels. Buying on dips remains the strategy. (Gold- $1225) Bullish.
The Index has reached our target of 86.00. Dollar index's rise from 74.19 has accelerated after staying firm above upper channel resistance. The powerful impulsive move is in line with our view that rise from 74.19 is resuming the long term up trend from 70.70. The next objective rests at 87.14. That's where wave three (in rally sequence from 82.90) will be 1.618x wave one .(Dollar Index- 86.46) Overall Bullish
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.2282, 1.2206, 1.2178 and 1.2150(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2124, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2103. Break of the latter would result in 1.2080. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.2048. Continuation will give 1.2026.
Today's resistance: - 1.2424, 1.2476 and 1.2512(main). Break would give 1.2549, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.2573. Break of the latter would result in 1.2600. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.2655. Continuation will give 1.2676.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 91.58(main). Break would bring 91.34, where correction is possible. Then 91.01, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 90.79. If a strong impulse, we would see 90.37. Continuation would give 90.05.
Today's resistance: - 92.70, 93.04, 93.17 and 93.66(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 94.15, where also a correction may be. Then 94.40. If a strong impulse, we would see 94.68. Continuation will give 95.11.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10530.17(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10479.30, where correction also can be. Then follows 10445.63. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 10429.72. Continuation will bring 10378.13.
Today's resistance: - 10711.80, 10734.50 and 10769.26(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10804.63, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10832.65, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10866.70. Continuation would bring 10911.50 and 10932.37
Why Dow 5000 Is Still 'Very Likely': Strategist
Last week, David Hefty, chief executive of Cornerstone Wealth Management, warned investors of a sudden market “freefall,” sending the Dow below 5,000. But James Hardesty, president, market strategist and chief economist at Hardesty Capital Management said there is still “much strength” in the economy and expects to end the year higher. They returned to CNBC Monday to share their insights.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37190967
Art Cashin: Expect Markets to Head Lower
The euro slid to a four-year low on Monday amid persistent Eurozone sovereign debt worries. How will it affect markets today? Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services, and Peter Costa, president of Empire Executions and a CNBC market analyst, shared their insights.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37189529
Halftime: How Low Will Bears Push Market?
Selling dominated afternoon trade on Monday with ongoing concerns about Europe overshadowing any optimism generated by the latest mergers including a deal inked by Universal Health Services [UHS 42.14 3.10 (+7.94%) ] to buy Psychiatric Solutions [PSYS 32.39 -0.24 (-0.74%) ], for about $2 billion.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37192039
Cash-Strapped Funds May End Bull
Your fund manager needs you. Equity mutual funds are the most fully invested in the stock market that they’ve ever been … ever. The record low levels of cash are a signal that a bear market may be ahead, according to strategist Alan Newman, editor of the "Crosscurrents" investment newsletter.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37192898
Asia Should Consider Capital Controls to Cap Inflows (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- Asian countries may benefit from capital controls to help limit inflows that pose a risk to their economies and financial systems, according to the Asian Development Bank.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aKFDyZxxI5_4
Euro May Fall to $1.2045 After Failed Rally: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro may weaken toward $1.2045 after failing to make “any significant retracement,” from yesterday’s four-year low, ANZ National Bank Ltd. said, citing trading patterns.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a_yiTF7doi28
Euro at Dollar Parity ‘Sooner Or Later,’ CLSA Says (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- The euro will be on par with the U.S dollar “sooner or later” as the region’s debt crisis worsens, according to Christopher Wood, chief equity strategist at CLSA Asia Pacific Markets.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aJY3L9pbb0Bs
Philippine Stocks May Drop on ‘Triple Top’: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The Philippine Stock Exchange Index may decline with the formation of a “triple top” pattern after it failed to breach peaks three times in the past five weeks, according to Banco de Oro Unibank Inc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aI_14OnqBnx4
Buy China Stocks in Second Half, CLSA’s Wood Says (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- Investors should avoid buying China’s stocks until the third quarter when the government starts unwinding measures to curb asset bubbles, said Christopher Wood, chief equity strategist at CLSA Asia Pacific Markets.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aMs2as5z3Z6k
Oil May Extend Declines This Week as Dollar, Stockpiles Weigh: CNBC Survey
Benchmark oil prices will likely extend losses this week, hit by lingering anxiety over the Euro Zone debt crisis and rising crude stockpiles, CNBC's latest oil market opinion poll shows.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37204463
Gold May Fall as Some Investors Sell After Climb to Near Record
(Bloomberg) -- Gold may decline in New York on sales by some investors after the precious metal climbed near a record over concerns that Europe’s debt crisis will sap the region’s economic recovery and weaken its 16-nation currency.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aAyZNgqZehFg
‘Reverse Diversification’ Boosts Global Demand for U.S. Assets
(Bloomberg) -- “Reverse diversification” boosted global demand for long-term U.S. financial assets to a record as the European fiscal crisis may be beginning to translate into increased demand for dollar assets.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aOWHg2U9SrQY
S&P 500’s ‘Constructive’ Retreat Not Over: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks’ gain last week wasn’t enough to spell the end of a retreat that sent the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to the biggest decline since the bull market began, according to Katie Stockton of MKM Partners.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aZLXMviyE1I4
Update Daily Investment News
Terbitkan Rights Issue, ELTY Akuisisi Lahan Sentul City
PT Bakrieland Development (ELTY) berencana untuk mengakuisisi lahan Sentul City pada kuartal II ini, dengan menggunakan dana hasil rights issue IV.
