JADWAL 16 November
BANK BUMI ARTA RUPSLB, Listing IPO Visi Media Asia, cum Dev BBLD 30,
cumRight Issue MYOH 6:1 (420), BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting, Weekly mortgage apps, CPI, industrial production, housing market index, oil inventories, Fed's Lacker speaks, Fed's Rosengren speaks, LA auto show; Earnings from Abercrombie & Fitch, Target, Applied Materials, Limited Brands, NetApp
17 November
SELAMAT SEMPURNA (SMSM) DIVIDEND, RP 50, Rups BRPT, Rups TIRT, French and Spanish Auction: Obligadon Auction, Housing starts, jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed survey, Fed's Pianalto speaks, Motorola Mobility votes on Google acquisition, GM IPO 1-year anniversary; Earnings from Dollar Tree, GameStop, Ross Stores, Sears, Gap, Marvell Tech
2nd session JCI on 15.11.11
3813.84(-19.19pts)(-0.50%)
(H: 3833.13 ; L: 3799.45 )
Value: 2.36T (NG 380 B )
Volume: 2.63B (NG 396 M )
Foreign Nett Buy: 4 B
Incl. Crossing:
BMTR @790 ~ IDR 119 B (D vs D)
USD/IDR : 8985. (On Shore)
8997.5 (Off Shore)
JCI for tomorrow:
Support: 3784; 3737
Resistance: 3856; 3875
6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
FINANCE. (-1.05%)(559.557 B )
MANUFACTUR(-0.56%)(419.339 B )
MINING. (-0.82%)(418.630 B )
INFRASTRUC(+0.03%)(322.361 B )
PROPERTY. (+0.05%)(145.037 B )
CONSUMER. (-0.13%)(126.884 B )
6 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
ASII. @71176. (33.18 B )
AALI. @22571. (22.68 B )
TLKM. @7447. (18.95 B )
BBRI. @6890. (17.07 B )
IMAS. @13221. (9.69 B )
BDMN. @4825. (8.19 B )
6 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
BBCA. @8125. (56.29 B )
BMRI. @7149. (52.59 B )
ADRO. @2010. (34.39 B )
BBNI. @3923. (18.58 B )
EXCL. @5011. (18.38 B )
PNLF. @114. (17.51 B )
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
BMRI. @7150. (-2.05%)
ASII. @71300. (-0.97%)
UNTR. @26050. (-2.06%)
BBCA. @8150. (-1.21%)
BBRI. @6900. (-0.71%)
TLKM. @7450. (-0.66%)
ADRO. @2000. (-2.43%)
BUMI. @2250. (0.00%)
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
PNLF-W. @31. (602.647 M )
PNLF. @113. (424.035 M )
ENRG. @161. (405.481 M )
BHIT. @250. (104.267 M )
BNBR. @51. (80.320 M )
TRAM. @830. (77.429 M )
SIPD. @57. (62.292 M )
TMPI. @123. (51.722 M )
Investor Kurang Bergairah, IHSG Menipis 19 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/160824/1767867/6/investor-kurang-bergairah-ihsg-menipis-19-poin
IHSG Koreksi, Investor 'Wait and See'
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796842/ihsg-koreksi-investor-wait-and-see
Turun 0,7%, Net Buy Asing Gagal Selamatkan IHSG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796836/turun-07-net-buy-asing-gagal-selamatkan-ihsg
Inilah 10 Top Net Foreign Buy Saham Selasa (15/11)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796841/inilah-10-top-net-foreign-buy-saham-selasa-1511
Pemegang Saham Setujui LPKR Buyback Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796780/pemegang-saham-setujui-lpkr-buyback-saham
Mandala Multifinance Raup Pinjaman US$25 Juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796775/mandala-multifinance-raup-pinjaman-us25-juta
Bapepam: Sukuk Korporasi Peluang Hadapi Krisis
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796837/bapepam-sukuk-korporasi-peluang-hadapi-krisis
Yield Melonjak, Saham Eropa Bakal Loyo
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796769/yield-melonjak-saham-eropa-bakal-loyo
Ini Dia 6 Siasat BI 'Jinakkan' Krisis Global
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/160846/1767862/5/ini-dia-6-siasat-bi-jinakkan-krisis-global
Setuju menjual menara, saham ISAT melesat
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321344720/82759/Setuju-menjual-menara-saham-ISAT-melesat-
PER UNTR ca. 16.98 ; PER INTA ca. 11.97. 16.98 + 11.97 = 14.475. P INTA [650] dgn. PER ca. 11.97. PER 14.475 => [14.475 : 11.97] * 650 => IDR 786.027.
