The Combination of Technical-Analysis & Astrolo9y (CTA)

Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.

Friday, December 31, 2010

Wishing You All Happy New Year 2011 Filled With Prosperous & Success

(>"'<) ςǚмά̲̣ ‎мά̲̣ǚ ϐεяϐά̲̣ƍΐ
( ' ; ' ) ‎ ƙ ε ϐ ά̲̣ ђ ά̲̣ ƍ ΐ ά̲̣ ά̲̣ и ƾebelum
(_)(_) ƭά̲̣ђǚи ϐά̲̣яǚ 2011

Ђά̲̣яΐ berganti,,,,
ϐǚℓά̲̣и berganti,,,,
Ƭά̲̣ђǚи pun berganti,,,,
Ƭά̲̣ђǚи ϐά̲̣яǚ harapan baru,,,,
Ƭetap semangat,,,,

‎ Мasa lalu adalah kenangan,,,,
Ђά̲̣яΐ ini adalah goresan,,,
Ђά̲̣яΐ esok adalah harapan,,,,

ƾelamat tinggal kenangan,,,,
ƾεℓά̲̣мά̲̣ƭ ϑά̲̣ƭά̲̣иƍ ђά̲̣яά̲̣ƿά̲̣и .

Happy New Year 2011 ┊ <3<3 <3 ┊ (*) ‎ ┊  ..<3............<3 (*). O:)

ƾemogα di Ƭâ♓ϋΩ 2011 ini tercapai ∫Σмůª keinginan, tujuan, ϑαn cita-cita kita, makin sukses, makin melayani, kurangin dosa, banyakin amal ϑαn jauh ðařį masalah.

@IHSG: Movers / Perfomance & Valuasi Indeks Asia & Global 30-12

Mover:

Indeks Asia

Indeks Global

EWI: Robert Prechter Dispels 10 Popular Investment Myths, Part IX

Robert Prechter Dispels 10 Popular Investment Myths, Part IX
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/12/30/Robert-Prechter-Dispels-10-Popular-Investment-Myths,-Part-IX.aspx

Keep Ahead of the Herd in 2011
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/12/30/Keep-Ahead-of-the-Herd-in-2011.aspx

A New Year: Will There Be a Bullish Miracle on 34th Street?
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/12/30/A-New-Year-Will-There-Be-a-Bullish-Miracle-on-34th--Street.aspx

Silver: Critical, Edge Of The Seat Action
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/12/29/Silver-Critical-Edge-Of-Your-Seat-Action.aspx

Coffee Prices Fulfill Their Elliott Wave Script
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/12/28/Coffee-Prices-Fulfill-Their-Elliott-Wave-Script.aspx

What Really Moves the Markets: News? The Fed? The Real Answers Will Surprise You
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/12/28/What-Really-Moves-the-Markets-News-The-Fed-The-Real-Answers-Will-Surprise-You.aspx

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 30-12

@IHSG: Movers (Leading - Lagging) / Top Value 29-12

Mover

Top Value (Esmart BNI Securities)

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (30 - 12): Cheers In End of Day, End of Week, End of Month & End of Year

Di hari terakhir perdagangan di bursa Indonesia, IHSG masih mendapatkan support dari kuatnya sentimen dari regional Asia dan Wall Street (optimisme terhadap ekonomi AS untuk rebound dan tingginya perkiraan GDP Q4 2010), investor asing masih mengalami net buy Rp 131 miliar, imbas penguatan rupiah terhadap dolar berkat isu positif dari kebijakan pengetatan kepemilikan valas (menaikkan GWM valas) dan pinjaman asing, penyesuaian posisi menjelang penutupan tahun dan faktor technical yang bullish, kenaikan harga komoditas (emas $ 1.405, minyak mendekati $92, coal $ 124 berpotensi ke $150) memberikan momentum positif kepada saham komoditas (energy, cpo, coal), seharusnya masih menghantar IHSG mendekati level 3.750 (prediksi closing di 3.735). IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.680-3.740.

