The Combination of Technical-Analysis & Astrolo9y (CTA)

Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.

Saturday, August 13, 2011

Kalender Ekonomi & Event (15-19 August 2011): (B)ear Market Rally Continue Ahead of Half Moon Attack

Lunar Cycle 15-19 Agustus 2011

Solar/Sun Cycle: Upside(%) Pressure is Limited

Kalender Ekonomi & Event: WIB +11 Jam
http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Investors Could Be in for More Stock Market Vertigo in Week Ahead
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44128950

Inflation Probably Stabilized in July
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-14/inflation-in-u-s-probably-began-stabilizing-in-july-backing-fed-forecast.html

Friday, August 12, 2011

Mission 4 Done. Join Me To Be The 1st To Know When Market Rally / Crash!!!

Join Me In Workshop Combo Technical Analysis HITSAHAM September 2011 Before "A Very Dangerous Blue Moon's To Come"

Workshop CTA HITSAHAM II (Jkt) & III (Sby) Sept 2011:
Get Opportunity (Profits) In A Volatile Market

Recorded To Predict A Potential Bear Market Rally (888)

Published In Media (MNC Indovision Ch 95-99/Trust/Jakarta Globe):
To Sell IHSG at 3.170 (28/07)/ Buy Nekad (08/08)

Rekomendasi Buy Nekad I & II
(Disaat IHSG Pre-Crash +603 Points; Predict 12/08; IHSG Close Above 3.888)
http://hitsaham.blogspot.com/2011/08/rekomendasi-buy-nekad-i-ii.html

Track Record in Rally & Crash 2011 (January - May - July)
Cuci Gudang 28-29 Juli 56 Rekomendasi BUY Saham Pilihan
http://hitsaham.blogspot.com/search/label/Track%20Record%20CTA

Gold’s Luck Is About To Run Out

Gold hit $1805 tonight in trading, a Fibonacci Fractal figure I gave out a few weeks ago as a possible top. We are close to a near term high in Gold and Investors should be trimming back positions on this run. Back as recently as $1600 an ounce I forecasted a run to $1805 for Gold using fractal and wave analysis and behavioral patterns, now that we hit that figure it’s time to update the cycle and where we are.

Read More: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/08/chartmatters-golds-luck-is-about-to-run.html

Gold’s Three Push Divergences Into 1800
Intraday traders had a great example of the “Three Push” pattern complete with multi-swing negative divergences into an overhead “Round Number” resistance level in Gold.

Read More: http://www.dailymarkets.com/stock/2011/08/11/gold%E2%80%99s-three-push-divergences-into-1800/

Game, Set & Match For Gold
I have been waiting for confirmation on the daily chart of Gold from the True Strength Index (TSI) indicator and minutes ago I got it. If gold should bounce back up to new highs, which is always a possibility, it will likely give a additional negative divergence SELL signal. But more likely, once the parabola pops, it pops.

Read More: http://www.dailymarkets.com/stock/2011/08/11/game-set-match-for-gold/

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 12-08 (Refresh)

Dana Asing Keluar, Laju IHSG Terhambat. net foreign sell Rp336,46 miliar.
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764669/dana-asing-keluar-laju-ihsg-terhambat

Akhir pekan, asing kembali memborong bluechips
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313140989/75321/Akhir-pekan-asing-kembali-memborong-bluechips

Kekhawatiran Krisis Global Reda, IHSG Menguat 21 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/12/160846/1702618/6/kekhawatiran-krisis-global-reda-ihsg-menguat-21-poin

Ria Citra Jual Saham Sona Topas ke DFS Hong Hong
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764659/ria-citra-jual-saham-sona-topas-ke-dfs-hong-hong

Respon Short Selling, Bursa Eropa Mixed
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764644/respon-short-selling-bursa-eropa-mixed

KBUMN Tunda Rights Isuee Bank BTN
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764632/kbumn-tunda-rights-isuee-bank-btn

Bapepam Proses Penawaran Tender Saham AIMS
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764615/bapepam-proses-penawaran-tender-saham-aims

Asuransi China Investasi US$1,6 M ke Bursa Lokal
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764603/asuransi-china-investasi-us16-m-ke-bursa-lokal

51 Emisi Efek Senilai Rp 62 Triliun Direstui Bapepam
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/12/135418/1702375/6/51-emisi-efek-senilai-rp-62-triliun-direstui-bapepam

Agenda
12 Agustus Rups Alakasa Industri, ALMI DIVIDEND, RP 70 CUM
15 Agustus Cum dev Plaza Indonesia 2,5, cum clpi 27,8, Rupslb CNKO, TRUB
18 Agustus Rups INCF, Elty
19 Agustus RUPSLB SAIP, kren, cum dev BRNA 90
22 Agustus Cum dev Lppf 14,0, rupslb BDMN, rups lppf, NUSANTARA INFRASTRUCTURE RUPSLB, cum dev AKRA 200, Lap Keu BUMI
23 Agustus Rupslb ERTX, CNTX, BRMS, BUMI RESOURCES RUPSLB (Bumi said that it plans to seek shareholders' approval on August 23 to buy back shares I assume that the buyback shares size will reach around 3% or around 623 million shares (1.24 million lots) from the market within the usual 18-month period)
24 Agustus Rups BDMN

1st session on JCI 12.08.11
@ 3,903.634 (+34.269pts) (+0.886%)
H: 3,926.552 ; L: 3,868.631
Value: 2.70 T (NG 261 B )
Volume: 3.24 B (NG 421 M )
Foreign Nett Buy: 123 B

5 most active stocks by value:
ASII @ 68,100 (+1.04%)
BBRI @ 6,450 (0.00%)
BMRI @ 7,200 (-1.37%)
PGAS @ 3,400 (+0.74%)
ENRG @ 205 (+2.50%)

5 most active stocks by volume:
ENRG @ 205 (+2.50%)
BNBR @ 65 (0.00%)
DEWA @ 102 (+0.99%)
BKSL @ 199 (+1.02%)
TRAM @ 580 (+1.75%)

5 most up:
FORU @ 185 (+17.09%)
CNTX @ 7,000 (+11.11%)
KOIN @ 265 (+10.42%)
SOBI @ 2,225 (+9.88%)
ABDA @ 640 (+8.47%)

5 most down:
ASDM @ 405 (-19.00%)
DPNS @ 570 (-12.31%)
MTFN @ 340 (-9.33%)
MBAI @ 29,000 (-6.45%)
MLBI @ 340,000 (-5.29%)

5 Leading Movers:
GGRM @ 54,950 (+4.50%)
BBCA @ 8,000 (+4.28%)
ASII @ 68,100 (+3.31%)
BBNI @ 4,200 (+2.70%)
BDMN @ 5,350 (+2.44%)

5 Lagging Movers:
BMRI @ 7,200 (-2.70%)
TLKM @ 7,300 (-1.18%)
ISAT @ 5,450 (-0.63%)
BUMI @ 2,675 (-0.60%)
BTEL @ 330 (-0.49%)
Rgds,Nadya Isnaeni Data administrator Research Dept BNI Securities

Melaju 34 Poin, IHSG Kembali Bertengger di 3.900
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/12/113958/1702243/6/melaju-34-poin-ihsg-kembali-bertengger-di-3900

Menu Sesi 2: Saham Bank - Tambang
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764536/menu-sesi-2-saham-bank-tambang

BUMN Harus Antre IPO Mulai 2012
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/12/113358/1702233/6/bumn-harus-antre-ipo-mulai-2012

BI Libur Total Selama Lebaran 29 Agustus-2 September
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/12/111530/1702213/5/bi-libur-total-selama-lebaran-29-agustus-2-september

Nilai Pasar Saham 'Hilang' US$ 2 Triliun dalam 2 Pekan
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/12/110438/1702198/6/nilai-pasar-saham-hilang-us--2-triliun-dalam-2-pekan