Ssst...BW Plantation Mau Promosi di Singapura
PT BW Plantation (BWPT) akan melakukan non deal roadshow dalam rangkaian acara Bank of America Merril Lynch Asian Stars Conference di Singapura.
ELTY Bagi Dividen Rp19,81 M
PT Bakrieland Development (ELTY) akan membagikan dividen sebesar Rp19,81 miliar atau setara dengan 15% dari laba bersih tahun buku 2009.
Sentimen IPO & CIC Siap Angkat BUMI
Beberapa analis memberi rekomendasi positif untuk PT Bumi Resources (BUMI). Hal ini terkait rencana IPO dan masuknya CIC ke anak usahanya, Bumi Resources Mineral (BRM).
Presiden SBY akan mengumumkan nama-nama calon Gubernur Bank Indonesia (BI) dan Menteri Keuangan pengganti Sri Mulyani secara bersamaan. Sebelumnya, Menko Perekonomian Hatta Rajasa mengindikasikan nama pengganti Sri Mulyani ditetapkan pada Kamis 20 Mei 2010. Maka dari itu pada tanggal 20 Mei 2010 pula Presiden akan menetapkan nama calon Gubernur BI.
Finansial dan Infrastrktur Topang IHSG Sesi I Naik 8,66 Poin
IHSG sesi I perdagangan Selasa (18/5), ditutup bertahan di zona hijau dengan naik 8,66 poin (0,31%) ke 2.828,13. Penguatan ditopang sektor finansial dan infrastruktur. IHSG Dibuka Naik 9,14 Poin Pembukaan perdagangan Selasa (18/5), IHSG dibuka menguat 9,14 poin (0,32%) ke 2.828,61.
Economic: IMF: RI belum perlu cabut insentif fiskal
Economic: Bapepam Kaji Penurunan Persentase Penjamin Emisi
Economic: Dana Asing Rp 20 Triliun Keluar dari SBI, Cadangan Devisa Tergerus
Economic: DPR Minta Ikut Belanjakan Anggaran
BMRI: Kredit valas Mandiri tumbuh US$200 juta
CTRA: Ciputra Development Siapkan Capex Rp 1,5 Triliun
INDY: Anak Usaha Lepas Saham 17,117%
BUMI: Bumi Mineral Bidik US$ 600 Juta
PTRO: Petrosea Siapkan Penawaran Kedua
TOTL: Total Incar Tender Rp 3,4 Triliun
BBTN: Kupon Obligasi BTN Ditetapkan 10,25%
ELSA: Lepas 25% Saham Tristar
BBNI: Akan Cairkan Kredit ke JSMR Rp 1 Triliun
LPGI: Jadwal Pembagian Dividen
PT Lippo General Insurance Tbk (LPGI) akan membagikan dividen tunai sebesar Rp 30 per saham, berikut ini adalah jadwal pembagian dividen tersebut:
* Cum dividen di pasar reguler dan negosiasi : 8 Juli 2010
* Ex dividen di pasar reguler dan negosiasi : 9 Juli 2010
* Cum dividen di pasar tunai : 13 Juli 2010
* Ex dividen di pasar tunai : 14 Juli 2010
* Recording date : 13 Juli 2010
* Payment date : 26 Juli 2010
UNSP: Restrukturisasi Kontrak P&G
BMRI: CAR Bank Mandiri Menyusut
JKON: Target Kontrak Baru Rp 3 Triliun
ASII Usulkan Pembagian Dividen 45%
PT Astra International Indonesia Tbk (ASII) mengusulkan pembagian dividen tahun buku 2009 sebesar 45%.
