Week Ahead: January "Ngesot" Are Continuining For Stocks & Commodity, Before "Ngepek" Latter Week

WIB: +12 Jam
http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Week Ahead: Earnings Could Be Good For Markets, but Euro Worries Lurk
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40969392

Retail Sales Probably Rose for Sixth Month as Consumers Join U.S. Recovery
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-09/retail-sales-probably-climbed-in-december-u-s-economy-preview.html

Oil Price Could Reach $110 in Next Few Weeks: Official
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40988436

Gold May Decline Next Week as Haven Demand Is `Shrinking,' Survey Shows
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-07/gold-may-drop-as-haven-demand-is-shrinking-dollar-gains-survey-shows.html

Gold Will Average $1,457 an Ounce This Year, LBMA Survey Shows
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a5iC6ZQ4Ek80

Crude Oil May Decline Next Week as Hedge-Fund Buying Drops, Survey Shows
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-07/crude-oil-may-decline-next-week-as-hedge-fund-buying-drops-survey-shows.html 

Commodities Unwind: Will Sell-Off Continue Next Week?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40970154

Commodities Outlook for Next Week
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1726571070&play=1

Cramer: A Must-Read Report on the Coming Week
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40971762

Stocks Decline, but End Higher for the Week
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40969641

Asian Stocks Rise a Fourth Week as Dollar, U.S. Reports Boost Exporters
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-08/asian-stocks-rise-a-fourth-week-as-dollar-u-s-reports-boost-exporters.html

U.S. Payrolls Miss Forecast, Showing Labor Market Recovery May Take Years
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-08/employers-in-u-s-add-fewer-jobs-than-forecast-unemployment-falls-to-9-4-.html

Speculators boost U.S. dollar shorts in latest week: CFTC
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE70334B20110107

EWI: Earnings Drive Stock Prices? See This Chart Before You Answer

Earnings Drive Stock Prices? See This Chart Before You Answer
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/06/Earnings-Drive-Stock-Prices-See-This-Chart-Before-You-Answer-.aspx

Robert Prechter Dispels 10 Popular Investment Myths, Part X
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/03/Robert-Prechter-Dispels-10-Popular-Investment-Myths,-Part-X.aspx

Robert Prechter Dispels 10 Popular Investment Myths, Part XI
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/06/Robert-Prechter-Dispels-10-Popular-Investment-Myths,-Part-XI.aspx

Currying Favor in Asian Markets
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/07/Currying-Favor-in-Asian-Markets.aspx

"Gun-slingers" Can Die Quickly: Smart Traders Live to Fight and Win Another Day
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/07/-Gun-slingers--Can-Die-Quickly-Smart-Traders-Live-to-Fight-and-Win-Another-Day.aspx

(Video) Which Elliott Waves Are Best For Trading Forex?
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/06/Video-Which-Elliott-Waves-Are-Best-For-Trading.aspx

See Jack Count …Dollar-Yen! -- A Great Intraday Call
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/06/See-Jack-Count-%E2%80%A6Dollar-Yen----A-Great-Intraday-Call.aspx

Gold Prices Plunge: No "Mystery" To The One-Day Drop
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/04/Gold-Prices-Plunge-No--Mystery--To-The-One-Day-Drop.aspx

Free Report: WikiLeaks Backlash is the Beginning of Controversy to Come
http://www.elliottwave.com/press_room/media/archives/2010/11/30/Free-Report-WikiLeaks-Backlash-is-the-Beginning-of-Controversy-to-Come.aspx

Crude Oil Case Study: Add Value to Your Energy
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/12/22/Crude-Oil-Case-Study-Add-Value-to-Your-Energy.aspx

You Can Learn How to Forecast with Technical Analysis
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/01/06/You-Can-Learn-How-to-Forecast-with-Technical-Analysis.aspx

2011 Outlook: Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Merrill Lynch, Credit Suisse, JP Morgan (Part 2)

Morgan Stanley Global Debates Playbook
2011 Outlook: Rebalancing Toward the Positive
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287996/Global_Debates_Playbook_2011_outlook_Rebalancing.pdf.html

BNP Market Outlook 2011
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287740/MarketOutlook2011BNPAribas.pdf.html

Credit Suisse Global Equity Strategy 2011
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287845/CS_GES_101208_2011Outlook.pdf.html 

Merrill Lynch 2011 Commodity Outlook
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287974/2011CommodityOutlook.pdf.html

Commodities 2011 Outlook: A Commodity Bull Market
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287924/COMMODITIES_2011_OUTLOOK.pdf.html