Bloomberg: Aneka Rises Most in Five Months After Reporting Gain in Output

Bloomberg: Indonesia Stock Exchange Not Considering Ban on Short Selling

S&P Doesn't See Renewed Recession in Developed Markets

Bloomberg: Salim Ivonmas Advances Most in Two Months as Net Income Doubles

Bloomberg: Indocement May Spend $1.17 Billion to Boost Output, Bisnis Says

Terimbas Global, IHSG Dibuka Naik 0,66% ke3.895,13
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764480/terimbas-global-ihsg-dibuka-naik-066-ke389513

Inilah Menu Saham Pilihan Jumat (12/8)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764358/inilah-menu-saham-pilihan-jumat-128

Laba bersih naik dua kali lipat, saham SIMP berada di posisi tertinggi 2 bulan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313120236/75282/Laba-bersih-naik-dua-kali-lipat-saham-SIMP-berada-di-posisi-tertinggi-2-bulan

Aset tumbuh positif di semester I, saham MEDC bergerak menanjak
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313119486/75276/Aset-tumbuh-positif-di-semester-I-saham-MEDC-bergerak-menanjak

Peringkat dari Fitch Ratings bikin saham TLKM melaju
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313118747/75275/Peringkat-dari-Fitch-Ratings-bikin-saham-TLKM-melaju

Rencana ekspansi perusahaan bikin saham CMNP melenggang positif
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313118423/75273/Rencana-ekspansi-perusahaan-bikin-saham-CMNP-melenggang-positif

Pembangunan BTS molor, FREN pangkas target pelanggan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313114404/75266/Pembangunan-BTS-molor-FREN-pangkas-target-pelanggan

Naik Tajam, BEI Suspensi Saham LPCK
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764516/naik-tajam-bei-suspensi-saham-lpck

Transaksi Obligasi Naik 29,03% per Juli 2011
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764509/transaksi-obligasi-naik-2903-per-juli-2011

Laba Bersih PTRO Turun 4,86% Jadi US$19,18 Juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764512/laba-bersih-ptro-turun-486-jadi-us1918-juta

EXCL akan lunasi utang Rp 2,5 triliun
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313103615/75240/EXCL-akan-lunasi-utang-Rp-25-triliun

Diburu Asing, UNSP Bakal Tembus Rp700
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764462/diburu-asing-unsp-bakal-tembus-rp700

Terbitkan Obligasi, Antam Tunjuk Underwriter
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764464/terbitkan-obligasi-antam-tunjuk-underwriter

Bangun Pabrik Baru, 'Buy' Saham INTPhttp://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764476/bangun-pabrik-baru-buy-saham-intp

Lepas 10% Saham, 'Hold' ENRG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764474/lepas-10-saham-hold-enrg

Inilah Beberapa Saham Penggerak IHSG Hari Ini
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764470/inilah-beberapa-saham-penggerak-ihsg-hari-ini

Inilah Strategi Bermain Saham BUMI
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764362/inilah-strategi-bermain-saham-bumi

Produksi CPO LSIP Naik 25,2% di Semester I 2011
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764351/produksi-cpo-lsip-naik-252-di-semester-i-2011

Profit Taking BUMI di Rp2.825-2.875
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764361/profit-taking-bumi-di-rp2825-2875

CIMB Minat Beli LPPS Dari Pacific Asia Holdings
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764448/cimb-minat-beli-lpps-dari-pacific-asia-holdings

Jual Saham Anak Usaha, INDY Ditarget di Rp4.000
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764458/jual-saham-anak-usaha-indy-ditarget-di-rp4000

Bandar Bakal Giring Saham EMDE ke Rp250
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764459/bandar-bakal-giring-saham-emde-ke-rp250

Watching indy. Clsa nett buy. Another BORN

*DJ Bank Indonesia Official: Hope Regulation On Bank Ownership Limit Will Be Is

GMR Energy To Acquire 30% Stake in Indonesia’s PT Golden Energy
2011-08-12 02:38:56.19 GMT

9:18 AM 8/12 Stocks surged sharply across the board Thursday, with the S&P and Nasdaq wiping out the previous session's losses, as investors snapped up beaten-down sectors. Despite the day's rally, the Dow and S&P are still down more than 2 percent for the week. The blue-chip has alternated between sharp gains and losses over the past eight days and has logged its fourth straight closing change of over 400 points for the first time. Volume was heavy again with the consolidated tape of the NYSE at 6.81 billion shares, while 1.88 billion shares changed hands on the floor. European shares ended higher following news that French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel will meet next Tuesday to discuss the euro zone governance and other international issues.

9:19 AM 8/12 Stocks plunged sharply in the previous session over jitters in the euro zone as investors panicked on rumors that France might lose its AAA rating and that at least one French bank could collapse due to its exposure to Greek and other periphery country sovereign debt. Meanwhile, senior government said that a short-selling ban will be imposed in France and Italy after the European market close, sources told CNBC. Dow. 11143.31. +423.37+3.95% Nasdaq. 2492.68. +111.63+4.69% S&P 500. 1172.64. +51.88. +4.63% FTSE. 5162.83. +155.67+3.11% Dax. 5797.66. +184.24+3.28% CAC40. 3089.66. +86.67. +2.89%. Oil. 85.66. +2.77. +3.34% Gold. 1768.600 -15.700. -0.88% Rupiah. 8535 Euro. 1.4248
9:19 AM 8/12 TLKM. 34.10.+1.23+3.75% Rp7276 ISAT. 32.00 +1.61+5.30% Rp5462 BumiPLC. 875.000 -5.000. -0.568% EIDO. 32.570.+1.960. +6.403% Timah. 23700. +805. +3.52%. Nickel. 21480. +460. +2.19% CPOOct2993RM+56RM+1.91%$1000 Corn. 714.000+25.500+3.70% SoybeanOil.54.580. +0.980. +1.83% Wheat. 733.000 +13.750 +1.91% Coal5 Agt 120.26 vs.120.40(22 Jul)

Trades of the Day... Fundamentally: CIMB mempertahankan rating Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp60900 berdasarkan 13.1 forward PER. Katalis datang dari ASP yang lebih baik dan eksekusi tambang di Bharinto dan Tandung Mayang. Laba 1H sekitar 42% dari FY11. Kami lebih optimis setelah production recovery dan cash cosh yang mulai turun pada 2Q. CIMB mempertahankan rating Ramayana Lestari (RALS) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp1100 berdasarkan 14x target market PER. Katalis kunci adalah penjualan yang lebih baik memasuki bulan Ramadhan. Penjualan July sebesar Rp697bn, +19% yoy, dengan SSG at 15.4%. 7M11 sales +10.9% ke Rp3.3tr, atau sekitar 50% dari FY11 estimate kami. 7M11 SSG rebound ke 5.3% dari 2.9% pada 6M11, atau sudah melewati 5% forecast.

9:21 AM 8/12 RALS juga telah menciptakan fast food outlet mereka yang diberi nama Orange Mart untuk mengincar naiknya pendapatan masyarakat.

Thursday, August 11, 2011

VIX High, Time To Buy?

There’s an old contrarian investing maxim from Baron Rothschild that says “the time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.” The idea is that the best investors strategize when others panic, allowing them to buy stocks on “sale.” The legend of Warren Buffett was built on this philosophy during the market turmoil of the mid-1970s.

Read More: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/08/vix-high-time-to-buy-guest-post.html

Rekomendasi Buy Nekad I & II: Dipilih...Dipilihhhh!!!!

