The Combination of Technical-Analysis & Astrolo9y (CTA)

Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.

Friday, April 1, 2011

Lesson In Divergences Plus Trendline Breaks In Dollar March 31

It seems all traders seek to answer the same question: “When is this market likely to reverse?”

Newer traders tend to love “reversal” style strategies, wanting to enter as close as possible to a trend reversal in order to have the tightest stop and biggest target possible.

While no strategy can call a top or bottom all the time, one of the best ones I’ve found is to look for multi-swing divergences followed by a trendline break as a high probability, low-risk trigger for entry into a potential major shift in a market trend.

A Lesson from Charlie Sheen (about the Stock Market)

Maybe I am a fan of Charlie's because of his role in the movie Wall Street, which motivated my career in finance. Perhaps it's the fact that I have enjoyed his films and his comedy.

I have to admit that Mr. Sheen has been accused of (and is guilty of) actions that I do not approve of or condone, but what I have found interesting is undeniable about the man -- he speaks his truth! (As irrational as it may seem or offensive as it may be.)

Read More: http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/tpg/smart-investing-daily/smart-investing-032811.html

Beat the Stock Market by Following Five Simple Rules

Most investors operate on some variation of the "set it and forget it strategy."
And that's why - more often than not - they're surprised by the terrible things that happen to their money when the stock market stumbles.

But it doesn't have to be that way. Studies show you can dramatically boost your performance and potentially beat the stock market by following five simple rules.

@Advanced T.A: E.W+Wave MA+Gann+Moon Theory = An Overbought Intraday In Uptrend Momentum

Ahead of Full Moon 02/04:Potential for a further correction in DJIA tonite, limit upside momentum di IHSG early next week

IHSG 15 minutes: Upside momentum is valid in an overbought market.

IHSG 240 minutes: Ahead to test 81.6% at 3.830 for profit taking in an overbought

DJIA 15 minutes: A consolidation short-term in uptrend momentum

DJIA 240 Minutes: A further correction near term

Crude Oil 240 minutes: uptrend momentum increasing

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Avoid Financial Disasters With Trailing Stops

By Chuck LeBeau, SmartStops.net Director of Analytics (originally published Jan. 2009)

Think of all the retirement funds and college tuition money that has been needlessly lost in these few months. It’s a very sad scenario for average investors who are not Wall Street tycoons. However the saddest part is that the investors who lost all these billions and trillions of dollars could have avoided this disaster by simply using some logical form of trailing exit to protect their investments.

Buy and Hold is not only the riskiest possible strategy it doesn’t qualify to be called a strategy. Buy and Hold is actually the absence of any intelligent exit strategy and is mostly adopted by default. Buy and Hold is only recommended by unknowing pundits who are out of touch with the modern market place and are willing to advise their followers that taking unlimited risk and being in the market 100% of the time is a good idea. Obviously that mistaken advice has proven to be very costly.

Read More: http://www.dailymarkets.com/stock/2011/03/30/avoid-financial-disasters-with-trailing-stops/

Revolution Or Evolution In The World Oil Market?

By Bob van der Valk
Time has not made much of a difference since 2008...at least in the price of crude. The price for the U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil was $107 a barrel on September 28, 2008, vs. around $105 per barrel today.

On the other hand, the average price at the pump was $2.57 a gallon then, compared with the average is $3.58 per gallon today. The chart below shows the average price for the period from March 24, 2009 through March 24, 2011):

Wave M.A: A Strong Bullish Continuation Pattern After Breakout Consolidation

IHSG 60 Minutes

DJIA 60 Minutes

N225 60 Minutes

CRUDE OIL 60 Minutes

EUR-USD 60 Minutes

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Update Daily Investment News 30-03

Window Dresssing Effect's
2nd session on 30.03.11
@ 3640.97 (+49pts)(+1.377%)
H: 3641.84; L: 3591.52
Value: 4.74 T (NG 330 B )
Volume: 3.98 B (NG 454 M)
Foreign Nett Buy: 162 B
USD/IDR: 8716

10 most active stocks by value:
BUMI @ 3350 (+2.29%)
BMRI @ 6500 (+1.56%)
TLKM @ 7200 (+2.85%)
UNTR @ 21750 (+0.46%)
BBNI @ 3900 (+3.31%)
ASII @ 56250 (+2.83%)
ADRO @ 2225 (-2.19%)
INDF @ 5350 (+2.88%)
BJBR @1230 (+1.65%)
BBTN @ 1610 (+2.54%)

