Saturday, February 25, 2012

Friday, February 24, 2012

Inside Bars & Tuning Fibonacci

Inside Bars (And How to Trade Them)
In recent price action articles, we’ve looked at various methods of grading trends, identifying support and resistance, as well as looking for potential entries based on individual candle formations. This next formation can also help us find potential trading ideas; and it’s not because of what price is doing during the period of that candle, but its more about what price is NOT doing as the candle is forming. The ‘Inside Bar,’ is a popular candle formation that only requires two candles to present itself; as this is a direct play on short-term market sentiment looking to enter before the ‘big moves,’ that may take place in the market.
LINK: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/education/trading_tips/chart_of_the_day/2012/02/22/Inside_Bars_and_How_to_trade_them.html

Fine Tuning Fibs
We would recommend "fine tuning" where you are placing the Fibonacci tool.  By placing a Fib line on a more recent move and/or using a shorter chart time frame, you will find that the retracement needed to enter a position will not be near as great.  Take a look at the second chart below for the "fine tuned" version.
LINK: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/education/trading_tips/post_of_the_day/2009-12-02-2108-Fine_Tuning_Fibs.html

Using the Fibonacci Tool Part II
In an earlier article about employing the Fibonacci Tool in your trading, the basics of its use were covered. In this follow-up, I would like to go into more detail about what to look for as the pair “stalls” at one of the Fib levels.
LINK: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/education/trading_tips/post_of_the_day/2012/02/21/Using_the_Fibonacci_Tool_Part_II..html

@IHSG (Wave c/4 & Bearish Butterfly) vs DJIA (Bullish Butterfly & Wave Final v/5): Profit-Taking Further After New Moon Attack

IHSG: @Courtesy of BNI Securities TA Daily 24-02. Seperti diperkirakan sebelumnya asing masih obral saham unggulan (liat artikel pekan lalu mengenai isu foreign mau sell-off) dimana sebelumnya didahului aksi penjualan oleh sebuah big local fund, pola bear market rally, distribusi & faktor teknikal (Wave corr c/4), segi astronomi yang tidak kondusif setelah new moon attack, ketidakpastian situasi di Eropa (isu resesi & Yunani akan exit Euro), kondisi teknikal DJIA yang overbought (kenaikan didukung musim laporan keuangan di S&P 500 yang mencatat 62% diantara mencatat hasil lebih baik dari ekspektasi & melejitnya saham Apple Comp), melambatnya ekonomi China dan imbas kenaikan harga minyak $106 + isu kenaikan BBM yang dapat mendorong ekspektasi kenaikan inflasi di tahun 2011, sehingga memberikan sentimen negatif kepada saham unggulan terutama saham yang sensitif dengan isu bbm & inflasi (Otomotif, banking, property, industri manufaktur)> Breakoutnya IHSG dibawah 3.895 picu tekanan lebih lanjut ke target 3.800 (liat chart), selama dibawah 3.895, strategy sell on rally dapat dilakukan.
DJIA:
What Wrong With ASII - UNTR - GGRM - BMRI - ADRO: Just Technical Selling???
ADRO: Cup with handle pattern

ASII: Head & Shoulder Neckline Just Broke 23/02: By Closing Volume Climmaxx, see what happen in 27/02
BMRI: Breakout Bearish UpChannel
GGRM: Downtrend Channel Sell Attack

UNTR: Breakout Rising Wedge Support Line

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 24-02 (Refresh)

2nd SESSION JCI on 24.02.12


IHSG @ 3894.56 (-64.24 pts) (-1.62 %)
(H:3959.10 ; L:3850.12)
Value: 5.797 T (NG 358 B )
Volume: 4.405 B (NG 397 M  )
Foreign Nett Sell 896 B 
USD/IDR: 9085 (On Shore) 
                     9131 (Off Shore)


JCI for next Monday (26.02.12):
Support:      3850 ; 3830
Resistance:  3921 ; 3959


6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
MANUFACTUR (-2.26%) (1.680 T )
FINANCE. (-1.32%) (1.464 T )
MINING. (-1.18%) (870.258 B )
INFRASTRUC (-1.12%) (598.051 B )
TRADE. (-1.39%) (515.795 B )
PROPERTY (-1.56%) (513.516 B )


7 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
BBNI. @ 3573 (95.38 B )
PTBA @ 20811 (71.25 B )
BBRI. @ 6728 (52.81 B )
INTP. @ 17020. (15.89 B )
ASRI. @ 561. (10.66 B )
ICBP. @ 5464 (10.00 B )
DEWA @ 95. (8.30 B )


7 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
ASII. @ 68407 (597.55 B )
BMRI. @ 6138. (208.23 B )
UNTR @ 27495 (125.58 B )
ITMG. @ 42727 (32.19 B )
GGRM @ 52109 (29.28 B )
TLKM. @ 6922. (25.97 B )
ADRO. @ 1922. (25.75 B )


8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
ASII. @ 68250 (-3.67%)
BMRI. @ 6100. (-3.17%)
BBRI. @ 6800. (-0.73%)
UNTR @ 27550 (-2.47%)
BBNI. @ 3575. (-1.37%)
ADRO @ 1920. (-2.04%)
ASRI. @ 570. (-1.72%)
TLKM @ 6900. (-1.42%)


8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
DEWA @ 97. (1.678.532 Lot)
ENRG. @ 193. (668.045 Lot)
ASRI. @ 570 (523.675 Lot)
FREN. @ 103. (351.173 Lot)
ELTY. @ 130. (306.092 Lot)
TRAM @ 890. (158.048 Lot)
ADRO. @ 1920 (157.694 Lot)
BMRI. @ 6100 (155.770 Lot)

