Crude Oil Daily Technical Outlook

Written by Oil N' Gold | Mon Aug 03 09 06:57 ET
Nymex Crude Oil (CL)

Crude oil's rise from 62.70 extends further today and breaches 70 level. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 68.79 minor support holds. Whole rise from 58.32 is expected to continue to key cluster level at 73.38 with 100% projection of 58.32 to 68.99 from 62.7 at 73.36. On the downside, below 68.79 will indicate that an intraday top is in place and bring consolidation. But break of 62.70 support is needed to indicate that rise from 58.32 has completed. Otherwise, short term outlook will remain bullish.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 33.2 is likely still in progress as crude oil is still trading well inside rising channel from there. Current rise from 58.32 should be resuming such rebound and will likely make another high above 73.38, probably to 38.2% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2 at 76.77. But strong resistance will likely be seen as crude oil enters into 76.77/90.24 fibo resistance zone. Hence, we'd look for sign of reversal and loss of momentum as crude oil as the current rise continues. On the downside, break of 62.70 support will argue that crude oil has possibly topped out earlier than we expect and break of 58.32 support will now be an important signal that crude oil has already topped out.