Di chart daily, Nikkei menunjukkan trend bearish dari pola downtrend channel dan bearish continuation, diikuti candle downside tasuki bearish, ADX trending up, stochastic dan MACD bearish, seharusnya mendukung perkiraan penurunan lebih lanjut. Resistance berada di 9391 (upper channel)/9511 (10-day MA). Support berada di 9064 (middle channel)/8741 (lower channel). Perkiraan range hari ini 9150-9350. Rekomendasi : Buy 9090 target 9290 stop 100p. Buy break 9300 & 9480 target 9700 stop 100p, Buy 8900 target 9300 stop 100p, Sell 9450 target 9200 stop 50p. (+190-0p) Chart SSIU9 Daily
Kospi Futures Kontrak September (KSU9)
Dalam chart daily, indeks menunjukkan pola downtrend channel dan pola candle homing pigeon setelah sebelumnya menunjukkan pola bearish reversal; 09/07, didukung kondisi stochastic dead cross, MACD divergence dan ADX yang mengalami penurunan, seharusnya masih mendorong perkiraan penurunan terbatas hari ini. Resistance berada di 181.80 & 184.20. (upper channel), Support di 176.80/174.64 (lower channel). Rekomendasi Sell 183.35 & 186 target 179.00 stop 100p, buy 177.00 target 180.50, buy break 181.00 target 183.30 stop 100p. Buy break 184.50 target 186.00 stop 100p. (140-100p)
Hang Seng Futures Kontrak Juli (HSIN9)
Reboundnya indeks saham regional dan AS diperkirakan akan mendorong indeks Hang Seng untuk rebound dari penurunan kemarin. Saham keuangan kemungkinan akan pimpin kenaikan, setelah saham Goldman Sachs diupgrade oleh analis Meredith Whitney yang juga mengatakan saham bank akan menguat 15%.
Dalam chart daily, indeks masih berada dalam pola downtrend channel meski menunjukkan pola candle long bullish didukung oleh ADX terkoreksi, stochastic bearish, MACD netral seharusnya dukung potensi kenaikan terbatas. Resistance di 17980/18401. Support di 174841/17085. Menurut hitungan Elliot wave indeks menunjukkan wave koreksi iv dalam subwave motive (3) cycle B. Rekomendasi : buy 17470 target 17800 (or closing) stop 100 p. Buy break 18000 target 18200 stop 100 poin. Buy 17.080 target 17390. buy 16700 target 1739 stop 100p. sell break 16600 target 16350, Sell 18240 target 17980 stop 100p. (+35p) Chart HSIN9 Daily
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Kondisi Teknikal Euro & Pound Dalam Fase Konsolidasi
Technical Analysis
EUR-USD
Euro masih berada dalam bearish uptrend channel di descending triangle, diikuti three inside out, indikator ADX menurun, stochastic crossing down dan MACD mendekati teritorial netral, seharusnya masih mendukung perkiraan penurunan terbatas pada hari ini. Support berada di 1.3852 (lower channel/1.3747 (low), Resistance berada di 1.3999 (upper channel)/1.4075. Euro berada di dalam wave proses iii dalam wave 3 zig zag, untuk target $ 1.4717, selama tidak mencapai dibawah 1.2878. Buy 1.3750 & buy 1.3920 target 1.4050, sell break 1.3700 target 1.3450 stop 60-, sell 1.4050 target 1.3900, buy break 1.4080 target 1.4140 (-60p)
USD-JPY
(hold buy 92.00 target 93.50 stop 100p) USDJPY masih berada dalam pola downtrend channel di daily chart, meski penurunan tertahan di lower channel di 91.85, bilamana ditutup dibawah level tersebut akan memutarbalikan trend menjadi bearish target 90.35 (support line). Indikator ADX meningkat, stochastic dead cross, MACD masih berada dalam teritorial bearish, seharusnya mendukung peluang technical rebound jika gagal ditutup diatas 93.40. Resistance berada di 94.00, support di 91.70. Buy break 93.60 & buy break 94.65 target 96.00 stop dibawah 60p. sell Sell 94.50 target 92.00 stop 60p. Buy 90.50 stop 89.80.
GBP-USD
(-50+0p) GBP masih berada dalam downtrend channel, diikuti pola candle dark cloud cover yang bearish hari Jumat, indikator ADX flat, stochastic bearish dan MACD masih berada di teritorial bullish, mendukung potensi penurunan terbatas selama tidak ditutup dibawah 1.6025 (76.4% FR). Buy 1.6100 target 1.6260. sell break 1.6020 target 1.5930, buy 1.5930, buy break 1.6230 target 1.6380. sell 1.6380 target 1.6200 stop 100p.
AUD-USD
AUD terlihat berada dalam downtrend channel, meski pola candle bullish hammer menunjukkan potensi technical rebound, diikuti indikator ADX rebound, stochastic menurun, MACD masih bullish, seharusnya masih mendukung potensi penurunan ke 0.7690-07445, selama berada di bawah 0.7852. Resistance di 07852, support di 0.7700. buy break 0.7870 & buy break 0.8040 target 0.8100, sell 0.8000 target 0.7850.
