The Combination of Technical-Analysis & Astrolo9y (CTA)

Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.

Friday, December 10, 2010

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 10-12

@BNGA: No Sign of Reversal, Bullish Continuation Although Overbought

@BNGA: Penutupan diatas 2.491 (pivot point), MACD & Stochastic bullish (overbought), tertahan di423.6% di 2.600, berpeluang koreksi minor ke 2.450 & 2.300 (3-day MA). Buy 2.425-2.450 target 3.025 (kemungkinan terjadi 20 Des), stop loss dibawah 2.000.

@CPIN: Reward > Risk On Bullish Continuation Pattern

@CPIN: penutupan diatas pivt point (2.030), buying power dan stochastic bullish, meski tidak didukung higher volume. Buy 2.000 target 2.375, stop loss dibawah 1.800.

@ELSA: Breakout Triangle Overshadowed by An Overbought Pattern

@ELSA: penutupan diatas pivot point, 3-day MA, buying power & volume meningkat, seharusnya mendukung kenaikan lebih lanjut ke resist 380/430 (Januari 2011), support di 340.325. Buy 355/360 target 380/430, stop loss dibawah 325.

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (10 - 12): Uptrend Overshadowed By Irish Downgrade/China Rate/Korea Military Practice

IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.750-3.820.

Buy on weakness : KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM
Sell on rally: BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNII
Buy on weakness: ASII, UNTR, AALI
Buy: Telekomunikasi: ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR
Sell on rally: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Buy on weakness : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Sell on rally: CPO: LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Hold buy: Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Trading sell on rally: BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Trading Buy ELSA/BNLI/BNII/BNGA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/ICBP/INDF/UNVR/CPIN/JPFA/MAPI/MYOR/GJTL
Sell on rally: MRYX/BHIT/BBNI/TLKM/

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (09/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB & Movers & Shakers (10/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 10-12 (BRMS/CMNP/BHIT/BNII)

Technical Chart Saham CTA: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650).

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Hold Buy (23 Saham): AALI/ADRO/BUMI/ENRG/UNSP/BLTA/MASA/PBRX/BRNA/BNII/TRUB/KRAS/BNBR/HEXA/JSMR/BRAU/DOID/CNKO/ITMG/SIPD/ICBP/SMCB/CMNP. Rec Loss (5 saham): ASII/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY.

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

From Chat Roll:

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100
08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)
(22/10): 3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html

Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700. (Reach Target Profit)
Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AMAndri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880 (Stop loss done).
Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AMAndri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com

Nothing Can't Stop Us on Global 3ull Attack * Intraday Correction vs Minor Bullish

IHSG
(09/12) Hold Buy breakout 3.778 target 3.825, stop loss 50P, SELL 3.825 target 3.700 stop 40P

* Upgrade target Akhir Tahun menjadi 3.850 (berpotensi upgrade ke 4.040 pada 30 Desember 2010)/ 4.200 di H1 2011
(The 1st Upgrade in Indonesia & in process of Super Bull of 2010 - 2012 - 2015 only in Special Technical Analysis BNI Securities & BNI Securities Market Outlook 2011).

IHSG: 1 jam & 4jam menunjukkan overbought dan daily chart menunjukkan potensi kenaikan terbatas dengan buying power meningkat, siap untuk attack rebound ke 3.825/3.850 karena masih dalam jalur Super Bull, belum ada signal top reversal.

Liat TD Wave 10/08: http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5218895147221569420

Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 72 Recommendations (55 Profits: 1 (sebelumnya 26 x profit berturut-turut); 4 Break Even: 13 Loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p-30P+20P+20P+35P+54P+60P+40P+58P+3P+50P+5P+55P+5P+55P+23P+60P+15P-45P+100P). Total : Net +2184 points = Average 30.41 point.

DJIA
(02/12) Hold Buy breakout 11.280 target 11.600 stop 50p
Signal 1 jam & 4 jam bearish dari overbought, daily masih dalam trend 3ullish dengan kondisi overbought, meski buying power yang dominan dengan stochastic overbought, berpotensi koreksi dalam waktu dekat.

