Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (25 - 11): The Bull is In The House...

IHSG diperkirakan akan melanjutkan kenaikan sesuai dengan prediksi Technical Analysis CTA (Hold Buy 3.635-3.640), sentimen dari dalam dan luar negeri dimana masih banjirnya likuiditas di pasar (meski asing net sell Rp 645 miliar dalam 2 sesi perdagangan) menjelang 4 IPO dalam waktu dekat, kuatnya sentimen dari lebih baik dari perkiraan data Jobless Claims (407K), Consumer Sentiment Michigan (71.8), Sentiment Jerman, net inflow ke saham AS sebesar US$ 11.2 miliar di pekan lalu hingga spekulasi Thanksgiving holiday di akhir pekan ini di AS akan meningkatkan kinerja retailer di akhir tahun, meredanya kekhawatiran terhadap insiden di Korea (hanya gertakan dari Korea Utara untuk mendapatkan bantuan pangan dan finansial dari barat), meredanya kekhawatiran dari Irlandia (meski ada bom waktu lanjutan dari Portugal > Spanyol > Inggris), penggebrekan 3 hedge fund oleh FBI di awal pekan ini, seharusnya masih menopang kinerja IHSG di akhir pekan ini.

Bloomberg:

PT Medco Energi Internasional (MEDC IJ), Indonesia’s biggest listed oil company, slid 0.7 percent to 3,500 rupiah and PT Benakat Petroleum Energy (BIPI IJ), an oil and gas producer, declined 1 percent to 101 rupiah.
PT Bank Kesawan (BKSW IJ): The lender said it plans to sell as many as 2.94 billion new shares to raise 733.9 billion rupiah ($82 million) through a rights offer in January. Proceeds from the share sale will be used to expand lending, Bank Kesawan said in a statement published in Investor Daily Indonesia. The stock was unchanged at 900 rupiah.
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP IJ): Indonesia’s biggest instant-noodle maker was rated “buy” in a new coverage at BNP Paribas SA, which said the company will be able to maintain profitability with its “strong” brand and pricing power. BNP has a share-price estimate of 6,600 rupiah for the company, according to the report by analysts including Elvira Tjandrawinata. Indofood CBP fell 1 percent to 5,100 rupiah.
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ): The animal-feed producer got a 1 trillion rupiah loan from PT Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) to fund investments and for working capital, Investor Daily Indonesia reported, citing Japfa Corporate Secretary Christine Wibisono. Japfa lost 1.4 percent to 3,575 rupiah and Bank Central Asia, the nation’s biggest bank by market value, was unchanged at 6,600 rupiah.
PT Perdana Gapuraprima (GPRA IJ): The property developer plans to raise 700 billion rupiah through a rights offer in the second quarter of next year to buy five shopping malls, Bisnis Indonesia reported, citing Director Arief Aryanto. Gapuraprima was unchanged at 125 rupiah.
 

Buy: KRAS & APLN.Buy:: BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA), Buy on weakness ASII, UNTR, AALI), telekomunikasi (Buy: TLKM, EXCL, TBIG, TOWR), infrastruktur (Buy: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA), komoditas (Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL),  Buy on weakness : LSIP/SGRO/BWPT), Coal (Buy; ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID), Buy  BUMI (2.925-3.000), BNBR - Buy: UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG, Trading Buy BRAU. konsumer: Trading Buy LPKR/BSDE/ICBP/INDF/UNVR,  Trading Buy : SMGR/INTP/BLTA/NIKL/MLPL//HRUM/PTBA/BWPT/MAIN/BNII/SMCB/SMRA/ASRI/AKRA/MPPA/KLBF/HMSP/CPIN/JPFA/GJTL.

Saksikan Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (18/11): 14.00-15.00 WIB  & Movers & Shakers (19/11) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07). 

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 25-11 (Buy: MNCN/BBNI/BNII/ASRI)  

http://www.ziddu.com/download/12682276/112510t.pdf.html

Ke-12 calon emiten yang dalam proses go public antara lain Bumi Resources Mineral (Rp 3 triliun), Borneo Lumbung Energy (Rp 3 triliun), Midi Utama, Wintermar Rp 400 miliar.  

Technical Chart Saham CTA: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650).

From Chat Roll:  

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07). 

Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100

08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)

(22/10): 3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html
 
Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700.

Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AMAndri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880.

Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AMAndri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania 
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com