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EUR-USD
Euro masih berada dalam bearish uptrend channel di descending triangle, diikuti three inside out, indikator ADX menurun, stochastic crossing down dan MACD mendekati teritorial netral, seharusnya masih mendukung perkiraan penurunan terbatas pada hari ini. Support berada di 1.3852 (lower channel/1.3747 (low), Resistance berada di 1.3999 (upper channel)/1.4075. Euro berada di dalam wave proses iii dalam wave 3 zig zag, untuk target $ 1.4717, selama tidak mencapai dibawah 1.2878. Buy 1.3750 & buy 1.3920 target 1.4050, sell break 1.3700 target 1.3450 stop 60-, sell 1.4050 target 1.3900, buy break 1.4080 target 1.4140 (-60p)
USD-JPY
(hold buy 92.00 target 93.50 stop 100p) USDJPY masih berada dalam pola downtrend channel di daily chart, meski penurunan tertahan di lower channel di 91.85, bilamana ditutup dibawah level tersebut akan memutarbalikan trend menjadi bearish target 90.35 (support line). Indikator ADX meningkat, stochastic dead cross, MACD masih berada dalam teritorial bearish, seharusnya mendukung peluang technical rebound jika gagal ditutup diatas 93.40. Resistance berada di 94.00, support di 91.70. Buy break 93.60 & buy break 94.65 target 96.00 stop dibawah 60p. sell Sell 94.50 target 92.00 stop 60p. Buy 90.50 stop 89.80.
GBP-USD
(-50+0p) GBP masih berada dalam downtrend channel, diikuti pola candle dark cloud cover yang bearish hari Jumat, indikator ADX flat, stochastic bearish dan MACD masih berada di teritorial bullish, mendukung potensi penurunan terbatas selama tidak ditutup dibawah 1.6025 (76.4% FR). Buy 1.6100 target 1.6260. sell break 1.6020 target 1.5930, buy 1.5930, buy break 1.6230 target 1.6380. sell 1.6380 target 1.6200 stop 100p.
AUD-USD
AUD terlihat berada dalam downtrend channel, meski pola candle bullish hammer menunjukkan potensi technical rebound, diikuti indikator ADX rebound, stochastic menurun, MACD masih bullish, seharusnya masih mendukung potensi penurunan ke 0.7690-07445, selama berada di bawah 0.7852. Resistance di 07852, support di 0.7700. buy break 0.7870 & buy break 0.8040 target 0.8100, sell 0.8000 target 0.7850.
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www.harumdanaberjangka.co.id
Elliot Wave: Eur/Usd "Move Lower?", Dollar Index "Trapped between 79.36 Support and 81.36 Resistance"
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by TheLFB-Forex.com
4 Hour Chart trend: Short. Main price points: 1.3747, 1.3832, and 1.4071. Looking for: Near-term bearish count
On the Eur/Usd pair the prices did not break through the 1.3832 lows of an irregular wave B) correction that was completed at the end of the past week. Prices should reach these lows pretty fast if oil and equity markets continue to slide in the coming sessions, and that may lead into tests of 1.3747 support. This quick move down from 1.3832 to 1.3747 area will be expected, as long the 1.4071, wave B) high holds.
4 Hour Chart trend: Mixed. Main price points: 79.36, and 81.36. Looking for: Wave IV pattern
On the four hour dollar index chart we are still looking for a triangle pattern in a red wave IV position. In the past few weeks the dollar index fell from the wave E) top, which made for important support and resistance tests on the majors. The index, however, is still trapped between the 81.36 and 79.36 area which means everything and anything is possible. A break of the support will confirm a triangle formation that will lead to a dollar short scenario, while the break of resistance (wave E) will make for a temporary bullish dollar.
4 Hour Chart trend: Short. Main price points: 1.3747, 1.3832, and 1.4071. Looking for: Near-term bearish count
On the Eur/Usd pair the prices did not break through the 1.3832 lows of an irregular wave B) correction that was completed at the end of the past week. Prices should reach these lows pretty fast if oil and equity markets continue to slide in the coming sessions, and that may lead into tests of 1.3747 support. This quick move down from 1.3832 to 1.3747 area will be expected, as long the 1.4071, wave B) high holds.
4 Hour Chart trend: Mixed. Main price points: 79.36, and 81.36. Looking for: Wave IV pattern
On the four hour dollar index chart we are still looking for a triangle pattern in a red wave IV position. In the past few weeks the dollar index fell from the wave E) top, which made for important support and resistance tests on the majors. The index, however, is still trapped between the 81.36 and 79.36 area which means everything and anything is possible. A break of the support will confirm a triangle formation that will lead to a dollar short scenario, while the break of resistance (wave E) will make for a temporary bullish dollar.
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