Track record (since end of March 2010) : 60 Recommendations (33 Profits: 27 Loss) (-65p-30p+370p + 280p+190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p+280p+198p+205p+110p-30p+70p+200p+150p-50p-30p-30p-30p+145p-50p-30p+175p-50p-50p-60p-50p-50p+225p+100p-55p+100p+380p+220p+230p-100p-60p+265p+20p+80P+90P+130P-30P+50P-50P-50P+100P+20P+225P+250P+180P-50P-50P-50P-50P+165P-50P-50P-50P-50P+170P+300P+200P). Total Net +4758 points = Average +76.35 points/trade.

Rekomendasi Nikkei 225/Hang Seng/Shanghai:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/market-profile-ihsgnikkei-225hang_04.html

@Courtesy of Globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com

Thursday, December 9, 2010

Perfomance IHSG (Leading-Lagging)/Top Value 09-12

Top Value Esmart (BNI Securities)

Movers

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 09-12

@CMNP: Signal Reversal For 09/12 (Fibo) For 3ullish Continuation

@CMNP: reversal bullish setelah breakout trendline resist di sesi 1, penutupan diatas pivot point 1350, stochastic di area oversold, target 1.480/1.760 pada 23 Des untuk EXIT. Buy 1.400-1.410 target 1.480/1.760, stop loss dibawah 1.320.

@TLKM: Downside Pressure Is Limited, Reversal Opportunity on 14 Dec

@TLKM: Just breakout symmetrical pennant (perlu konfirmasi penutupan diatas 8.050), sebelumnya didukung volume & selling power meningkat. Buy area 7.750-7.800 untuk peluang reversal bullish pada 14 Nov, stop loss dibawah 7.500.

@BMTR: Just Breakout The Double Top (Make It in 5 Minutes)

@BMTR: penutupan diatas 506 (pivot point), stochastic bullish, confirm breakout DT hari ini, mengakhiri fase konsolidasi. Buy 540 target 670/800 (27 Desember), stop loss 490. Revisi buy 580-600 (on chat roll 09/12)

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (09 - 12): Ready To Attack 3.777 By IPO BRMS

IHSG diperkirakan akan menembus rekor tertinggi 3.777 meski dibayangi signal overbought yang dapat memicu aksi profit-taking dalam waktu dekat, karena kinerja indeks saham regional Asia dan Wall Street yang menunjukkan momentum kenaikan mulai tertatih-tatih, spekulasi kenaikan suku bunga China di akhir pekan ini dan kekhawatiran memanasnya situasi geopolitik di Korea (latihan perang AS-Korsel pada 10/12). Meski IHSG masih ditopang oleh kuatnya faktor masuknya likuiditas ke pasar (investor asing masih net buy hampir Rp 1.8 triliun dalam 5 hari perdagangan), peluang kenaikan rating kredit Indonesia (Moodys di pekan lalu, S&P kemarin) menuju kenaikan rating menjadi "investment grade", IPO BRMS (Bumi Resources Mineral), sentimen positif dari eksternal seperti data tenaga kerja Australia (meningkat 2x lipat menjadi 54K), data GDP Q3 Jepang (4.5% q/q), kenakan harga komoditas minyak ($89) dan emas ($ 1.387), masa pemotongan pajak AS diperpanjang oleh Presiden Obama hingga 2 tahun mendatang, pernyataan Fed Bernanke yang tidak mengenyampingkan pembelian surat berharga AS lebih besar dari US$ 600 miliar, meredanya kekhawatiran terhadap krisis hutang di Eropa dan membaiknya sejumlah indikator ekonomi global, seharusnya masih menopang kinerja bullish indeks global di pekan ini bahkan hingga akhir tahun.

IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.740-3.800.

Trading Buy : KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM
Trading Buy: BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNII
Buy & hold ASII, UNTR, AALI
Buy: Telekomunikasi: ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR
Sell on rally: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Trading Buy: CPO: LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Buy & hold: Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Trading sell on rally: BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Trading Buy LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/ICBP/INDF/UNVR/CPIN/JPFA/MAPI/MYOR/GJTL
Sell on rally (2): MRYX/BHIT/BBNI/TLKM

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (09/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB & Movers & Shakers (10/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 09-12 (ISAT/PGAS/SMCB/CFIN)

Technical Chart Saham CTA: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650).

