The Combination of Technical-Analysis & Astrolo9y (CTA)

Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

These Are Bear Market News (Med-Term) vs Q4 2011's Earning Season (Short-Term)

World Bank Cuts Economic Outlook, Says Europe Is In Recession, Warns Developing Economies To "Prepare For The Worst"
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/world-bank-cuts-economic-outlook-says-europe-recession-warns-developing-economies-prepare-worst

Standard Chartered Does Not See A "Quick Move To Further Loosening" In China, Despite Property Correction
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/standard-chartered-does-not-see-quick-move-further-loosening-china-despite-property-correction

Morgan Stanley Quantifies The Probability Of A Global "Muddle Through": 37%
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/morgan-stanley-quantifies-probability-global-muddle-through-37

S&P TO ASIA: You're Next
http://www.businessinsider.com/sp-to-asia-youre-next-2012-1#ixzz1jfNKhIV3

It's 2007.2, and Our Next "Lehman Moment' Is Coming Fast
http://moneymorning.com/2012/01/17/its-2007-2-and-our-next-lehman-moment-is-coming-fast/

Doug Kass Sees 10 Reasons for U.S. Stocks To Rally
http://www.econmatters.com/2012/01/doug-kass-sees-10-reasons-for-us-stocks.html

$10 TRILLION Liquidity Injection Coming? Credit Suisse Hunkers Down Ahead Of The European Endgame
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/10-trillion-ltro-coming-credit-suisse-hunkers-down-ahead-european-endgame

JPM: The US Economy Is About To Hit A Brick Wall
http://www.econmatters.com/2012/01/jpm-us-economy-is-about-to-hit-brick.html

The Iran Card and the Future of Oil
http://www.econmatters.com/2012/01/iran-card-and-future-of-oil.html

@IHSG vs DJIA: Bear Market Rally in Bearish Divergence & Risk > Reward

IHSG: On the way to 4.028 Double Top Formation in A Quiet Solar & Moon Activity???

DJIA: A Limited Bull Rally in Bullish Gartley

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 18-01 (Refresh)

2nd SESSION JCI on 18.01.12
(By: Gita Adiwoso - D'Origin)

@3978.12 (+23.37 pts) (+0.59 %) (H:3978.45 ; L:3947.85 )
Value: 5.114 T. (NG 891 B )
Volume: 5.492 B (NG 1.413 B )
Foreign Nett Buy 595 B...!!!!
Incl. Crossing:
MDLN @ 250 ~ 211 B. (D vs D )
BMRI. @ 6750 ~ 102 B (D vs D )
USD/IDR: 9010 (On Shore)
9067(Off Shore)

JCI for tomorrow:
Support: 3954 ; 3926
Resistance: 3997 ; 4028

6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
FINANCE. (+0.78%) (1.482 T )
MANUFACTUR ( +0.90%) (1.177 T )
TRADE. (+0.85%) (681.487 B )
MINING. (+0.43%) (627.377 B )
PROPERTY. (-0.16%) (551.763 B )
INFRASTRUC (+0.003%) (461.428 B )

6 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
UNTR. @ 29035 (174.77 B )
BMRI. @ 6882. (155.58 B )
SMGR @ 12.098 (46.51 B )
ASII. @ 77606 (38.27 B )
BUMI. @ 2511. (33.77 B )
INTP. @ 18516. (32.44 B )

6 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
BBNI. @ 3695 (66.70 B )
BBTN. @ 1226 (25.71 B )
ENRG. @ 207. (20.23 B )
GGRM @ 57279 (18.96 B )
ITMG. @ 39026 (8.83 B )
AKRA @ 3485 (5.79 B )

8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
BMRI. @ 6950. (+2.20%)
BBRI. @ 7050. (+1.43%)
UNTR. @ 29250(+2.99%)
BBNI. @ 3725. (+0.67%)
ASII. @ 77800 (+0.64%)
SMGR @ 12350. (+4.21%)

8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
BIPI-W @ 88. (666.846 M)
ELTY. @ 143. (343.735 M)
PNLF. @ 150. (330.664 M)
ENRG. @ 210. (268.096 M)
BIPI. @ 240 (246.452 M)
INAF. @ 194 (159.299 M)
PNLF-W @ 34 (153.473 M)
BULL. @ 102 (142.042 M)