BUY NEKAD ATTACK I:

ASII/INDF/BMRI/BBRI/TLKM/UNVR/GGRM/ADRO/BBNI/SMGR/PGAS/UNTR/BUMI. Stop loss -3.5%. Good Luck"2011-08-08 7:08 AM (14.08 WIB/)

BUY NEKAD ATTACK II:
SESI 2: AKUMULASI BUY NEKAD: BORN/CLPI/LPCK/KLBF/JSMR/AKRA STOP LOSS IHSG CLOSE BELOW 200-day MA / -5% TARGET PROFIT TAKING 18-08 (17/08 : INDEPENDENT DAY)

Workshop CTA HITSAHAM II (Jkt) & III (Sby) September 2011: Get Opportunity (Profits) In A Volatile Market

ZOOM THE PICTURE:

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 11-08 (Refresh)

Kepercayaan Pulih, IHSG Berlari ke Zona Hijau. net foreign sell Rp688,56 miliar.
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764271/kepercayaan-pulih-ihsg-berlari-ke-zona-hijau

Hampir Seharian Melemah, IHSG Ditutup Naik 5 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/161125/1701702/6/hampir-seharian-melemah-ihsg-ditutup-naik-5-poin

BEI Tunjuk Konsultan Asal AS Bentuk Lembaga Perlindungan Investor
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/150228/1701626/6/bei-tunjuk-konsultan-asal-as-bentuk-lembaga-perlindungan-investor

Masuk UMA, BEI Awasi Saham ERTX
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764264/masuk-uma-bei-awasi-saham-ertx

Selective Buying, IHSG Ditutup Naik Tipis
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764267/selective-buying-ihsg-ditutup-naik-tipis

Delapan sektor topang IHSG di jalur hijau
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313054683/75207/Delapan-sektor-topang-IHSG-di-jalur-hijau

Indeks saham emerging market bergerak sangat voletile
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313052042/75203/Indeks-saham-emerging-market-bergerak-sangat-volatile

Pemerintah Simpan Dana 'Nganggur' Rp 200 Triliun
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/163754/1701717/4/pemerintah-simpan-dana-nganggur-rp-200-triliun

*DJ Banpu: Coal Production Target In Australia At 20 Mln Tons By 2015
*DJ Banpu: Coal Production Target In Indonesia At 30 Mln Tons By 2015

REMINDER:::: Target Price GGRM fr CIMB 56.500

BNBR TARGET PRICE 160 AFTER QUASI DUE TO ITS STATUS AS LARGE DIVERIFIED HOLDING COMPANY AND VALLAR-RELATED PARTNER

BNBR POSITIF AND CONFIRMED SENT LETTER FOR QUASI

ENRG : NPRI(non preemptive right issue) 230- 240

Bloomberg: Timah Gains for Second Day After First-Half Net Income Doubles

Bloomberg: World Bank’s IFC to Invest $500 Million in Indonesia This Year

Laba Megapolitan Development Melorot 67%
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/11/278/490826/laba-megapolitan-development-melorot-67

Bursa Optimistis Target 25 Emiten Baru Tercapai
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/11/278/490651/bursa-optimistis-target-25-emiten-baru-tercapai

Indomobil Finance Raih Pinjaman Sindikasi USD75 Juta
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/11/278/490806/indomobil-finance-raih-pinjaman-sindikasi-usd75-juta

BEI Terus Pantau Perkembangan Saham Global
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764233/bei-terus-pantau-perkembangan-saham-global

Hore! Oversold, Bursa Eropa Rebound
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764239/hore-oversold-bursa-eropa-rebound

Gedung Terbakar, Operasional ADMF Tetap Normal
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764202/gedung-terbakar-operasional-admf-tetap-normal

ENRG : NPRI(non preemptive right issue) 230- 240

REMINDER:::: 12 Agustus Rups Alakasa Industri, ALMI DIVIDEND, RP 70 CUM

REMINDER::: Lippo Cikarang (LPCK.IJ, BUY) – Hidden jewel We are reinitiating coverage on Lippo Cikarang with a BUY recommendation and a target price Rp2,400, which offers 105% upside potential. A well-known industrial estate developer in eastern Jakarta, the company is the main beneficiary of the rising inflow of foreign direct investment in Indonesia. Low valuation multiples, a deep discount to NAV, and strong land sales in a mid-cycle industrial estate boom have strengthened our conviction about the stock. Analyst Ricardo Silaen, CFA rsilaen@kimeng.co.id

1st session on JCI 11.08.11
@ 3,831.829 (-31.747pts) (+0.822%)
H: 3,863.392 ; L: 3,803.252
Value: 3.03 T (NG 303 B )
Volume: 2.75 B (NG 128 M )
Foreign Nett Sell: 306 T

5 most active stocks by value:
BMRI @ 7,250 (-3.33%)
ASII @ 67,050 (-1.11%)
BUMI @ 2,675 (-0.93%)
TLKM @ 7,350 (+3.52%)
BMRI @ 6,450 (-1.53%)

5 most active stocks by volume:
ENRG @ 196 (0.00%)
KIJA @ 180 (+4.05%)
DEWA @ 97 (-2.02%)
ELTY @ 146 (-1.35%)
LPKR @ 780 (+2.63%)

5 most up:
AKKU @ 185 (+27.59%)
PLIN @ 2,300 (+22.99%)
ERTX @ 275 (+22.22%)
EMTK @ 2,350 (+17.50%)
LPCK @ 1,510 (+12.69%)

5 most down:
CNTX @ 6,300 (-19.75%)
ASRM @ 1,120 (-17.04%)
KONI @ 200 (-11.11%)
SCCO @ 2,000 (-11.11%)
GTBO @ 78 (-9.30%)

5 Leading Movers:
TLKM @ 7,350 (+5.89%)
EMTK @ 2,350 (+2.10%)
PLIN @ 2,300 (+1.78%)
BORN @ 1,280 (+1.03%)
PGAS @ 3,350 (+0.70%)

5 Lagging Movers:
BMRI @ 7,250 (-6.75%)
BBCA @ 7,800 (-5.70%)
ADRO @ 2,300 (-5.60%)
ASII @ 67,050 (-3.55%)
BBRI @ 6,450 (-2.85%)
Rgds, Nadya Isnaeni Data administrator Research Dept BNI Securities

Bloomberg: HSBC Beats Indonesia Banks as Yudhoyono Projects Spur Record

Bloomberg; Asian Stocks Decline as HSBC Slides on Spreading Europe Crisis

Bloomberg: Asahimas Declines to One-Month Low After Report Sales Fall

Sektor Rebound, IHSG Sesi 1 Ditutup Turun 0,82%. net foreign sell Rp307,14 miliar.
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764164/2-sektor-rebound-ihsg-sesi-1-ditutup-turun-082

IHSG Melemah 42 Poin Akibat Profit Taking Saham Bank
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/120736/1701427/6/ihsg-melemah-42-poin-akibat-profit-taking-saham-bank

Penutupan sesi I, IHSG kembali tergiring ke zona merah
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313040208/75178/Penutupan-sesi-I-IHSG-kembali-tergiring-ke-zona-merah

Cadangan Devisa RI Turun US$ 500 Juta dalam 5 Hari
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/121033/1701428/5/cadangan-devisa-ri-turun-us--500-juta-dalam-5-hari

Kenaikan Tarif Tol akan Diumumkan Akhir Agustus
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/122528/1701439/4/kenaikan-tarif-tol-akan-diumumkan-akhir-agustus

BEI Optimistis Capai 2,3 Juta Investor di 2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764167/bei-optimistis-capai-23-juta-investor-di-20122

Anak Usaha DSSA Dirikan Usaha Joint Venture
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764134/anak-usaha-dssa-dirikan-usaha-joint-venture

CIMB Niaga Naikkan Penyertaan Modal di CSL
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764125/cimb-niaga-naikkan-penyertaan-modal-di-csl

Dana Asing Rp 5,68 Triliun 'Kabur' dari Surat Utang RI
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/111850/1701359/5/dana-asing-rp-568-triliun-kabur-dari-surat-utang-ri

Orang Terkaya di Dunia Rugi Rp 56 Triliun Selama Sepekan
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/113447/1701383/6/orang-terkaya-di-dunia-rugi-rp-56-triliun-selama-sepekan

ABM Investama Lepas 20% Saham Oktober 2011
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/102043/1701282/6/abm-investama-lepas-20-saham-oktober-2011

Breaking news : Indika will sell 45 pct stake in Petrosea in september.