Trading Buy: KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM/MIDI/WINS/BRMS
Trading Buy: BBRI/BBTN/BBNI/BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNLI
Trading Buy: ASII/UNTR/AALI, ICBP/INDF
Speculative Buy: Telekomunikasi: TLKM ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR, TBIG
Trading Buy: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Speculative Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Trading Buy: GZCO/BISI/LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Trading Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal DOID/ ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/BRAU
Trading Buy: BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Trading Buy; MPPA/MYOR/MAPI/JPFA//BMTR/MNCN/CPIN/GJTL/INDY/AKRA/ASRI/META/MLPL/ELSA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/UNVR
Trading Buy: MPPA/MLPL/ASGR
Trading Buy: property: ASRI/BSDE/SMRA/LPKR/DGIK/DILD/BKSL

Saksikan Movers & Shakers (29/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (30/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB & Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (09/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 30-12 (KRAS/PGAS/KLBF/PTBA)

Technical Chart Saham CTA Sebelumnya: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650) = Done

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Total 69 Saham:
Hold Buy (56 Saham): AALI (24.200)/ADRO (2.400)/BUMI (2.850)BLTA (330)/MASA (320)/PBRX (1.270)/BNII (630-650)/KRAS (1.200)/BNBR (73)/JSMR (3.375)/BRAU (510)/CNKO (168)/ITMG (49.700)/SIPD (68)/ENRG (135)/UNSP (385)/ICBP (4.500-4.525)/SMCB (2.375-2.400)/BMTR (580-600)/CMNP (1.400)/DGIK (105-106)/ELSA (350)/TRUB (84/85)/SDRA (275)/DILD (410)/PNBN (1.120-1.130)/SOBI (3.300)/TPIA (3.000)/SMMA (1.980-2.000)/DOID (1.340-1.350)/TLKM (7.800)/ASII (49.650)/BUMI (2-2.850)/ADRO (2-2.500)/BMRI (6.250)/BBRI (10.000)/BBNI (3.650)/BDMN (5.600-5.650)/BBTN (1.570)/NIKL (420)/BWPT (1.150-1.160)/JPRS (560)/ADHI (900)/PTPP (750 & 780)/WIKA (690)/ELTY (155-158)/BHIT (160-163)/CTRA (335)/KRAS (1.150)/ASRI (290)/MLPL (295)/BBNI (3.850/3.875)/KKGI (3.600)/ASII (53.600)/BBRI (10.500/10.600).
Rec Loss (13 saham): ASII/BRNA/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP/CPIN/HEXA/BNGA/MPPA/MLPL

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
From Chat Roll:

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100

08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)
(22/10): 3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html

Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700. (Reach Target Profit)
Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AMAndri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880 (Stop loss done).
Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AMAndri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

@KKGI: No Turning back...Just Heading North

@KKGI: Buy 3.600-3.650 & Add buy lagi 3.200 (jika terjadi koreksi) target 4.400/5.000 stop loss dibawah 3.000.

@ASII: No Way To Run But Upside

@ASII: Buy 53.600 (revisi) target 56.150/60.750, stop loss dibawah 52.400

@BBRI: Corrective Wave A Was Ended, Ready For Bull Continuation.

@BBRI: Buy 10.500-10.600 target 10.950 (dalam 2-3 hari mendatang)/12.800/14.000 (Maret 2011), stop loss dibawah area 9.800-10.050.

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (29 - 12): IHSG Still Supported By Global Rally

Seperti diperkirakan sebelumnya, IHSG masih mendapatkan support di akhir tahun ini dari aksi pemburuan saham di tengah tipisnya volume pasar, penyesuaian posisi oleh investor lokal disaat big fund asing libur hingga awal Januari 2011, investor asing masih mencatat net buy Rp 995 miliar dalam 2 hari perdagangan (Rp 430 miliar kemarin), kenaikan harga komoditas (harga minyak rebound ke $91, emas diatas $1.400, cpo mendekati Myr 3.800) hingga kinerja saham Wall Street mendekati level 11.600 (target CTA 11.740) dan regional Asia, meski dibayangi oleh kekhawatiran kenaikan suku bunga China lebih lanjut, penguatan dolar AS & belum berakhirnya krisis hutang di Eropa (potensi sejumlah negara diturunkan rating hutang oleh lembaga pemeringkat internasional). IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.620-3.700.