Bloomberg: *BANK RAKYAT 2011 PROFIT MAY HAVE RISEN TO 11.4T RUPIAH :BBRI IJ

Palm Oil Gains 0.5% to Close at 3,180 Ringgit a Metric Ton

Selamat! Moody's Juga Naikkan Peringkat Indonesia
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/18/144832/1818861/4/selamat-moodys-juga-naikkan-peringkat-indonesia

Keputusan Moody's Pacu Gairah IHSG
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820434/keputusan-moodys-pacu-gairah-ihsg

Asing Borong, IHSG Naik 0,5% ke 3.978
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820417/asing-borong-ihsg-naik-05-ke-3978

Negara Barat Tak Lagi Aman Risiko Investasi
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820408/negara-barat-tak-lagi-aman-risiko-investasi

Indonesia Naik Peringkat, IHSG Melaju 23 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/18/160813/1819076/6/indonesia-naik-peringkat-ihsg-melaju-23-poin

Saham SMGR menuju level penutupan tertinggi sejak Agustus 1991
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/saham-smgr-menuju-level-penutupan-tertinggi-sejak-agustus-1991

Harga karet sentuh rekor tertinggi dalam 11 minggu
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/harga-karet-sentuh-rekor-tertinggi-dalam-11-minggu

OJK, Jembatan Antara Sekuritas dan Perbankan
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/18/123718/1818675/6/ojk-jembatan-antara-sekuritas-dan-perbankan

PWON targetkan pendapatan Rp 1,7 triliun di tahun ini
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/pwon-targetkan-pendapatan-rp-17-triliun-di-tahun-ini

Tekanan terhadap rupiah surut setelah Moody's naikkan peringkat Indonesia
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/tekanan-terhadap-rupiah-surut-setelah-moodys-naikkan-peringkat-indonesia

Siwani Makmur Targetkan Penjualan Rp20 M di 2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820389/siwani-makmur-targetkan-penjualan-rp20-m-di-2012

Harga Perdana Surya Esa Perkasa Rp610/Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820363/harga-perdana-surya-esa-perkasa-rp610saham

ACES Buka Gerai ke-55 di Bandung
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820337/aces-buka-gerai-ke-55-di-bandung

UOB Kay Hian Konversi Utang BHIT ke Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820329/uob-kay-hian-konversi-utang-bhit-ke-saham

3-5 BUMN Siap IPO di Semester I-2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820321/3-5-bumn-siap-ipo-di-semester-i-2012

Bursa Eropa Melemah di Awal Perdagangan
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1820414/bursa-eropa-melemah-di-awal-perdagangan

BLOOMBERG: *INDONESIA SOVEREIGN RATING RAISED TO Baa3 FROM Ba1 AT MOODY'S *MOODY'S CITES INDONESIA RESILIENCE TO EXTERNAL SHOCKS *MOODY'S RAISES INDONESIA'S LT FC BOND CEILING TO Baa2 FROM Baa3. Indonesia Regains Investment Grade at Moody’s After 14 Years

Indonesian Stocks Rise, Rupiah Gains After Moody’s Upgrade

COAL RESOURCES BOOST TO 79 MT AT KATINGAN RIA, INDONESIA

BLOOMBERG: Perusahaan Gas Negara Raised to 'Neutral' at CIMB

Semen Gresik May Seek $540M Loan for Cement Plants: Bisnis Says

Astra Sedaya Finance Plans to Sell 2 Trillion Rupiah of Bonds

Bumi Minerals May Sell 20% Stake in Tamagot Bumi, Daily Reports

*BANK INDONESIA TO BUY MORE LONGER-TERM BONDS FROM MARKET: BI

Indonesia’s 2012 Current Account May Be Deficit, Nasution Says

Philippine Peso, Won Lead Gains in Asia on U.S. Growth Optimism

Palm Oil Falls as Much as 0.6% to 3,146 Ringgit a Metric Ton

*RUBBER FUTURES GAIN 0.7% TO 293.0 YEN/KG IN TOKYO

Most Asian Stocks Reverse Advance on Greece Default Concern

Indonesia’s Widening of Band is ‘Implicit Easing,’ BarCap Says

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

@IHSG vs DJIA: Cautious Bull Rally Amid Bearish Divergence & Timing Model on Top

IHSG: Completing Bearish Crab Formation

DJIA: Completing Bullish Gartley

SHANGHAI: Completing Bullish Gartley

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 17-01 (Refresh)