MIRA Alihkan Saham Anak Usaha Senilai Rp599 Juta
PT Mitra International Resources (MIRA) telah megalihkan saham senilai Rp599 juta, yang dimilikinya dalam PT Darmasurya Intinusa ke PT Pulau Kencana Raya (PKR).
IPO Krakatau Steel Terganjal Pohang
Kerjasama Krakatau Steel (KS) dengan Pohang dalam pembangunan pabrik baja terintegrasi di Cilegon terganjal pembagian saham. Rencana IPO KS pun terancam mundur.
PT Tunas Bhakti Manunggal, pemegang 17,11% saham PT Indika Energy Tbk (INDY) telah merampungkan penjualan seluruh sahamnya kepada PT Indika Mitra Energi senilai Rp 2,139 triliun. Harga per sahamnya Rp 2.400.
Aliran modal keluar atau capital outflow milik asing di Sertifikat Bank Indonesia (SBI) mencapai Rp 20 triliun selama pekan lalu. Hal tersebut mengakibatkan cadangan devisa RI turun.
UNTR Selesaikan Akuisisi Pertengahan Tahun
PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) hampir menyelesaikan proses akuisisi dua kuasa pertambangan batubara di Kalimantan Tengah yang diharapkan selesai pertengahan tahun ini.
Dikabarkan Bank Panin dan Ubai Fund tertarik untuk menambah kepemilikan saham PT Verena Oto Finance Tbk (VRNA). Perusahaan otomotif terkemuka pun dikabarkan sedang mengincar PT Verena Oto Finance Tbk (VRNA) untuk diakuisisi. Perusahaan otomotif tersebut mengincar kepemilikan saham Verena Capital. Pada transaksi saham kemarin (17/5), saham VRNA ditutup di kisaran Rp95 atau menguat Rp95.
Saham PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk (DOID) akan mengarah ke level Rp3.000 dalam waktu dekat. Beredar kabar di lantai bursa bahwa saham DOID mengarah ke level Rp3.000 dalam waktu dekat. Hal ini terjadi menyusul rencana perseroan menerbitkan saham baru melalui HMETD. Rights issue DOID ini diisukan merupakan bagian dari rencana pencatatan lewat jalur belakang (backdoor listing) Berau coal.
Ciputra Segera Bangun Rumah Sakit di Tangerang
PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) akan membangun rumah sakit di wilayah Tangerang
Jaya Konstruksi Bagi Dividen Rp 14 per Saham
PT Jaya Konstruksi Manggala Pratama Tbk (JKON) bakal membagikan dividen dari laba bersih tahun 2009 sebesar Rp 14 per lembar saham
BSDE Bangun Sinarmas Land Building Rp 100 Miliar
Gedung tersebut mengusung konsep ramah lingkungan dan menggunakan teknologi tinggi.
Harga saham ELSA dinaikkan ke level Rp670 terkait kabar PT Elnusa Tbk siap menandatangani persetujuan akhir atas penjualan saham 12,5% saham PT Tridaya Esta. Pendanaan telah disiapkan dan diharapkan awal Juni 2010, setelah pihak kreditur menyelesaikan administrasi.Harga saham ELSA akan dinaikkan menjadi Rp670 merupakan 2,5 kali nilai buku per saham (price book value/PBV) dan PBV ELSA senilai Rp268. Pada perdagangan kemarin, saham ELSA ditutup di level Rp450.
Sumber: Detikfinance.com (Market Flash), inilah.com, kontan
PT Bakrieland Development (ELTY) berencana untuk mengakuisisi lahan Sentul City pada kuartal II ini, dengan menggunakan dana hasil rights issue IV.
Ssst...BW Plantation Mau Promosi di Singapura
PT BW Plantation (BWPT) akan melakukan non deal roadshow dalam rangkaian acara Bank of America Merril Lynch Asian Stars Conference di Singapura.
ELTY Bagi Dividen Rp19,81 M
PT Bakrieland Development (ELTY) akan membagikan dividen sebesar Rp19,81 miliar atau setara dengan 15% dari laba bersih tahun buku 2009.