Speculative Buy: KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM/MIDI/WINS/BRMS
Trading Buy: BBRI/BBTN/BBNI/BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNLI
Trading Buy: ASII/UNTR/AALI, ICBP/INDF
Speculative Buy: Telekomunikasi: TLKM ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR, TBIG
Trading Buy: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Speculative Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Trading Buy: GZCO/BISI/LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Trading Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal DOID/ ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/BRAU
Trading Buy: BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Speculative Buy; MYOR/MAPI/JPFA//BMTR/MNCN/CPIN/GJTL/INDY/AKRA/ASRI/META/MLPL/ELSA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/UNVR
Buy on weakness: MPPA/MLPL/ASGR
Trading Buy: property: ASRI/BSDE/SMRA/LPKR/DGIK/DILD/BKSL

Saksikan Movers & Shakers (29/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (30/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB & Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (09/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 29-12 (ANTM/BMTR/INDF/GGRM)

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Total 65 Saham:
Hold Buy (52 Saham): AALI (24.200)/ADRO (2.400)/BUMI (2.850)BLTA (330)/MASA (320)/PBRX (1.270)/BNII (630-650)/KRAS (1.200)/BNBR (73)/JSMR (3.375)/BRAU (510)/CNKO (168)/ITMG (49.700)/SIPD (68)/ENRG (135)/UNSP (385)/ICBP (4.500-4.525)/SMCB (2.375-2.400)/BMTR (580-600)/CMNP (1.400)/DGIK (105-106)/ELSA (350)/TRUB (84/85)/SDRA (275)/DILD (410)/PNBN (1.120-1.130)/SOBI (3.300)/TPIA (3.000)/SMMA (1.980-2.000)/DOID (1.340-1.350)/TLKM (7.800)/ASII (49.650)/BUMI (2-2.850)/ADRO (2-2.500)/BMRI (6.250)/BBRI (10.000)/BBNI (3.650)/BDMN (5.600-5.650)/BBTN (1.570)/NIKL (420)/BWPT (1.150-1.160)/JPRS (560)/ADHI (900)/PTPP (750 & 780)/WIKA (690)/ELTY (155-158)/BHIT (160-163)/CTRA (335)/KRAS (1.150)/ASRI (290)/MLPL (295)
Rec Loss (13 saham): ASII/BRNA/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP/CPIN/HEXA/BNGA/MPPA/MLPL

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
From Chat Roll:

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100

Nothing Can't Stop Us on Global 3ull Attack * A Bullish Continuation Attack Remain

IHSG
Hold Buy 3.620 (16/12) & target 3.750 stop dibawah 3.520.
(17/12) Hold Buy 3.540 target 3.750 stop dibawah 3.560

* Upgrade target Akhir Tahun menjadi 3.850 (berpotensi upgrade ke 4.040 pada 30 Desember 2010)/ 4.200 di H1 2011

(The 1st Upgrade in Indonesia & in process of Super Bull of 2010 - 2012 - 2015 only in Special Technical Analysis BNI Securities & BNI Securities Market Outlook 2011).

Daily

4-Jam

IHSG: 1 jam & 4jam menunjukkan crossover buy, sementara daily chart juga menunjukkan crossover buy (stochastic very oversold sejak Juni 2010) dengan selling power mulai mereda, siap untuk attack rebound ke 3.700/3.750 karena masih dalam jalur Super Bull, belum ada signal top reversal.

Liat TD Wave 10/08: http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5218895147221569420

Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 74 Recommendations (55 Profits: 1 (sebelumnya 26 x profit berturut-turut); 4 Break Even: 15 Loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p-30P+20P+20P+35P+54P+60P+40P+58P+3P+50P+5P+55P+5P+55P+23P+60P+15P-45P+100P). Total : Net +2184 points = Average 30.41 point.