TLKM ::: one off 50% of IDR5 tln will be spent this week (buy bcak)
FITCH AFFIRMS TELKOM AT 'BB+'; OUTLOOK POSITIVE

Perusahaan group Trakindo menyatakan minat IPO ke BEI
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313034998/75166/Perusahaan-group-Trakindo-akan-segera-IPO

Agung Podomoro, Citra Marga, Timah: Indonesia Equity Preview
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-11/agung-podomoro-citra-marga-timah-indonesia-equity-preview.html

PT Timah Tbk (TINS) membukukan pertumbuhan laba bersih (unaudited) 103,33% menjadi Rp655,315 miliar dalam enam bulan pertama 2011 dibanding dengan perolehan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya hanya Rp322,297 miliar.

Laporan Keuangan Semester I-2011
Laba Bersih ITMG Naik 53,09%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764103/laba-bersih-itmg-naik-5309

Bahana Securities Lepas Saham Garuda Tahun Ini
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764106/bahana-securities-lepas-saham-garuda-tahun-ini

HOT RUMORS: ASII 1-FOR-5 STOCK SPLIT MAY BE SET AT IDR90,000. PRIVATE PLACEMENT TO FOLLOW

Bloomberg: Rupiah Falls Toward Six-Week Low as Overseas Funds Dump Stocks

Bloomberg: Palm Oil Gains as Much as 0.5% to 2,953 Ringgit a Metric Ton

Bloomberg: Indonesia Bonds May Extend Rally as Inflation Cools, DIAM Says

Bumi's 1H net profit may rise to $265 million (idr2.26 trillion), beating analysts estimate of $230 million on higher average selling price of its coal.

Aug. 11 (Bloomberg) -- China Construction Bank Corp., the world’s second-largest lender by market value, made a preliminary bid for control of PT Bank Maspion Indonesia, three people with knowledge of the matter said.

Bursa Global dan Regional Jatuh, IHSG Ambles 42 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/093650/1701242/6/bursa-global-dan-regional-jatuh-ihsg-ambles-42-poin

Bursa Regional Kembali Merosot, IHSG Siap-siap Koreksi
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/072005/1701183/6/bursa-regional-kembali-merosot-ihsg-siap-siap-koreksi

Baru Rebound, IHSG Hari Ini Diprediksi Terkoreksi
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764082/baru-rebound-ihsg-hari-ini-diprediksi-terkoreksi

Laba Naik Tipis, 'Buy' PGAS
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764089/laba-naik-tipis-buy-pgas

Resmi Akuisisi Perusahaan 4G, 'Hold' BTEL
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764087/resmi-akuisisi-perusahaan-4g-hold-btel

Investor Diperkirakan Ubah Strategi Investasi
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764084/investor-diperkirakan-ubah-strategi-investasi

Saham BBRI Siap Melaju ke Rp9-10 Ribu
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763982/saham-bbri-siap-melaju-ke-rp9-10-ribu

BFI Finance Raih Pinjaman Sindikasi US$60 Juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764075/bfi-finance-raih-pinjaman-sindikasi-us60-juta

Akumulasi, Saham ETWA Berpeluang Menuju Rp800
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764071/akumulasi-saham-etwa-berpeluang-menuju-rp800

Rencana Private Placement, Cermati Saham BORN
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1764073/rencana-private-placement-cermati-saham-born

Harga Emas Melambung Lagi Tembus US$ 1.800
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/064744/1701172/4/harga-emas-melambung-lagi-tembus-us--1800

BI Yakin Rupiah Bisa Terus Menguat
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/072220/1701184/6/bi-yakin-rupiah-bisa-terus-menguat

Aliran Modal Asing Masih Surplus Rp 19 Triliun
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/071219/1701181/6/aliran-modal-asing-masih-surplus-rp-19-triliun

Menteri BUMN 'Jagokan' Medco Akuisisi Ladang Gas Exxon
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/11/054216/1701165/1034/menteri-bumn-jagokan-medco-akuisisi-ladang-gas-exxon

Tembus Rp 500.000, harga emas batangan telah naik 21% sepanjang 2011.
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313029474/75149/Tembus-Rp-500.000-harga-emas-batangan-telah-naik-21-sepanjang-2011

Misterius, catatan utang BNBR di Sinarmas
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313028978/75146/Misterius-catatan-utang-BNBR-di-Sinarmas

Pasar obligasi di paruh kedua lebih sepi
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313026075/75140/Pasar-obligasi-di-paruh-kedua-lebih-sepi

INTP sudah gunakan US$ 30 juta untuk ekspansi
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313025907/75138/INTP-sudah-gunakan-US-30-juta-untuk-ekspansi

Laba bersih BLTA US$ 12,39 juta
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313025761/75137/Laba-bersih-BLTA-US-1239-juta

Dana ekspansi CMNP Rp 5 triliun
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313025555/75136/Dana-ekspansi-CMNP-Rp-5-triliun

Bursa Optimistis Target 25 Emiten Baru Tercapai
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/11/278/490651/bursa-optimistis-target-25-emiten-baru-tercapai

Kimia Farma Bakal Rights Issue Tahun Depan
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/11/278/490658/kimia-farma-bakal-rights-issue-tahun-depan

Trades of the Day...
Fundamentally:
CIMB mempertahankan rating Berlian Laju Tanker (BLTA) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp380 (dari Rp480) dengan discount to SOP 30% serta ekspektasi yang lebih rendah. Kami melihat potensi memenangkan sejumlah kontrak FSO/FPSO sebagai katalis jangka pendek. Namun demikian, Rugi inti 1Q11 sebesar $11.47mn sekitar 32% dari FY, karena bunker cost yang lebih tinggi. Kami memangkas estimasi kami sebesar 40% untuk forecast dan BLTA masih akan merugi pada 2011-12

CIMB mempertahankan rating NEUTRAL untuk sektor semen. Dengan koreksi saham akhir-akhir ini, valuasi menjadi menarik, namun margin akan terancam oleh kompetisi, import dan kapasitas baru (dalam 2-3 tahun). Turunnya harga minyak menjadi relief, namun demand sepertinya juga melemah.

Katalis yang ditunggu adalah projek infrastruktur. Top pick kami tetap pada INTP dengan TP Rp15k, karena cost yang rendah serta price control. Sementara SMCB dengan TP Rp2400, SMGR dengan TP Rp9200, semuanya NEUTRAL

CIMB menghentikan coverage terhadap Bakrie Sumatra Plantation (UNSP) karena kesulitan mendapatkan data dari perusahaan serta kurangnya minat investor kami atas saham ini. Rating kami terakhir adalah UNDERPERFORM dengan target harga Rp325 (7.4x FY12 PER)

PGAS indicated flat 1H11 earnings of IDR3.2t
According to Minister of state-owned enterprise Mr. Mustafa Abubakar, Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS-BUY-IDR3,325-TP:IDR4,300) registered flat 1H11 earnings of IDR3.2t, accounting for 46% our estimate and 44% of consensus forecast. Flat earnings mainly stemmed from stable stagnant flow of distribution volumes. On separate note, BP Migas (Upstream oil and gas regulator) stated that in 2H11, Conoco Philips may restore 60MMScfd out of 100MMScfd supply that PGAS had lost in 2010. (Indonesia Finance Today)

HEARD ON STREET: POLY WANTS TO ACCELERATE THE REPAYMENT OF DEBT BY CONVERTING ITS SHARES TO DEBT AT IDR3,750-IDR3,875/SHARES LATER IN AUGUST, EARLIER THAN SEPTEMBER 30 SCHEDULED. AFTER THE DEBT REPAYMENT, POLY WILL BE ALLOWED TO GO WITH ITS PLAN FOR A QUASI REORGANIZATION WHICH COULD HELP DRIVE ITS FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE BY MORE RHAN THREE TIMES DUE TO FRESH BUSINES EXPANSION. CURRENT PRICE IS A 501% DISCOUNT TO THE CONVERTED SHARES.