Asing "Kabur", IHSG Turun 1,6% ke 3.894,56
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833999/asing-kabur-ihsg-turun-16-ke-389456

Bursa Asia Melesat, IHSG Malah Jatuh 1,6%
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/160947/1850955/6/bursa-asia-melesat-ihsg-malah-jatuh-16

ASII Jadi Saham Teraktif Jumat (24/2)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1834008/asii-jadi-saham-teraktif-jumat-242

BMRI Jadi 'Top Foreign Sell' Jumat (24/2)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1834042/bmri-jadi-top-foreign-sell-jumat-242

Laba Bersih UNTR Capai Rp5,89 T di 2011
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1834031/laba-bersih-untr-capai-rp589-t-di-2011

Astra Graphia Cetak Laba Bersih Rp139,47 M di 2011
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833990/astra-graphia-cetak-laba-bersih-rp13947-m-di-2011

Harga Bahan Baku Naik, Laba Astra Otoparts Turun 10% 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/175226/1851059/6/harga-bahan-baku-naik-laba-astra-otoparts-turun-10

Ekspektasi Inflasi BBM, Rupiah Tiarap
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1834030/ekspektasi-inflasi-bbm-rupiah-tiarap

Buana Finance Raih Kredit Rp150 M dari Danamon
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1834045/buana-finance-raih-kredit-rp150-m-dari-danamon

Bank Mutiara Siap Terbitkan Obligasi Rp 500 Miliar 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/162252/1850964/5/bank-mutiara-siap-terbitkan-obligasi-rp-500-miliar

Garuda Indonesia Datangkan 2 Pesawat Anyar 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/175348/1851058/6/garuda-indonesia-datangkan-2-pesawat-anyar

Bayan Pasok Batubara 10 Juta Ton ke India
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/145006/1850864/6/bayan-pasok-batubara-10-juta-ton-ke-india


Indonesia Stocks Fall Most in Three Months on Fuel-Price Concern

BLOOMBERG: *BAYAN SIGNS DEAL WITH THERMAL POWERTECH TO SUPPLY COAL :BYAN IJ

CLSA today turunin bobot indonesia 2% dr 8% ke 6% krn alasan PE kemahalan
Dan switching ke thai dan malay
PE indo 14X sama dg PE amrik
PE thai dan malay 12X

Thai gdp growth 3%, malay 2%, ind 6.4%
Jd kl dihitung PE compare to gdp growth thai 12/3=4, malay 12/2=6, indo
14/6.4=2.2
Jadi kl dihitung PE to GDP growth Indonesia masih lebih menarik

Jadi penurunan dan koreksi ini adalah koreksi normal karena asing harus bikin
cerita agar dapat barang di bawah. Seberapa lama asing akan jualan ....".no body
knows". Tapi base on fundamental makro indonesia seharusnya di balik penurunan
ini ada peluang yang BAGUS utk memilih saham saham bagus yang lagi di discount.

What's wrong with ASII??? Banyak hari ini yang bertanya demikian kepada saya.
Secara umum dari sisi kinerja tidak ada yang salah hanya saja saat ini kenaikan
harga minya hingga menyentuh level USS 120 (Brent) tentu membuat kemungkinan
kenaikan BBM di Indonesia akan menjadi tinggi (sekarang probailitynya sudah
sekitar 85%). Satu-satunya penghalang bagi pemerintah untuk menaikkan BBM adalah
keputusan mahkamah konstitusi yang membatalkan UU tentang kenaikan BBM.

BN 02/24 02:57 *BUMI RESOURCES DIRECTOR SRIVASTAVA COMMENTS ON JAPAN COAL SALES
BN 02/24 02:57 *BUMI RESOURCES EXPECTS TO CONCLUDE JAPAN COAL DEAL IN EARLY 2Q
BN 02/24 02:57 *BUMI TO EXPORT 14 MLN TONS OF COAL TO JAPAN VS 12 MLN IN 2011
BN 02/24 02:56 *BUMI RESOURCES EXPECTS COAL SALES TO JAPAN TO RISE 17% IN 2012

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Bumi Resources Expects Coal Sales to Japan to Rise 17% in 2012
2012-02-24 03:00:46.647 GMT
By Fitri Wulandari and Yoga Rusmana
Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) -- PT Bumi Resources, Indonesia's biggest coal producer, expects sales to Japan to rise 17 percent this year to 14 million tons from an estimated 12 million tons
in 2011, Dileep Srivastava, a director at the company, said in an e-mailed response to questions today in Jakarta. Bumi plans to sell a total of 75 million tons of coal this
year, he said.