2nd SESSION JCI on 17.01.12
@3954.75 (+45.06 pts) (+1.15 %) (H:3955.73 ; L:3910.05 )
Value: 4.430 T (NG 729 B )
Volume: 5.806 B (NG 982 M)
Foreign Nett Buy : 182 B
USD/IDR: 9198 ( On Shore)
   9189 (Off Shore)
Incl. Crossing:
TRUS @ 1050 ~ 94 B
BBNI. @ 3700 ~ 38 B

JCI for tomorrow:
Support:     . 3909 ; 3879
Resistance: 3997 ; 4028

6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
FINANCE. (+1.33%). (1.016 T )
MANUFACTUR ( +1.08%) (981.746 B )
MINING. (+1.47%). (722.989 B )
PROPERTY (+0.45%) (528.219 B )
TRADE. (+1.46%). (508.815 B )
INFRASTRUC ( +0.62%) (478.309 B )

6 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
ASII. @ 76987 (95.09 B )
BBRI. @ 6897. (80.28 B )
UNTR. @ 28324 (67.49 B )
INTP. @ 18228 (41.56 B )
SMGR @ 11747. (25.85 B )
LSIP. @ 2462. (23.15 B )

6 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
BBNI. @ 3700. (74.23 B )
GGRM @ 57852 (73.49 B )
BBCA. @ 7940. (64.60 B )
BMRI. @ 6763. (34.81 B )
INDF. @ 4753. (32.29 B )
ITMG. @ 39143 (30.45 B )

8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
ASII. @ 77300 (+1.44%)
BBRI. @ 6950. (+2.20%)
BMRI. @ 6800. (+1.49%)
ELTY. @ 146. (+7.35%)
BBNI. @ 3700. (0.00%)
UNTR. @ 28400 (+2.52%)
BORN. @ 890. (+7.22%)
BBCA. @ 7950. (0.00%)

8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
ELTY. @ 146 (1.101 B )
BIPI-W @ 73. (396.726 M)
ENRG. @ 215 (223.978 M)
DEWA. @ 90. (198.958 M)
BNBR. @ 52. (190.249 M)
INAF. @ 190 (178.731 M)
UNSP. @310. (171.249 M)
ENRG-W @ 59 (164.205 M)

London Sumatra, Bakrie Sumatera Gain as Rubber at 1-Month High

Bakrieland Gains to 4-Month High After Higher Revenue Forecast

Emerging-Markets Consumer Confidence Drops, Credit Suisse Says

Indonesia Widens Lower End of Interbank Rate to 200 Basis Points

Indonesia Rupiah Falls After Funds Cut Share, Bond Holdings

UBS upgrade Garuda Airlines Outperform from Neutral target 690 rupiah from 490. AS before, Citigroup upgrade GIAA target 750 rupiah

Bursa Asia Melaju Kencang, IHSG Melesat 45 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/17/160547/1818021/6/bursa-asia-melaju-kencang-ihsg-melesat-45-poin

Asing Net Buy, IHSG Naik 1,1% ke 3.954,75. net foreign buy Rp183,2 miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819934/asing-net-buy-ihsg-naik-11-ke-395475

Inilah Pemicu Anjloknya Saham GGRM
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819929/inilah-pemicu-anjloknya-saham-ggrm

ETWA Raih Kredit dari Bank Mutiara Senilai Rp20 M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819927/etwa-raih-kredit-dari-bank-mutiara-senilai-rp20-m

Abaikan Downgrade, Bursa Eropa Menguat
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819920/abaikan-downgrade-bursa-eropa-menguat

Inilah Level-level Pembelian Saham Tambang
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819903/inilah-level-level-pembelian-saham-tambang

MRAT Jadi Saham Teraktif, Selasa (17/1)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819945/mrat-jadi-saham-teraktif-selasa-171

Diduga Ingkar Janji, BYAN Dituntut BCBC Singapore
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819863/diduga-ingkar-janji-byan-dituntut-bcbc-singapore

*DJ Fitch Analyst Philip McNicholas Was Speaking To Dow Jones Newswires
*DJ Fitch Analyst: Don't See Philippines Stable Outlook Changing In 12-18 Month
*DJ Fitch Analyst: More Comfortable With Indonesia's Current Macroecon Policy
*DJ Fitch Analyst: Indonesia Inflationary Pressures Remain Low In 1Q
*DJ Fitch Analyst: Bank Indonesia Export Repatriation Rule Could Increase Domes
*DJ Fitch Analyst: Indonesia High Loan Growth Not A Risk For Credit Rating
*DJ Fitch Analyst: Effective Government Spending Could Lift Indonesia's Growth
*DJ Fitch Analyst: Net FDI To Offset Likely Current Account Deficit This Year
*DJ Fitch Analyst: Indonesia Better Positioned To Withstand External Liquidity