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Historic Returns Following a Market Selloff

Picking Economic Sides: Bulls and Bears
"So what's going to happen?"

That's the question on the minds of most investors following a major market move or economic event. Unfortunately, there's no answer ... just opinions and educated guesses.

Read More: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44073392

Historic Returns Following a Market Selloff
Monday’s 6.66 percent drop for the S&P 500 was the index’s biggest drop since December 1, 2008. In fact, not a single stock in the 500-stock index managed a gain by the end of the day.

Read More: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44073392

Equities in Long-Term Bear Market: Analyst
Global stocks bounced back on Wednesday from their steep declines in recent days. But don't be fooled, says Viktor Shvets, Head of Research & Strategy at Samsung Securities Asia, who believes equities are in a long-term bear market."We are probably going to be in a bear market for 5-10 years," Shvets told CNBC on Wednesday.

Read More: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44085129

The Dow Could Fall to 9700 in the Long Term: Charts
Remember the people who told you in early 2008 that the market sell-off was “irrational” and driven only by “fear?.” “Don’t sell,” they said, “you are in for the long term so look for bargains.” These same people are back. They couldn’t read a chart then and they cannot read a chart now.

Read More: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44068981

How The Manage The Crumbling Stocks: BUMI vs BBRI vs PGAS

Be The 1st To Know In The Market How To Make Money in BULL & BEAR

Hanya ada di Workshop T.A HITSAHAM Jakarta (11-12/09)/ Surabaya (24-25/09)

BUMI 10/08: Pola Reversal dari San Ku Triple Gap Pattern/ Inverted H&S Intraday (Neckline 2.800 jika tembus/penutupan target pole 3.175), Oversold, Wave A ended. Buy target 2.800, add buy jika tembus 2.800 target 3.175 stop loss dibawah 2.500.

PGAS 09/08: Courtesy of BNI Technical Analysis Daily 9 Agustus 2011

BBRI 10/08: Will it be A Gloomy September in Bearish Scenario? So buy 6.400-6.500 target 6.950 (falling window) stop loss dibawah area 6.200-6.000

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 10-08 (Refresh)

Buntuti Bursa Regional, IHSG Rebound 128 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/161115/1700937/6/buntuti-bursa-regional-ihsg-rebound-128-poin

Masih sumringah, indeks ditutup dengan lonjakan 3,44%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312967286/75111/Masih-sumringah-indeks-ditutup-dengan-lonjakan-344

IHSG Paling Tahan Krisis di Asia
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/214233/1701105/6/ihsg-paling-tahan-krisis-di-asia

Nah Lho!.. Wall Street Dibuka Negatif
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763988/nah-lho-wall-street-dibuka-negatif

PermataBank Incar 2 Perusahaan Invoice Financing
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763954/permatabank-incar-2-perusahaan-invoice-financing

Inilah Daftar 'Top Foreign Buy' Rabu (10/8)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763945/inilah-daftar-top-foreign-buy-rabu-108

Inilah Daftar 'Top Foreign Sell' Rabu (10/8)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763923/inilah-daftar-top-foreign-sell-rabu-108

BEI Catat Rata-Rata Transaksi Harian Naik 21,42%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763938/bei-catat-rata-rata-transaksi-harian-naik-2142

Euforia The Fed, Rupiah Rebound 37 Poin
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763924/euforia-the-fed-rupiah-rebound-37-poin

Ini Dia 5 BUMN Pencetak Laba Terbesar
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/182821/1701011/4/ini-dia-5-bumn-pencetak-laba-terbesar

Laba Bersih BUMN Melonjak 39% Jadi Rp 69,36 Triliun
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/170804/1700983/4/laba-bersih-bumn-melonjak-39-jadi-rp-6936-triliun

Kebijakan The Fed Bikin RI Kebanjiran Dana Asing
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/151919/1700884/5/kebijakan-the-fed-bikin-ri-kebanjiran-dana-asing

Capex INTP sudah capai 30% dari target 2011
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312988019/75128/Capex-INTP-sudah-capai-30-dari-target-2011

Kapitalisasi perusahaan BUMN di bursa capai 25,93%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312980914/75121/Kapitalisasi-perusahaan-BUMN-di-bursa-capai-2593

Emisi dan transaksi obligasi terus meningkat di 2011
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312985152/75125/Emisi-dan-transaksi-obligasi-terus-meningkat-di-2011

Kemungkinan quantitative easing 3 membahayakan ekonomi Asia
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312966765/75109/Kemungkinan-quantitative-easing-3-membahayakan-ekonomi-Asia

*DJ Bank Indonesia Governor: Capital Inflow To Remain Strong

INILAH.COM, Jakarta - Menteri Keuangan Agus Martawardojo mengatakan, untuk mewaspadai valuasi saham pada sektor properti karena harganya sudah cukup tinggi.Menkeu meminta pada semua pihak untuk tidak terlalu panik atas kondisi ekonomi global yang masih rentan akibat imbas krisis utang AS dan Eropa."Kalau dilihat ada koreksi, misal di pasar modal ada koreksi, mungkin terkait valuation dari ekuitas atau saham-saham, price to earning atau price to book-nya sudah tinggi ada sedikit koreksi," ujar Menkeu di Gedung Bank Indonesia, Rabu (10/8).

JAKARTA (Dow Jones)--Tin producer PT Timah (TINS.JK) plans to build a tin chemical plant in Bangka and Belitung islands at a cost of around IDR1 trillion ($117 million) next year, a company spokesman told reporters Wednesday.

Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Temasek Holdings Pte., Singapore’sstate-owned investment company, is considering selling its stakein Indonesia’s PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical, five people withknowledge of the matter said.    Thailand’s Siam Cement Pcl and PTT Chemical Pcl are amongcompanies that have expressed interest in buying Temasek’s 22.9percent holding, said the people, who declined to be identifiedbecause the talks are private. The stake is valued at about 2.2trillion rupiah ($253 million) based on Chandra Asri’s marketcapitalization, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Bloomberg: Bank Indonesia Says Will Sell Dollars by Buying Government Bonds.     Capital Inflow Into Indonesia to Continue on Fed Move

Bloomberg: Asian Officials See ‘Hot Money’ Risks Reviving on Fed Policy

Menkeu: Awas! Saham Properti sudah Cukup Tinggi
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763849/menkeu-awas-saham-properti-sudah-cukup-tinggi

Ikuti Regional, IHSG Sesi 1 Ditutup Melesat 2,12%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763757/ikuti-regional-ihsg-sesi-1-ditutup-melesat-212

TBIG Akuisisi Saham MSI Senilai Rp200 M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763834/tbig-akuisisi-saham-msi-senilai-rp200-m

Janji Fed Picu Bursa Saham Eropa Menghijau
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763830/janji-fed-picu-bursa-saham-eropa-menghijau

Gejolak Obligasi Dinilai Tak Mengkhawatirkan
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763823/gejolak-obligasi-dinilai-tak-mengkhawatirkan

Juli, TINS Miliki Cadangan hingga 8.434 Ton
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763815/juli-tins-miliki-cadangan-hingga-8434-ton

BEI Rayakan 34 Tahun Kembali Aktif Beroperasi
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763720/bei-rayakan-34-tahun-kembali-aktif-beroperasi

Analis: Pekan ini, harga emas bisa sentuh US$ 1.800 per troy ounce
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312947760/75074/Analis-Pekan-ini-harga-emas-bisa-sentuh-US-1.800-per-troy-ounce