Indofood (INDF IJ), Uninspiring flour business, TP Rp5,600,
Underperform
INDF’s 9M11 earnings of Rp2.3tn ($257.6m) came below ours and consensus’ expectations at 68, 70% respectively. Intensifying competition in flour business, declining palm oil price trend, and lack of near term catalyst are key reasons behind our unchanged U-PF rating. After adjusting for its 9M11 results, we forecast INDF to post an uninspiring 11%
Cagr EPS over 2010-13CL, lower than its peers. We arrived at Rp5,600 YE12 TP, on SOTP-based valuation, implying 14-12x 2012-13 P/E. Maintain Underperform.
Source: CLSA
1st session JCI on 15.11.11
3807.28(-25.76pts)(-0.67%)
(H: 3833.13 ; L: 3806.800)
Value: 978 B (NG 172 B )
Volume: 1.55 B (NG 270 M )
Foreign Nett Buy: 85 B
Incl. Crossing:
BMTR @790 ~ IDR 119 B (D vs D)
USD/IDR : 8985 (On Shore)
9010. (Off Shore)
6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
FINANCE. (-1.18%)(180.608 B )
MINING. (-1.14%)(169.897 B )
MANUFACTUR(-0.68%)(144.720 B )
INFRASTRUC. (-0.06%). (125.305 B )
AGRI. (+1.03%)(63.382 B )
PROPERTY(-0.51%)(61.286 B )
6 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
ASII. @71454. (19.78 B )
TLKM. @7466. (11.41 B )
AALI. @22522. (9.00 B )
BBRI. @6892. (8.22 B )
UNTR. @26443. (7.77 B )
BBTN. @1434. (4.38 B )
6 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
PNLF. @114. (11.80 B )
BBNI. @3938. (8.29 B )
ADRO. @2027. (7.92 B )
BBCA. @8137. (5.74 B )
INDY. @2312. (5.19 B )
HRUM. @7899. (4.74 B )
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
TRAM. @820. (-2.38%)
ASII. @71200(-1.11%)
ENRG. @163. (+0.61%)
BMRI. @7150. (-2.05%)
UNTR. @26500(-0.37%)
PNLF. @114. (0.00%)
BBRI. @6850. (-1.43%)
AALI. @22650(+3.18%)
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
PNLF-W. @32. (455.235 M )
ENRG. @163. (285.182 M )
PNLF. @114. (283.140 M )
BHIT. @245. (86.383 M )
TRAM. @820. (67.893 M )
SIPD. @56. (49.974 M )
TMPI. @122. (44.345 M )
BNBR. @51. (41.420 M )
Saham AGRI Kurangi Tekanan IHSG di Akhir Sesi I
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796740/saham-agri-kurangi-tekanan-ihsg-di-akhir-sesi-i
BMRI, ASII, dan BBRI menjadi bluechips yang paling banyak dijual di sesi I
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321334040/82742/BMRI-ASII-dan-BBRI-menjadi-bluechips-yang-paling-banyak-dijual-di-sesi-I-
Sesi I
Terkoreksi 25 Poin, IHSG Masih Bertahan di 3.800
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/120632/1767619/6/terkoreksi-25-poin-ihsg-masih-bertahan-di-3800
IHSG: Konsentrasi di Saham Big Cap!
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796508/ihsg-konsentrasi-di-saham-big-cap
Kejutan Besar dari Warren Buffet
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/104313/1767529/6/kejutan-besar-dari-warren-buffet
Rupiah terdepresiasi untuk kali pertama dalam tiga hari
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321331576/82737/Rupiah-terdepresiasi-untuk-kali-pertama-dalam-tiga-hari-
Harga kontrak CPO melonjak ke level tertinggi dalam empat bulan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321332651/82739/Harga-kontrak-CPO-melonjak-ke-level-tertinggi-dalam-empat-bulan-
Saham TINS mencatatkan penurunan mengikuti pergerakan harga timah
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321329418/82728/Saham-TINS-mencatatkan-penurunan-mengikuti-pergerakan-harga-timah-
Impor CPO China diprediksi naik, saham AALI dan LSIP menjadi incaran
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321328410/82723/Impor-CPO-China-diprediksi-naik-saham-AALI-dan-LSIP-menjadi-incaran-
PGAS fr DBS Vickers:::
Perusahaan Gas Negara : Buy; Rp3,100;Price Target : Rp4,150; PGAS IJ
The worst is over
Succeeds in passing on higher gas cost from Santos contract. Key catalysts: Completion of LNG terminal and new gas supply contracts to boost gas volume. Attractive valuation with 5% yield; maintain Buy and Rp4,150 TP.
Borneo Lumbung Energi (BORN IJ): key points from company visit
�� Borneo’s spokesman Mr. Scott Merrilees acknowledges that the all the points brought up by Mr. Nat Rothschild are valid and need addressing. As an ex equity research analyst and commodity banker he sees tremendous value that could be
unlocked in Bumi Plc while improving corporate governance.