CNBC Poll: Is The US Stock Market Rally Over?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42072248

Look Ahead: Jobs on the Horizon as Market Drifts Higher Into Quarter-End
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42328971

What Does Third Year of Bull Market Mean for Economy?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42320253

Next Resistance Target Level for Euro Dollar Near $1.49: Charts
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42317211

Tech Bubble? Investing Like It’s 1999
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42303224/

The Warren Buffett And Anne Hathaway Trade
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42305525

Wall Street is Back — Just Look at Their Faces
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42197630

Five Things to Watch - IPO Frenzy, Rising Market and More
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42330250

Cramer Explains What's Key to This Market
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42321840

Are S&P Gains Anything Other Than Window Dressing?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42321315

S&P 500’s Rebound at Average Is Bullish Sign: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=awwX3V6zLg.g

Euro Faces Decline If It Closes at Key Level, RBC Says: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-29/euro-faces-decline-if-it-closes-at-key-level-rbc-says-technical-analysis.html

China Stocks’ ‘Sideways’ Trading Nears End, BGC Says: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-29/china-stocks-sideways-trading-nears-end-bgc-says-technical-analysis.html

Euro May Extend Its Recent Decline, Commerzbank Says: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-28/euro-may-extend-its-recent-decline-commerzbank-says-technical-analysis.html

Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
Today's support: - 1.4040 and 1.4023(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.3996, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.3973. Break of the latter would result in 1.3916. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.3892. Continuation will give 1.3863. Today's resistance: - 1.4136, 1.4182 and 1.4226(main). Break would give 1.4244, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4275. Break of the latter would result in 1.4308. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.4331. Continuation will give 1.4356.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 81.67 and 81.43(main). Break would bring 81.20, where correction is possible. Then 780.78, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 80.55. If a strong impulse, we would see 80.13. Continuation would give 79.74. Today's resistance: - 82.80(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 82.01, where also a correction may be. Then 83.23. If a strong impulse, we would see 83.54. Continuation will give 83.68.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 12180.70, 12150.00 and 12135.72(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 12096.32, where correction also can be. Then follows 12060.00. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 1210.51. Continuation will bring 11968.24. Today's resistance: - 12277.26 and 12295.23(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 12324.40, where a correction may happen. Then follows 12350.44, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 12388.27. Continuation would bring 12425.63 and 12453.72

Daily Forex Technicals | Written by Admiral Markets The Daily Wave Analysis
Currency pair EUR/USD
Presumably, the wave (a) the correctional wave [iv] of C is formed. Probably it becomes the Triple Zigzag (wedge?) in which frameworks the price has started formation of the Zigzag z of (a). If the assumption is true, within the limits of its terminations movement of the price still will proceed, then it is possible to expect growth as construction of the correctional wave (b) of [iv].

Currency pair GBP/USD.
Presumably, the impulse (a) of [iv] in which frameworks of the complete the correctional wave iv of (a) is formed. If the assumption is true, the wave v of (a) already develops. Probably, it becomes the Diagonal Triangle. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its complete set movement downward still will proceed.

Currency pair USD/JPY.
Presumably, the impulse [5] of v of (c) of [ii] is formed. Now it is close to end. If the assumption is true, in the near future it is necessary to expect the turn of pair downward within the limits of the beginning of development of the wave [iii] of 5. At the same time the price comes nearer to critical level that forces to hold near at hand the alternative variant of the labelling.

By Peter Turville-Ince - Compass Global Markets
We remain neutral as range trading persists and no real direction can be seen until the release of payrolls data on Friday in the US. Support at $1,410 continues to limit any downside so Gold still remains well supported. We look to employ a two sided strategy being either sell a break and close below $1,400 or buy a break and close above $1,436. Until then we remain on the sidelines until we see the next move which will be guided by payrolls data on Friday. Compass Direction – NEUTRAL

Long-Term Investing Strategies: The Final Four Ways to Invest in Global Demographic Trends

Stock-market icon Warren Buffett once said that "our favorite holding period is forever."

Clearly, if you want to be a stock-market winner, you need to find profit opportunities that offer a predictable, long-term payoff. And one of the best ways to do that is to capitalize on global demographic trends.

