Friday, November 26, 2010

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (26 - 11): Bullish Attack Continuation on 2 IPO & Flows

IHSG diperkirakan masih akan melanjutkan momentum kenaikan berkat spekulasi data inflasi bulan November akan tercatat lebih rendah dari bulan Oktober sehingga mendorong BI Rate akan dipertahankan di akhir tahun ini di 6.5%, kinerja indeks saham regional yang mendapatkan technical rebound dari optimisme ekonomi AS paska rilisan data Jobless Claims, Consumer Sentiment Michigan hingga ekspektasi Black Friday (thanksgiving day di AS) untuk retailer, meredanya situasi geopolitik di Korea dan Irlandia setelah dilaporkan mendapatkan bantuan dari ECB & IMF sebesar 90 miliar euro, diikuti kuatnya aliran dana masuk dari investor asing (net buy asing Rp 176 miliar) mengantisipasi 2 IPO (Borneo & Wintermar) dan kenaikan harga komoditas metal, agri  dan energi kemarin. IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.680-3.750.  

Bloomberg:
Energi Mega Placed on Credit Watch Negative Over Bond Sale Delay
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ar.CbYIBBYsc

Bank Kesawan, Gapuraprima, Indofood: Indonesia Equity Preview
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a_dhxHKANSr0

Indonesia Stocks: Aneka Tambang, Astra Agro Lestari, Timah
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a0bCqKO4Ofmc

Indonesia’s Tiga Pilar Plans $175 Million Palm Oil Expansion
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aaoaqeiJSGik 

Buy: KRAS & APLN.Buy: BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA), Buy ASII, UNTR, AALI), telekomunikasi (Buy: TLKM, EXCL, TBIG, TOWR), infrastruktur (Buy: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA), komoditas (Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL),  Buy: LSIP/SGRO/BWPT), Coal (Buy; ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID), Sell on rally  BUMI (2.925-3.000), BNBR - Sell on rally: UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG, Trading Buy BRAU. konsumer: Trading Buy LPKR/BSDE/ICBP/INDF/UNVR,  Trading Buy : SMGR/INTP/BLTA/NIKL/MLPL//HRUM/PTBA/BWPT/MAIN/BNII/SMCB/SMRA/ASRI/AKRA/MPPA/KLBF/HMSP/CPIN/JPFA/GJTL.

Saksikan Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (18/11): 14.00-15.00 WIB  & Movers & Shakers (19/11) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07). 

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 26-11 (Buy: KRAS/DEWA/ENRG/BJBR)  

http://www.ziddu.com/download/12698184/112610t.pdf.html

Ke-12 calon emiten yang dalam proses go public antara lain Bumi Resources Mineral (Rp 3 triliun), Borneo Lumbung Energy (Rp 3 triliun), Midi Utama, Wintermar Rp 400 miliar.  

Technical Chart Saham CTA: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650).

From Chat Roll:  

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07). 

Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100

08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)

(22/10):
3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html
 
Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700.

Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AM
Andri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880.

Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AM
Andri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania 
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com 

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