UNVR (09-10) Secara teknikal UNVR masih berada dalam trend bullish, karena masih berada di atas middle channel line weekly di 9,350, breakout pola flag pekan lalu (target = 14,835:panjang 12100-7500; 4500 +10335),stochastic weekly crossover, volume menunjukkan kenaikan pada pekan ini, penutupan di 11,000 (Fibonacci Retracement 23.6% 12100-7500), seharusnya membatasi potensi penurunan dengan support di 10,325. Potensi kenaikan dilihat dari pola candle long bullish, terutama jika ditutup diatas 11,200 (middle line channel minor) untuk target 12,100 (highest)/13,050 (FR 123.6)/14,800 (FR 161.8/target breakout Flag). Tetapi skenario tersebut dapat gagal, jika UNVR breakout dan tutup dibawah 10,325 (38.2% FB), target 9,250 (61.8 FR)/bahkan 7500 (low 04/08). Hitungan EW menunjukkan koreksi wave b/4 dalam wave B, yang seharusnya masih mendukung potensi final wave impulse 5 di kisaran 0.618 x wave 3 (7500-12100) di 13,050 maksmial 14,800. Rekomendasi Buy 10,750-11,000 target 12,100 stop loss 10,400. Buy breakout 12,150 target 13,050/14,800. Short jika breakout 10,150 target 9,250/7,500 (cover buy back). Disc On. Good Luck.
Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.
Sunday, October 11, 2009
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