DJIA
Sell 11.650 target 11.400 stop 50P, sell breakout 10.420 target 11.150 stop 50P
Signal 1 jam & 4 jam bullish di area overbought, daily masih dalam trend 3ullish di area overbought, buying power yang dominan, berpotensi menguat lebih lanjut.

Track record (since end of March 2010) : 63 Recommendations (36 Profits: 27 Loss) (-65p-30p+370p + 280p+190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p+280p+198p+205p+110p-30p+70p+200p+150p-50p-30p-30p-30p+145p-50p-30p+175p-50p-50p-60p-50p-50p+225p+100p-55p+100p+380p+220p+230p-100p-60p+265p+20p+80P+90P+130P-30P+50P-50P-50P+100P+20P+225P+250P+180P-50P-50P-50P-50P+165P-50P-50P-50P-50P+170P+300P+200P+200P+50P). Total Net +5008 points = Average +79.43 points/trade.

Rekomendasi Nikkei 225/Hang Seng/Shanghai:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/market-profile-ihsgnikkei-225hang_04.html

@Courtesy of Globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com

@IHSG: Movers (Leading - Lagging) / Top Value 28-12

Mover

Top Value (Esmart BNI Securities)

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Counting Down The Last of 3 Days For CTA Blog This Year - See You All in Feb 2011

Coming Soon: Pohon Saham Mania (Edukasi/Info Saham/Training/Strategy - TA/Bandarmologi/FA/Flow) di February 2011 (Dikenakan biaya untuk biaya bulanan/3 bulan/6 bulan). January Effect tidak akan berlangsung lama, waspadai koreksi wave 4/5 (sinkron dengan EW DJIA di bulan Januari 2011).Terima kasih kepada ratusan pembaca blog ini setiap harinya, atas support dan dukungan, setia menemani blog ini dalam kurang dari 2 tahun. Semoga blog CTA (Combo Technical Analysis) bermanfaat untuk trading & investasi. Mohon maaf kalo ada kekurangan. Blog CTA akan kembali dengan format baru (Pohon Saham Mania) di bulan Februari 2011. Happy cuan & sukses trading/investasi kepada semua pembaca blog CTA ini.

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 28-12

@CTRA: Higher Reward Than Risk Ahead

@CTRA: very oversold in trend bearish, diatas pivot point, selling power masih dominan. Buy 325 & 340 target 385/420 (Feb 2011) stop loss dibawah 300 (fibo fann line support).

@ASRI: The Symmetrical Triangle is Ready To Breakout

@ASRI: Buy 290 (oversold, low vol, closing at PP), target 320/370 stop loss dibawah 240.

@KRAS: Its Time The Beginning For Rebound???

@KRAS:

Dec 28 2010, 11:11 AM: @KRAS: oversold intraday, ready bull attack Buy 1.150 target 1.320 stop loss dibawah 1.100.

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (28 - 12): The Last Days of This Bull Years

IHSG masih menunjukkan pola konsolidasi dalam sebuah uptrend med-term vs bearish short-term, dimana minimnnya sentimen positif, tipisnya volume pasar, fund manager asing telah keluar dari market untuk liburan akhir tahun, kekhawatiran terhadap aksi China menaikkan suku bunga di akhir pekan lalu & belum meredanya krisis finansial di Eropa, seharusnya dapat membebani potensi kenaikan hari ini berdasarkan kondisi technical daily, asing masih net buy Rp 365 miliar, potensi penguatan rupiah dan imbas kenaikan harga minyak (meski terkoreksi semalam ke $90/barel dari $92/barel), harga coal mencapai $124/mt). IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.600-3.660.