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Hold Buy (22 Saham): AALI/ADRO/BUMI/ENRG/UNSP/BLTA/MASA/PBRX/BRNA/BNII/TRUB/KRAS/BNBR/HEXA/JSMR/BRAU/DOID/CNKO/ITMG/SIPD/ICBP/SMCB. Rec Loss (5 saham): ASII/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY.

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

From Chat Roll:

Perfomance IHSG (Leading-Lagging)/Top Value/IHSG & DJIA (Volume Bar)

Top Value Esmart (BNI Securities)

Movers

IHSG

DJIA

Nothing Can't Stop Us on Global 3ull Attack * Overbought Signal Should Limit Uptrend Move

IHSG
Buy breakout 3.778 target 3.830, stop loss 40P, SELL 3.830 target 3.700 stop 40P

* Upgrade target Akhir Tahun menjadi 3.850 (berpotensi upgrade ke 4.040 pada 30 Desember 2010)/ 4.200 di H1 2011.
(The 1st Upgrade in Indonesia & in process of Super Bull of 2010 - 2012 - 2015 only in Special Technical Analysis BNI Securities & BNI Securities Market Outlook 2011).

IHSG: 1 jam & 4jam menunjukkan overbought dan daily chart menunjukkan potensi kenaikan terbatas dengan buying power meningkat, siap untuk attack rebound ke 3.777.3825/3.850 karena masih dalam jalur Super Bull, belum ada signal top reversal.

Liat TD Wave 10/08: http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5218895147221569420

Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 72 Recommendations (55 Profits: 1 (sebelumnya 26 x profit berturut-turut); 4 Break Even: 13 Loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p-30P+20P+20P+35P+54P+60P+40P+58P+3P+50P+5P+55P+5P+55P+23P+60P+15P-45P+100P). Total : Net +2184 points = Average 30.41 point.

DJIA
(02/12) Hold Buy breakout 11.280 target 11.600 stop 50p Signal 1 jam & 4 jam bullish dan overbought, daily masih dalam trend 3ullish meski dengan buying power yang dominan dengan stochastic overbought, berpotensi koreksi dalam waktu dekat.

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Technical Analysis CTA (The First Time Published in Indonesia) IPO Bumi Resources Mineral Is Next (15.00 WIB).

Setelah sukses memprediksikan 2 IPO untuk pertama kali di Indonesia secara CTA Technical Analysis: IPO Krakatau Steel (Rekomendasi: Buy target 1.420/1.520 (Tercapai) & 1.650 dalam 3 bulan) & IPO APLN: (Rekomendasi: Sell on rally 500 (Tercapai) / 620 dalam 3 bulan), rekomendasi Sell on Rally BORN & WINS (meski tidak mencapai target Sell).

IPO Bumi Resources Mineral:(oversubscribed hampir 30x: isu Newmont & Vallar plc)
Salah satu anak usaha grup Bakrie, PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRM) mendapat izin pinjam pakai kawasan hutan untuk tambang tembaga dan emas Bone Belango, Sulawesi milik perseroan, melalui anak usahanya, PT Gorontalo Minerals.
Rekomendasi: Strong Buy; Target: Rp 945/1080 (6 month).
Resistance: 670/760 (Buy breakout 770)/825 (Buy on breakout 835)/945 (Sell on rally)/1070(Buy breakout 1.085)
Support : 635 (Sell on breakout)/560/480/403.
IPO PT Bumi Resources Mineral Tbk: (Listing: 02 Desember: Oversubcribed 5.0x; Harga Rp 635).
Underwriter: Danatama, UBS, Credit Suisse.
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2010/11/16/124607/1495397/6/harga-ipo-bumi-mineral-rp-635
Produsen emas, tembaga, seng, timah & biji besi. Beberapa anak usaha dibawah BRM: PT Citra Palu Minerals, PT Multi Capital (MDB & NNT), International Minerals Company LLC (PT Gorontalo Minerals), Calipso Investment Pte Ltd (Herald Resources, Gain and Win & DPM), Lemington Investment Pte Ltd (Konblo Bumi Inc & Bumi Holding SAS) dan Bumi Resources Japan Company Ltd (Bumi Japan).