Top 30 Growth Stocks Hedge Funds Are Crazy About

Long/short hedge funds are generally value investors. When they buy, they want to pay less than what a stock is worth. This doesn’t mean that hedge funds don’t invest in growth stocks with high PE ratios. Last summer, David Einhorn bought more than 800 thousand shares of Apple (AAPL), arguing that the stock’s PE ratio is extremely low compared to its growth prospects. Einhorn paid less than $250 per Apple share. There are several growth stocks that hedge funds think are undervalued.

Read More: http://seekingalpha.com/article/260604-top-30-growth-stocks-hedge-funds-are-crazy-about

Wave M.A: Some Consolidation Mode Short-Term, In Uptrend Mode Pattern

IHSG 240 Minutes: Adam & Eve Pattern

DJIA 240 Minutes: Bullish Channel

GBP-USD 240 Minutes: Broadening Pattern

OIL 240 Minutes: Double Top Pattern

GOLD 240 Minutes: Double Top Pattern

N225 240 Minutes: Megaphone Pattern

HSI 240 Minutes: Falling Wedge

@ASII vs BUMI (2) = A Bullish Continuation Mode For Med-Term & Long-Term

ASII

BUMI

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Optimistic Investors and Eager Fund Managers Will Fuel Global Market Growth

Despite a significant amount of global turmoil, markets are surging ahead and giving interested investors nice returns. Stocks motored briskly higher over the past week with a devil-may-care attitude, shrugging off renewed concerns about European debt, bad news on the nuclear emergency in Japan, intensified air-to-ground fighting in Libya, renewed unrest in Syria and several undesirable data points on the U.S. economic recovery.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.05%, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 2.7%, the Nasdaq Composite rose 3.7% and the Russell 2000 small-caps rose 3.7%. Growth mid-caps, our favorite cross-market group, climbed 3.2%.

"Blood in The Streets" As QE2 Could End in April?

By Dian L. Chu, EconMatters
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard, when speaking to reporters in France on March 26, stated,

“If the economy is as strong as I think it is, then I think it may be reasonable to send a signal to markets that we’re going to start withdrawing our stimulus, and I’d start by pulling up a little bit short on the QE2 program… We can’t be as accommodative as we are today for too long, we’ll create a lot of inflation if we do that.”

So, it seems that QE2 will get a serious review during the Federal Reserve`s April meeting, and could be cut short by two months in order to send financial markets the message that they will not allow inflation to get out of control (See chart below comparing the Dollar Index to Crude, Silver, and Copper post Bernanke's Jackson Hole Speech on Aug. 28 2010).

Read More: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/03/blood-in-streets-as-qe2-could-end-in.html

The Commodities Boom of 2011: Coal Will Be the New Gold

The run-up in commodities prices has been a long one. And it shows no signs of abating.

As a Money Morning reader, you know that we predicted this run-up. Back in October 2007, for instance, we told readers to buy gold - when it was trading at $770 an ounce. Those of you who followed our advice have done quite well. But now it's time to make a new prediction. The run-up in commodities prices isn't going to end. But it is going to change.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/02/23/commodities-boom-2011-coal-will-be-the-new-gold/

@The Powerful Basic Indicator To Be Treated As An Advance Indicator

IHSG 15 Minutes (EW+DOW Theory+Wave M.A+Moon Circle): Downside pressure is limited

DJIA 15 Minutes

N225 15 Minutes

HSI 15 Minutes

Oil 15 Minutes

Monday, March 28, 2011

The Time Factor With Compound Interest

Compounding interest is a interest that’s paid on interest that’s already been earned. When you put money into certain types of accounts and investments, that money earns interest at a certain rate.

The interest you earn in the first year is added to the total balance and that new balance earns interest in the second year. So, you’re earning interest on money you never even contributed – your interest has compounded.

Read More: http://interestrates.us/the-time-factor-with-compound-interest/

Why Japan is a "Buy"

By Martin Hutchinson, Contributing Editor, Money Morning
With a magnitude of 9.0, the March 11 earthquake in Japan was the worst in that country's 300-year history and was the fifth-worst the world has ever seen.

That trembler, coupled with the devastating tsunami that followed, ignited a flurry of fears and caused a two-day sell-off that sent Japanese stocks down 17%. The sell-off wiped out more than $650 billion in shareholder wealth.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/03/18/why-japan-is-a-buy/