Sesi I
Harga BBM Siap Naik, IHSG Anjlok 76 Poin 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/113841/1850673/6/harga-bbm-siap-naik-ihsg-anjlok-76-poin

Bakrie Telecom, Indocement, Medco: Indonesia Equity Preview
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-24/bakrie-telecom-indocement-medco-indonesia-equity-preview.html

Indonesia Stocks: Astra Otoparts, Bakrie Telecom, Indocement
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-24/indonesia-stocks-astra-otoparts-bakrie-telecom-indocement.html

'Buy on Weakness' di Tengah Tekanan IHSG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833831/buy-on-weakness-di-tengah-tekanan-ihsg

Investor asing buru saham INTP
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/investor-asing-buru-saham-intp

Saham AUTO melorot seiring penurunan laba bersih
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/saham-auto-melorot-seiring-penurunan-laba-bersih

Saham Terkait Minyak Bakal Tertekan Kenaikan BBM
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833845/saham-terkait-minyak-bakal-tertekan-kenaikan-bbm

HD Finance Raup Pinjaman Rp50 Miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833864/hd-finance-raup-pinjaman-rp50-miliar

Bea Keluar CPO Maret Tetap 16,5% 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/110332/1850625/1036/bea-keluar-cpo-maret-tetap-165

Pekan depan, rupiah bakal lanjut melemah
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/pekan-depan-rupiah-bakal-lanjut-melemah/2012/02/24
 

BLOOMBERG: *BUMI RESOURCES EXPECTS COAL SALES TO JAPAN TO RISE 17% IN 2012 *BUMI TO EXPORT 14 MLN TONS OF COAL TO JAPAN VS 12 MLN IN 2011    *BUMI RESOURCES EXPECTS TO CONCLUDE JAPAN COAL DEAL IN EARLY 2Q

*ABN AMRO ALSO FAVORS INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA STOCKS, ROTH SAYS

Bloomberg: XL Axiata Raised to Buy From Neutral at Nomura; PT 6,000 Rupees

Indocement Expects 2011 Revenue Above 10T Rupiah, Bisnis Reports

Bakrie Telecom to Seek 650 Billion Rupiah Loan, Bisnis Reports

Bloomberg: Rupiah Drops for Third Week After Global Funds Sell Local Assets

Palm Oil for May Trades Little Changed at 3,270 Ringgit Per Ton

Rubber Futures Advance 0.4% to 338.8 Yen/Kg in Tokyo

Indonesia Keeps March Palm Oil Export Tax at 16.5%, Cocoa at 5%

REKOMENDASI SAHAM
Yuk, intip rekomendasi saham hari ini
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/yuk-intip-rekomendasi-saham-hari-ini-1/2012/02/24

Sentimen Berimbang, Saham Asia Dibuka Mixed
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833800/sentimen-berimbang-saham-asia-dibuka-mixed

Rekomendasi Saham
Tekanan Global Mulai Mereda 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/24/083047/1850467/6/tekanan-global-mulai-mereda

IHSG Datar, Pilih Astra, Tambang, dan Properti
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833709/ihsg-datar-pilih-astra-tambang-dan-properti

Inilah Menu Saham Pilihan Jumat (24/2)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833680/inilah-menu-saham-pilihan-jumat-242

Jangan Main Saham-saham Gorengan!
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833720/jangan-main-saham-saham-gorengan

Saham Grup Bakrie Berpotensi Rebound Hari Ini
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833802/saham-grup-bakrie-berpotensi-rebound-hari-ini

Asahimas Beli Mesin Senilai Rp60 M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833616/asahimas-beli-mesin-senilai-rp60-m

ELTY Jadi 'Top Foreign Buy' Kamis (23/2)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833625/elty-jadi-top-foreign-buy-kamis-232


RUMOR 24 Februari 2012
Perusahaan Malaysia Bidik SIPD


SALAH satu perusahaan pembibitan ayam Malaysia disebut-sebut sedang mengincar

saham PT Sierad Produce Tbk (SPID). Berdasarkan kabar di pasar, perseroan akan
membangun sentra penetasan telur di berbagai kota. Target harga SIPD Rp 150,
dibandingkan penutupan perdagangan kemarin Rp 57

EKAD Gaet Mitra Strategis?

BEREDAR kabar di pasar, PT Ekadharma International (EKAD) bakal melepas anak

usahanya di sektor bisnis pita perekat ke perusahaan Amerika Serikat. Nilai
transaksinya sekitar US$ 30 juta. Masuknya mitra strategis akan memperkuat modal
perseroan, sehingga bisa menjadi pemain global. Saham EKAD kemarin naik Rp 10
(3%) ke Rp 340.

Akumulasi PTPP

SEJUMLAH hedge fund kakap dikabarkan tengah memburu saham PT Pembangunan

Perumahan Tbk (PTPP), seiring rencana perseroan menerbitkan MTN Rp 250 miliar.
Dalam sepekan terakhir, beberapa broker asing gencar mengakumulasi saham PTPP.
Kemarin, saham PTPP naik Rp 20 (3,1%) menjadi Rp 660

Laba ITMG Melonjak 167,6 % di 2011

Kamis, 23 Pebruari 2012 11:05

Topsaham- Laba bersih PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG) hingga akhir

2011 melonjak  sebesar 167,6 persen menjadi US$546,13 juta . Tahun lalu pada
periode yang sama hanya mencapai US$204,15 juta.

Perseroan dalam laporan keuangan yang disampaikan ke BEI di Jakarta, Kamis

(23/2/2012) disebutkan kenaikan laba perseroan terutama karena pertumbuhan
penjualan bersih perusahaan tambang batu bara tersebut menjadi USD2,38 miliar
dari periode sebelumnya US$1,64 miliar.

Lalu laba kotor perseroan tercatat sebanyak US$892,1 juta dibandingkan

sebelumnya sebesar US$518,1 miliar. Seentara laba usaha perseroan tercatat
US$706,9 juta dibandingkan sebelumnya US$362,9 juta.

Di samping itu, perseroan juga mencatatkan keuntungan dari transaksi derivatif

sebesar US$34,3 juta dibandingkan periode sebelumnya yang merugi hingga US$54,1
juta. Walau demikian, untung kurs perusahaan ini turun menjadi US$639 ribu dari
sebelumnya US$5,1 juta.