RTRS-INDONESIA-FITCH SAYS HAS "SOME CONCERNS" ABOUT INDONESIA BANKING SYSTEM GIVEN SHARP INCREASE IN ASSET PRICES AND CREDIT GROWTH
17Jan12 RTRS-INDONESIA-FITCH SAYS DOES NOT SEE ITS CONCERNS ON INDONESIA BANKING SYSTEM AS CONSTRAINT ON RATING

JAKARTA, Jan 17 (Reuters) - Shares of PT Bank Internasional Indonesia , a unit of Malayan Banking Berhad , jumped as much as 10.7 percent on Tuesday after Maybank said it plans to sell a stake in the Indonesian lender.

Bakrieland Expects 2011 Revenue to Beat 30% Growth Estimate

Ford Motor Indonesia’s 2011 Car Sales Rose 94% to 15,988 Units

Heavy Rain May Disrupt Indonesian Tin Mining for Further Week

Asing Net Buy, IHSG Sesi I Berakhir Naik 0,47%. net foreign buy Rp63,47 miliar.
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819856/asing-net-buy-ihsg-sesi-i-berakhir-naik-047

Sesi I
Aksi Beli Selektif Dorong IHSG Naik 18 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/17/120424/1817577/6/aksi-beli-selektif-dorong-ihsg-naik-18-poin

Menu Sesi Dua: Saham Astra, Semen, Agri, & Bank
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819843/menu-sesi-dua-saham-astra-semen-agri-bank

Suplai Terganggu, Minyak Brent Naik di Atas $111
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819831/suplai-terganggu-minyak-brent-naik-di-atas-111

Digugat Perusahaan Singapura, Bayan Tunjuk Advokat
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/17/105846/1817489/6/digugat-perusahaan-singapura-bayan-tunjuk-advokat

Dipimpin presdir baru, saham BNII meroket hingga 9% lebih
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/dipimpin-presdir-baru-saham-bnii-meroket-hingga-9-lebih

Penjualan kendaraan domestik naik, saham ASII bergerak positif
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/penjualan-kendaraan-domestik-naik-saham-asii-bergerak-positif-1

JPFA terbitkan obligasi tahap II senilai Rp 250 miliar
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/jpfa-terbitkan-obligasi-tahap-ii-senilai-rp-250-miliar-1

Harga terlalu rendah, AALI batal menjual 7.000 ton minyak kelapa sawit
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/harga-terlalu-rendah-aali-batal-menjual-7.000-ton-minyak-kelapa-sawit

Bloomberg; China’s Data May Be Moderately Positive for Markets: BofA-ML

Bank Internasional Gains Most in a Year After President Named

Bloomberg: Asian Stocks Rise as Slowing China GDP Boosts Easing Speculation

Semen Gresik May Build Cement Plant in Kalimantan, Bisnis Says

Surya Semesta Seeks 500B Rupiah Bank Loan for Capex, Bisnis Says

*PALM OIL GAINS AS MUCH AS 0.6% TO 3,145 RINGGIT/METRIC TON

Indonesia Rupiah Falls After Funds Cut Share, Bond Holdings

Singapore Reits Lack of Committed Liquidity a Risk, Fitch Says

Rubber Futures Extend Gains in Tokyo, Rising as Much as 3.6%

Global Land May Spend 2.86T Rupiah to Build 6 Buildings: Bisnis

Electronics Frenzy Tops $1 Trillion as Tin Rallies: Commodities

*ARAMCO EXPANSION PLAN INCLUDES REFINERIES IN CHINA, INDONESIA

Indonesia’s Fuel-Subsidy Cap May Cut Demand by 6% This Year

RTRS-Malaysia's Maybank appoints UBS to sell stake in Indonesia's BII RTRS-MALAYSIA'S MAYBANK

Astra, Global Land, Surya Semesta: Indonesia Equity Preview
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-17/astra-global-land-surya-semesta-indonesia-equity-preview.html