�� But operationally, BORN is not all well and good. The company may come short of its 3.6mn tons sales volume guidance for the year 2011, although only slightly.
�� Average selling price is definitely softening. From US$254, US$255, and US$230 in 1Q, 2Q, and 3Q, they are now looking at US$215-220 per ton. The level may even be lower by year-end, conservatively looking at USD170/ton for 2012.
�� Indian steel makers have regained their confidence to negotiate the coaking coal price lower by US$10-15/ton, from a seller market situation six months ago. Japan steel makers start to blame the Thailand floods for not accepting coaking coal deliveries. So coaking coal prices are likely to soften further.
�� But there will be share buyback to show confidence on their bold move to buy Bumi Plc.
�� We have no rating on BORN, but judging from both fundamental and tactical developments, investors could be better off with direct exposure into Bumi Resources. For BORN to perform, BUMI needs to perform first.
Agenda 15 November LIPPO KARAWACI RUPSLB, MYOH TECHNOLOGY REVERSE STOCK RASIO 1:8 CUM , Fed's Bullard speaks, Fed's Evans speaks, PPI, retail sales, Empire state mfg survey, Fed's Williams speaks, business inventories, Fed's Lacker speaks, Fed's Fisher speaks, Amazon's tablet ships, credit card default rates reported; Earnings from Home Depot, Wal-Mart, Staples, TJX, Beazer Homes, Dell, Italy- Deadline to review uses and goals of structural funds in conjunction with EU,
Bloomberg; Morgan Stanley Sees 39% Gain for Emerging Stocks by End-2012
Bloomberg: Borneo Lumbung Said to Begin Marketing $1 Billion Loan Tomorrow
Bloomberg; Asian Stocks Fall as Rising Italian Yields Stoke Crisis Concern
Rekomendasi Analis Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796734/rekomendasi-analis-saham
Indosat Rencana Jual Menara ke Tower Bersama
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796703/indosat-rencana-jual-menara-ke-tower-bersama
IMF Ingatkan Bank China Bisa Berisiko Sistemik
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796737/imf-ingatkan-bank-china-bisa-berisiko-sistemik
Multistrada Arah: Indomobil and Northstar Will Exercise Their Rights
Indomobil Sukses (IMAS, Not Rated) and Northstar Pacific Partners will exercise their rights in the upcoming MASA rights issue. MASA is calling an EGM on December 5, 2011 to obtain shareholders approval to issue 3.06 bn new shares (33.3% of listed shares) at Rp500 per share – raising Rp1.53 tn (US$170 mn). (Credit Suisse)
PT Panin Financial Tbk (PNLF), membukukan laba bersih Q3 2011 703 miliar naik sebesar 30% dibandingkan Q3 2010 548 miliar. Proyeksi laba bersih full year PNLF bisa mencapai 1 triliun dengan EPS Rp 40,- PE ratio 3 kali. Target Price Full Year Rp 300.
BKSL NOW TRADES AT A P/E RATIO OF 52X 2011 EARNINGS, FAR ABOVE INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE P/E RATIO OF 15X
*DJ Subsidized-Fuel Prices May Be Raised By IDR1,000/Liter From IDR4,500 - Depu
*DJ Indonesian Government To Propose To House To Raise Subsidized-Fuel Prices
BLOOMBERG: *BANK INDONESIA CUTS 2012 GDP FORECAST TO 6.5% VS 6.7%: WARJIYO. *BANK INDONESIA CUTS 2012 GDP FORECAST TO 6.5% VS 6.7%: WARJIYO.