Sentimen IPO & CIC Siap Angkat BUMI
Beberapa analis memberi rekomendasi positif untuk PT Bumi Resources (BUMI). Hal ini terkait rencana IPO dan masuknya CIC ke anak usahanya, Bumi Resources Mineral (BRM).
Presiden SBY akan mengumumkan nama-nama calon Gubernur Bank Indonesia (BI) dan Menteri Keuangan pengganti Sri Mulyani secara bersamaan. Sebelumnya, Menko Perekonomian Hatta Rajasa mengindikasikan nama pengganti Sri Mulyani ditetapkan pada Kamis 20 Mei 2010. Maka dari itu pada tanggal 20 Mei 2010 pula Presiden akan menetapkan nama calon Gubernur BI.
Finansial dan Infrastrktur Topang IHSG Sesi I Naik 8,66 Poin
IHSG sesi I perdagangan Selasa (18/5), ditutup bertahan di zona hijau dengan naik 8,66 poin (0,31%) ke 2.828,13. Penguatan ditopang sektor finansial dan infrastruktur. IHSG Dibuka Naik 9,14 Poin Pembukaan perdagangan Selasa (18/5), IHSG dibuka menguat 9,14 poin (0,32%) ke 2.828,61.
Economic: IMF: RI belum perlu cabut insentif fiskal
Economic: Bapepam Kaji Penurunan Persentase Penjamin Emisi
Economic: Dana Asing Rp 20 Triliun Keluar dari SBI, Cadangan Devisa Tergerus
Economic: DPR Minta Ikut Belanjakan Anggaran
BMRI: Kredit valas Mandiri tumbuh US$200 juta
CTRA: Ciputra Development Siapkan Capex Rp 1,5 Triliun
INDY: Anak Usaha Lepas Saham 17,117%
BUMI: Bumi Mineral Bidik US$ 600 Juta
PTRO: Petrosea Siapkan Penawaran Kedua
TOTL: Total Incar Tender Rp 3,4 Triliun
BBTN: Kupon Obligasi BTN Ditetapkan 10,25%
ELSA: Lepas 25% Saham Tristar
BBNI: Akan Cairkan Kredit ke JSMR Rp 1 Triliun
LPGI: Jadwal Pembagian Dividen
PT Lippo General Insurance Tbk (LPGI) akan membagikan dividen tunai sebesar Rp 30 per saham, berikut ini adalah jadwal pembagian dividen tersebut:
* Cum dividen di pasar reguler dan negosiasi : 8 Juli 2010
* Ex dividen di pasar reguler dan negosiasi : 9 Juli 2010
* Cum dividen di pasar tunai : 13 Juli 2010
* Ex dividen di pasar tunai : 14 Juli 2010
* Recording date : 13 Juli 2010
* Payment date : 26 Juli 2010
UNSP: Restrukturisasi Kontrak P&G
BMRI: CAR Bank Mandiri Menyusut
JKON: Target Kontrak Baru Rp 3 Triliun
ASII Usulkan Pembagian Dividen 45%
PT Astra International Indonesia Tbk (ASII) mengusulkan pembagian dividen tahun buku 2009 sebesar 45%.
MIRA Alihkan Saham Anak Usaha Senilai Rp599 Juta
PT Mitra International Resources (MIRA) telah megalihkan saham senilai Rp599 juta, yang dimilikinya dalam PT Darmasurya Intinusa ke PT Pulau Kencana Raya (PKR).
IPO Krakatau Steel Terganjal Pohang
Kerjasama Krakatau Steel (KS) dengan Pohang dalam pembangunan pabrik baja terintegrasi di Cilegon terganjal pembagian saham. Rencana IPO KS pun terancam mundur.
PT Tunas Bhakti Manunggal, pemegang 17,11% saham PT Indika Energy Tbk (INDY) telah merampungkan penjualan seluruh sahamnya kepada PT Indika Mitra Energi senilai Rp 2,139 triliun. Harga per sahamnya Rp 2.400.
Aliran modal keluar atau capital outflow milik asing di Sertifikat Bank Indonesia (SBI) mencapai Rp 20 triliun selama pekan lalu. Hal tersebut mengakibatkan cadangan devisa RI turun.
