Jika anda ingin mendapatkan hasil seperti dibawah ini, ikuti workshop CTA "9 Methods of Simple & Powerful TA" 16-17 Juli 2011.
Track Records CTA Strategy:
CMNP, LCGP hari ini rally +22% sempat menyentuh 82 (Technical lebih dulu memberikan signal potensi rally ketimbang news & fundamental).
08/07: @CTA Strategy: Hold Buy 27 (ITMG+IMAS+SGRO) saham, hanya 2 saham underperform (EKAD-GREN) = Akurasi > +90%
HOLD BUY 27 saham 2nd liners (target ada di artikel sebelumnya 23/24 Juni): SIPD/RUIS/CMNP/EKAD/JPRS/LCGP/INTA/MASA/DOID/CFIN/JTPE/CNKO/IPOL/MICE/GREN/BJBR/BORN/CMNP-DOID (01-07)/GJTL-CPIN-BUMI (05-07). @ADMG buy breakout 620 target 670 (tercapai sesi 2 06/07)/780/850 selama diatas 450/460; @MNCN Buy 960/970 target 1.150 stop dibawah 900; 07/07 @IMAS buy breakout 8.900 target 9.400/10.700; 10.44 WIB @ITMG Buy breakout 46.100 target 48.000 selama diatas 44.850 Done; 08/07 @SGRO Buy target 3.600, add buy jika tembus target 3.950 selama diatas 3.300.
2nd session on JCI 11.07.11
@ 3,995.587 (-8.104pts) (-0.202%)
H: 4,002.759 ; L: 3,971.315
Value: 4.38 T (NG 766 B )
Volume: 3.68 B (NG 760 M )
Foreign Nett Buy: 61 B
5 most active stocks by value:
ASII @ 68,000 (+0.29%)
BMRI @ 7,700 (+1.32%)
ITMG @ 47,750 (+1.27%)
BUMI @ 3,000 (-0.83%)
IMAS @ 10,300 (+4.57%)
5 most active stocks by volume:
LCGP @ 76 (+22.58%)
ENRG @ 197 (-1.50%)
DEWA @ 105 (+1.94%)
KIJA @ 156 (+1.30%)
TRAM @ 600 (-1.64%)
5 most up:
LCGP @ 76 (+22.58%)
LPCK @ 670 (+11.67%)
AMRT @ 4,000 (+11.11%)
MFMI @ 325 (+10.17%)
LION @ 5,700 (+7.55%)
5 most down:
GSMF @ 80 (-21.57%)
TIFA @ 260 (-16.13%)
ARGO @ 900 (-10.00%)
WOMF @ 425 (-9.57%)
LAMI @ 190 (-9.52%)
5 Leading Movers:
BMRI @ 7,700 (+2.70%)
AMRT @ 4,000 (+1.60%)
BBRI @ 6,850 (+1.43%)
HRUM @ 10,100 (+1.42%)
AUTO @ 4,075 (+1.13%)
5 Lagging Movers:
TLKM @ 7,050 (-3.53%)
GGRM @ 49,650 (-3.03%)
ADRO @ 2,575 (-0.93%)
SMGR @ 9,800 (-0.69%)
INTP @ 16,700 (-0.64%)
Rgds, Nadya Isnaeni Data administrator Research Dept BNI Securities
Despite Jobs Disappointment, Buffett Still Doesn't Expect Double-Dip
http://www.cnbc.com/id/43684048
Stocks Set for Gains as Earnings Begin: HSBC Analysts
http://www.cnbc.com/id/43708990
Whatever Happens, Commodities Win: Jim Rogers
http://www.cnbc.com/id/43708130
Turun 8 Poin, IHSG Tinggalkan Level 4.000
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/07/11/160621/1678941/6/turun-8-poin-ihsg-tinggalkan-level-4000
Asing Net Buy, IHSG Ditutup hanya Turun 0,2%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1688582/asing-net-buy-ihsg-ditutup-hanya-turun-02
Asing getol lepas TLKM, GGRM, dan ADRO di sesi kedua
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1310377050/72549/Asing-getol-lepas-TLKM-GGRM-dan-ADRO-di-sesi-kedua
Indonesia Stocks: Darma Henwa, Laguna, Medco, Sampoerna Agro
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-07-11/indonesia-stocks-astra-agro-medco-energi-internasional-timah.html
SAHAM LCGP
Dikabarkan bakal bangun superblok, saham LCGP meroket 23%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1310374974/72545/Dikabarkan-bakal-bangun-superblok-saham-LCGP-meroket-23
Saham LCGP Teraktif Diperdagangkan Hari Ini
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1688692/saham-lcgp-teraktif-diperdagangkan-hari-ini
Bloomberg: Laguna Plans 2.5 Trillion Rupiah Property Project, Detik Reports
Bloomberg: Palm Oil Falls as Much as 0.3% to 3,068 Ringgit a Metric Ton
Inilah Strategi Analis di Tengah Koreksi Bursa
11Jul11 RTRS-INDONESIA'S TELKOM SAYS OPENS TO POSSIBILITY OF MERGER BETWEEN FLEXI AND INDOSAT'S STARONE
(Reuters) - Telekomunikasi Indonesia , Indonesia's biggest telecoms firm, is open to the possibility of a merger between its CDMA unit Telkomflexi and Indosat 's CDMA unit StarOne, Telkom's CEO Rinaldi Firmansyah said on Monday