Setiap pembelian 3 saham dapat 2 waran seri 1
Harga Penebusan warran 1 tgl 2 Juni: Rp 700
Co Lead: Sinar Mas Sec. Int'l Selling Agent: JP Morgan, Nomura

Valuasi akhir tahun 2010E:
EPS 2010E: Rp 48.49
PER 2010E: 12,89x
BV 2010E: Rp 1276
PBV 2010E: 0,49x

@BHIT: Potential Reversal On 09/12 (Make It In 5 Minutes)

@BHI: penutupan diatas PP (134.66) & 3-day MA, stochastic mendekati overbought, breakout resist line. Potensi kenaikan terbatas hingga area 150-162 (target pole). Sell on rally 160-162, kecuali naik diatas area 166-172, buy area di 140-143 target 160, stop loss dibawah 136.

@SMCB: It's Gonna Breakout A Symmetrical Triangle (Make It in 5 Minutes)

@SMCB: penutupan diatas pivot point (2.241), stochastic crossover up dari oversold, symmetrical triangle. Buy: 2.375-2.400 target 2.800, stop loss dibawah 2.200.
NB: Buy SMGR & INTP target >10%, stop <5%

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 08-12

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (08 - 12): Bull & Window Dressing Are Still In The House

IHSG berpeluang menguat kendati terbatas berkat kondisi technical yang overbought (1 & 4 jam) meski dalam track bullish jangka pendek, didukung oleh kuatnya sentimen dari aksi window dressing oleh para fund manager domestik dan asing, solidnya kinerja fundamental negara dan emiten di IHSG, optimisme lembaga rating (Moodys & S&P) akan menaikkan rating kredit Indonesia dalam waktu dekat menuju "investment grade", investor asing net buy Rp 726 miliar kemarin (asing net buy Rp 1.602 triliun dalam 3 sesi perdagangan terakhir), kenaikan harga komoditas (minyak sentuh US$ 91 barel, emas cetak rekor tertinggi US$ 1.431, timah naik ke $24.550, nikel ke $23.930, cpo ke Myr 3.600an ), pernyataan Presiden Obama untuk memperpanjang tax cut paska Presiden Bush selama 2 tahun mendatang, testimony Fed Bernanke yang memberikan signal tidak mengenyampingkan peluang pembelian surat berharga AS lebih dari US$ 600 miliar, laporan penjualan saham Citigroup milik pemerintah AS senilai US$ 10.2 miliar, masih memberikan momentum kenaikan di pekan ini, menjelang potential isu negatif dari ketegangan di Korea paska latihan militer AS-Korsel, isu kenaikan suku bunga China di akhir pekan ini mengikuti survei bahwa inflasi China bulan November akan melonjak 4.7%, dapat memicu aksi profit-taking di pekan depan di tengah kondisi technical yang overbought.

IHSG akan diuntungkan oleh kinerja harga komoditas setelah harga minyak mencapai US$ 90/barel, seharusnya positif untuk saham komoditas metal (ANTM, TINS, INCO), coal (ADRO, PTBA, ITMG, BRAU, HRUM, BORN, BUMI), energy (PGAS, ENRG), cpo (LSIP, AALI, UNSP, BWPT), telekomunikasi (EXCL, TLKM), industri (ASII, GGRM, GJTL, CPIN, JPFA), konsumer (INDF, ICBP, MYOR), retail (MPPA, MAPI, RALS). IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.700-3.760.

Buy on weakness : KRAS, APLN.
Trading Buy: BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNII
Buy ASII, UNTR, AALI
Buy on weakness: telekomunikasi: TLKM, EXCL, TBIG, TOWR
Buy on weakness infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Buy: CPO: LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Buy: Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Buy BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Trading Buy LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/ICBP/INDF/UNVR/CPIN/JPFA/MAPI/MYOR/GJTL
Sell on rally: MRYX/BHIT/BBNI

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (09/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB & Movers & Shakers (10/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision)

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 08-12 (ADRO/LSIP/GGRM/BBCA)

Technical Chart Saham CTA: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650).