BLOOMBERG: *MORGAN STANLEY FAVORS CHINA MOST AMONG ASIAN STOCK MARKETS. *CHINA WON'T CUT RATES UNTIL FIRST HALF OF 2012, GARNER SAYS
Bloomberg; Palm Oil Erases Losses, Climbs 0.4% to 3,209 Ringgit a Ton
Bloomberg; Tower Bersama Said Close to Buying Indosat Cell-Phone Towers
Terpukul Kondisi Eropa, IHSG Dibuka Turun 0,58%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796666/terpukul-kondisi-eropa-ihsg-dibuka-turun-058
Rekomendasi Saham
IHSG Ikuti Koreksi Global
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/072826/1767404/6/ihsg-ikuti-koreksi-global
Inilah Saham Rawan Profit Taking
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796655/inilah-saham-rawan-profit-taking
Inilah Menu Saham Pilihan Selasa (15/11)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796542/inilah-menu-saham-pilihan-selasa-1511
Borneo Lumbung Energi Rencana Buyback Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796650/borneo-lumbung-energi-rencana-buyback-saham
BRI Salurkan Kredit Rp8 T ke Industri Kreatif
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796487/bri-salurkan-kredit-rp8-t-ke-industri-kreatif
Layak Dilirik, Saham DAVO Diburu Fund Manager
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796639/layak-dilirik-saham-davo-diburu-fund-manager
BBTN Rencana Terbitkan Obligasi Rp2 Triliun
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796486/bbtn-rencana-terbitkan-obligasi-rp2-triliun
Akumulasi! ENRG Bakal Menuju Rp300
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796637/akumulasi-enrg-bakal-menuju-rp300
TINS mengincar produksi 50.000 ton timah
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321321481/82696/TINS-mengincar-produksi-50.000-ton-timah-
Negosiasi alot, rencana BWPT akuisisi lahan baru tertunda
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321321050/82694/Negosiasi-alot-rencana-BWPT-akuisisi-lahan-baru-tertunda-
Kejar target 2011, Indofarma akan merilis 12 obat baru
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321317947/82683/Kejar-target-2011-Indofarma-akan-merilis-12-obat-baru-
Imbal hasil sukuk global sekitar 4,25%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321318453/82687/Imbal-hasil-sukuk-global-sekitar-425-
Menuju Investment Grade, RI Jual Sukuk US$1 M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796647/menuju-investment-grade-ri-jual-sukuk-us1-m
Riset Fed: 50% Kemungkinan AS Resesi di 2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796653/riset-fed-50-kemungkinan-as-resesi-di-2012
Demonstran: "Kami Akan Tutup Wall Street Kamis"
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796673/demonstran-kami-akan-tutup-wall-street-kamis
Imbal Hasil Surat Utang Eropa Melonjak, Wall Street Merosot
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/064446/1767388/6/imbal-hasil-surat-utang-eropa-melonjak-wall-street-merosot
Harga minyak merosot tersengat sentimen Italia
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321318036/82684/Harga-minyak-merosot-tersengat-sentimen-Italia-
Dow. 12078.98. -74.70. -0.61% Nasdaq. 2657.22. -21.53. -0.80% S&P 500.1251.78. -12.07. -0.95% FTSE. 5519.78. -26.34. -0.47% Dax. 5985.02. -72.01. -1.19% CAC40. 3108.95. -40.43. -1.28% Oil. 98.14. -0.85. -0.86% Gold. 1781.400 -6.700. -0.37% IDR. 8967.5(source: yahoo finance) Euro. 1.3626 TLKM. 33.18. -0.30 -0.90%.Rp7439 ISAT. 28.30. -0.22 -0.77% Rp5076 BumiPLC.879.500.+6.000.+0.686% EIDO. 29.900. -0.500. -1.645% Timah. 21425. -325. -1.49%. Nickel. 17565. -535. -2.96% CPOJan 3195RM+60RM+1.88%$1020 Corn. 643.250 -4.500. -0.69% SoybeanOil. 51.220.+0.240 +0.47% Wheat. 638.250. -7.750. -1.20% Coal 11Nov 115.40vs.116.94(4 Nov)
Trades of the Day... Fundamentally: CIMB mempertahankan rating Unilever Indonesia (UNVR) pada TRADING BUY dengan target harga Rp20300 berdasarkan 34.4-30.0x 2012-13 PER atau 2x PEG. Pertumbuhan penjualan sebesar 15% tahun depan sepertinya sangat mungkin, ditambah UNVR telah memulai customer (retailer) collaboration dan technology development centre, salah satu dari 6 centre di dunia. Melalui centre ini, pedagang bisa access global database milik UNVR, mempelajari pola beli konsumen, trend terbaru dan kesempatan. Dengan menggunakan software khusus, pedagang juga bisa mendesign sebuah toko. Sejauh ini, AMRT, RALS dan Carrefour telah menggunakan program ini. Supermarket/minimarket sekitar 43% dari total trade Indonesia
CIMB mempertahankan rating Astra International (ASII) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp77200 berdasarkan 13.6x 2013 PER. Model terbaru Avanza dan Xenia telah diluncurkan dengan harga lebih mahal Rp6-15 juta dari sebelumnya (menyamai harga Nissan Livina), namun backlog order (indent) terus berdatangan. Toyota dan Daihatsu memprediksi kenaikan volume 15-20%. ASII sepertinya akan mampu mempertahankan market share 56%
