The Combination of Technical-Analysis & Astrolo9y (CTA)

Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.

Monday, February 21, 2011

Stock Market Selloffs Ignite U.S. Dollar Rallies

The inevitable periodic selloffs in the general stock markets indiscriminately hammer all stocks lower. But they pose a special magnified risk to commodities stocks. In addition to weighing on this sector directly, stock selloffs ignite fast US dollar rallies. This rapidly drives dollar-denominated commodities prices lower, amplifying the selling pressure faced by commodities stocks.

The threat of a stock-market selloff is particularly relevant today. The flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) is extremely overbought technically, and sentiment is wildly complacent and bullish. Key indicators reflecting traders’ collective psychology are pegged near dangerous levels from where past major SPX selloffs started. Right now the stock markets are as ripe for a major correction as they’ve ever been.

Meanwhile the Continuous Commodity Index (CCI) continues to achieve new all-time record highs, reflecting similar exuberance in the commodities realm. And the benchmark US Dollar Index (USDX, the best proxy for this currency) is relatively low with lots of room to soar. I can’t imagine a more-perfect scenario for an SPX selloff igniting a USDX rally that temporarily crushes commodities prices!

Adam Hamilton, CPA
Copyright 2000 - 2011 Zeal Research ( www.ZealLLC.com )

Market Profile & EW: IHSG vs DJIA = Intraday Overbought In Extend Bull

Dapatkan hari ini Technical Analysis Weekly (Sektor Basic Industry) 11 Saham + IHSG vs DJIA Pekan ini (21 - 25 February 2011), berikut Track Record Sektor Property (07 -11 Feb) & Sektor Agriculture (14-18 Feb) hanya di BNI Securities (NI). Berikutnya akan dirilis Monthly Report TA BNIS (Edisi Maret: 01 Maret 2011) & Quarterly Report TA (Q2: 01 April).

IHSG M

IHSG 4-Jam

DJIA 4-Jam

Sunday, February 20, 2011

Warren Buffett Stock Picking Secret, Revealed!

Want to bet more like Buffett? You can. We've just learned one of his major stock picking secrets! When Warren Buffett puts money to work he obviously evaluates many factors; but it appears one factor stands head and shoulders above the rest.

And that’s pricing power.

According to Bloomberg, “The single most important decision in evaluating a business is pricing power,” Buffett told the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in an interview released by the panel last week.

“If you’ve got the power to raise prices without losing business to a competitor, you’ve got a very good business. And if you have to have a prayer session before raising the price by 10 percent, then you’ve got a terrible business.”

And that leads to an obvious question. Which companies have pricing power?

For insights we turned to our own Oracle - Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge Capital, a leading alternative asset manager with more than $7 billion under management.

He tells us Buffett's pricing power thesis leads him to these three names.
    * Philip Morris [PM 61.43    0.59 (+0.97%)   ]
      - How they get pricing power: They sell cigarettes, an addictive product. Also he says there are very high barriers to entry.
    * Walter Energy [WLT 121.98    -6.32 (-4.93%)   ]
      - How they get pricing power: They provide of metallurgical coal a necessary element of steel production.
    * Loral Space & Communication [LORL 78.91    -0.19 (-0.24%)   ]
      - How they get pricing power: They control 70% of the market.

Get all the details. Watch the video now!
http://www.cnbc.com/id/41672672

Kalender Ekonomi & Event Global (21 - 25 Februari 2011): A Cautious Bull Run This Weekend

WIB: +12 Jam
http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Market Insider: Wall Street's Bull Strolls Into the Week Ahead
http://www.cnbc.com/id/41671760

Econorama
The week's economic data kicks off Tuesday with S&P/Case-Shiller home prices. Other housing data includes existing home sales Wednesday and FHFA home prices Thursday. Consumer confidence is reported Tuesday and consumer sentiment is reported Friday. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims and durable goods are also released. On Friday, the government releases its revision to fourth quarter GDP.

Earnings Central
A flurry of retail earnings dominate the coming week's earnings calendar. Wal-Mart, Home Depot, Barnes and Noble, RadioShack and Office Depot report Tuesday. Lowes, Saks, TJX, Limited Brands and Dollar Tree report Wednesday. Target, Sears, Safeway, Gap and Kohl's report Thursday, and JCPenney reports Friday. Besides retailers, Hewlett-Packard, Chesapeake, Mohawk and Hertz report after Tuesday's bell. DirecTv, Fluor, Vornado, Washington Post and Transocean report Wednesday. General Motors, Newmont Mining, CMS Energy, Dish, Salesforce.com and Imax report Thursday. Tenet Healthcare, Rowan and Public Storage report Friday. Berkshire Hathaway releases earnings along with its annual letter to shareholders on Saturday.

Home Sales Probably Fell, Goods Orders Rose as Factories Head U.S. Economy
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-20/home-sales-probably-fell-goods-orders-rose-as-factories-head-u-s-economy.html

EWI: Robert Prechter: Does the Law of Supply and Demand Really Apply to Stocks?

Achtung Baby! NYSE To Go Deutsch In Biggest Merger On The Planet
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/17/Achtung-Baby-NYSE-To-Go-Deutsch-In-Biggest-Merger-On-The-Planet.aspx

Moody Blogs and Tweets Give Hints about Financial Markets
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/18/Moody-Blogs-and-Tweets-Give-Hints-about-Financial-Markets.aspx

European Sovereign Debt: Crisis Over for Europe's Markets in 2011?
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/18/European-Sovereign-Debt-Crisis-Over-for-Europe-s-Markets-in-2011.aspx

USDJPY: A Real-Life Lesson in Elliott Wave Application
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/18/%28Video%29-USDJPY-A-Real-Life-Lesson-in-Elliott-Wave-Application.aspx

Robert Prechter: Does the Law of Supply and Demand Really Apply to Stocks?
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/17/Robert-Prechter-Does-the-Law-of-Supply-and-Demand-Really-Apply-to-Stocks.aspx

Euro Falls, Euro Rallies -- Why, Again?
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/16/Euro-Falls,-Euro-Rallies----Why,-Again.aspx

New Theorist: 30+ Years of Prechter's Experience in One Single Issue
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/16/New-Theorist-30-Years-of-Prechter-s-Experience-in-One-Single-Issue.aspx

A Riveting Book Contains 30 Years Of Bob Prechter's Gold & Silver Analysis
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/02/16/A-New-Book-Contains-30-Years-Of-Bob-Prechter-s-Gold--Silver-Analysis-.aspx