Aset ITMG juga naik pesat menjadi US$1,58 miliar pada akhir tahun 2011 lalu

dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya US$1,1 miliar

Humpuss Tambah Dua Kapal Tongkang
Sementara, dalam Rapat Umum Pemegang Saham Luar Biasa (RUPSLB) kemarin,

perseroan belum menyetujui restrukturisasi utang. Direktur HITS Permadi Soekasah
menjelaskan, belum disetujuinya restrukturisasi utang perseroan lantaran adanya
perombakan di ...

http://www.seputar-indonesia.com/edisicetak/content/view/472124/


Berita" dr Koran Kontan


http://mobile.kontan.co.id/news/aji-lebur-seketi-resmi-jadi-pengendali-jawa/2012\
/02/23


http://mobile.kontan.co.id/news/lelang-sukuk-pemerintah-serap-rp-147-triliun/201\
2/02/23


http://mobile.kontan.co.id/news/aali-torehkan-laba-bersih-rp-249-triliun-di-2011\
/2012/02/23


KLBF: PT Kalbe Farma Tbk menyatakan kesiapannya untuk memenuhi kebutuhan obat
generik atau obat bukan lisensi dengan membangun pabrik yang beroperasi di
Cikarang, Jawa Barat, mulai Februari 2012.
http://www.antaranews.com/berita/298629/kalbe-siap-penuhi-kebutuhan-obat-generik

Jakarta - PT Asahimas Flat Glass Tbk (AMFG) telah menandatangani perjanjian
pembelian mesin produksi untuk kaca otomotif pada pabrik perseroan di Cikampek,
Jawa Barat senilai Rp60 miliar

http://m.inilah.com/read/detail/1833616/asahimas-beli-mesin-senilai-rp60-m


Jakarta - Dua pemegang saham PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk (JAWA) menjual saham JAWA
kepada PT Aji Lebur Seketi dengan total penjualan sebesar Rp520,70 miliar

http://m.inilah.com/read/detail/1833591/dua-pemegang-saham-jawa-raih-dana-rp5207\
-m


Pemerintah membatalkan initial public offering (IPO) Perum Pegadaian pada tahun
ini.

http://m.inilah.com/read/detail/1824868/inilah-alasan-pembatalan-ipo-pegadaian


02 Maret efektif Obligasi subordinasi (BBKP) berjangka waktu 7 tahun itu , akhir

penawaran tender offer bipp (51)

Berita" dr Bisnis Indonesia;;

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/omzet-akr-akan-meningkat-sejalan-dengan-kenaikan-bb\
m


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/saham-bank-tunggu-harga-tinggi-maybank-tunda-lepas-\
saham-bii


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/mandom-raup-penjualan-rp1-65-triliun


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/astra-agro-lestari-raup-laba-rp2-4-triliun


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/kasus-bisnis-bayan-gugat-balik-bcbc-dan-white-energ\
y


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/saham-garuda-dahlan-iskan-persilahkan-kepemilikan-n\
azaruddin-disita


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/bank-mutiara-incar-ekuitas-rp1-8-triliun


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/tambah-modal-sumber-alfaria-siap-non-preemptive-rig\
hts


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/tambah-modal-sumber-alfaria-siap-non-preemptive-rig\
hts


http://m.bisnis.com/articles/layanan-perbankan-cimb-niaga-investasi-us$2-2-juta


PT Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) mencatatkan pendapatan bersih FY11 sebesar Rp7,36

triliun
atau naik 17.7% dibanding periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya yang mencapai
Rp6,25 triliun.
Sedangkan laba bersih AUTO mengalami penurunan 11.8% menjadi Rp 1 triliun di
FY11 dari
Rp1,14 triliun di FY10.

24 February 2012

Indonesia
Company Results Note
Astra Agro Lestari
Blame it on costs
AALI IJ / AALI.JK | NEUTRAL - Maintained |
Share Price Rp22050 - Tgt. Rp23200 Plantations |
- by Erwan TEGUH / Erisca WIRAATMADJA
________________________________
FY11 earnings are behind consensus and our numbers by 8-12%, as costs
crept up quicker than expected. Robust CPO prices helped but limited
production growth did not. Maintain Neutral. Factoring in a higher
cost base, our FY12-13 EPS has been shaved by 3-4%, while we introduce
FY14 forecasts. Subsequently, our target price drops 5%, still based
on 14x CY13 earnings, in line with its 3-year average. Maintain
Neutral.

24 February 2012

Indonesia
Company Flash Note
Jasa Marga
Taking the highway in Sumatra
JSMR IJ / JSMR.JK | OUTPERFORM - Maintained |
Share Price Rp4675 - Tgt. Rp5500
Toll Roads | - by Lydia TOISUTA
________________________________
The planned construction of a 1,000km long trans-Sumatra toll road
should offer tremendous growth opportunities for Jasa Marga and ensure
its continued dominance. Whether this is eventually a PSO or
commercial venture, financing issues will need to be addressed. No
change in our Outperform rating or DCF-based target price as the
trans-Sumatra toll road idea is very much preliminary. We have not
included the Medan-Binjai and Medan-Kualanamu segments into our model
either as the concession agreements are still outstanding.

PT BUMI Resources, DH energy dan Posco Eng. & Conrt. Telah membentuk sebuah

konsorsium untuk membangun pembangkit tenaga listrik bekapasitas 300 Megawatt di
sumatera dengan nilai $ 1 M. Demikian kata dileep srivistava.