MEDC & ENRG (CC) Oil and Gas: New oil law to benefit local. players ∙ The Indonesian government plans to add a new clause to the oil and gas law that will give Indonesian oil and gas companies (state-owned and provate) the top priority in acquiring the stake over expired contracts of foreign companies, according to senior official ∙ According to the Ministry of Energy, as quoted in Jakarta Globe, 13 oil and gas blocks are set to expire from 2013 to 2020. Among them is the largest gas-producing block in Mahakam, operated by Total E&P, in 2017. CNOOC’s Southeast Sumatra block and Chevron Pacific’s East Kalimanatan block will also expire within the decade ∙ We view the update positively and local oil and gas firms such as Medco Energi (MEDC) and Energi Mega will benefit from the new law
BANK BUMI ARTA RUPSLB, Listing IPO Visi Media Asia, cum Dev BBLD 30,
cumRight Issue MYOH 6:1 (420), BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting, Weekly mortgage apps, CPI, industrial production, housing market index, oil inventories, Fed's Lacker speaks, Fed's Rosengren speaks, LA auto show; Earnings from Abercrombie & Fitch, Target, Applied Materials, Limited Brands, NetApp
17 November
SELAMAT SEMPURNA (SMSM) DIVIDEND, RP 50, Rups BRPT, Rups TIRT, French and Spanish Auction: Obligadon Auction, Housing starts, jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed survey, Fed's Pianalto speaks, Motorola Mobility votes on Google acquisition, GM IPO 1-year anniversary; Earnings from Dollar Tree, GameStop, Ross Stores, Sears, Gap, Marvell Tech
2nd session JCI on 15.11.11
3813.84(-19.19pts)(-0.50%)
(H: 3833.13 ; L: 3799.45 )
Value: 2.36T (NG 380 B )
Volume: 2.63B (NG 396 M )
Foreign Nett Buy: 4 B
Incl. Crossing:
BMTR @790 ~ IDR 119 B (D vs D)
USD/IDR : 8985. (On Shore)
8997.5 (Off Shore)
JCI for tomorrow:
Support: 3784; 3737
Resistance: 3856; 3875
6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
FINANCE. (-1.05%)(559.557 B )
MANUFACTUR(-0.56%)(419.339 B )
MINING. (-0.82%)(418.630 B )
INFRASTRUC(+0.03%)(322.361 B )
PROPERTY. (+0.05%)(145.037 B )
CONSUMER. (-0.13%)(126.884 B )
6 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
ASII. @71176. (33.18 B )
AALI. @22571. (22.68 B )
TLKM. @7447. (18.95 B )
BBRI. @6890. (17.07 B )
IMAS. @13221. (9.69 B )
BDMN. @4825. (8.19 B )
6 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
BBCA. @8125. (56.29 B )
BMRI. @7149. (52.59 B )
ADRO. @2010. (34.39 B )
BBNI. @3923. (18.58 B )
EXCL. @5011. (18.38 B )
PNLF. @114. (17.51 B )
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
BMRI. @7150. (-2.05%)
ASII. @71300. (-0.97%)
UNTR. @26050. (-2.06%)
BBCA. @8150. (-1.21%)
BBRI. @6900. (-0.71%)
TLKM. @7450. (-0.66%)
ADRO. @2000. (-2.43%)
BUMI. @2250. (0.00%)
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
PNLF-W. @31. (602.647 M )
PNLF. @113. (424.035 M )
ENRG. @161. (405.481 M )
BHIT. @250. (104.267 M )
BNBR. @51. (80.320 M )
TRAM. @830. (77.429 M )
SIPD. @57. (62.292 M )
TMPI. @123. (51.722 M )
Investor Kurang Bergairah, IHSG Menipis 19 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/160824/1767867/6/investor-kurang-bergairah-ihsg-menipis-19-poin
IHSG Koreksi, Investor 'Wait and See'
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796842/ihsg-koreksi-investor-wait-and-see
Turun 0,7%, Net Buy Asing Gagal Selamatkan IHSG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796836/turun-07-net-buy-asing-gagal-selamatkan-ihsg
Inilah 10 Top Net Foreign Buy Saham Selasa (15/11)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796841/inilah-10-top-net-foreign-buy-saham-selasa-1511
Pemegang Saham Setujui LPKR Buyback Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796780/pemegang-saham-setujui-lpkr-buyback-saham
Mandala Multifinance Raup Pinjaman US$25 Juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796775/mandala-multifinance-raup-pinjaman-us25-juta
Bapepam: Sukuk Korporasi Peluang Hadapi Krisis
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796837/bapepam-sukuk-korporasi-peluang-hadapi-krisis
Yield Melonjak, Saham Eropa Bakal Loyo
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796769/yield-melonjak-saham-eropa-bakal-loyo
Ini Dia 6 Siasat BI 'Jinakkan' Krisis Global
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/160846/1767862/5/ini-dia-6-siasat-bi-jinakkan-krisis-global
Setuju menjual menara, saham ISAT melesat
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321344720/82759/Setuju-menjual-menara-saham-ISAT-melesat-
PER UNTR ca. 16.98 ; PER INTA ca. 11.97. 16.98 + 11.97 = 14.475. P INTA [650] dgn. PER ca. 11.97. PER 14.475 => [14.475 : 11.97] * 650 => IDR 786.027.
