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Friday, January 15, 2010
Update Daily Investment News
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.4403(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4371, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4358. Break of the latter would result in 1.4300. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4288. Continuation will give 1.4257.Today's resistance: - 1.4466 and 1.4493(main). Break would give 1.4518, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4538. Break of the latter would result in 1.4553. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.4580. Continuation will give 1.4612.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 90.78 and 90.57(main). Break would bring 90.23, where correction is possible. Then 90.00, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 89.78. If a strong impulse, we would see 89.55. Continuation would give 89.40 and 89.13.Today's resistance: - 91.37, 91.64 and 91.86(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 92.13, where also a correction may be. Then 92.46. If a strong impulse, we would see 92.70. Continuation will give 92.94 and 93.37.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10648.14 and 10620.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10600.31, where correction also can be. Then follows 10583.25. Be there a strong impulse, we would see 10563.80. Continuation will bring 10545.86 and 10515.70.Today's resistance: - 10731.20 and 10754.65(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10776.09, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10797.88, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10816.64. Continuation would bring 10859.06 and 10882.96.
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
EURUSD : EURUSD has weakened and is currently trading at 1.4405 levels. It has an
AUDUSD :AUDUSD is consistently trading above 21 Days daily EMA and is currently trading at 0.9266 levels. Immediate resistance near 0.9410 levels (double top formation) where cautious shorts can be initiate for the target of 100-150 pips. (AUDUSD - 0.9268) Short term Bearish
Gold :GOLD is currently trading at $1138 levels. Initiate buy near $1120 levels for a target of 30 dollars. Do not go short on gold since it seems quite bullish. Buying on downside levels is recommended. (Gold-$1138) Bullish.
Dollar Index: Dollar Index is having an immediate support near 76.70 - 76.80 levels. Dollar Index is in consolidation mode as of now till it maintains the support of 76.50- 76.60 levels and resistance of 77.80 levels. (DI -77.05). Neutral.
Oil Is Poised to Fall to the Low $70s: Technical Analysis
By Mark Shenk
Jan. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil prices are poised to decline to the low $70s a barrel as the futures enter a bearish trend, according to technical analysis by Barclays Capital.Oil for March delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange is probably heading for support near its 200-day average of $73.15 a barrel, MacNeil Curry, a Barclays analyst, said in a report. Futures ended 10 consecutive days of gains on Jan 6. The failure to extend increases has set up the conditions for a correction, Curry said.
Strengthening U.S. Recovery May Intensify Fed Debate on Exit
(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve officials are more confident the U.S. economy is moving toward self-sustaining growth, giving urgency to discussions about the tactics and timing of an exit from record-low interest rates. Kansas City Fed Bank President Thomas Hoenig said Jan. 11 the central bank should end purchases of mortgage-backed securities because the market is “healing.” Philadelphia Fed Bank President Charles Plosser said the next day that the recovery is “sustainable even as the fiscal and monetary stimulus programs eventually wind down.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aDWlxYGoEGDA
20%-30% Correction — Then Rally to Dow 15,000: Strategist
By: JeeYeon Park CNBC News Associate
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading near 10,700, but Jeff Hirsch, editor at Stock Traders Almanac told investors that the index could reach 15,000 by 2011. He shared his insights. “It’s based upon the average move from the mid-term low to the pre-[Senate] election high of about 50 percent,” Hirsch told CNBC. He expects there will be a pullback at some point in the Dow of 20 to 30 percent, which would create a buying opportunity before a 50 percent rally.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/34865032
Stocks May Suffer ‘Severe Correction’ This Year, Zulauf Says
(Bloomberg) -- Stocks may suffer a “severe correction” this year as a recovery in global economic growth fades, according to Felix Zulauf, owner and founder of Swiss fund manager Zulauf Asset Management AG. “The snap back in the stock market will probably peak this spring and then we go into a correction into the fall,” Zulauf, born in 1950, said in an interview in Oslo today after speaking at a conference organized by Skagen Funds. “It could be a severe correction, it could be 20 percent to 25 percent.” Economies are recovering after governments around the world committed trillions of dollars on measures to revive growth after worst the recession since World War II. The rebound may be fragile with unemployment rising in Europe and expected to average 10 percent in the U.S., according to economic surveys.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=asAiwCctxgqo