UNTR Selesaikan Akuisisi Pertengahan Tahun
PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) hampir menyelesaikan proses akuisisi dua kuasa pertambangan batubara di Kalimantan Tengah yang diharapkan selesai pertengahan tahun ini.
Dikabarkan Bank Panin dan Ubai Fund tertarik untuk menambah kepemilikan saham PT Verena Oto Finance Tbk (VRNA). Perusahaan otomotif terkemuka pun dikabarkan sedang mengincar PT Verena Oto Finance Tbk (VRNA) untuk diakuisisi. Perusahaan otomotif tersebut mengincar kepemilikan saham Verena Capital. Pada transaksi saham kemarin (17/5), saham VRNA ditutup di kisaran Rp95 atau menguat Rp95.
Saham PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk (DOID) akan mengarah ke level Rp3.000 dalam waktu dekat. Beredar kabar di lantai bursa bahwa saham DOID mengarah ke level Rp3.000 dalam waktu dekat. Hal ini terjadi menyusul rencana perseroan menerbitkan saham baru melalui HMETD. Rights issue DOID ini diisukan merupakan bagian dari rencana pencatatan lewat jalur belakang (backdoor listing) Berau coal.
Ciputra Segera Bangun Rumah Sakit di Tangerang
PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) akan membangun rumah sakit di wilayah Tangerang
Jaya Konstruksi Bagi Dividen Rp 14 per Saham
PT Jaya Konstruksi Manggala Pratama Tbk (JKON) bakal membagikan dividen dari laba bersih tahun 2009 sebesar Rp 14 per lembar saham
BSDE Bangun Sinarmas Land Building Rp 100 Miliar
Gedung tersebut mengusung konsep ramah lingkungan dan menggunakan teknologi tinggi.
Harga saham ELSA dinaikkan ke level Rp670 terkait kabar PT Elnusa Tbk siap menandatangani persetujuan akhir atas penjualan saham 12,5% saham PT Tridaya Esta. Pendanaan telah disiapkan dan diharapkan awal Juni 2010, setelah pihak kreditur menyelesaikan administrasi.Harga saham ELSA akan dinaikkan menjadi Rp670 merupakan 2,5 kali nilai buku per saham (price book value/PBV) dan PBV ELSA senilai Rp268. Pada perdagangan kemarin, saham ELSA ditutup di level Rp450.
Sumber: Detikfinance.com (Market Flash), inilah.com, kontan
Rekomendasi & Strategy IHSG 18-05
Rapuhnya kinerja indeks saham DJIA (memasuki wave impulse correction C) dan Shanghai Composite yang telah memasuki BEAR MARKET (anjlok lebih dari 20% di tahun ini), memburuknya kondisi krisis di Eropa yang mendorong pesimisme diantara pelaku pasar dan proses pemulihan ekonomi Eropa dan Global, krisis politik di Thailand (berpotensi negatif dari perkiraan investor asing akan keluar dari pasar emerging Asia Tenggara), penguatan USD (indeks mencapai tertinggi 87.06: imbas Eropa cetak $ 1 triliun yang melemahkan euro-dolar), anjloknya harga komoditas minyak (sempat capai terendah $ 69.28: inventory minyak melonjak pekan lalu), ketidakpastian terhadap menteri keuangan pada 20 Mei ini, pelemahan rupiah berada di kisaran Rp 9.135/dolar, masih membebani kinerja IHSG di awal pekan ini.
Liat analisa mingguan (17-05) untuk lebih detail.
Watch out: Krisis Yunani (+ downgrade Portugal, Spanyol, Irlandia) berimbas ke UK > Revaluasi China (+PBOC Rate Hike) > kemelut bank AS (Kasus Goldman Sachs & 5 bank lainnya) > terorisme global > World Cup 2010 Afsel.
IHSG diperkirakan dapat melanjutkan trend penurunan setelah sejumlah isu negatif dari pola dan signal teknikal, menunjukkan IHSG berada dalam wave impulse correction C setelah kemarin tembus 2.795 dan mencapai terendah 2.780, menunjukkan pola lower high lower low dan candle hanging man.
IHSG hari ini harus ditutup diatas 2.850 (fibo 50% 2.996-2705) untuk mempertahankan trend bullish jangka pendek dalam pola broadening tops dan masih diatas 100 & 200 day MA, Jika gagal berpeluang menuju support 2.800/2.780/2.768/2.746. Resist di 2.824/2.836/2.869. Weekly chart menunjukkan pola candle hanging man, mendorong peluang penurunan dan toppish. Jika level support 2.795 ditembus, IHSG berpeluang membentuk pola EW correction impulse C (1-5) dengan target 2.690/2.650.