Indofood (INDF IJ), Uninspiring flour business, TP Rp5,600,
Underperform
INDF’s 9M11 earnings of Rp2.3tn ($257.6m) came below ours and consensus’ expectations at 68, 70% respectively. Intensifying competition in flour business, declining palm oil price trend, and lack of near term catalyst are key reasons behind our unchanged U-PF rating. After adjusting for its 9M11 results, we forecast INDF to post an uninspiring 11%
Cagr EPS over 2010-13CL, lower than its peers. We arrived at Rp5,600 YE12 TP, on SOTP-based valuation, implying 14-12x 2012-13 P/E. Maintain Underperform.
Source: CLSA
1st session JCI on 15.11.11
3807.28(-25.76pts)(-0.67%)
(H: 3833.13 ; L: 3806.800)
Value: 978 B (NG 172 B )
Volume: 1.55 B (NG 270 M )
Foreign Nett Buy: 85 B
Incl. Crossing:
BMTR @790 ~ IDR 119 B (D vs D)
USD/IDR : 8985 (On Shore)
9010. (Off Shore)
6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
FINANCE. (-1.18%)(180.608 B )
MINING. (-1.14%)(169.897 B )
MANUFACTUR(-0.68%)(144.720 B )
INFRASTRUC. (-0.06%). (125.305 B )
AGRI. (+1.03%)(63.382 B )
PROPERTY(-0.51%)(61.286 B )
6 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
ASII. @71454. (19.78 B )
TLKM. @7466. (11.41 B )
AALI. @22522. (9.00 B )
BBRI. @6892. (8.22 B )
UNTR. @26443. (7.77 B )
BBTN. @1434. (4.38 B )
6 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
PNLF. @114. (11.80 B )
BBNI. @3938. (8.29 B )
ADRO. @2027. (7.92 B )
BBCA. @8137. (5.74 B )
INDY. @2312. (5.19 B )
HRUM. @7899. (4.74 B )
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
TRAM. @820. (-2.38%)
ASII. @71200(-1.11%)
ENRG. @163. (+0.61%)
BMRI. @7150. (-2.05%)
UNTR. @26500(-0.37%)
PNLF. @114. (0.00%)
BBRI. @6850. (-1.43%)
AALI. @22650(+3.18%)
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
PNLF-W. @32. (455.235 M )
ENRG. @163. (285.182 M )
PNLF. @114. (283.140 M )
BHIT. @245. (86.383 M )
TRAM. @820. (67.893 M )
SIPD. @56. (49.974 M )
TMPI. @122. (44.345 M )
BNBR. @51. (41.420 M )
Saham AGRI Kurangi Tekanan IHSG di Akhir Sesi I
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796740/saham-agri-kurangi-tekanan-ihsg-di-akhir-sesi-i
BMRI, ASII, dan BBRI menjadi bluechips yang paling banyak dijual di sesi I
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321334040/82742/BMRI-ASII-dan-BBRI-menjadi-bluechips-yang-paling-banyak-dijual-di-sesi-I-
Sesi I
Terkoreksi 25 Poin, IHSG Masih Bertahan di 3.800
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/120632/1767619/6/terkoreksi-25-poin-ihsg-masih-bertahan-di-3800
IHSG: Konsentrasi di Saham Big Cap!
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796508/ihsg-konsentrasi-di-saham-big-cap
Kejutan Besar dari Warren Buffet
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/104313/1767529/6/kejutan-besar-dari-warren-buffet
Rupiah terdepresiasi untuk kali pertama dalam tiga hari
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321331576/82737/Rupiah-terdepresiasi-untuk-kali-pertama-dalam-tiga-hari-
Harga kontrak CPO melonjak ke level tertinggi dalam empat bulan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321332651/82739/Harga-kontrak-CPO-melonjak-ke-level-tertinggi-dalam-empat-bulan-
Saham TINS mencatatkan penurunan mengikuti pergerakan harga timah
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321329418/82728/Saham-TINS-mencatatkan-penurunan-mengikuti-pergerakan-harga-timah-
Impor CPO China diprediksi naik, saham AALI dan LSIP menjadi incaran
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321328410/82723/Impor-CPO-China-diprediksi-naik-saham-AALI-dan-LSIP-menjadi-incaran-
PGAS fr DBS Vickers:::
Perusahaan Gas Negara : Buy; Rp3,100;Price Target : Rp4,150; PGAS IJ
The worst is over
Succeeds in passing on higher gas cost from Santos contract. Key catalysts: Completion of LNG terminal and new gas supply contracts to boost gas volume. Attractive valuation with 5% yield; maintain Buy and Rp4,150 TP.
Borneo Lumbung Energi (BORN IJ): key points from company visit
�� Borneo’s spokesman Mr. Scott Merrilees acknowledges that the all the points brought up by Mr. Nat Rothschild are valid and need addressing. As an ex equity research analyst and commodity banker he sees tremendous value that could be
unlocked in Bumi Plc while improving corporate governance.