IMF says U.S. Dollar will remain as global reserve currency
The International Monetary Fund stated on Wednesday that the United States Dollar will remain as the global reserve currency despite rumors that the Euro or the Chinese Yuan will take its place. In summer of 2009, speculations ran rapid that the Euro or the Chinese Yuan will take the place of the US Dollar as the global reserve currency but Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund Dominique Strauss-Kahn told the Hong Kong Trade Development Council on Wednesday that the US Dollar will remain as the global currency, according to AFP. Strauss-Kahn also urged China to increase the value of its currency because many critics have said they are artificially lowering the the value.“The US currency is going to remain the main currency in my opinion for a long period of time, even if it's challenged by some others. Our view is not one of a double-dip. It doesn't mean the probability is zero or that it cannot happen, but it's not our preferred scenario and I don't believe that will be the case.”However, he did add that the pace of the economic recovery has been rather sluggish.
Strauss-Kahn expects the Asian nations to play a big part in the global financial recovery because he feels that once you have Asian nations become a big player then there is more of a responsibility to make sure "the whole system is working.”
The Managing Director of the IMF, reports Press TV, is due to make an important speech at the Asian Financial Forum next week.
US economist Feldstein: 2010 double dip is big risk
* Another recession in 2010 is "significant risk"-Feldstein
* US govt needs to establish confidence about fiscal deficit
* US bond yields to rise further, but curve to stay steep
BEIJING, Jan 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. economy faces a "significant risk" of another recession in 2010, unless the Obama administration promotes confidence it can manage a growing fiscal deficit, a prominent Harvard University economist said on Thursday.
Without public approval, namely from investors, U.S. bond yields will climb, taxes will rise and a fragile recovery will be short lived, Martin Feldstein told Reuters in an interview. "I don't think the Obama administration is doing anything to reduce that risk. They are assuming the momentum is there," said Feldstein, who is also president-emeritus of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the arbiter of when U.S. recessions begin and end.
Sovereign Funds May Become Active Investors, State Street Says
(Bloomberg) -- Sovereign wealth funds may begin to take more active roles in the companies in which they invest after the global financial crisis, according to Street State Corp., the world’s biggest money manager for institutions. “It’s an item on their agenda,” said John Nugee, the London-based managing director of the official institutions group at State Street Global Advisors, in a phone interview. “It’s fairly clear that people are saying that ownership carries responsibilities and that shareholders should seek to exercise control over executive management.”
The 37 biggest sovereign wealth funds are worth a total of $3 trillion, or an average of $85 billion each, Boston-based State Street said in an e-mailed report. About 70 percent of the funds’ wealth is based on oil or gas, according to the company.
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.4403(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4371, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4358. Break of the latter would result in 1.4300. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4288. Continuation will give 1.4257.Today's resistance: - 1.4466 and 1.4493(main). Break would give 1.4518, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4538. Break of the latter would result in 1.4553. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.4580. Continuation will give 1.4612.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 90.78 and 90.57(main). Break would bring 90.23, where correction is possible. Then 90.00, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 89.78. If a strong impulse, we would see 89.55. Continuation would give 89.40 and 89.13.Today's resistance: - 91.37, 91.64 and 91.86(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 92.13, where also a correction may be. Then 92.46. If a strong impulse, we would see 92.70. Continuation will give 92.94 and 93.37.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10648.14 and 10620.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10600.31, where correction also can be. Then follows 10583.25. Be there a strong impulse, we would see 10563.80. Continuation will bring 10545.86 and 10515.70.Today's resistance: - 10731.20 and 10754.65(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10776.09, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10797.88, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10816.64. Continuation would bring 10859.06 and 10882.96.