Trading Buy on weakness (30 menit setelah open): Bumi, jsmr, dgik, doid; bbca, antm, inco, bbri, bbni, pgas, medc, tlkm, asri, bksl, asii, unvr, bhit, mncn, ggrm, tmpi, dild, ctra, bsde, unvr, klbf, adro, asii. Risk 3.5%, Reward >10%.
Closed sell breakout 2.842 stop 30p (+62 point). Sell 2.885 target 2.780 stop 30p, Sell breakout 2.765 target 2.690 stop 20p. Buy 2.690 target 2.790 stop 30p.
Track Record IHSG: 28 Recommendations (22 profits: 2 break even: 4 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p). Total : 909 point - 259 point = Net +650 points = Average 23.21 point.
ASRI: Buy 175-180 target 200, stop dibawah 172.
BBNI: Buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.450-2.500, stop loss 2.250.
MEDC: 2.850-2.900 target 3.100 stop loss, 2.700, buy breakout 3.125 target 3.400.
ADRO: Rounding TOP, trend bearish (MACD), Bear Flag, Trading Buy 1.950 target 2.025/2.050, stop 1.880
BUMI: Head & Shoulder, neckline di 2.250, trend bearish, Trading buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.500, stop loss 2.200.
TLKM: Buy 7.550-7.600 target 7.800, stop dibawah 7.450.
EW: IHSG
Liat analisa mingguan (17-05) untuk lebih detail.
Watch out: Krisis Yunani (+ downgrade Portugal, Spanyol, Irlandia) berimbas ke UK > Revaluasi China (+PBOC Rate Hike) > kemelut bank AS (Kasus Goldman Sachs & 5 bank lainnya) > terorisme global > World Cup 2010 Afsel.
IHSG diperkirakan dapat melanjutkan trend penurunan setelah sejumlah isu negatif dari pola dan signal teknikal, menunjukkan IHSG berada dalam wave impulse correction C setelah kemarin tembus 2.795 dan mencapai terendah 2.780, menunjukkan pola lower high lower low dan candle hanging man.
IHSG hari ini harus ditutup diatas 2.850 (fibo 50% 2.996-2705) untuk mempertahankan trend bullish jangka pendek dalam pola broadening tops dan masih diatas 100 & 200 day MA, Jika gagal berpeluang menuju support 2.800/2.780/2.768/2.746. Resist di 2.824/2.836/2.869. Weekly chart menunjukkan pola candle hanging man, mendorong peluang penurunan dan toppish. Jika level support 2.795 ditembus, IHSG berpeluang membentuk pola EW correction impulse C (1-5) dengan target 2.690/2.650.
Trading Buy on weakness (30 menit setelah open): Bumi, jsmr, dgik, doid; bbca, antm, inco, bbri, bbni, pgas, medc, tlkm, asri, bksl, asii, unvr, bhit, mncn, ggrm, tmpi, dild, ctra, bsde, unvr, klbf, adro, asii. Risk 3.5%, Reward >10%.
Closed sell breakout 2.842 stop 30p (+62 point). Sell 2.885 target 2.780 stop 30p, Sell breakout 2.765 target 2.690 stop 20p. Buy 2.690 target 2.790 stop 30p.
Track Record IHSG: 28 Recommendations (22 profits: 2 break even: 4 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p). Total : 909 point - 259 point = Net +650 points = Average 23.21 point.
ASRI: Buy 175-180 target 200, stop dibawah 172.
BBNI: Buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.450-2.500, stop loss 2.250.
MEDC: 2.850-2.900 target 3.100 stop loss, 2.700, buy breakout 3.125 target 3.400.
ADRO: Rounding TOP, trend bearish (MACD), Bear Flag, Trading Buy 1.950 target 2.025/2.050, stop 1.880
BUMI: Head & Shoulder, neckline di 2.250, trend bearish, Trading buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.500, stop loss 2.200.
TLKM: Buy 7.550-7.600 target 7.800, stop dibawah 7.450.
EW: IHSG
DJIA Intraday Analysis 18-05
Closed Sell breakout 10.680 at 10.450 stop 30p = Profit +230 points.
