Friday, March 18, 2011

Get Ready For The Coming Stock Price Tsunami

By Vitaliy N. Katsenelson, CFA

Profit margins are a tick away from all-time highs and are creating the impression of cheap equity valuations. But that impression is a mirage, because today’s generous margins are destined to shrink.

I first wrote about this in January 2008.  Stocks are allegedly cheap now, at 15.7 times 2010 earnings. And they are cheap by historical standards. Only 10 years ago, their price/earnings ratios were double today’s; they are even cheaper if you compare their forward (2011) earnings yield of 7.3% to the 10-year Treasury yield of 3.40%. They are cheap, cheap, cheap!

Or so we’ve been told.

Read More: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/03/get-ready-for-coming-stock-price.html

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