Buy on weakness: KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM/MIDI/WINS/BRMS
Speculative Buy: BBRI/BBTN/BBNI/BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNLI
Speculative Buy: ASII/UNTR/AALI, ICBP/INDF
Speculative Buy: Telekomunikasi: TLKM ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR, TBIG
Speculative Buy: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Speculative Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Trading Buy: GZCO/BISI/LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Speculative Buy: BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Speculative Buy; MYOR/MAPI/JPFATINS/INCO/BMTR/MNCN/CPIN/GJTL/INDY/AKRA/ASRI/META/MLPL/MPPA/ELSA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/UNVR
Speculative Buy: property: ASRI/BSDE/SMRA/LPKR/DGIK/DILD/BKSL

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (16/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB & Movers & Shakers (17/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 28-12 (BOW: BBNI, Buy LSIP/HRUM/ASII)

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Total 61 Saham:
Hold Buy (48 Saham): AALI (24.200)/ADRO (2.400)/BUMI (2.850)BLTA (330)/MASA (320)/PBRX (1.270)/BNII (630-650)/KRAS (1.200)/BNBR (73)/JSMR (3.375)/BRAU (510)/CNKO (168)/ITMG (49.700)/SIPD (68)/ENRG (135)/UNSP (385)/ICBP (4.500-4.525)/SMCB (2.375-2.400)/BMTR (580-600)/CMNP (1.400)/DGIK (105-106)/ELSA (350)/TRUB (84/85)/SDRA (275)/DILD (410)/PNBN (1.120-1.130)/SOBI (3.300)/TPIA (3.000)/SMMA (1.980-2.000)/DOID (1.340-1.350)/TLKM (7.800)/ASII (49.650)/BUMI (2-2.850)/ADRO (2-2.500)/BMRI (6.250)/BBRI (10.000)/BBNI (3.650)/BDMN (5.600-5.650)/BBTN (1.570)/NIKL (420)/BWPT (1.150-1.160)/JPRS (560)/ADHI (900)/PTPP (750 & 780)/WIKA (690)/ELTY (155-158)/BHIT (160-163)
Rec Loss (13 saham): ASII/BRNA/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP/CPIN/HEXA/BNGA/MPPA/MLPL

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
From Chat Roll:

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100

Market Profile: IHSG Daily / 3 Years / 20-30 Years: Demand vs Supply

Daily:

3 Years:

20-30 Years:

Nothing Can't Stop Us on Global 3ull Attack * The Only Way is Up

(The 1st Upgrade in Indonesia & in process of Super Bull of 2010 - 2012 - 2015 only in Special Technical Analysis BNI Securities & BNI Securities Market Outlook 2011).

Daily

IHSG: 1 jam & 4jam menunjukkan overbought , sementara daily chart juga menunjukkan oversold & Goldden Cross (stochastic very oversold sejak Juni 2010) dengan selling power mulai mereda, siap untuk attack rebound ke 3.700/3.750 karena masih dalam jalur Super Bull, belum ada signal top reversal.

Liat TD Wave 10/08: http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5218895147221569420

Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 74 Recommendations (55 Profits: 1 (sebelumnya 26 x profit berturut-turut); 4 Break Even: 15 Loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p-30P+20P+20P+35P+54P+60P+40P+58P+3P+50P+5P+55P+5P+55P+23P+60P+15P-45P+100P). Total : Net +2184 points = Average 30.41 point.

DJIA

Sell 11.650 target 11.400 stop 50P, sell breakout 10.420 target 11.150 stop 50P

Signal 1 jam & 4 jam bullish di area overbought, daily masih dalam trend 3ullish dengan crossover buy, buying power yang dominan, berpotensi menguat lebih lanjut.

Track record (since end of March 2010) : 61 Recommendations (34 Profits: 27 Loss) (-65p-30p+370p + 280p+190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p+280p+198p+205p+110p-30p+70p+200p+150p-50p-30p-30p-30p+145p-50p-30p+175p-50p-50p-60p-50p-50p+225p+100p-55p+100p+380p+220p+230p-100p-60p+265p+20p+80P+90P+130P-30P+50P-50P-50P+100P+20P+225P+250P+180P-50P-50P-50P-50P+165P-50P-50P-50P-50P+170P+300P+200P+200P). Total Net +4958 points = Average +76.35 points/trade.