Inilah Saham Pilihan Selasa (17/1)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819623/inilah-saham-pilihan-selasa-171

Rekomendasi Saham
IHSG Bisa Membaik Perlahan
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/17/074451/1817288/6/ihsg-bisa-membaik-perlahan

Disokong Bursa Asia, IHSG Menguat 14 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/17/093608/1817360/6/disokong-bursa-asia-ihsg-menguat-14-poin

Inilah Target Teknikal Saham Batu Bara Januari
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819595/inilah-target-teknikal-saham-batu-bara-januari

Macquarie Naikkan Rekomendasi BBNI Jadi Outperform
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819728/macquarie-naikkan-rekomendasi-bbni-jadi-outperform

Saham BBKP Diincar Bank Asal Timur Tengah?
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819724/saham-bbkp-diincar-bank-asal-timur-tengah

ADES Rencana Private Placement?
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819726/ades-rencana-private-placement

PGAS membangun empat unit penyimpanan gas terapung
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/pgas-membangun-empat-unit-penyimpanan-gas-terapung

Inilah Saham Berpeluang Technical Rebound
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819739/inilah-saham-berpeluang-technical-rebound

BNBR Raih Kredit Senilai US$437 Juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819639/bnbr-raih-kredit-senilai-us437-juta

Ekonomi China Tumbuh Terlemah dalam 2,6 Tahun
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819755/ekonomi-china-tumbuh-terlemah-dalam-26-tahun

Fitch Rating Tangani Penerbitan Obligasi Rp9,77 T
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819761/fitch-rating-tangani-penerbitan-obligasi-rp977-t

Desember, ASII masih Rajai Penjualan Sepeda Motor
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819646/desember-asii-masih-rajai-penjualan-sepeda-motor

BMTR akan menerbitkan obligasi Rp 1 triliun
Dalam rencana terkini BMTR, obligasi tersebut akan diterbitkan pada semester pertama tahun 2012 ini.

Sisa Dana IPO ARII Masih Rp381,8 M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819629/sisa-dana-ipo-arii-masih-rp3818-m

BUVA anggarkan capex Rp 250 miliar di 2012
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/buva-anggarkan-capex-rp-250-miliar-di-2012

AUTO gandeng NHK Precision bentuk usaha patungan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/auto-gandeng-nhk-precision-bentuk-usaha-patungan-1

Sigmantara Tambah Saham di AMRT Jadi 61,52%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1819593/sigmantara-tambah-saham-di-amrt-jadi-6152

Asing lepas aset Indonesia, rupiah loyo lagi
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/news/asing-lepas-aset-indonesia-rupiah-loyo-lagi

6 Penyebab Gagalnya Bisnis Waralaba
http://finance.detik.com/read/2012/01/17/071919/1817279/480/6-penyebab-gagalnya-bisnis-waralaba

JAKARTA. Three of Indonesia's top banks are planning acquisitions, subordinated debt and lowering dividend payouts to push lending and maintain the robust loan growth of 2011.
       PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk, the largest lender by assets, wants to lower its dividend payout ratio, but if it fails, the bank will go for a so-called "subdebt" to boost capitalization and have steady loan growth of more than 20 percent, president director Zulkifli Zaini said.
       Mandiri's consolidated lending grew 27 percent in 2011, higher than its 23 percent target, and Zulkifli said the bank targeted 20 to 22 percent further loan growth this year.

Dow. 12422.06. Closed. Closed Nasdaq. 2710.67. Closed. Closed S&P 500.1289.09. Closed Closed FTSE. 5657.44. +20.80.+0.37% Dax. 6220.01. +76.93.+1.25% CAC40. 3225.00. +28.51.+0.89% Oil. 99.69. +0.99. +1.00% Gold. 1643.70.+12.90.+0.79% IDR. 9125 (source: yahoo finance) Euro. 1.2661 TLKM.30.75 closed closed.Rp7015 ISAT. 30.62 closed closed Rp5588 BumiPLC. 861.00.+18.00.+2.14% EIDO. 29.80. Closed. Closed Timah. 20935. -65. -0.31% Nickel. 19295. -305. -1.55% CPOMar3126RM-22-0.70%$996 Corn. 599.50. Closed. Closed Soybean. 50.29. Closed. Closed Wheat. 602.25.Closed Closed DOC 16Jan 4500 vs 4300 (14Jan) Coal13Jan 116.19 vs.114.30(6 Jan)