REMINDER:::ITMG: Cash cow – BUY – Tp56,000
There is lot of concern with ITM’s low reserve life. However, we feel that the issue has been a bit overblown as the company has plenty of resource. In fact, ITM is sitting on 61% of Indonesia’s known high calorific value coal resource. It is just a matter of cash mgmt as to when to convert to reserves. With high energy coal, a control on costs and no debt ITM is poised to continue generating strong cashflow. We expect higher dividends are here to stay as parent Banpu adds to its coal portfolio elsewhere. BUY (CLSA-KZ)
Bakrieland (ELTY IJ) Update. Bakrieland is targeting to reach an agreement with strategic partner for its Kuningan project by the end of the July. Bakrieland’s Kuningan project is built on a 54ha, of which only 30ha is already developed. (CLSA-KZ)
Purimas Tambah Kepemilikan di SMART
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1687612/purimas-tambah-kepemilikan-di-smart
Agustus, BKSL akan Rights Issue di Rp117/Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1688032/agustus-bksl-akan-rights-issue-di-rp117saham
Telkom Cari Investor Lain Pembeli Patrakom
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1688362/telkom-cari-investor-lain-pembeli-patrakom
Prospek panen kedelai lebih rendah, CPO lanjut reli hari ketiga
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1310367869/72530/Prospek-panen-kedelai-lebih-rendah-CPO-lanjut-reli-hari-ketiga
Pefindo berikan outlook AA untuk JSMR dan FIF
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1310362952/72515/Pefindo-berikan-outlook-AA-untuk-JSMR-dan-FIF
REMINDER:::ITMG: Cash cow – BUY – Tp56,000
There is lot of concern with ITM’s low reserve life. However, we feel that the issue has been a bit overblown as the company has plenty of resource. In fact, ITM is sitting on 61% of Indonesia’s known high calorific value coal resource. It is just a matter of cash mgmt as to when to convert to reserves. With high energy coal, a control on costs and no debt ITM is poised to continue generating strong cashflow. We expect higher dividends are here to stay as parent Banpu adds to its coal portfolio elsewhere. BUY (CLSA-KZ)
Bakrieland (ELTY IJ) Update. Bakrieland is targeting to reach an agreement with strategic partner for its Kuningan project by the end of the July. Bakrieland’s Kuningan project is built on a 54ha, of which only 30ha is already developed. (CLSA-KZ)
Purimas Tambah Kepemilikan di SMART
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1687612/purimas-tambah-kepemilikan-di-smart
Agustus, BKSL akan Rights Issue di Rp117/Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1688032/agustus-bksl-akan-rights-issue-di-rp117saham
Telkom Cari Investor Lain Pembeli Patrakom
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1688362/telkom-cari-investor-lain-pembeli-patrakom
Prospek panen kedelai lebih rendah, CPO lanjut reli hari ketiga
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1310367869/72530/Prospek-panen-kedelai-lebih-rendah-CPO-lanjut-reli-hari-ketiga
Pefindo berikan outlook AA untuk JSMR dan FIF
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1310362952/72515/Pefindo-berikan-outlook-AA-untuk-JSMR-dan-FIF
Agenda 11 Juli Cum dev ctrs 13, cum dev ctrp 7, cum dev mtdl 4, cum dev sona 91
Bloomberg: Indonesia June Tin Exports Rise to 10,875.2 Tons From Month Ago
Indonesia Stocks: Astra Agro, Medco Energi Internasional, Timah
Aksi Beli Selektif Tahan Pelemahan IHSG
IHSG Sesi I Masih Tertahan di Zona Merah. Net foreign buy Rp51,54 miliar.