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Hold Buy (20 Saham): AALI/ADRO/BUMI/ENRG/UNSP/BLTA/MASA/PBRX/BRNA/BNII/TRUB/KRAS/BNBR/HEXA/JSMR/BRAU/DOID/CNKO/ITMG/SIPD. Rec Loss (5 saham): ASII/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY.

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

From Chat Roll:

Nothing Can't Stop Us on Global 3ull Attack * A Limited Upside Move On An Overbought 4-Hours Chart

IHSG
Buy 3.700 target 3.750 stop di 3.630.
Buy breakout 3.777 target 3.850 stop 40P.

IHSG: 1 jam & 4jam menunjukkan crossover buy dan daily chart (3-10 day MA dead cross) menunjukkan potensi penurunan terbatas dengan buying power meningkat, siap untuk attack rebound ke 3.720/3.750/3.777 (delay) karena masih dalam jalur Super Bull, belum ada signal top reversal.

Liat TD Wave 10/08: http://www.blogger.com/post-edit.g?blogID=6833542981102286398&postID=5218895147221569420

Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 72 Recommendations (55 Profits: 1 (sebelumnya 26 x profit berturut-turut); 4 Break Even: 13 Loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p-30P+20P+20P+35P+54P+60P+40P+58P+3P+50P+5P+55P+5P+55P+23P+60P+15P-45P+100P). Total : Net +2184 points = Average 30.41 point.

DJIA
Hold Buy 11.000 & Hold Buy 11.100 stop 11.200 = Profit +300 Point + 200 Point
(02/12) Hold Buy breakout 11.280 target 11.600 stop 50p
Signal 1 jam & 4 jam overbought dan berpotensi reversal dalam waktu dekat ini, daily masih dalam trend 3ullish meski dengan buying power yang dominan dengan stochastic crossover sell.

Track record (since end of March 2010) : 62 Recommendations (35 Profits: 27 Loss) (-65p-30p+370p + 280p+190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p+280p+198p+205p+110p-30p+70p+200p+150p-50p-30p-30p-30p+145p-50p-30p+175p-50p-50p-60p-50p-50p+225p+100p-55p+100p+380p+220p+230p-100p-60p+265p+20p+80P+90P+130P-30P+50P-50P-50P+100P+20P+225P+250P+180P-50P-50P-50P-50P+165P-50P-50P-50P-50P+170P+300P+200P). Total Net +4758 points = Average +76.35 points/trade.

Rekomendasi Nikkei 225/Hang Seng/Shanghai:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/market-profile-ihsgnikkei-225hang_04.html

@Courtesy of Globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com

Update Daily Investment News

Indonesia Stocks: Adaro Energy, Bumi Resources, Indika Energy
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-06/indonesia-stocks-adaro-energy-bumi-resources-indika-energy.html
Obama Confronts Democrats' Pushback Over Deal on Tax Cuts
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-07/obama-confronts-resistence-from-democrats-over-deal-to-adopt-bush-tax-cuts.html
Goldman Sachs 2011 Forecast: Stocks, Gold, Oil Higher
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40530212
Market Strategist on Taxes: 'December is the New January'
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40548635
US Stocks are Cheap, Treasurys Expensive: CIO
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40548001
'Constructive Gridlock' Could Be the Future For Wall Street
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40547038
Tax Cuts: Top Trades from 'Fast Money'
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40549935
After Citigroup and GM, Treasury Turns to AIG
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40549939
Some European Countries Are Bankrupt: Jim Rogers
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40545004
Busch: Bush Tax Cuts: Party Like it's 2001-2003
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40549530
Minority Investors May Offer Huge Potential for Wall Street
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40495500

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Pergerakan Top 3 Komoditas Metal: Still in Bull Trend

Akumulasi saham komoditas logam (ANTM, INCO, TINS dll), mengikuti pergerakan harga komoditas logam masih layak untuk memberikan return >10% dari awal pekan ini hingga akhir Desember 2010.
Target commodities CTA 2010 masih tidak berubah:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/search/label/Commodity

Nickel