BUMI masuk konsorsium ini lewat PT pendopo Enrgy yang 82 % sahamnya milik BUMI.

Pendopo adalah perusahaan yang memiliki cadangan batubara sebesar 1,9M Ton.
(Sumber IQ +)

What Do They Mean by Overbought and Oversold?

The terms are used to describe a market condition that is quantified by certain technical indicators. These indicators are called oscillators with two popular examples being the Stochastics and RSI. An oscillator is a commonly used momentum indicator that measures the current currency price compared to its historical price over a given time period. It looks to gauge the strength and momentum of a currency pair's move by measuring the degree by which a currency is overbought or oversold. The scale for the both indicators is 0 to 100. When Stochastics reaches a value of 80, the market is considered overbought and when Stochastics reaches a value of 20, the market is considered oversold. RSI uses the same scale of 0 to 100, but the value for overbought is 70, while the value for oversold is 30. The idea is when the market reaches either extreme, the chance for a reversal increases.



Buy the Strongest, Sell the Weakest
One important tool FX traders can use in their analysis is the concept of relative strength. I'm not referring to the technical indicator RSI, but rather a comparison of the currencies to determine the strongest currency and the weakest currency. Once we identify those currencies, we can match them up and check the pair that includes both currencies and we should see a strong trending market ("2 Ways to Trade a Strong Trend").

Link: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/education/trading_tips/daily_trading_lesson/2011/01/14/Buy_the_Strongest.html 

Laporan Rumor & Saham Indonesia 23-02

2nd session on JCI 02.23.12
@ 3,958.809 (-36.215pts) (-0.907%)
H: 3,994.659 ; L: 3,953.426
Value: 4.14 T (NG 783.91 B)
Volume: 5.02 B (NG 1.97 B)
Foreign Nett Sell: 121.12 B 


5 most active stocks by value:
ASII @ 70,850 (-2.07%)
BMRI @ 6,300 (-2.33%)
ITMG @ 43,400 (-0.23%)
BUMI @ 2,500 (-0.99%)
BBNI @ 3,625 (-0.68%)


5 most active stocks by volume:
ENRG @ 195 (+0.52%)
FREN @ 108 (-15.63%)
DEWA @ 89 (-3.26%)
ELTY @ 134 (-0.74%)
PNLF @ 144 (+2.86%)


5 most up:
ZBRA @ 181 (+34.07%)
MYOH @ 3,675 (+21.49%)
DSSA @ 17,700 (+16.07%)
FAST @ 13,500 (+8.00%)
IDKM @ 3,700 (+5.71%)


5 most down:
SAIP @ 250 (-19.35%)
FREN @ 108 (-15.63%)
GSMF @ 100 (-13.04%)
KOIN @ 198 (-10.00%)
HITS @ 245 (-9.26%)


5 Leading movers:
DSSA @ 17,700 (+2.16%)
GGRM @ 53,650 (+1.98%)
MYOH @ 3,675 (+1.09%)
SMGR @ 11,250 (+1.02%)
BSDE @ 1,210 (+0.60%)


5 Lagging movers:
ASII @ 70,850 (-6.95%)
UNVR @ 18,550 (-5.24%)
UNTR @ 28,250 (-4.05%)
BMRI @ 6,300 (-3.96%)
PGAS @ 3,650 (-3.47%)


Asing Net Sell, IHSG Turun 0,9% ke 3.959
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833571/asing-net-sell-ihsg-turun-09-ke-3959 


Sembilan Sektor Jatuh, IHSG Ambles 36 Poin 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/160828/1850082/6/sembilan-sektor-jatuh-ihsg-ambles-36-poin

BEI Siap Bekukan Akun Saham Nazaruddin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/165155/1850111/6/bei-siap-bekukan-akun-saham-nazaruddin

ARTI Jadi Saham Teraktif Kamis (23/2)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833580/arti-jadi-saham-teraktif-kamis-232

3 Sekuritas BUMN Disetujui Lepas Saham Garuda
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833561/3-sekuritas-bumn-disetujui-lepas-saham-garuda


Dua Pemegang Saham JAWA Raih Dana Rp520,7 M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833591/dua-pemegang-saham-jawa-raih-dana-rp5207-m

IHSG Longsor, Belum Saatnya Cut Loss?
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833578/ihsg-longsor-belum-saatnya-cut-loss

LPKR Berhasil Jual 50% Lippo Office Tower
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833550/lpkr-berhasil-jual-50-lippo-office-tower

Laba Bersih AALI Naik 12,5% Jadi Rp2,4 T di 2011
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833540/laba-bersih-aali-naik-125-jadi-rp24-t-di-2011

2012, HITS akan tambah dua kapal tongkang
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/2012-hits-akan-tambah-dua-kapal-tongkang/2012/02/23

Semester I, pasar saham domestik diramal stagnan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/semester-i-pasar-saham-domestik-diramal-stagnan/2012/02/23

BIPI berniat gunakan waran untuk bayar akuisisi
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/bipi-berniat-gunakan-waran-untuk-bayar-akuisis


United Tractors Falls Most in Two Weeks as January Sales Drop

Palm Oil Expected to Be Above $1,300 by Midyear, Coleman Says




Asing Net Sell, IHSG Sesi I Ditutup Turun 0,56%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833446/asing-net-sell-ihsg-sesi-i-ditutup-turun-056

Sesi I
Profit Taking Berlanjut, IHSG Terkoreksi 22 Poin 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/120844/1849798/6/profit-taking-berlanjut-ihsg-terkoreksi-22-poin

