Daily Forex Technical Analysis

EUR-USD
(+170p) Euro menunjukkan signal positif dari pola candle long bullish (indikasi bullish continuation) dalam sebuah uptrend channel, seharusnya menunjukkan potensi kenaikan hari ini. EUR-USD diatas channel support 1.4940, seharusnya dukung potensi penurunan terbatas. Indikator ADX rebound, stochastic trending up, MACD bullish, masih dukung potensi kenaikan. Support di 1.4940/1.4890 (FR 38.2%). Resistance di 1.5023/1.5100. Euro saat ini berada dalam wave 3/b dalam C/X. Hold Sell 1.5000 target 1.4950 stop 50p, Buy 1.4850 target 1.5000, sell break 1.4790 target 1.4650, buy 1.4940 target 1.5050 stop 1.4890.
USD-JPY
USDJPY memberikan signal netral dari pola candle morning star dan masih berada di dalam downtrend channel, menunjukkan potensi penurunan terbatas, meski masih ditutup dibawah 90.60. Indikator ADX flat, MACD di teritorial bearish & stochastic flat membatasi potensi kenaikan hari ini, mendorong perkiraan USD-JPY berada dalam range 89-92. Resistance berada di 90.60/91.40, support di 89.70/89.10. Saat ini berada di wave 3/C. Sell 90.60 target 90.00 stop 60p, buy 89.30 target 90.43 stop 50p. Buy 88.50 target 90.60 stop 60p, Hold Sell 90.00 target 89.30 stop 60p
GBP-USD
(-60p) GBP menunjukkan signal positif dari pola candle bullish continuation dan masih berada di dalam uptrend channel, didukung indikator ADX meningkat, stochastic trending up, MACD bullish, seharusnya menunjukkan potensi kenaikan masih terbuka selama bertahan diatas double bottom 1.6250 & channel support di 1.6690. Hitungan EW menunjukkan GBP di wave 3/b dalam B/X. Buy 1.6350 target 1.6480 stop 60p, sell 1.6800 & 1.6890 target 1.6450 stop 60p, buy 1.6450 target 1.6600 stop 60p, Buy 1.6130 target 1.6450 stop 30p, sell break 1.6100 target 1.5900 stop 60p, sell break 1.6600 target 1.6450.
AUD-USD
AUD berpotensi breakout pola uptrend channel dan menunjukkan pola candle long bullish (indikasi bullish continuation) dan berada di uptrend channel medium term, didukung ADX trendup, MACD bullish & stochastic crossup buy, mendukung perkiraan kenaikan lebih lanjut. Hitungan EW menunjukkan AUD berada di wave 5/4 dalam B. Resistance 0.9325/0.9400, support di 0.9180/0.9250. Buy 0.9200 target 0.9300 stop 0.9000, hold Sell 0.9320 & 0.9400 target 0.9200 stop 60p, sell break 0.9140 target 0.9050 stop 60p. Buy 0.8910 target 0.9200. buy 0.8990.

Indeks Asia

SSIZ9
Nikkei memberikan signal positif dari pola candle bullish harami (indikasi bullish reversal), seharusnya membatasi potensi penurunan dan mengarah ke 61.8% FR 10520-9610 di 9915, secara keseluruhan trend bearish jangka pendek. Sementara indikator stochastic oversold dan MACD bearish, ADX menurun, mendukung potensi kenaikan terbatas. Potensi kenaikan merupakan peluang untuk Sell on rally. Hitungan EW menunjukkan indeks berada di wave v/C dalam wave 4. Resistance di 9860/9945. Support 9685(low)/9500. Rekomendasi: Hold Buy 9650 target 10000 stp 9550, sell 10050 target 9800 stop 10280. Buy break 10100 target 10210 stop 60p, buy 9500 target 9900.
KZ0
Indeks menunjukkan signal negatif dari pola candle shooting star dalam pola downtrend channel, mendukung potensi bearish reversal minor, didukung stochastic bearish (oversold), ADX rebound, MACD bearish, ikut dukung potensi penurunan hari ini dan membatasi potensi technical rebound. Hitungan EW menunjukkan indeks di wave 4/B dalam 4 untuk target 213.50/216, selama bertahan diatas 201.70. Resistance 209.60/212.20. Support 204.58/201.70 Rekomendasi: Buy 201.80 target 207.00 stop 100p, sell 209.50 target 203.80 stop 60p, sell break 206.00 target 203.50, buy break 208.20 target 210.50. (+200p)
HSIX9
Indeks menunjukkan signal netral dari pola candle spinning top (indikasi konsolidasi) dalam sebuah uptrend channel minor dapat membatasi potensi penurunan, kecuali jika indeks berhasil ditutup dibawah upper channel di 210. Indikator ADX terkoreksi, MACD netral & stochastic bearish, seharusnya mendukung potensi penurunan terbatas. Indeks mendapatkan resistance 22430/22595. Support di 21835/21650. Hitungan Elliot wave indeks menunjukkan koreksi wave 4/A. Rekomendasi: Buy 2650 target 22000 stop 100p. Sell break 21550 target 21250 stop 100p. Sell 22450 & 22590 target 22100. stop 100p. Buy break 22230 target 22430 (+270p)
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Rekomendasi Saham Pilihan 10-12 Nov 2009

Stock Picks: Average last 20 week +95.69%. Target 10-30%, Risk < -10%
Buy & Hold until 12/11: BUMI/ENRG/PTBA/DOID/BBRI/BBCA/BMRI/MEDC/PGAS/JSMR/SMRA/CTRS/SGRO/INDF/KLBF/GGRM/SMCB/SMGR/ANTM/MYOR/UNVR

Global Stock Rally Just Getting Started Before Rates Rise

(Bloomberg) -- Stocks around the world are falling at the fastest rate since the worst of the credit crisis on concern central banks will start raising rates, a signal that triggered the biggest rallies over the past three decades. Benchmark indexes from New York to Tokyo to Frankfurt have lost an average of 4.4 percent since Oct. 19 on speculation policy makers will curtail stimulus measures before the global economy revives. History shows stocks have climbed 92 percent of the time in the six months before government borrowing costs began the biggest increases, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a9.ZzZW5rvEk&pos=2

Shanghai Composite to Post Further Gains: Technical Analysis

(Bloomberg) -- China’s Shanghai Composite Index may extend its biggest weekly advance in more than three months before testing a key resistance level, according to DMG & Partners Securities Pte. The benchmark stock index surged 5.6 percent last week, rising to 3,164.04, the highest since Aug. 7. The next test will be 3,406, the 161.8 percent Fibonacci extension of an earlier wave of gains, he added. The measure rose 0.4 percent to 3,175.38 as of 10:46 a.m. in Shanghai.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=akJwmRtL_P_Q