Monday, July 12, 2010

Riset Technical Analysis Saham 12-07

Anugrah Sec:   
http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673825/DTP12Juli2010a.pdf.html

Valbury: http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673863/Valbury.pdf.html

Asia Sec:  http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673802/asia.pdf.html

IPOT: http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673847/IPOT.pdf.html

Panin Sec:
http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673849/rpt_2010-Jul-12-Rekomendasi-pn.pdf.html

Reliance Sec:
http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673819/Daily_Insight_12_Juli_2010.pdf.html

Trimegah: 
http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673852/trimegah.pdf.html

Etrading:
http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673846/etrading.pdf.html

UBI Securities:
http:///www.ziddu.com/download/10673858/UBINewsletter12-07-10.pdf.html

Danareksa: http://www.danareksa-research.com/stock-market/47-weekly-outlook/525-seleksi-saham-10-jul-2010

HD Capital: http://www.hdx.co.id/id/market-outlook/2010/july/5/head-start-12-07-2010

www.kontan.com
Sekuritas Emiten Rekomendasi Target Harga Tanggal Keterangan
OSK Nusadana PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG) Beli 45.200 2010-07-09 08:51 AM Banpu, induk ITMG, mengumumkan minatnya untuk mengakuisisi tambang batubara Contennial di Australia. Pendapatan ITMG tahun ini diprediksi US$ 1,69 miliar.
Kim Eng Securities PT AKR Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) Beli 1.320 2010-07-09 08:50 AM AKR menambah kapasitas tanki penyimpanan BBM sebanyak 65.000 kiloliter. Tahun ini AKR mendapat jatah distribusi 56.500 kiloliter BBM di Sumatra dan Kalimantan.
CLSA Securities PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk (BBTN) Beli 2.000 2010-07-09 08:50 AM BBTN berhasil mencatatkan pertumbuhan kredit hingga 27% sampai dengan Juni 2010. Bank ini juga masih menjadi pemimpin pasar kredit perumahan dengan pangsa pasar sebesar 27%.

Laporan Saham Indonesia 12-07

Indeks diperkirakan menguat lebih lanjut di awal pekan ini, berkat perkiraan solidnya pertumbuhan dan BI masih akan mempertahankan suku bunga di pertemuan RDG bulan depan, capital inflow dari kenaikan rating oleh Moodys beberapa pekan lalu, sejumlah IPO pada pekan ini hingga sejumlah saham unggulan yang memberikan dividen, seharusnya menopang kinerja indeks di awal pekan ini. Kondisi tersebut akan ditopang oleh kinerja indeks regional dan Wall Street yang menunjukkan signal rebound dan uptrend jangka pendek, setelah sejumlah data ekonomi AS membaik, kondisi di Eropa ikut membaik, penguatan harga komoditi dan pelemahan dolar AS, capital inflow (EPFR) menuju emerging market di pekan lalu, antisipasi musim laporan keuangan di AS untuk kuartal kedua pada pekan ini (liat jadwal di chat roll), dan rencana IPO Agriculture Bank China di awal pekan ini.

Trading Buy: GREN Hold buy area 160-170, IPOL, IPO Molindo & Bukit Uluwatu (kenaikan terbatas), BJBR (1100/1200 tgt near 1.500 revisi), CTRA, grup Astra, BUMI, BTEL, UNSP, BMTR, DOID, CPIN, RAJA, BKSL, SMRA, BSDE, BBTN, JSMR, BLTA, UNVR, ITMG

BNI Technical Analysis 12-07: 
http://www.ziddu.com/download/10673084/071210t.pdf.html

Molindo Raya Industrial (Manufacture sector)
Listing Date 12 July 2010
Offering periode 2-6 July 2010. Offered share 650,000,000 shr. Price TBA
Underwritter Mandiri Sekuritas

Bukit Uluwatu Villa (Hotel & Tourism sector)
Listing Date 12 July 2010
Offering periode 2-6 July 2010. Offered share 857,142,500 shr. Price Rp260
Underwritter Danareksa Sekuritas

Garuda are next

Market Profile Analysis: IHSG/DJIA/FTSE/DAX/MSCI WORLD INDEX

IHSG Market Profile
IHSGHold buy break 2.900 target 2.970 = Done +70p (12/07). Buy break 2.976 target 3.035 stop 30p

Track Record IHSG (since end of March 2010) : 48 Recommendations (32 profits: 4 break even: 12 loss) = (+20p+45p+73p+53+60p+45p+63p+0p+27p+50p-20p+13p+40p+45p+40p+29p-30p-154p-75p+80p+26p+0p+28p+80p+62p+53p+20p+0p+70p+99p+135p-20p-30p+50p+60p+100p+0p-55p-30p+59p-30p-20p-30p-30p+45p+70p). Total : Net +1305 points = Average 27.18 point.

IHSG Volume Bar
IHSG Volatility
DJIA MP
Wave 1 is one the way
(09.07) Buy breakout 10.150 target 10.300/10.400.

Track record 37 Trades: (-65p-30p+370p + 280p+190p-30p+230p-30p+120p+200p-40p+280p+198p+205p+110p-30p+70p+200p+150p-50p-30p-30p-30p+145p-50p-30p+175p-50p-50p-60p-50p-50p+225p+100p-55p+100p+380p+220p). Total Net +3248 points = Average +87.78 points/trade.