Cermati Peluang di Tengah Koreksi IHSG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833447/cermati-peluang-di-tengah-koreksi-ihsg

INTP Produksi 20,5-20,6 Juta Ton Semen di 2013
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833424/intp-produksi-205-206-juta-ton-semen-di-2013

Borong OWK Rp 1 Triliun, Dian Swastatika Calon Pemegang Saham Smartfren 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/114310/1849765/6/borong-owk-rp-1-triliun-dian-swastatika-calon-pemegang-saham-smartfren

BI: BBM Naik Rp 1.500, Inflasi Bisa di Atas 5,5% 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/113624/1849758/4/bi-bbm-naik-rp-1500-inflasi-bisa-di-atas-55
 

Bloomberg: Buy Indian Stocks on Weakness, Sell Indonesia on Strength: UBS

Indo Tambangraya, Permata, Tractors: Indonesia Equity Preview
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-23/indo-tambangraya-permata-tractors-indonesia-equity-preview.html

Indonesia Stock Movers: Indo Tambangraya, Timah, United Tractors
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-23/indonesia-stock-movers-indo-tambangraya-timah-united-tractors.html



BLOOMBERG:     *INDOCEMENT PLANS TO SPEND UP TO $300MLN ON 2012 CAPEX :INTP IJ;     *INDOCEMENT EXPECTS CAPACITY TO RISE TO 20.5M TONS IN 2013 *INDONESIA 2012 DOMESTIC CEMENT DEMAND MAY RISE 9%: INDOCEMENT

Tin Exports From Indonesia in Quarter Seen at Lowest Since 2010

Bakrie Sumatera Expects Revenue to Rise to 6T Rupiah: Bisnis

Rupiah Drops a Third Day After Foreigners Cut Debt Holdings

Indonesia Dry Season in Most Regions to Start in May: Agency

Indonesia Inflation May Exceed Target on Fuel Price, BI Says

Indo Tambangraya Gains to Three-Month High as Net Income Jumps

Palm Oil Gains as Much as 0.4% to 3,263 Ringgit a Metric Ton

Rubber Futures Decline 0.2% to 337.0 Yen/Kg in Tokyo

Sentimen Buruk, IHSG Dibuka Turun 0,61%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833377/sentimen-buruk-ihsg-dibuka-turun-061

Rekomendasi Saham
Krisis Eropa Masih 'Hantui' Pergerakan IHSG
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/081446/1849560/6/krisis-eropa-masih-hantui-pergerakan-ihsg

Inilah Rekomendasi Saham Pilihan Kamis (23/2)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833240/inilah-rekomendasi-saham-pilihan-kamis-232

Dibayangi Krisis Eropa, Saham Bank Jegal Wall Street
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/080344/1849555/6/dibayangi-krisis-eropa-saham-bank-jegal-wall-street

IHSG Loyo, Saham Tambang Dijagokan
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833264/ihsg-loyo-saham-tambang-dijagokan

Penjualan melempem, asing melepas saham UNTR
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/penjualan-melempem-asing-melepas-saham-untr/2012/02/23

Pertama dalam lima hari, saham TINS tergerus
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/pertama-dalam-lima-hari-saham-tins-tergerus/2012/02/23

Harga emas mendaki ke level tertinggi tiga bulan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/harga-emas-mendaki-ke-level-tertinggi-tiga-bulan'

FREN terkejut harga reverse stock Rp 400
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/fren-terkejut-harga-reverse-stock-rp-400

BNLI siap mengakuisisi perusahaan finansial
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/bnli-siap-mengakuisisi-perusahaan-finansial

Targetkan kenaikan kontrak, saham PTPP diburu
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/targetkan-kenaikan-kontrak-saham-ptpp-diburu/2012/02/23

Samuel Sekuritas Targetkan Harga UNTR di Rp25 Ribu
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833360/samuel-sekuritas-targetkan-harga-untr-di-rp25-ribu

Kesempatan Koleksi Saham Big Cap dan Second Liner
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833352/kesempatan-koleksi-saham-big-cap-dan-second-liner

Nusantara Regas Tambah Sewa Kapal TRAM
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833250/nusantara-regas-tambah-sewa-kapal-tram

Laba Sesuai Estimasi, Buy Saham ITMG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833370/laba-sesuai-estimasi-buy-saham-itmg

BEI Buka Suspensi ZBRA
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1833349/bei-buka-suspensi-zbra

Minyak Makin Mahal, Laba AirAsia Anjlok 46% di 2011
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/084825/1849577/4/minyak-makin-mahal-laba-airasia-anjlok-46-di-2011

Waduh! Utang Pemerintah Naik Lagi Jadi Rp 1.837 Triliun
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/083444/1849570/4/waduh-utang-pemerintah-naik-lagi-jadi-rp-1837-triliun

Harga BBM Naik Rp 1.500, Pemerintah Hemat Rp 57 Triliun
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/104549/1849695/1034/harga-bbm-naik-rp-1500-pemerintah-hemat-rp-57-triliun

Pelaku Industri Tak Keberatan Harga BBM Naik
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/02/23/101847/1849675/1036/pelaku-industri-tak-keberatan-harga-bbm-naik

Bincang Saham: Stock Shot. 23/02: 10.00 wib. Indovision Ch 95/Okevision Ch 99.