Asia/GEMs Strategy 2011 Outlook: Slowing Growth, Rising Inflation and Higher Policy Rates = Less Bullish than Consensus
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287699/GEMS_WEEKLY_OUTLOOK_V5_FINAL.pdf.html 

FX Pulse: 2011 Outlook
How Much Further Can the Can Be Kicked?
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287595/FX_Pulse_09Dec10_RI.pdf.html

Global FX Strategy 2011
http://www.ziddu.com/download/13287655/JPM-Global-Fx-2011.pdf.html

2011 Outlook: Citigroup, Blackrock, Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Merrill Lynch, Credit Suisse, JP Morgan (Part 1)

Credit Suisse Commodity Outlook
http://issuu.com/calverinosantanael/docs/cs_2011_commodity_outlook_131210?showEmbed=true 

CPO Malaysia
http://issuu.com/calverinosantanael/docs/malaysia_cpo_291210 

Credit Suisse Monthly Report (Des - Jan 2011)
https://www.credit-suisse.com/uk/privatebanking/services/doc/research_monthly.pdf

Citigroup Investment Pulse 2011
http://www.pdf-finder.com/Global-equities-looking-to-advance-in-2011.html

Citigroup Commodity Pulse Des 2010
http://docs.google.com/gview?url=http://www.citibank.com.hk/global_docs/investments/invpul.pdf&chrome=true

UN: World Economic Situation and Prospects 2011
http://www.pdf-finder.com/World-Economic-Situation-and-Prospects-2011.html

Blackrock Equity Outlook 2011
http://www.globalinvestormagazine.com/Article/2740777/Regions/26312/Global-outlook-positive-despite-challenges.html

Morgan Stanley Economic Outlook
http://www.pdf-finder.com/Asset-Allocation-and-Strategy-Commentary.html

Morgan Stanley - Global Debates Playbook: 2011 Outlook, BNP Paribas, Merrill Lynch, Credit Suisse, JP Morgan are next

CLSA Fengshui Index 2010 Stock Chart + January Effect 2011

Next is Fengshui Metal Rabbitt Year 2011

From: one of the best analyst using W.D Gann Analysis in Singapore.

2009 Yin Earth Ox (Earth)
2010 Yang Metal Tiger (Wood)
2011 Yin Metal Rabbit (Wood)
2012 Yang Water Dragon (Earth)
2013 Yin Water Snake (Fire)
2014 Yang Wood Horse (Fire)
2015 Yin Wood Goat (Earth)
2016 Yang Fire Monkey (Metal)
2017 Yin Fire Roaster (Metal)

Jan 3 Weekly:

Fengshui: Market unlikely to see strength this week. Jan 3 & 7 likely volatile. 
Financial Astrology: Sharp decline likely ahead. Watch Jan 4 and 7.
Jan 4 2011 – Solar eclipse, New Moon, Jupiter Uranus Conjunction. 
Technical Analysis: US markets: Waiting for sell signals to confirm the start of Wave C down.

January: Earth Cow 04 January - 04 February
GOOD MONTH
Lucky days: 06, 11, 16, 18, 20, 23, 27 and 30 January
Unlucky days: 04, 09, 17, 21, 28 and 29 January; 02 February  
There’s a good bit of bounce left in the bourse (16 January looks especially scintillating) before the Metal Tiger taps the Metal Rabbit and hightails it. The bonny bunny will bring many more hop-portunities; in preparation, clear your closets of any clothing you’d think twice about wearing, and adopt a programme of vigorous and even violent exercise. This is a terrific time for travel, but don’t stray too far from home. It’s true that money can’t buy you love (except the sordid sort) but it’s jolly handy to have about. May the Metal Tiger pounce on plenty for you this year and fill your boots to the very top buckle. To paraphrase Blake: ‘Tiger, Tiger, earn me right . . .’

CLSA Feng Shui Market 2010:

http://www.ziddu.com/download/13314711/FSI-2010.pdf.html

Below is a summary of the forecasts for the possible end of Bear Market or start of next Bull Market:

1. The Joseph Cycle Analysis – 2014 bottom
2. Technical Analysis – 2014 to 2016 bottom
3. Financial or Stock Market Astrology Analysis – 2010 to 2015 bottom
4. Fengshui Analysis – 2014 start of Bull Market  

Summarise the forecast as follows:

1. About 8 years of general bear market (both commodities and equities)
2. Commodities likely to bottom in 2013
3. Stocks (nominal terms) likely to bottom in 2014
4. Stocks (real dollar terms) likely to bottom in 2016 