Closed Buy breakout DJIA 10440/10.530/10.620 (trendline) target 10.810 (ex support), stop loss 30 p.
Profit: +370p + 280p + 190p =840 points. Track record 6 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p + 190p-30p+230p). Total Net +945 points = Average +135 points/trade.
Sell break 10.400 & 10.290 & breakout 10.200 target 10.000 stop 30p. Buy 9.900 stop 100p, target 10.800, buy breakout 10.680 & 10.840 target 11.000 stop 30p.
Closed Buy breakout DJIA 10440/10.530/10.620 (trendline) target 10.810 (ex support), stop loss 30 p.
Profit: +370p + 280p + 190p =840 points. Track record 6 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p + 190p-30p+230p). Total Net +945 points = Average +135 points/trade.
Sell break 10.400 & 10.290 & breakout 10.200 target 10.000 stop 30p. Buy 9.900 stop 100p, target 10.800, buy breakout 10.680 & 10.840 target 11.000 stop 30p.
Monday, May 17, 2010
Euro Plunge, Stocks Bear, Gold Topping and China SSEC Reversal
By Steve Betts Web site: www.thestockmarketbarometer.com
Anthony M. Cherniawski
The Practical tpi@thepracticalinvestor.com
Anthony M. Cherniawski
The Practical tpi@thepracticalinvestor.com
Update Daily Investment News
Stocks, Euro Fall, Oil Drops Below $70 on Europe Debt Concern
(Bloomberg) -- Global stocks slid for a third day, the euro erased gains and oil fell below $70 a barrel on growing concern that Europe’s debt crisis will derail the economic recovery. Copper dropped the most in 15 months as China’s equities plunged on concerns growth will slow. Speedy New Traders Make Waves Far From Wall St.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=akQUEDQtAMuk&pos=1
Commodities May Rebound 17%, Tiberius Says: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Commodity prices may rebound about 17 percent by the end of the year as a “technical sell signal” is reversed, according to Tiberius Asset Management AG.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=andrLt0fTOE4
Pound May Fall to C$1.35 Versus Canadian Dollar, JPMorgan Says
(Bloomberg) -- The British pound may extend this year’s 12 percent drop against the Canadian dollar and depreciate to C$1.35, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=at.x3jWYtZmU
Bartels Targets Euro-Dollar Parity If $1.20 Doesn't Hold: Video
(Bloomberg) -- Mary Ann Bartels, head of technical analysis at Bank of America Securities-Merrill Lynch Research, talks with Bloomberg's Margaret Brennan about prospects for the euro.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ag.Hm0bST5ws
Gasoline Premium Peaking Means Nymex Futures Down 43% (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- The summer driving season may be ending for gasoline refiners before American travelers even hit the road.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aTWRTzHcDpYM
FYI: New market terms arise from 'flash crash'
Some colorful terms have surfaced, or resurfaced, in the aftermath of the stock market's sudden plunge last week.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37130834
Above the Restoration Hardware in this Jersey Shore town, not far from the Navesink River, lurks a Wall Street giant.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37190208
Gulf Oil Spreading into Major Current is New Worry
BP said Monday it was siphoning more than a fifth of the oil spewing into the Gulf of Mexico, but worries escalated about the ooze reaching a major ocean current that could carry it through the Florida Keys and up the East Coast.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37188813
Yoshikami: The Euro's Bitter Pill
As the euro plunges to a four-year low against the dollar and respected economists like Paul Volker wonder out loud if the currency will survive, reflection is necessary to determine why this once prestigious currency appears to be crashing on the rocks of uncertainty.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37188673
Gold to Hit $2K by Year's End: UXG Chairman
Gold will sell at $2,000 an ounce by the end of the year and could hit $5,000 an ounce by 2012-2014, Robert McEwen, chairman of U.S. Gold [UXG 4.0325 -0.0875 (-2.12%) ], a gold exploration company, told CNBC on Monday.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37189836
Avoiding Multiple Contraction
On Wall Street, Cramer often says, growth might as well be crack. It's highly addictive, and investors aren't afraid to pay up for it. That's why companies on a seemingly meteoric trajectory fetch the highest multiple, because they often generate the best returns. But the slightest change in sentiment can shrink that multiple like George Costanza just leaving the pool, so investors need to know when to cash out. During today's Mad Money, Cramer told viewers how it's done.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37156419
Twenty Stocks Set to Gain from a Weaker Euro
Twenty European companies that have a high percentage of their revenue from regions outside the continent are likely to benefit from a weaker euro, according to Barclays Capital.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37185812
Bulls Expect This Drug Maker to Rally