Sesi Dua : Cermati Saham Berfundamental Positif
Harga timah anjlok, saham TINS koreksi tertajam dalam enam bulan terakhir
Jual anak usaha, saham DEWA naik tertajam dalam tiga pekan terakhir
Hingga semester pertama, TLKM sudah realisasikan 40% capex
Reli SGRO yang terbesar di sektor perkebunan
Akuisisi IDKM tinggal menunggu tender offer
Telkom tawarkan opsi tukar guling Telkomsel
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1310351868/72479/Telkom-tawarkan-opsi-tukar-guling-Telkomsel
Tunas Baru Lampung Investasi Kebun Rp 300 Miliar
Jamsostek Cs Bakal Digabung, Pemerintah Janji Tak Ada PHK
Laguna Cipta Griya Siapkan Superblok Rp 2,5 Triliun
Kimia Farma Siap Tambah Saham di Anak Usahanya
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/07/11/278/478329/kimia-farma-siap-tambah-saham-di-anak-usahanya
Lebaran & Puasa Bakal Paksa BI Naikkan BI Rate
Bloomberg: Darma Gains Most in Three Weeks After Report on Unit’s Sale
Bloomberg: Sampoerna Agro Rises, Leading Planters, as CIMB Forecasts Gain
Asian Stocks Fall, Euro Drops on Australia Bond Risk
Initiate with a Buy rating; PO Rp450/shr
We initiate coverage on Alam Sutera (ASRI), an Indonesian residential township developer, with a Buy rating and PO of Rp450/shr (potential upside 36%). We are positive on the Jakarta property market, supported by our expectations of a longterm structural uptrend. We like ASRI for its strategic land bank and compelling valuation. ASRI replaces Summarecon (SMRA) as our top pick in the Indonesian property sector. (Merrill Lynch)
Target CIMB::Ace ACES IJ O 3,000 3,700 604 21.4 16.6 27.4 4.5 22.0 1.7
Astra ASII IJ O 67,800 70,000 32,238 16.2 14.4 15.2 4.6 31.0 2.4
Gudang Garam GGRM IJ O 51,000 56,500 11,526 20.1 16.7 19.3 4.2 21.8 2.5
ICBP ICBP IJ N 5,700 5,900 3,904 18.0 16.9 12.6 3.3 19.4 2.1
Indofood INDF IJ O 5,850 6,300 6,033 16.6 15.8 9.8 2.7 17.2 2.3
Kalbe KLBF IJ N 3,625 3,800 4,324 21.8 19.0 15.2 5.4 27.0 1.9
Mayora MYOR IJ O 14,000 17,400 1,261 23.2 16.1 20.1 4.6 21.3 0.9
Mitra MAPI IJ O 4,250 4,250 829 24.6 19.6 N/A 4.1 17.9 0.3
MDRN MDRN IJ O 2,250 3,000 169 45.9 22.5 131.1 3.5 15.2 0.9
Ramayana RALS IJ O 800 1,100 667 13.3 11.2 15.3 1.9 15.2 3.1
Bloomberg: Bank Indonesia to Hold Interest Rate Meeting Tomorrow as Planned
Courtesy of Kim Eng Sec Daily News
Bloomberg: Palm Oil Gains as Much as 0.5% to 3,092 Ringgit a Metric Ton
Adaro Energy, Bumi Resources, Telkom: Indonesia Equity Preview
INILAH.COM, Jakarta - Sejumlah fund manager asing dikabarkan memburu saham PT Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL), menyusul rencana perseroan menambah kapasitas pabrik. Hal itu dilakukan untuk merespons lonjakan permintaan, salah satunya dari Phillip Morris. Selain itu, seorang pelaku pasar menyatakan perseroan akan membagi dividen dalam waktu dekat, sehingga harga saham bisa menyentuh Rp500. Pada perdagangan akhir pekan, saham IPOL ditutup menguat Rp5 ke level Rp220.