�� But operationally, BORN is not all well and good. The company may come short of its 3.6mn tons sales volume guidance for the year 2011, although only slightly.
�� Average selling price is definitely softening. From US$254, US$255, and US$230 in 1Q, 2Q, and 3Q, they are now looking at US$215-220 per ton. The level may even be lower by year-end, conservatively looking at USD170/ton for 2012.
�� Indian steel makers have regained their confidence to negotiate the coaking coal price lower by US$10-15/ton, from a seller market situation six months ago. Japan steel makers start to blame the Thailand floods for not accepting coaking coal deliveries. So coaking coal prices are likely to soften further.
�� But there will be share buyback to show confidence on their bold move to buy Bumi Plc.
�� We have no rating on BORN, but judging from both fundamental and tactical developments, investors could be better off with direct exposure into Bumi Resources. For BORN to perform, BUMI needs to perform first.
Agenda 15 November LIPPO KARAWACI RUPSLB, MYOH TECHNOLOGY REVERSE STOCK RASIO 1:8 CUM , Fed's Bullard speaks, Fed's Evans speaks, PPI, retail sales, Empire state mfg survey, Fed's Williams speaks, business inventories, Fed's Lacker speaks, Fed's Fisher speaks, Amazon's tablet ships, credit card default rates reported; Earnings from Home Depot, Wal-Mart, Staples, TJX, Beazer Homes, Dell, Italy- Deadline to review uses and goals of structural funds in conjunction with EU,
Bloomberg; Morgan Stanley Sees 39% Gain for Emerging Stocks by End-2012
Bloomberg: Borneo Lumbung Said to Begin Marketing $1 Billion Loan Tomorrow
Bloomberg; Asian Stocks Fall as Rising Italian Yields Stoke Crisis Concern
Rekomendasi Analis Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796734/rekomendasi-analis-saham
Indosat Rencana Jual Menara ke Tower Bersama
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796703/indosat-rencana-jual-menara-ke-tower-bersama
IMF Ingatkan Bank China Bisa Berisiko Sistemik
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796737/imf-ingatkan-bank-china-bisa-berisiko-sistemik
Multistrada Arah: Indomobil and Northstar Will Exercise Their Rights
Indomobil Sukses (IMAS, Not Rated) and Northstar Pacific Partners will exercise their rights in the upcoming MASA rights issue. MASA is calling an EGM on December 5, 2011 to obtain shareholders approval to issue 3.06 bn new shares (33.3% of listed shares) at Rp500 per share – raising Rp1.53 tn (US$170 mn). (Credit Suisse)
PT Panin Financial Tbk (PNLF), membukukan laba bersih Q3 2011 703 miliar naik sebesar 30% dibandingkan Q3 2010 548 miliar. Proyeksi laba bersih full year PNLF bisa mencapai 1 triliun dengan EPS Rp 40,- PE ratio 3 kali. Target Price Full Year Rp 300.
BKSL NOW TRADES AT A P/E RATIO OF 52X 2011 EARNINGS, FAR ABOVE INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE P/E RATIO OF 15X
*DJ Subsidized-Fuel Prices May Be Raised By IDR1,000/Liter From IDR4,500 - Depu
*DJ Indonesian Government To Propose To House To Raise Subsidized-Fuel Prices
BLOOMBERG: *BANK INDONESIA CUTS 2012 GDP FORECAST TO 6.5% VS 6.7%: WARJIYO. *BANK INDONESIA CUTS 2012 GDP FORECAST TO 6.5% VS 6.7%: WARJIYO.