Salah satu pilihan saham favorite ES Kamis ini adlh PT Indo Tambangraya Megah
Tbk (ITMG) yg mencetak laba bersih 2011 USD551,30 juta (+191,50%) dibanding
periode 2010 senilai USD189,12 juta dmn kenaikan laba ini didorong naiknya
penjualan bersih perseroan USD2,38 miliar (+45.12%) dibanding 2010 senilai
USD1,64 miliar. Selain itu, ITMG mencatatkan laba usaha USD706,91 juta (+94.79%)
dibanding periode 2010 sebesar US$362,90 juta.

DOW 12938.67 -0.21%
NAS 2933.17 -0.52%
S&P 1357.66 -0.33%
OIL 106.03 -0.2%
GOLD 1779.1 +1.17%
NICKEL.20100.+0.64%
TIN.24050. -0.58%
CPO 3216. -0.56%
TLK.31.12 (Rp.7040)
IIT.30.14 (Rp.5455)

Tiga Pilar FY11 net profit rises 30%Posted: 21 Feb 2012 06:05 PM

Rice and noodle maker PT Tiga Pilar Sejahtera Food Tbk (AISA) booked a 30%
increase  in net profit last year of Rp98 billion from Rp75.23 billion a year
earlier. Finance Director Sjambiri Lioe at Tiga Pilar said the company has not
accomplished the audit of the financial report. "The net profit is nearly Rp98
billion," he said as quoted by Bisnis Indonesia today.
In line with the bottom line growth, Tiga Pilar's net sales also rose 155% to
nearly Rp1.8 trillion from Rp705.21 billion.
Tiga Pilar yesterday was closed at Rp475 a share with the market capitalization
of Rp1.38 trillion. The stocks are traded at 6.56 times.

Berau Coal: No plan for rights issue
Coal miner PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU) today clarified that the company does
not plan to hold rights issue.
According to the company's announcement published today, the issue of 3.40
billion new shares has been realized during the IPO last year.  
On Friday last week, the company said it was seeking an approval from its
shareholders regarding to a transfer authority to board of commissioner for 3.40
billion of new shares issuance or nearly 10% of outstanding shares.
Such matter will be discussed during an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) on
March 6 2012 with two other agendas, said Berau's management in a disclosure to
Indonesia Stock Exchange late last week.

Agenda 23 Februari
KERAMIKA INDONESIA RIGHT ISSUE RASIO 500:386 (128)CUM,
HUMPUSS INTERMODA TRANS. RUPSLB,
ASRI Launching Baru Di Proyek Serpong,
Pemerintah akan menjual surat berharga syariah negara atau sukuk negara dengan
target indikatif Rp1 triliun melalui lelang,
Initial Claims, FHFA Housing Price Index, Crude Invetories,Jobless claims, FHFA
home price index, oil inventories, 7-yr note auction, Apple shareholders
meeting; Earnings from Hormel, Kohl's Target, AIG, Gap

HOTNEWS!:: BLTA akan menyelesaikan pembayaran hutang dengan melakukan prioritas
ke 2 bank terlebih dahulu BMRI dan BBNI. BUY! (Source: Investor Relation BMRI
dan BBNI

Fitch ratings agency on Wednesday slashed its rating for Greek sovereign debt to
"C" from "CCC," indicating that default is "highly likely in the near term."

Jakarta - PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG) mencatatkan kenaikan laba bersih
hingga 167,51% dari US$204,15 juta pada 2010 menjadi US$546,12 juta pada 2

D'COINS - DWAC ONLINE TRADING
Technical View(www.dcoins.co.id - 23 Februari 2012)
DJIA turun tipis 27,0 (0,21%), karena anggapan bahwa Eropa masih belum pulih
dengan beberapa data ekonomi yang belum membaik. Sementara isu seputar kenaikan
harga BBM dalam negeri beserta BLT, mulai diperhitungkan di BEI. IHSG memiliki
level support 3.940 dan level resisten 4.012. Sell on strength.

DWAC Online Trading System -D'COINS memaparkan beberapa saham,  dengan pola
trading,  dari sisi teknis grafik, antara lain;

1. JSMR; harga berpotensi naik lagi menuju Rp. 5.000, jika berhasil menembus Rp.
4.800. Level support Rp 4.625; 4.525. Buy on weakness.

2. BBNI; trend harga masih turun, kecuali bisa melewati Rp. 3.750. Support Rp
3.575, 3.500. Resisten Rp. 3.750, 3.825. Sell on strength

3. JPFA; potensi naik masih terbuka, jika harga menembus diatas Rp. 4.350.
Support Rp 4.100, 4.000 Resisten Rp 4.350, 4.500. Buy on weakness

4. RALS; trend harga masih naik menuju Rp 900an. Level Rp 840; 800 sebagai
Support . Resisten Rp 890, 940. Buy on weakness

5. LSIP; Target harga berikut menuju Rp. 2.900. Support Rp 2.625, 2.575 Resisten
Rp 2.750, 2.850. Buy on weakness

6. PTPP; trend harga naik, sehingga akan menuju Rp 720an, jika melewati Rp. 670
Support Rp 620, 600. Resisten Rp 670, 700. Buy on weakness.

Saham-saham pilihan lainnya antara lain, CTRP, KIJA, MDLN, RAJA, GJTL, BWPT,
BORN dan JPRS.

BNI TA 23-02
Signal Bear Hook Reversal & Overbought Masih Bebani Kinerja IHSG.
IHSG di tutup melemah di 3.995 (Range 3.979-4.002). Momentum koreksi penurunan
IHSG diperkirakan masih terbuka, didukung signal overbought di stochastic, bear
market rally, trend volume menurun, pola Rectangle, candle Bearish Hook
Reversal, meski penutupan diatas 3.992 (Pivot Point), dukung ekspektasi kenaikan
terbatas dan dapat picu profit taking lebih lanjut. Resist:
4.008/4.016/4.025/4.040. Support: 3.979/3.965/3.951/3.926. Perkiraan range 3.960
- 4.010.