BLTA genggam pinjaman US$ 685 juta dari enam bank asing
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312949162/75076/BLTA-genggam-pinjaman-US-685-juta-dari-enam-bank-asing

JPMorgan naikkan rekomendasi, saham PGAS melonjak ke level tertinggi 8 bulan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312949565/75078/JPMorgan-naikkan-rekomendasi-saham-PGAS-melonjak-ke-level-tertinggi-8-bulan

Indika Energy Dapat Kontrak US$ 746 Juta dari Mobil Cepu
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/131905/1700748/6/indika-energy-dapat-kontrak-us--746-juta-dari-mobil-cepu

Berniat terbitkan obligasi, saham ANTM menari lincah
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312945328/75067/Berniat-terbitkan-obligasi-saham-ANTM-menari-lincah-

Saham BBCA melonjak 1,27% seiring rencana penerbitan obligasi
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312945509/75068/Saham-BBCA-melonjak-127-seiring-rencana-penerbitan-obligasi

Indeks rebound, siapa saja bluechips yang paling diburu pagi ini?
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312944956/75064/Indeks-rebound-siapa-saja-bluechips-yang-paling-diburu-pagi-ini

Akuisisi 3 Tambang Baru, 'Buy' Saham Adaro
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763703/akuisisi-3-tambang-baru-buy-saham-adaro

Laba Bersih BLTA Turun 50% pada Q1 2011
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763705/laba-bersih-blta-turun-50-pada-q1-2011

Bloomberg: Gas Negara Gains Most in Eight Months as JPMorgan Raises Rating

Bloomberg: Aneka Tambang Gains Most in Seven Months After Bond Sale Report

Bank Central Asia, Intraco, Jababeka: Indonesia Equity Preview
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-10/bank-central-asia-intraco-jababeka-indonesia-equity-preview.html

South Korea's Hankook Tire confirmed today that that it was seeking to buy Indonesia's tire maker PT Multistrada Arah Sarana Tbk. However nothing has been finalised, Hankook Tire said in a regulatory filing, following a local media report that Hankook, TPG and Yokyohama Tire were shortlisted for final bids for a controlling stake in the Indonesian tyre maker worth around US$210 million. Two executives familiar with the matter said Multistrada is now helped by Hongkong amd Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) as financial adviser."The floor price for 40% shareholding in Multistrada is set at Rp600 per share," the sources said.Even Goh, Head of Investor Relations at Multistrada, said there is no such bidding process to sell Multistrada. "Where did you hear about the information? So far, there

Sales commentary: BMRI is one of our top picks in the sector, the other being Bank BNI (BBNI, O, PT Rp5,250), amid its strong CASA and low LDR. From the news we see BMRI is aggressively strengthening its CASA franchise. Note that BMRI credit growth stood at 27% in 1H11, above the sector’s rate at 23%. We are a buyer of BMRI – intermediate support level is seen at Rp6,700/share in this current market correction.11

Rebound, IHSG Rabu (10/8) Dibuka Naik 2,12%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763701/rebound-ihsg-rabu-108-dibuka-naik-212

Inilah Beberapa Saham Pendorong IHSG Hari Ini
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763698/inilah-beberapa-saham-pendorong-ihsg-hari-ini

Agenda 10 Agustus Rups CMNP

Bloomberg; Sarulla Consortium Hires Banks for $410 Million Geothermal Loan

Bloomberg; Aneka Tambang Plans to Issue $350 Million of Bonds, Kontan Says

Bloomberg; Intraco Penta’s 2011 Profit May Rise 88%, Investor Daily Reports

Bloomberg: Jababeka Plans 1.5 Trillion Rupiah Rights Offer, Bisnis Reports

Bloomberg: Mandiri, Rakyat Rated Buys in Daiwa’s Indonesia Bank Coverage

Bloomberg: BCA Finance May Sell 1 Trillion Rupiah of Bonds, Bisnis Reports

Bloomberg: *BERLIAN LAJU TANKER FIRST-QUARTER NET $12.4 MLN :BLTA SP

Bloomberg: Perusahaan Gas Negara Raised to 'Neutral' at JPMorgan

Inilah Menu Saham Pilihan Rabu (10/8)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763583/inilah-menu-saham-pilihan-rabu-108

Inilah Saham-saham Potensial Upside 10%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763596/inilah-saham-saham-potensial-upside-10

Inilah Daftar 'Top Foreign Buy' Selasa (9/8)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763526/inilah-daftar-top-foreign-buy-selasa-98

Saham ARNA Berpotensi Tembus Rp500
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763682/saham-arna-berpotensi-tembus-rp500

Saham Asia Melonjak, Ikuti Reli Wall Street
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763676/saham-asia-melonjak-ikuti-reli-wall-street

Kalbe Farma akan Bangun Pabrik Obat Bebas di 2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763650/kalbe-farma-akan-bangun-pabrik-obat-bebas-di-2012

Akumulasi Saham Tanpa 'Full Power'
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763602/akumulasi-saham-tanpa-full-power

ELTY harus Percepat Proyek Rasuna Epicentrum
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763600/elty-harus-percepat-proyek-rasuna-epicentrum

Lelang Obligasi AS, Rupiah Cenderung Menguat
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763552/lelang-obligasi-as-rupiah-cenderung-menguat

Rekomendasi Saham
Wall Street Melonjak, IHSG Siap Mengekor
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/071855/1700450/6/wall-street-melonjak-ihsg-siap-mengekor

Adaro Segera Tuntaskan Akuisisi 3 Tambang Baru
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/10/082918/1700475/6/adaro-segera-tuntaskan-akuisisi-3-tambang-baru

Prospek saham ASII di saat bursa guncang
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312941481/75050/Prospek-saham-ASII-di-saat-bursa-guncang

KLBF akan bangun pabrik obat bebas
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312940383/75049/KLBF-akan-bangun-pabrik-obat-bebas

Pasar oversold, saatnya berburu saham blue chip
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312939428/75046/Pasar-oversold-saatnya-berburu-saham-blue-chip

Harga minyak rebound dari level terendah sepuluh bulan di New York
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312936481/75039/Harga-minyak-rebound-dari-level-terendah-sepuluh-bulan-di-New-York

Bearish jika indeks di bawah 3.500
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312934926/75037/Bearish-jika-indeks-di-bawah-3.500

Kalbe Farma Rencanakan Buka Pabrik di Vietnam
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/10/278/490194/kalbe-farma-rencanakan-buka-pabrik-di-vietnam

Incar Pyridam Farma, KLBF Siapkan Rp1 Triliun
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/10/278/490192/incar-pyridam-farma-klbf-siapkan-rp1-triliun

IHSG Siap Menguat Didorong Saham Bluechip
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/10/278/490183/ihsg-siap-menguat-didorong-saham-bluechip

Trades of the Day...Fundamentally:CIMB tidak terkejut dengan keputusan FOMC mempertahankan bunga rendah, bahkan hingga mid 2013 karena khawatir akan kembali terjadi resesi dan double-dip. Meskipun Fed tidak dengan jelas mengatakan akan memberikan QE3, sepertinya mereka wait-and-see. Voting FOMC kemarin 7-3 untuk status quo.CIMB menurunkan rating Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) dari neutral menjadi TRADING SELL dengan target harga Rp2825 (dari Rp3800) meskipun mempertahankan forecast kami. Kami tidak melihat katalis jangka pendek sementara projek terminal LNG masih lama. Setelah conference call kemarin, kami melihat short-term weakness akan berlanjut sementara masalah harga pembelian gas masih belum jelas.BI mempertahankan BI rate pada 6.75% kemarin, dan melihat penurunan rating

Stocks saw its biggest one-day gain since May 2010 Tuesday after a wild market session as investors snapped up beaten-down stocks and following a Fed statement to keep interest rates near zero for at least two more years.The CBOE Volatility Index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, plunged 25 percent.The rebound comes after stocks sold off sharply in the previous session to log the worst day since the credit crisis in 2008 following S&P's downgrade of U.S.'s credit rating last week. Volume was heavy again with the consolidated tape of the NYSE at 8.55 billion shares, while 2.41 billion shares changed hands on the floor.