BLOOMBERG: *MORGAN STANLEY FAVORS CHINA MOST AMONG ASIAN STOCK MARKETS. *CHINA WON'T CUT RATES UNTIL FIRST HALF OF 2012, GARNER SAYS
Bloomberg; Palm Oil Erases Losses, Climbs 0.4% to 3,209 Ringgit a Ton
Bloomberg; Tower Bersama Said Close to Buying Indosat Cell-Phone Towers
Terpukul Kondisi Eropa, IHSG Dibuka Turun 0,58%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796666/terpukul-kondisi-eropa-ihsg-dibuka-turun-058
Rekomendasi Saham
IHSG Ikuti Koreksi Global
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/072826/1767404/6/ihsg-ikuti-koreksi-global
Inilah Saham Rawan Profit Taking
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796655/inilah-saham-rawan-profit-taking
Inilah Menu Saham Pilihan Selasa (15/11)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796542/inilah-menu-saham-pilihan-selasa-1511
Borneo Lumbung Energi Rencana Buyback Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796650/borneo-lumbung-energi-rencana-buyback-saham
BRI Salurkan Kredit Rp8 T ke Industri Kreatif
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796487/bri-salurkan-kredit-rp8-t-ke-industri-kreatif
Layak Dilirik, Saham DAVO Diburu Fund Manager
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796639/layak-dilirik-saham-davo-diburu-fund-manager
BBTN Rencana Terbitkan Obligasi Rp2 Triliun
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796486/bbtn-rencana-terbitkan-obligasi-rp2-triliun
Akumulasi! ENRG Bakal Menuju Rp300
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796637/akumulasi-enrg-bakal-menuju-rp300
TINS mengincar produksi 50.000 ton timah
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321321481/82696/TINS-mengincar-produksi-50.000-ton-timah-
Negosiasi alot, rencana BWPT akuisisi lahan baru tertunda
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321321050/82694/Negosiasi-alot-rencana-BWPT-akuisisi-lahan-baru-tertunda-
Kejar target 2011, Indofarma akan merilis 12 obat baru
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321317947/82683/Kejar-target-2011-Indofarma-akan-merilis-12-obat-baru-
Imbal hasil sukuk global sekitar 4,25%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321318453/82687/Imbal-hasil-sukuk-global-sekitar-425-
Menuju Investment Grade, RI Jual Sukuk US$1 M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796647/menuju-investment-grade-ri-jual-sukuk-us1-m
Riset Fed: 50% Kemungkinan AS Resesi di 2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796653/riset-fed-50-kemungkinan-as-resesi-di-2012
Demonstran: "Kami Akan Tutup Wall Street Kamis"
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1796673/demonstran-kami-akan-tutup-wall-street-kamis
Imbal Hasil Surat Utang Eropa Melonjak, Wall Street Merosot
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/15/064446/1767388/6/imbal-hasil-surat-utang-eropa-melonjak-wall-street-merosot
Harga minyak merosot tersengat sentimen Italia
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1321318036/82684/Harga-minyak-merosot-tersengat-sentimen-Italia-
Dow. 12078.98. -74.70. -0.61% Nasdaq. 2657.22. -21.53. -0.80% S&P 500.1251.78. -12.07. -0.95% FTSE. 5519.78. -26.34. -0.47% Dax. 5985.02. -72.01. -1.19% CAC40. 3108.95. -40.43. -1.28% Oil. 98.14. -0.85. -0.86% Gold. 1781.400 -6.700. -0.37% IDR. 8967.5(source: yahoo finance) Euro. 1.3626 TLKM. 33.18. -0.30 -0.90%.Rp7439 ISAT. 28.30. -0.22 -0.77% Rp5076 BumiPLC.879.500.+6.000.+0.686% EIDO. 29.900. -0.500. -1.645% Timah. 21425. -325. -1.49%. Nickel. 17565. -535. -2.96% CPOJan 3195RM+60RM+1.88%$1020 Corn. 643.250 -4.500. -0.69% SoybeanOil. 51.220.+0.240 +0.47% Wheat. 638.250. -7.750. -1.20% Coal 11Nov 115.40vs.116.94(4 Nov)
Trades of the Day... Fundamentally: CIMB mempertahankan rating Unilever Indonesia (UNVR) pada TRADING BUY dengan target harga Rp20300 berdasarkan 34.4-30.0x 2012-13 PER atau 2x PEG. Pertumbuhan penjualan sebesar 15% tahun depan sepertinya sangat mungkin, ditambah UNVR telah memulai customer (retailer) collaboration dan technology development centre, salah satu dari 6 centre di dunia. Melalui centre ini, pedagang bisa access global database milik UNVR, mempelajari pola beli konsumen, trend terbaru dan kesempatan. Dengan menggunakan software khusus, pedagang juga bisa mendesign sebuah toko. Sejauh ini, AMRT, RALS dan Carrefour telah menggunakan program ini. Supermarket/minimarket sekitar 43% dari total trade Indonesia
CIMB mempertahankan rating Astra International (ASII) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp77200 berdasarkan 13.6x 2013 PER. Model terbaru Avanza dan Xenia telah diluncurkan dengan harga lebih mahal Rp6-15 juta dari sebelumnya (menyamai harga Nissan Livina), namun backlog order (indent) terus berdatangan. Toyota dan Daihatsu memprediksi kenaikan volume 15-20%. ASII sepertinya akan mampu mempertahankan market share 56%
MEDC & ENRG (CC) Oil and Gas: New oil law to benefit local. players ∙ The Indonesian government plans to add a new clause to the oil and gas law that will give Indonesian oil and gas companies (state-owned and provate) the top priority in acquiring the stake over expired contracts of foreign companies, according to senior official ∙ According to the Ministry of Energy, as quoted in Jakarta Globe, 13 oil and gas blocks are set to expire from 2013 to 2020. Among them is the largest gas-producing block in Mahakam, operated by Total E&P, in 2017. CNOOC’s Southeast Sumatra block and Chevron Pacific’s East Kalimanatan block will also expire within the decade ∙ We view the update positively and local oil and gas firms such as Medco Energi (MEDC) and Energi Mega will benefit from the new law
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