Rekomendasi Nikkei 225/Hang Seng/Shanghai:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/market-profile-ihsgnikkei-225hang_04.html

@Courtesy of Globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com

@IHSG: Movers (Leading - Lagging) / Top Value 27-12

Mover

Top Value (Esmart BNI Securities)

Monday, December 27, 2010

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 27-12

IHSG Berbalik Naik 13 Poin
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/161059/1533540/6/ihsg-berbalik-naik-13-poin

Harga Komoditas & Investor Asing Angkat IHSG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1092472/harga-komoditas-investor-asing-angkat-ihsg

Merespon China, Bursa Eropa Dibuka Turun Tipis
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1092462/merespon-china-bursa-eropa-dibuka-turun-tipis

Didorong Komoditas, IHSG Ditutup Naik 13,73 Poin
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1092362/didorong-komoditas-ihsg-ditutup-naik-1373-poin

Saham Mahaka Bergerak Tak Wajar
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/125515/1533315/6/saham-mahaka-bergerak-tak-wajar

Total Rights Issue 2010 Melonjak Empat Kali Lipat
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/122217/1533275/6/total-rights-issue-2010-melonjak-empat-kali-lipat

CIC Masuk Konsorsium Kepemilikan Northstar Tambang Persada
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/112213/1533209/6/cic-masuk-konsorsium-kepemilikan-northstar-tambang-persada

Sarana Menara Dapat Pinjaman US$ 30 Juta
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/105656/1533173/6/sarana-menara-dapat-pinjaman-us--30-juta

Indocitra Finance Siap Investasi Sektor Migas
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/104240/1533166/6/indocitra-finance-siap-investasi-sektor-migas

PP Bidik Kontrak Baru Rp 3,7 Triliun
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/100904/1533131/6/pp-bidik-kontrak-baru-rp-37-triliun

Capai Rp 35,8 Triliun, Tahun 2010 Periode 'Banjir' Obligasi
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/154142/1533519/6/capai-rp-358-triliun-tahun-2010-periode-banjir-obligasi

Harga Emas Merosot Hampir 1%
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/081316/1533068/4/harga-emas-merosot-hampir-1

Harga Minyak Mulai Surut
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/112835/1533232/1034/harga-minyak-mulai-surut

Inflasi Desember Sulit Dibendung
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/12/27/163059/1533564/4/inflasi-desember-sulit-dibendung

TBLA Siapkan Capex Hingga Rp559 Miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1092172/tbla-siapkan-capex-hingga-rp559-miliar

TBLA Alami Penurunan Laba Jadi Rp124 Miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1091742/tbla-alami-penurunan-laba-jadi-rp124-miliar

@IPO Multifiling Mitra Indonesia Tbk (29 Des 2010)

PT Multifiling Mitra Indonesia Tbk: (29 Des 2010) calon emiten anak usaha dari PT Multipolar Tbk (MLPL) siap menawarkan harga perdana saham IPO di level Rp 190-Rp 210 per lembar. Dana maksimal yang bisa diraih mencapai Rp 54,091 miliar.
http://www.medanbisnisdaily.com/news/read/2010/12/04/9900/multifiling_tawarkan_saham_ipo_rp_210lembar/
Strategy:
Resist : 252 (Buy on breakout)/275 (Sell on rally)/316 (Buy on breakout)/407 (Buy on breakout)/467 (buy on breakout/550/620 (Sell)
Support : 210 (Sell on breakout)/189/170 (Speculative Buy)/147

@Latest IPO's: BSIM / BORN / HRUM / WINS

BSIM: Buy on weakness 350-360 target 590 (Short-Term)/800 (Med-Term), stop loss dibawah 270.

BORN: Buy on weakness 1.250-1.260 & add buy breakout 1.310, target 1.550/1.790 stop loss dibawah 1.160.

HRUM: Buy on weakness 7750 & add buy breakout 8300, target 9550 (Short-term)/11500 (Med-term) stop loss dibawah area 7300/7150.

WINS: Buy on weakness 300/310 & add buy breakout 370, target 400 (Short-term)/500 (Med-term) stop loss dibawah area 270/250.

