Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (13 - 12): Window Dressing Still Support IHSG, Counter China's Effect

IHSG diperkirakan masih mendapatkan support dari ekspektasi window dressing masih berlanjut dan meredanya ketegangan di semenanjung Korea dan kekhawatiran China akan menaikkan suku bunga di akhir pekan lalu, membaiknya data ekonomi AS (sentimen MCHIGAN meningkat ke level tertinggi 6 bulan (sebelumnya jobless claims merosot tajam di pekan lalu), di tengah kondisi technical overbought dan menunjukkan signal koreksi intraday (4-jam chart), diikuti kekhawatiran kenaikan suku bunga China dalam waktu dekat setelah data inflasi China melonjak 5.1% (melampaui perkiraan 4.7%), meski PBOC China menaikkan giro wajib minimum sebesar 50 bsp pada 20 Desember mendatang, seharusnya mendukung momentum kenaikan IHSG di awal pekan ini dan membatasi potensi penurunan akibat aksi profit-taking. Trend kenaikan harga komoditas diperkirakan masih akan menopang kinerja sektor pertambangan dan energi.  IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.720-3.770.   

Trading Buy : KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM
Trading Buy: BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNII
Buy : ASII, UNTR, AALI
Hold: Telekomunikasi: ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR
Trading Buy: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Buy on weakness : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Trading Buy: CPO: LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Trading Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Buy on weakness:  BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Trading Buy MLPL/MPPA/ELSA/BNLI/BNII/BNGA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/ICBP/INDF/UNVR/CPIN/JPFA/MAPI/MYOR/GJTL
Buy on weakness: MRYX/BHIT/BBNI/TLKM/

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (09/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB  & Movers & Shakers (10/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision) 

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 13-12 (BBNI/UNTR/MPPA/META) 

Technical Chart Saham CTA: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650) = Done

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Hold Buy (27 Saham): AALI/ADRO/BUMI/ENRG/UNSP/BLTA/MASA/PBRX/BRNA/BNII/TRUB/KRAS/BNBR/HEXA/JSMR/BRAU/DOID/CNKO/ITMG/SIPD/ICBP/SMCB/CMNP/DGIK/ELSA/CPIN/BNGA. Rec Loss (6 saham): ASII/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT.

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07). 

From Chat Roll:  

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100 
08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)
(22/10): 3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html

Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700. (Reach Target Profit)
Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AMAndri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880 (Stop loss done).
Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AMAndri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania 
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com