European shares ended broadly higher on Tuesday, halting a 20 percent dive over 2-1/2 weeks as traders started rummaging around for bargains, with hopes the U.S. Federal Reserve will hint at a plan to revive the economy.
Dow.      11239.72. +429.92+3.98%
Nasdaq. 2482.52. +124.83+5.29%
S&P 500. 1172.53. +53.07.+4.74%
FTSE.      5164.92. +95.97 +1.89%
Dax.        5917.08. -6.19.    -0.10%
CAC40.    3176.19. +51.00. +1.63%.
Oil.            79.20.    -2.01.    -2.47%
Gold.      1740.600+27.400. +1.60%
Rupiah. 8560

TLKM. 33.92.+0.93+2.82%Rp7259
ISAT.    30.27 -0.36. -1.18%.Rp5182
BumiPLC. 877.500 -67.000. -7.094%
EIDO.        30.970. +1.560. +5.304%
Timah.      22650. +0.        +0%.
Nickel.      21150. +235.    +1.10%
CPOOct2920RM-74RM-2.47%$975
Corn.          688.500+2.500.+0.36%
SoybeanOil.53.620. -0.820. -1.51%
Wheat.      703.750.+9.000.+1.30%
Coal5 Agt 120.26 vs.120.40(22 Jul)

Be The 1st To Know: Fase Akumulasi 10 -12 Agustus 2011 IHSG & DJIA

Dow Theory + Moon Cycle + M.A + Fibonacci Channel & Retracement + Stochastic Oscilator

DJIA: Target Inverted H&S Intraday Met at 11.230, Longer Term MA Still Prove Strong Enough To Avoid Extend Downtrend

IHSG:To Meet Inverted H&S Intraday Target at 4.140. HOLD BUY NEKAD 16 Saham (8 8 2011) & Fase Akumulasi dimulai 10 -12 Agustus. IHSG Mendapatkan Support di Longer Term MA Untuk mencegah "Crash" (Not Yet!).

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Why the U.S. Credit Rating Downgrade Could Cause a Full-Fledged Market Crash

By Jason Simpkins, Managing Editor, Money Morning
That Standard & Poor's finally downgraded its U.S. credit rating surprised no one - the agency said weeks ago that it would require a deficit-reduction agreement of around $4 trillion to affirm its AAA rating on the United States. But what the ratings agency doesn't realize is that it's playing with fire. Because what we've seen over the past few weeks has been a massive sell-off in the stock market that suggests Wall Street's biggest players are scrambling to bolster their net capital positions. And it's entirely possible that this already-stiff correction will snowball into a full-blown market crash.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/08/09/why-us-credit-rating-downgrade-could-cause-full-fledged-market-crash/

Investing Icons Weigh In On U.S. Credit Downgrade
By Kerri Shannon, Associate Editor, Money Morning
The market's verdict on the Standard & Poor's (S&P) U.S. credit downgrade is in - and it isn't good. In direct response to the U.S. credit downgrade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged more than 631 points, or 5.52%, yesterday (Monday), after falling 6% last week.No question, we're in the midst of a free-fall. And there's no doubt about the role Washington played in creating this dangerous situation. But U.S. policymakers aren't the only ones to blame.Some of Wall Street's heaviest hitters, including Warren Buffett and Bill Miller, have zeroed in on S&P for perhaps being a little too overzealous in its approach.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/08/09/investing-icons-weigh-in-on-u-s-credit-downgrade/

The Real Reason for Yesterday’s Stock-Market Sell-Off
By Shah Gilani, Contributing Editor, Money Morning
On Aug. 11, 2010, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 265 points, or 2.5%.
This Tuesday - almost exactly one year later - the Dow dropped ... 265 points.
Those carbon-copy stock-market sell-offs weren't a coincidence. - as yesterday's (Thursday's) 512-point drop and further weakness will prove.Although the Dow is more than 700 points higher than it was at this time a year ago, U.S. stock prices are currently following virtually the same trading pattern that they did in 2010: Last year and again so far this year the early-year gains came to a halt in May, and the markets then fell through August.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/08/05/the-real-reason-for-yesterday%E2%80%99s-stock-market-sell-off/

Bersiaplah The 1st "Akumulasi Saham Pilihan" Menjelang Bull Reversal Rally Full Moon 10-12 Agustus 2011

The 1st In Indonesia: HITLIST NEKAD: BUY NEKAD ATTACK (jam 14-15 kemarin): ASII/INDF/BMRI/BBRI/TLKM/UNVR/GGRM/ADRO/BBNI/SMGR/PGAS/UNTR/BUMI/ADMG/POLY/BBTN

Moon Cycle:

Solar 24
III. Event Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
Class M    55/55/40
Class X    10/10/05
Proton     10/10/10
PCAF       Yellow

Saksikan Monthly Report BNI Technical Analysis Saham Edisi Agustus 2011 (The Opportunity Beyond The Big Correction...Ahead of A Crash), hanya di MNC Business Channel 95 Indovision; Oke Vision & Top TV Ch 99; besok 10/08: 18.30-19.30 wib (Rerun 22.00 & 07.30 wib).

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 09-08 (Refresh)

Asing Tetap Jual, IHSG Ditutup Turun 2,9%. Net foreign sell Rp952,4 miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763495/asing-tetap-jual-ihsg-ditutup-turun-29

Investor asing aktif melepas UNVR, TLKM, dan BBRI di sesi II
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312882047/75020/Investor-asing-aktif-melepas-UNVR-TLKM-dan-BBRI-di-sesi-II

Sempat 'Hijau', IHSG Masih Terjungkal 155 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/160823/1700148/6/sempat-hijau-ihsg-masih-terjungkal-155-poin

BI Rate Kembali Ditahan di 6,75%
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/134733/1699929/5/bi-rate-kembali-ditahan-di-675

Terguncang, bursa Hongkong memasuki bear market
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312878784/75012/Terguncang-bursa-Hongkong-memasuki-bear-market

Saham PGAS Menjadi Saham Teraktif Selasa (9/8)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763507/saham-pgas-menjadi-saham-teraktif-selasa-98

Indika Teken Kontrak PPF dengan Mobil Cepu
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763493/indika-teken-kontrak-ppf-dengan-mobil-cepu

Antam Akan Terbitkan Obligasi US$350 Juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763369/antam-akan-terbitkan-obligasi-us350-juta

Duh.. Bursa Eropa Masih akan Melanjutkan Koreksi
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763416/duh-bursa-eropa-masih-akan-melanjutkan-koreksi

Semester I 2011, mayoritas anggota bursa masih mencatatkan laba
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312872375/74991/Semester-I-2011-mayoritas-anggota-bursa-masih-mencatatkan-laba

UNTR yakin target penjualan alat berat 7.500 unit tercapai tahun ini
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312871914/74989/UNTR-yakin-target-penjualan-alat-berat-7.500-unit-tercapai-tahun-ini

Analis: Saham sektor perbankan masih positif
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312871316/74987/Analis-Saham-sektor-perbankan-masih-positif

Untuk kali pertama, harga emas menembus level US$ 1.770
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312870914/74986/Untuk-kali-pertama-harga-emas-menembus-level-US-1.770

Neraca Pembayaran RI Surplus US$ 11,9 Miliar di Triwulan II
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/163241/1700174/5/neraca-pembayaran-ri-surplus-us--119-miliar-di-triwulan-ii

Rupiah Menguat Hampir 1% Sepanjang Juli 2011
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/141817/1700005/6/rupiah-menguat-hampir-1-sepanjang-juli-2011