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (27 - 12): Overbought Intraday vs Regional Upside

Potensi penurunan IHSG relatif terbatas hari ini dari faktor technical dan imbas kenaikan suku bunga China 25 bsp di akhir pekan lalu, minimnya sentimen positif dari dalam negeri, karena penguatan indeks saham regional, kenaikan harga minyak ($91/barel) dan coal ($124/mt) menopang kinerja saham di sektor komoditas (energi, coal) hari ini. Meskipun sektor perbankan, property, infrastruktur akan terbebani oleh spekulasi Bank Indonesia akan menaiikan suku bunga di awal tahun 2011 (Q1 2011), akan menahan laju IHSG untuk mencapai target 3.700-3.750 di akhir bulan ini.IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.580-3.640.

Speculative Buy: KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM/MIDI/WINS/BRMS
Sell on rally: BBRI/BBTN/BBNI/BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNLI
Buy on weakness: ASII/UNTR/AALI, ICBP/INDF
Buy on weakness: Telekomunikasi: TLKM ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR, TBIG
Buy on weakness: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Buy on weakness : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Buy on weakness: GZCO/BISI/LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Buy on weakness: BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Buy on weakness; MYOR/MAPI/JPFATINS/INCO/BMTR/MNCN/CPIN/GJTL/INDY/AKRA/ASRI/META/MLPL/MPPA/ELSA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/UNVR
Buy on weakness: property: ASRI/BSDE/SMRA/LPKR/DGIK/DILD/BKSL

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (16/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB & Movers & Shakers (17/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 27-12 (SoS: SMGR/PBRX/Spec Buy: MAPI/JPFA)

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Total 61 Saham:
Hold Buy (49 Saham): AALI (24.200)/ADRO (2.400)/BUMI (2.850)BLTA (330)/MASA (320)/PBRX (1.270)/BNII (630-650)/KRAS (1.200)/BNBR (73)/JSMR (3.375)/BRAU (510)/CNKO (168)/ITMG (49.700)/SIPD (68)/ENRG (135)/UNSP (385)/ICBP (4.500-4.525)/SMCB (2.375-2.400)/BMTR (580-600)/CMNP (1.400)/DGIK (105-106)/ELSA (350)/MLPL (330-335)/TRUB (84/85)/SDRA (275)/DILD (410)/PNBN (1.120-1.130)/SOBI (3.300)/TPIA (3.000)/SMMA (1.980-2.000)/DOID (1.340-1.350)/TLKM (7.800)/ASII (49.650)/BUMI (2-2.850)/ADRO (2-2.500)/BMRI (6.250)/BBRI (10.000)/BBNI (3.650)/BDMN (5.600-5.650)/BBTN (1.570)/NIKL (420)/BWPT (1.150-1.160)/JPRS (560)/ADHI (900)/PTPP (750 & 780)/WIKA (690)/ELTY (155-158)/BHIT (160-163)
Rec Loss (12 saham): ASII/BRNA/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP/CPIN/HEXA/BNGA/MPPA.

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
From Chat Roll:

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100

@IHSG: Movers (Leading - Lagging) / Top Value 23-12 / Perfomance Indeks Asia & Global

Mover

Top Value (Esmart BNI Securities)

Indeks Asia

Indeks Global

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Nothing Can't Stop Us on Global 3ull Attack * Golden Cross Signal To Support Bull Trend

(The 1st Upgrade in Indonesia & in process of Super Bull of 2010 - 2012 - 2015 only in Special Technical Analysis BNI Securities & BNI Securities Market Outlook 2011).

Daily

Liat TD Wave 10/08: http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5218895147221569420

Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 74 Recommendations (55 Profits: 1 (sebelumnya 26 x profit berturut-turut); 4 Break Even: 15 Loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p-30P+20P+20P+35P+54P+60P+40P+58P+3P+50P+5P+55P+5P+55P+23P+60P+15P-45P+100P). Total : Net +2184 points = Average 30.41 point.

DJIA
(02/12) Hold Buy breakout 11.280 target 11.600 = Closed at 11.680 = Profit +400P
Sell 11.650 target 11.400 stop 50P, sell breakout 10.420 target 11.150 stop 50P

Signal 1 jam & 4 jam bullish di area overbought, daily masih dalam trend 3ullish dengan crossover buy, buying power yang dominan, berpotensi menguat lebih lanjut.