• Overweight consumer & banks; coal fundamentals should shine We like Mandiri, BTN and Bukopin. Given the potential for rising coal prices, our picks are Harum, PTBA and BORN. Physical property price surges of 30% p.a. in the past two years have yet to show in share prices, but fundamentals are filtering through. We like CTRA and ASRI. Key neutrals are telco (lack of catalysts) and cement (valuations and normalising growth).
Astra ASII IJ O 67,800 70,000 32,238 16.2 14.4 15.2 4.6 31.0 2.4
Alam Sutera ASRI IJ O 330 460 692 12.2 8.6 44.1 2.2 20.0 2.2
Bukopin BBKP IJ O 720 1,200 672 8.9 7.3 16.9 1.3 18.0 2.6
BTN BBTN IJ O 1,800 2,800 1,862 14.7 11.8 28.5 2.2 16.3 2.0
Mandiri BMRI IJ O 7,600 9,300 20,828 15.7 11.3 26.2 2.9 26.5 2.7
Borneo Lumbung BORN IJ O 1,440 2,050 2,992 12.2 7.9 89.6 3.0 27.3 0.4
Ciputra CTRA IJ O 470 505 837 23.7 15.2 42.7 1.4 6.0 1.3
Gudang Garam GGRM IJ O 51,000 56,500 11,526 20.1 16.7 19.3 4.2 21.8 2.5
HRUM HRUM IJ O 9,650 12,000 3,060 14.1 10.9 33.3 9.8 74.7 2.5
Indofood INDF IJ O 5,850 6,300 6,033 16.6 15.8 9.8 2.7 17.2 2.3
Mayora MYOR IJ O 14,000 17,400 1,261 23.2 16.1 20.1 4.6 21.3 0.9
Bukit Asam PTBA IJ O 21,500 26,000 5,819 13.2 10.7 37.3 5.5 48.8 2.0
Trades of the Day...
Fundamentally:
CIMB mempertahankan rating OVERWEIGHT untuk JCI dengan target index tetap di 4370. JCI mengalami rebound pesat pada 2Q mayoritas dipimpin oleh saham big caps khususnya perbankan dan consumer sector, menutup 1H11 dengan 10% gain, 5% karena Rupiah. Inflasi yang turun menjadi katalis. 2Q earning mungkin kurang menarik namun 3Q membawa upside. Pertumbuhan FY11-12 sebesar 20-25% lebih cepat dari rata-rata 8 tahun sebesar 18%. Kami tetap OVERWEIGHT untuk sector consumer, bank, coal. Kami Neutral untuk sector telco (kurangnya katalis) dan cement (pertumbuhan mulai melambat)
CIMB mempertahankan rating OUTPERFORM untuk Sampoerna Agro (SGRO) dengan target harga Rp4100, masih berdasarkan 14.5x PER target (10% discount dari AALI).
Bloomberg: United Tractors Injects $100 Million Capital Into Mining Unit
Bloomberg: Telkom Indonesia’s First-Half Revenue May Rise 7%, Bisnis Says.
BLOOMBERG: *INDONESIA, THAILAND, TURKEY STOCKS RAISED TO `NEUTRAL' AT CITI
Bloomberg: Indonesia May Refrain From Raising Rates on Slowing Inflation
Rekomendasi Saham
IHSG Bakal Kena Serangan Profit Taking
IHSG diprediksi cenderung melemah
PROYEKSI IHSG & RUPIAH
IHSG berpotensi koreksi
Inilah Saham Pilihan Senin (11/7)
Setelah IHSG Lewati 4.000, Lalu?
