Rekomendasi & Strategy IHSG 24-05

Indeks diperkirakan mengalami kesulitan untuk menguat, karena tingginya volatilty di saat penurunan, DMI menunjukkan selling power yang kuat, MACD bearish, meski stochastic yang oversold dan candle three black crows seharusnya berpotensi menahan laju penurunan dan berpeluang mengalami TECHNICAL REBOUND yang bersifat SHORT LIVED (wave 4/C). Kondisi di negara Eropa akan makin memburuk karena pembayaran hutang Yunani, diikuti penurunan rating kredit negara di Eropa (the next target is Irlandia & UK), krisis politik di Thailand dan Korea dapat mendorong fund asing keluar dari emerging market (EPFR menunjukkan investor outlflow $ 12 miliar dari negara emerging di pekan lalu, terbesar dalam 2 tahun), belum adanya sentimen positif dari dalam negeri dan kekhawatiran kenaikan suku bunga BI (Malaysia telah menaikkan suku bunga 25 bsp pada 2 pekan lalu).

Profit +0p + 70p. @IHSG: Target 2.660 stop almost done, Already Buy 2.670 & hold Buy 2.690 target 2740/60 stop di 2.675
Sell 2.660 & 2.720 target 2.580/2.550 stop 30p, buy 2.530 target 2.750 stop 30p.

Buy on weakness: banking (BBRI, BBCA, BMRI, BDMN), BUMI, BTEL, PGAS, INDF, MEDC, TLKM, KLBF, JSMR, LSIP, ADRO

Rekomendasi 19-05: 
All done today (20/05)
Closed Hold ASRI: Buy 175-180 target 200, stop dibawah 165.
Hold BBNI: Buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.450-2.500, stop loss 2.000.
Hold MEDC: 2.850-2.900 target 3.100 stop loss, 2.600, buy breakout 3.125 target 3.400.
Closed Hold ADRO: Rounding TOP, trend bearish (MACD), Bear Flag, Trading Buy 1.950 target 2025/2.050, stop 1.850
Buy back BUMI 2.050/2.100 stop 1.975. Closed Hold BUMI (21/05): Head & Shoulder with symmetrical triangle, neckline di 2.250, trend bearish, Trading buy 2.300-2.350 target 2.500, stop loss 2.100.
Hold Buy 7.300 target 7.500 stop 7.100. Closed Hold TLKM: Buy 7.550-7.600 target 7.800, stop dibawah 7.450. 

Hold INCO: Sell 4.200 & then Buy 3.925 target 4.500, stop loss 3.500. 
Closed Hold KLBF: Buy 1.920 target 2.000, stop 1.850
Hold DILD: Buy on weakness 1.030/1060 target 1140 stop 990.

PNLF: Sell, namun Buy 220 & breakout 260 target 300/350 (med-term 500), stop loss 30 rp
RAJA: Sell on rally hingga 880 target 7020, buy 770 & breakout 890 target 1.000. stop dibawah 700.

Track Record IHSG: 32 Recommendations (24 profits: 2 break even: 4 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p). Total : Net +872 points = Average 27.25 point.