Top Picks: ASII-BBNI-INTP-BRAU

Berita" dr Bisnis Indonesia::

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/ekspansi-usaha-bhakti-coal-resources-incar-3-tamban\
g-batu-bara

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/kinerja-usaha-laba-bank-permata-tembus-rp1-16-trili\
un

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/kinerja-usaha-laba-bii-meroket-45-percent

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/surat-utang-dian-swastatika-beli-10-unit-obligasi-k\
onvrsi-senilai-rp1-triliun

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/surat-utang-bukopin-naikkan-emisi-obligasi-jadi-rp1\
-5-triliun

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/surat-utang-jaya-ancol-cari-pinjaman-untuk-bayar-ob\
ligasi

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/kredit-bank-cimb-niaga-siapkan-rp500-miliar-biayai-\
jalan-tol

PTPP:
http://m.bisnis.com/articles/belanja-modal-pembangunan-perumahan-siapkan-rp400-m\
iliar

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/surat-utang-pembangunan-perumahan-emisi-mtn-rp250-m\
iliar

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/wom-finance-perolehan-laba-tergerus-96-percent

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/kinerja-bank-laba-cimb-niaga-naik-25-percent

http://m.bisnis.com/articles/kinerja-adira-laba-bersih-2011-naik-8-percent

Stock Pick
BORN- Borneo
Buy if break 860, target 900-920, proteksi 830

Buy
ADRO- Adaro Energi - Pola Cup'Handle
Buy if break 2000, target 2200-2250, proteksi 1920

BBTN
Siapkan trailing stop 1 tick diatas harga beli kemarin.

Second Linears:
BRMS
Buy if break 590, target 650-670, proteksi 560

ROTI
Buy if break 3500, target 3625-3700, proteksi 3450

MPPA- Matahari Putra Prima
Buy if break 950, target 980-1020, proteksi 920

Perhatikan ENRG, MIDI, DKFT,INTA,ARTI, STAR

RUMOR 23 Februari 2012
ARTI Akuisisi Tambang Emas?
SEJUMLAH pelaku pasar disebut-sebut bakal mengerek saham PT Ratu Prabu Energi
Tbk (ARTI) menembus level Rp 600 dalam waktu dekat. Ini terkait rencana roadshow
perseroan ke mancanegara untuk menjaring investor strategis. Kabarnya, perseroan
akan mengakuisisi tambang emas dan batubara dengan menggandeng perusahaan
Afrika. Kemarin, saham ARTI naik Rp 65 (24%) menjadi Rp 335

Akumulasi GDST
BERDASARKAN kabar di pasar, konsorsium fund manager asing sedang mengakumulasi
saham PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST), seiring keberhasilan perseroan
meraup kontrak jangka panjang proyek infrastruktur. Selain itu, seorang pelaku
pasar menuturkan, GDST sedang dilirik perusahaan Thailand. Dalam jangka pendek,
saham GDST berpotensi menembus Rp 300. Saham GDST kemarin naik Rp 4 (2,99%)
menjadi Rp 138

Thursday (23/02) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang-MNC
Securities)

IDX-Composite 3968-4015
Pola Hangin' Man terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan berkurangnya aksi beli
ditengah munculnya tekanan jual.

Thursday Stocks Pick:
ITMG 42800-44350
Pola White Spinning Tops terbentuk atas ITMG mengindikasikan bullish reversal.
BUY 43250

INTA 800-890
Pola Two White Soldiers dgn Volume besar terbentuk atas INTA mengindikasikan
Excess Demand & Bullish Continuation. BUY 820

TINS 1980-2125
Pola Two White Soldiers dgn Volume besar terbentuk atas TINS mengindikasikan
Excess Demand & Bullish Continuation. BUY 2000

PGAS 3650-3900
Pola White Closing Marubozu terbentuk atas PGAS mengindikasikan Bullish
Continuation. BUY 3750

BRAU 450-540
Pola Two White Soldiers dgn Volume terbesar sepanjang ini terbentuk atas BRAU
mengindikasikan Excess Demand & Bullish Continuation. BUY 475

GTBO 690-780
Pola Two White Soldiers dgn Volume besar terbentuk atas GTBO mengindikasikan
Excess Demand & Bullish Continuation. BUY 720

BBNI 3575-3725
Pola White Marubozu terbentuk atas BBNI mengindikasikan excess demand & bullish
continuation. BUY 3625

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Open Registration For Seminar CTAsaham 8 At Medan

We Are Together, Just The Good Followers (Rumors/ Bandamologi/ News/ Technical Analysis) To Make A BOS (Bukan Omong koSong) Zhuan.

TRACK RECORD:
16/02: 4 Top Picks CTASaham Get UpLimit Auto Rejection in A Week...
15/02 MYOH Hold buy Trailing stops below 2.425 (2x AR Batas Atas)
(Hold 25 Stocks; 3 Exit: RIMO (+110%; TRIL +109%; KIAS +13%).
22/02: Entry 3 Stocks: Hold > +5% Gain 
Recorded 15/02 (2 saham dalam coretan berpeluang Auto Reject Batas Atas pada 23/02: 
SEMINAR CTASAHAM 8 MEDAN (Terdaftar: 3 orang)