Thursday, August 12, 2010

Market Strategist 12-09 August: IHSG & DJIA in Wave Correction

IHSG Combo Technical Analysis (CTA):  Dow Theory/Gann Grid/Elliott Wave/Fibonacci/Modern TA (DMI/Stochastic/MACD/Zig Zag)/Candlesticks.
IHSG telah mencapai 2 target: 1. Resist di 3.100an (panah biru) dan target support di 2.970 (arah panah kuning).  IHSG menunjukkan kenaikan terbatas dibawah 3.100, karena stochastic dead cross dan wave koreksi abc.

Liat TD Wave 10/08: http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5218895147221569420

(12/08) Closed (11/08) Hold Sell breakout 3.050 di 2.999 (+50p) support 2.993 tidak dapat ditembus . Sell 3.095/3.100 target 3.000 stop 30p. Buy 2. 950 target 3.050 stop 50p.
Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 53 Recommendations (37 profits: 4 break even: 12 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p). Total : Net +1581 points = Average 29.83 point.

DJIAWave C is on the way. DJIA masih downtrend channel & dibawah 200-day MA (10.712), lower high lower low, divergence bearish.
(12/08) Closed (11/08) SELL breakout 10.510 di 13.380 = Profit +130p
Sell breakout 10.320 target 10.100 stop 50p. Buy 10.350 & buy breakout 10.435 target 10555 stop 50p. 
Closed (04/08) Hold Sell 10.690 di 10.600 = +90 point. 
Track record 45 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p+190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p+280p+198p+205p+110p-30p+70p+200p+150p-50p-30p-30p-30p+145p-50p-30p+175p-50p-50p-60p-50p-50p+225p+100p-55p+100p+380p+220p+230p-100p-60p+265p+20p+80P+90P+130P). Total Net +3803 points = Average +84.51 points/trade.

Analisa 04/08 menjadi kenyataan pada 11/08 waktu New York
Hedging vs Saham Indonesia : Antisipasi Crash Babak III Tahun ini. http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5783868815015600408
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