IHSG Diprediksi Membaik Setelah 10 Agustus 2011
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/125554/1699812/6/ihsg-diprediksi-membaik-setelah-10-agustus-2011

1st session on JCI 09.08.11
@ 3,747.477 (-102.789pts) (-2.670%)
H: 3,846.228 ; L: 3,590.942
Value: 4.01 T (NG 226 B )
Volume: 3.96 B (NG 172 M )
Foreign Nett Sell: 587 T

5 most active stocks by value:
ASII @ 63,550 (-2.31%)
BBCA @ 7,650 (-4.97%)
BBRI @ 6,300 (-3.08%)
BUMI @ 2,625 (-5.41%)
BMRI @ 7,200 (-2.04%)

5 most active stocks by volume:
ENRG @ 192 (-6.34%)
BNBR @ 60 (-4.76%)
BKSL @ 196 (+1.03%)
DEWA @ 94 (-5.05%)
ELTY @ 147 (-3.29%)

5 most up:
KONI @ 220 (+15.79%)
AKPI @ 1,440 (+12.50%)
SSTM @ 190 (+10.47%)
MTFN @ 340 (+7.94%)
TRUS @ 470 (+6.82%)

5 most down:
LPLI @ 191 (-15.11%)
KDSI @ 205 (-14.58%)
LMPI @ 295 (-13.24%)
BTON @ 305 (-12.86%)
LAMI @ 193 (-12.27%)

5 Leading Movers:
EXCL @ 5,200 (+0.99%)
AKPI @ 1,440 (+0.12%)
MTFN @ 340 (+0.11%)
MASA @ 510 (+0.72%)
BKSL @ 196 (+0.67%)

5 Lagging Movers:
BBCA @ 7,650 (-11.4%)
ASII @ 63,550 (-7.10%)
BBRI @ 6,300 (-5.71%)
BMRI @ 7,200 (-4.05%)
ADRO @ 2,225 (-3.74%)

Rgds, Nadya Isnaeni Data administrator Research Dept BNI Securities

Bloomberg: Pyridam Drops to Three-Month Low as Quarterly Net Income Falls

Indonesia Stocks: Astra Agro, Energi Mega, International Nickel
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-09/indonesia-stocks-astra-agro-energi-mega-international-nickel.html

Ramai Aksi Jual, IHSG Sesi I Ditutup Anjlok 2,66%. net foreign sell Rp587.05 miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763377/ramai-aksi-jual-ihsg-sesi-i-ditutup-anjlok-266

Sesi pertama, IHSG melorot 2,67%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312867434/74982/Sesi-pertama-IHSG-melorot-267

Sesi I
IHSG Kembali Terpangkas 102 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/120535/1699755/6/ihsg-kembali-terpangkas-102-poin

IHSG Naik 3,96% YtD dari 30 Desember 2010
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763346/ihsg-naik-396-ytd-dari-30-desember-2010

BWPT Raih Peringkat 'idA'
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763385/bwpt-raih-peringkat-ida

IHSG Terkoreksi, Pilih Saham yang Sudah Anjlok
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763372/ihsg-terkoreksi-pilih-saham-yang-sudah-anjlok

Antam Akan Terbitkan Obligasi US$50 Juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763369/antam-akan-terbitkan-obligasi-us50-juta

Inilah Negara yang Bursanya Rentan Gangguan Krisis
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763367/inilah-negara-yang-bursanya-rentan-gangguan-krisis

Bantahan Hankook bikin saham MASA sempat tergerus 10%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312859884/74963/Bantahan-Hankook-bikin-saham-MASA-sempat-tergerus-10

Tengah cari utangan baru untuk refinancing, saham META tumbang nyaris 14%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312860395/74965/Tengah-cari-utangan-baru-untuk-refinancing-saham-META-tumbang-nyaris-14

Rencana dual listing BNGA masih tunggu kepastian Bapepam-LK
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312862546/74971/Rencana-dual-listing-BNGA-masih-tunggu-kepastian-Bapepam-LK

Saham Grup Bakrie tumbang
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312858818/74960/Saham-Grup-Bakrie-tumbang

Tengah cari utangan, saham GIAA meluncur tajam
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312859209/74961/Tengah-cari-utangan-saham-GIAA-meluncur-tajam

Rekor Harga Emas Belum Berhenti, Minyak Merosot 5%
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/065057/1699472/4/rekor-harga-emas-belum-berhenti-minyak-merosot-5

14 Emiten Lalai Laporkan Kinerja Triwulan I
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/123455/1699798/6/14-emiten-lalai-laporkan-kinerja-triwulan-i

ADB Peringatkan Aliran Dana Panas di Negara Berkembang
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/112712/1699706/6/adb-peringatkan-aliran-dana-panas-di-negara-berkembang

Akuisisi Infratel oleh Tower Bersama Molor
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/095126/1699555/6/akuisisi-infratel-oleh-tower-bersama-molor

Antam Terbitkan Obligasi US$ 350 Juta Secara Bertahap
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/09/100419/1699572/6/antam-terbitkan-obligasi-us--350-juta-secara-bertahap

Serasi Autojaya Bidik Pendapatan Rp5 T di Akhir Tahun
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/09/278/489734/serasi-autojaya-bidik-pendapatan-rp5-t-di-akhir-tahun

Ancora Raih Kontrak USD75 Juta dari Adaro Indonesia
http://economy.okezone.com/read/2011/08/09/278/489806/ancora-raih-kontrak-usd75-juta-dari-adaro-indonesia

Agenda 09 Agustus Cum dev Unsp, FOMC, RDG BI , Indonesia Aims To Raise IDR7 Tln Via Aug. 9 Bond Auction

Bloomberg: Indonesia Stocks Fall 5.3%, Wiping Out Gains for Year

Bloomberg: Astra Agro Drops Most in Nearly Three Years as Palm Oil Falls

Bloomberg; Rupiah Falls on Slowing Global Growth, Weaker Commodity Prices

IHSG Hari Ini Dibuka Anjlok 3,88% ke 3.700,64
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763313/ihsg-hari-ini-dibuka-anjlok-388-ke-370064

Astra Segera Tuntaskan Akuisisi Perusahaan Tol
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763317/astra-segera-tuntaskan-akuisisi-perusahaan-tol

Bloomberg: Hankook Tire Says It Seeks to Buy Indonesia’s Multistrada

Bloomberg: Palm Oil Falls as Much as 2.3% to 2,926 Ringgit a Metric Ton

Bloomberg: Nusantara to Refinance 750 Billion Rupiah of Debt, Daily Reports

Bloomberg; Garuda Indonesia May Seek $6.5 Billion in Funding, Daily Reports

Bloomberg: ABM Investama May Raise $300 Million in IPO, Bisnis Reports

Bloomberg: BFI Finance Indonesia Rated New 'Buy' at Deutsche Bank

TBIG Closing Akuisisi Infratel Pekan Ini
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763160/tbig-closing-akuisisi-infratel-pekan-ini

Permintaan Produk Melesat, LMPI Perluas Pabrik
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763275/permintaan-produk-melesat-lmpi-perluas-pabrik

UNTR Bidik Penjualan Alat Berat Capai 700 Unit
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763252/untr-bidik-penjualan-alat-berat-capai-700-unit

Aksi Sell Off AS Tulari Bursa Asia Pagi Ini
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1763267/aksi-sell-off-as-tulari-bursa-asia-pagi-ini

WINS panen kontrak baru jasa sewa kapal
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312849299/74932/WINS-panen-kontrak-baru-jasa-sewa-kapal

Trader: Tak ada penarikan likuiditas di pasar AS
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312848439/74930/Trader-Tak-ada-penarikan-likuiditas-di-pasar-AS

Analis meramalkan Nikkei dibawah level 9.000
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1312848835/74929/Analis-meramalkan-Nikkei-dibawah-level-9.000