Drug developer Celgene is expected to release data on from two studies in coming weeks, and the bulls are looking for a rally.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37187509
FYI: New market terms arise from 'flash crash'
Some colorful terms have surfaced, or resurfaced, in the aftermath of the stock market's sudden plunge last week.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37130834
Copper Tumbles on Slowing Manufacturing, Europe Debt Concerns
(Bloomberg) -- Copper prices plunged the most since February 2009 on mounting signs the global economic recovery is slowing.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aUASlNzbXYis&pos=2
(Bloomberg) -- Global stocks slid for a third day, the euro erased gains and oil fell below $70 a barrel on growing concern that Europe’s debt crisis will derail the economic recovery. Copper dropped the most in 15 months as China’s equities plunged on concerns growth will slow. Speedy New Traders Make Waves Far From Wall St.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=akQUEDQtAMuk&pos=1
Commodities May Rebound 17%, Tiberius Says: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Commodity prices may rebound about 17 percent by the end of the year as a “technical sell signal” is reversed, according to Tiberius Asset Management AG.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=andrLt0fTOE4
Pound May Fall to C$1.35 Versus Canadian Dollar, JPMorgan Says
(Bloomberg) -- The British pound may extend this year’s 12 percent drop against the Canadian dollar and depreciate to C$1.35, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=at.x3jWYtZmU
Bartels Targets Euro-Dollar Parity If $1.20 Doesn't Hold: Video
(Bloomberg) -- Mary Ann Bartels, head of technical analysis at Bank of America Securities-Merrill Lynch Research, talks with Bloomberg's Margaret Brennan about prospects for the euro.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ag.Hm0bST5ws
Gasoline Premium Peaking Means Nymex Futures Down 43% (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- The summer driving season may be ending for gasoline refiners before American travelers even hit the road.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aTWRTzHcDpYM
FYI: New market terms arise from 'flash crash'
Some colorful terms have surfaced, or resurfaced, in the aftermath of the stock market's sudden plunge last week.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37130834
Above the Restoration Hardware in this Jersey Shore town, not far from the Navesink River, lurks a Wall Street giant.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37190208
Gulf Oil Spreading into Major Current is New Worry
BP said Monday it was siphoning more than a fifth of the oil spewing into the Gulf of Mexico, but worries escalated about the ooze reaching a major ocean current that could carry it through the Florida Keys and up the East Coast.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37188813
Yoshikami: The Euro's Bitter Pill
As the euro plunges to a four-year low against the dollar and respected economists like Paul Volker wonder out loud if the currency will survive, reflection is necessary to determine why this once prestigious currency appears to be crashing on the rocks of uncertainty.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37188673
Gold to Hit $2K by Year's End: UXG Chairman
Gold will sell at $2,000 an ounce by the end of the year and could hit $5,000 an ounce by 2012-2014, Robert McEwen, chairman of U.S. Gold [UXG 4.0325 -0.0875 (-2.12%) ], a gold exploration company, told CNBC on Monday.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37189836
Avoiding Multiple Contraction
On Wall Street, Cramer often says, growth might as well be crack. It's highly addictive, and investors aren't afraid to pay up for it. That's why companies on a seemingly meteoric trajectory fetch the highest multiple, because they often generate the best returns. But the slightest change in sentiment can shrink that multiple like George Costanza just leaving the pool, so investors need to know when to cash out. During today's Mad Money, Cramer told viewers how it's done.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37156419
Twenty Stocks Set to Gain from a Weaker Euro
Twenty European companies that have a high percentage of their revenue from regions outside the continent are likely to benefit from a weaker euro, according to Barclays Capital.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37185812
Bulls Expect This Drug Maker to Rally
Drug developer Celgene is expected to release data on from two studies in coming weeks, and the bulls are looking for a rally.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37187509
FYI: New market terms arise from 'flash crash'
Some colorful terms have surfaced, or resurfaced, in the aftermath of the stock market's sudden plunge last week.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37130834
Copper Tumbles on Slowing Manufacturing, Europe Debt Concerns
(Bloomberg) -- Copper prices plunged the most since February 2009 on mounting signs the global economic recovery is slowing.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aUASlNzbXYis&pos=2