Nama Besar Tak Tentukan Harga Saham
KRAS Dapat Pinjaman, Harga Akan Naik ke Rp1.300
SAHAM PT KMI Wire & Cable Tbk (KBLI) disebut-sebut bakal menembus level Rp 300 dalam waktu dekat. Saat ini, investor asing asal Thailand berniat membeli saham perseroan di harga premium. Selain itu, dari keterangan beberapa pelaku pasar, perseroan telah meraih order pengadaan kabel dari BUMN ternama
Palm oil player PT BW Plantation Tbk (BWPT), that is controlled by Widodo family, reported a 53.89% increase in fresh fruit bunch (FFB) output as of May 2011. BW Plantation also recorded 207,991 tons FFB in 5M 2011, 55,68% from 135,151 tons in 5M 2010, said the company in an official disclusure submitted to Indonesia Stock Exchange today.
CPO production rose 55.68% to 48,425 tons from 31,105 tons. How about the first half performance of this year?
PT Asia Leisure Network has disposed 324.02 million shares or 11.34% of outstanding shares in PT Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA), hotel provider, at Rp400 a share. Asia Leisure sold its shareholding in Bukit Uluwatu on June 28 of 50 million shares and June 30 of 274.02 million shares.The shares disposal is intended to realize investment in Bukit Uluwatu.
Saham MNCN Bisa Naik 20 Persen Lagi
ELTY Harap Gandeng Mitra Strategis pada Juli
Asing Menguasai Kepemilikan Efek Sebesar 59,69%
GPRA Realisasikan Capex Rp8Miliar
TLKM Prediksi Pendapatan Naik 4% pada Semester I
Trading dan Selective Buying Atas Saham Bluechips
IHSG dalam Kondisi Prima
Inflasi Terkendali, BI Rate Bakal Tetap Ditahan di 6,75%
Emas Masih Dianggap Investasi Terbaik
Citigroup pangkas proyeksi indeks emerging market di akhir 2011
PROYEKSI SEKTOR PROPERTI
Lahan populer, harga terus naik
Emisi efek di semester dua tetap ramai
GPRA baru realisasi 20% anggaran
UNTR siapkan US$ 100 juta untuk Tuah Turangga
TLKM buyback saham publik di harga Rp 7.160 per saham
TLKM seleksi financial advisor asing untuk rencana buyback saham Telkomsel
Semester dua, BUMN akan jalankan 63 proyek MP3EI
Genjot bisnis pengeboran laut dalam, WINS tambah satu platform supply vessel
DEWA menjual anak usaha untuk melunasi utang
Berbisnis ayam dari hulu sampai hilir
WIKA dan TINS bikin pabrik aspal]
Ekstra waspada setelah indeks saham menembus 4.000
Semester I 2011, pasar modal himpun dana Rp 49, 27 triliun dan US$ 50 juta
DEWA divestasi Coal Vista Resources senilai US$ 80 juta
Asia Leisure Network lepas 11,34% saham BUVA
Solusi Tunas akan lepas 17% saham ke publik
9 Emiten ikut roadshow BEI bersama Daiwa
Alfatih rekomendasikan cermati saham ANTM, POLY, BMRI
Stocks ended lower Friday following a dismal government employment report, but still closed higher for the second week ahead of the widely-anticipated earnings season.
Dow. 12657.20. -62.29. -0.49%
Nasdaq. 2859.81. -12.85. -0.45%
S&P 500. 1343.80. -9.42. -0.7%
FTSE. 5990.58. -63.97. -1.06%
Dax. 7402.73. -68.71. -0.92%
CAC40. 3913.55. -66.41. -1.67%. Oil. 96.20. -2.47. -2.50%
Gold. 1541.600+11.000+0.77%
Rupiah. 8515
Euro. 1.4266
TLKM. 33.67. -0.12. -0.36%. Rp7168
ISAT. 30.15. -0.02. -0.07%. Rp5135
BumiPLC 1110.00.-31.00. -2.72%
EIDO. 32.92. +0.22. +0.67%
Timah. 26800. -500. -1.83%
Nickel. 23825. +50. +0.04%
CPOSep3077RM+22RM+0.72%$1030
Corn. 637.500.+21.500+3.49%
SoybeanOil.57.310. -0.320. -0.56%
Wheat. 651.250.+16.750+2.64%
Coal 8 Jul 122.45 vs.120.90(1 Jul)
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