Info New Combo Technical Analysis 2011

Mulai Januari 2011, blog Globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com akan dihentikan, setelah mendapatkan banyak permintaan, CTA (Fundamental (Macro & Micro > valuasi) - Technical (Elliott wave/Gann/Market Profile/Dow Theory/7 Fibo) - Flowtist - Sentiment - Bandarmologi - Education) akan membuat web dengan format baru untuk member yang dikenakan charge, dengan keuntungan mengikuti free & seminar CTA (Khusus member CTA), discount untuk workshop CTA & private in house CTA, analisa CTA harian/mingguan/bulanan top 9 (termasuk on request: bobot 85% Saham - 5% indeks saham futures - 5% Forex - 5% Commodity), IPO (the 1st technical analysis in Indonesia), Special Report, Special Report dari analyst global (EW/Macro/Feng Shui/Astrology/Strategist), prediksi Bola (Piala Asia 2011/Sea Games 2011/Olimpiade 2012/Euro 2012/World Cup 2014, etc), konsultasi Q&A, hingga rekomendasi by SMS/BBM/YM (program berikutnya), konsultasi trading - investasi.

Harga Paket Member CTA: 

Paket 1 Bulan: Rp.    300.000
Paket 3 Bulan: Rp.    700.000
Paket 6 Bulan: Rp. 1.200.000

The Workshop Combo Technical Analysis (CTA) Saham:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/11/coming-soon-workshop-combo-technical.html
 

Untuk informasi lebih lanjut, dapat dilihat di blog ini (globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com).

The Last of Track Records Combo Technical Analysis 2010

IHSG Track Record (since end of March 2010) : 76 Recommendations (57 Profits: 3x (sebelumnya 26 x profit berturut-turut); 4 Break Even: 15 Loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p+74p+57p+35p+50p+50p-30P+20P+20P+35P+54P+60P+40P+58P+3P+50P+5P+55P+5P+55P+23P+60P+15P-45P+100P+85P+65P). Total : Net +2334 points = Average 30.71 point.

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DJIA Track record  (since end of March 2010) : 61 Recommendations (34 Profits: 27 Loss) (-65p-30p+370p + 280p+190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p+280p+198p+205p+110p-30p+70p+200p+150p-50p-30p-30p-30p+145p-50p-30p+175p-50p-50p-60p-50p-50p+225p+100p-55p+100p+380p+220p+230p-100p-60p+265p+20p+80P+90P+130P-30P+50P-50P-50P+100P+20P+225P+250P+180P-50P-50P-50P-50P+165P-50P-50P-50P-50P+170P+300P+200P+200P). Total Net +5.008 points = Average +79.49 points/trade.

                                                       **********

Hasil gross profit CTA di tahun 2010:
CTA Closing 08 Agustus (27 saham = +280% Yield) + CTA 2 September (+22 saham = +315%) + CTA Nov - Des (69 saham = +560% Yield) = Total +1.120% Yield.

Tidak termasuk :
*** Technical Chart Saham 2010:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/search/label/Technical%20Chart%20IPO

*** Technical Chart IPO:
http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/search/label/Technical%20Chart%20IPO

                                                     *********

Technical Chart Saham CTA Sebelumnya: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650) = Done

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Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah):  Total 69 Saham:

Hold Buy (56 Saham): AALI (24.200)/ADRO (2.400)/BUMI (2.850)BLTA (330)/MASA (320)/PBRX (1.270)/BNII (630-650)/KRAS (1.200)/BNBR (73)/JSMR (3.375)/BRAU (510)/CNKO (168)/ITMG (49.700)/SIPD (68)/ENRG (135)/UNSP (385)/ICBP (4.500-4.525)/SMCB (2.375-2.400)/BMTR (580-600)/CMNP (1.400)/DGIK (105-106)/ELSA (350)/TRUB (84/85)/SDRA (275)/DILD (410)/PNBN (1.120-1.130)/SOBI (3.300)/TPIA (3.000)/SMMA (1.980-2.000)/DOID (1.340-1.350)/TLKM (7.800)/ASII (49.650)/BUMI (2-2.850)/ADRO (2-2.500)/BMRI (6.250)/BBRI (10.000)/BBNI (3.650)/BDMN (5.600-5.650)/BBTN (1.570)/NIKL (420)/BWPT (1.150-1.160)/JPRS (560)/ADHI (900)/PTPP (750 & 780)/WIKA (690)/ELTY (155-158)/BHIT (160-163)/CTRA (335)/KRAS (1.150)/ASRI (290)/MLPL (295)/BBNI (3.850/3.875)/KKGI (3.600)/ASII (53.600)/BBRI (10.500/10.600).

Rec Loss (13 saham): ASII/BRNA/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP/CPIN/HEXA/BNGA/MPPA/MLPL

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07). 

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Pohon Saham Mania: globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com