DAX Jerman MP
FTSE Inggris MP
MSCI World Index MP

Sunday, July 11, 2010

Update Daily Investment News

Week Ahead: Stocks Could See Bigger Earnings Season Pop
Second-quarter earnings season is likely to create a positive backdrop for stocks, at least temporarily.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38179434

Retail Sales Probably Declined in June: U.S. Economy Preview
(Bloomberg) -- Retail sales in the U.S. fell in June for a second month and industrial production cooled, signs the expansion will moderate in the second half, economists said before reports this week.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=akg2lK6BOWP8&pos=2

Global, Asian Emerging-Market Stock Funds Post Inflows in Week
(Bloomberg) -- Global and Asian emerging-market stock funds took in net inflows as investors bought more shares in Taiwan and India in the week ended July 7 even as they pulled $11.25 billion from equity funds worldwide, EPFR Global said.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=accQgAkvjhoE

Euro Breakup Would Unleash GDP Growth, Capital Economics Says
(Bloomberg) -- The breakup of the euro area would save the 16-nation region from years of economic stagnation by boosting weaker members’ competitiveness as well as domestic demand in Germany to spark growth, Capital Economics said.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=anNIrGmxu5.A&pos=4

Gold May ‘Bottom’ in Next Week on Low Cycle: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Gold, heading for a third weekly decline, may reach a short-term low in the next week and climb higher, according to technical analysis by independent analyst Jim Stellakis.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=anwjLKY2q3KY

China Stocks Find ‘Bottom,’ May Rebound: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- A rebound in Chinese stocks, the worst performers in Asia this year, may be imminent after reaching a near-term low, CIMB Group Holdings Bhd. said, citing two technical indicators.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a80S2l0u58Ho

Treasury 10-Year Note Yield May Move Higher: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is poised to move higher after failing to break through a significant technical level this week, according to FTN Financial.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ayPK8qLIkIKU

Dollar May Gain to 90 Yen on ‘Golden Cross’: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The dollar may rise to 90 yen, the highest level since June 23, if it breaks above key levels concentrated around 88 yen to 89 yen on technical charts, according to Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aZpy8a30r6BE

Dollar May Rise to 90.60 Versus Yen, Commerzbank Analysts Say
(Bloomberg) -- The dollar may reach 90.60 against Japan’s currency should it hold above a so-called support area between 87.15 and 87.00 yen, Commerzbank AG said, citing technical indicators.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aInyWhJXerMI

Asia’s Commodity Demand Is ‘Structural,’ LME Says (Update3)
(Bloomberg) -- Growth in demand for commodities including metals in Asia is surging as nations ramp up infrastructure spending, according to the head of the London Metal Exchange, the biggest marketplace for industrial metals.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=av90.qzXCNSY

Gold-Rally Bets Drop Most Since April 2009 After Euro Rebounds
(Bloomberg) -- Bets on a gold rally by hedge-fund managers and other large speculators dropped the most since April 2009 after the metal traded below a key moving average following the euro’s rebound.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a4ZGxIMAcgic
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1541045605&play=1

Halftime Pt. 1: Is There Conviction Behind Market Gains?
In midday trading, stocks inched higher for a fourth day Friday, putting the markets on-track for the best week of trading in more than a year. But from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Steve Grasso of Stuart Frankel remains skeptical of the rally.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38168177

Halftime Pt. 2: Earnings Deluge Presents Flood Of Trading Opportunities
Prepare for a deluge of earnings reports next week. Some of the most widely followed companies will all release results - one after another. Take a look:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38168197

Asian Stocks Climb on Economic Growth Hopes; China Banks Gain
(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks completed the biggest weekly advance this year, as falling U.S. jobless claims, speculation China may wind back some tightening measures and a South Korean interest-rate increase spurred confidence in a global economic recovery.
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ail.5_K23pfo

Google, Other Market Dogs Kick Off Earnings
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38167337

Earnings Deluge Presents Flood Of Trading Opportunities
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38172002

Repeat of 2008 Selloff on Horizon: Hedge Fund Director
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38146859

Economists see U.S. recovery weakening: survey
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. economy will lose steam as the year progresses but will not slide back into recession, even though unemployment is unlikely to fall significantly, according to a survey released on Saturday.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38177551

Elliott Wave: Would You Recognize a Stock Market Top?

Skilled Analysis Can "Get You Out" Close to the Peak
"Hear ye, Hear ye, the market toppeth this very hour!" Many a fortune would be intact if such announcements were audible at market tops. Alas, there are no such proclamations, so tops come and trends change -- unrecognized by most until it's way too late.
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/07/09/Would-You-Recognize-a-Stock-Market-Top.aspx

The Stock Market's Wave Structure: History Repeating
For those of us living in the United States, there's definitely one thing getting barbecued this holiday weekend: porterhouse stock values. To wit: On June 30, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed out Q2 of 2010 with seven straight negative trading sessions. History shows this was the market's longest losing streak since October 2008 AND worst pre-July 4th week in percentage terms (down 5%) since Charles Dow founded the index in 1896.
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/07/03/The-Stock-Market-s-Wave-Structure-History-Repeating.aspx
Germany's DAX: "Bullish Possibility Has Faded"
After spiking to 6359 on June 21, Germany's DAX, the European Union's benchmark stock index, has fallen to as low as 5826.
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/07/06/%28Video%29-Germany-s-DAX--Bullish-Possibility-Has-Faded-.aspx

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