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
EURUSD : EURUSD has weakened and is currently trading at 1.4405 levels. It has an
AUDUSD :AUDUSD is consistently trading above 21 Days daily EMA and is currently trading at 0.9266 levels. Immediate resistance near 0.9410 levels (double top formation) where cautious shorts can be initiate for the target of 100-150 pips. (AUDUSD - 0.9268) Short term Bearish
Gold :GOLD is currently trading at $1138 levels. Initiate buy near $1120 levels for a target of 30 dollars. Do not go short on gold since it seems quite bullish. Buying on downside levels is recommended. (Gold-$1138) Bullish.
Dollar Index: Dollar Index is having an immediate support near 76.70 - 76.80 levels. Dollar Index is in consolidation mode as of now till it maintains the support of 76.50- 76.60 levels and resistance of 77.80 levels. (DI -77.05). Neutral.
Oil Is Poised to Fall to the Low $70s: Technical Analysis
By Mark Shenk
Jan. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil prices are poised to decline to the low $70s a barrel as the futures enter a bearish trend, according to technical analysis by Barclays Capital.Oil for March delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange is probably heading for support near its 200-day average of $73.15 a barrel, MacNeil Curry, a Barclays analyst, said in a report. Futures ended 10 consecutive days of gains on Jan 6. The failure to extend increases has set up the conditions for a correction, Curry said.
Strengthening U.S. Recovery May Intensify Fed Debate on Exit
(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve officials are more confident the U.S. economy is moving toward self-sustaining growth, giving urgency to discussions about the tactics and timing of an exit from record-low interest rates. Kansas City Fed Bank President Thomas Hoenig said Jan. 11 the central bank should end purchases of mortgage-backed securities because the market is “healing.” Philadelphia Fed Bank President Charles Plosser said the next day that the recovery is “sustainable even as the fiscal and monetary stimulus programs eventually wind down.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aDWlxYGoEGDA
20%-30% Correction — Then Rally to Dow 15,000: Strategist
By: JeeYeon Park CNBC News Associate
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading near 10,700, but Jeff Hirsch, editor at Stock Traders Almanac told investors that the index could reach 15,000 by 2011. He shared his insights. “It’s based upon the average move from the mid-term low to the pre-[Senate] election high of about 50 percent,” Hirsch told CNBC. He expects there will be a pullback at some point in the Dow of 20 to 30 percent, which would create a buying opportunity before a 50 percent rally.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/34865032
Stocks May Suffer ‘Severe Correction’ This Year, Zulauf Says
(Bloomberg) -- Stocks may suffer a “severe correction” this year as a recovery in global economic growth fades, according to Felix Zulauf, owner and founder of Swiss fund manager Zulauf Asset Management AG. “The snap back in the stock market will probably peak this spring and then we go into a correction into the fall,” Zulauf, born in 1950, said in an interview in Oslo today after speaking at a conference organized by Skagen Funds. “It could be a severe correction, it could be 20 percent to 25 percent.” Economies are recovering after governments around the world committed trillions of dollars on measures to revive growth after worst the recession since World War II. The rebound may be fragile with unemployment rising in Europe and expected to average 10 percent in the U.S., according to economic surveys.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=asAiwCctxgqo
IMF says U.S. Dollar will remain as global reserve currency
The International Monetary Fund stated on Wednesday that the United States Dollar will remain as the global reserve currency despite rumors that the Euro or the Chinese Yuan will take its place. In summer of 2009, speculations ran rapid that the Euro or the Chinese Yuan will take the place of the US Dollar as the global reserve currency but Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund Dominique Strauss-Kahn told the Hong Kong Trade Development Council on Wednesday that the US Dollar will remain as the global currency, according to AFP. Strauss-Kahn also urged China to increase the value of its currency because many critics have said they are artificially lowering the the value.“The US currency is going to remain the main currency in my opinion for a long period of time, even if it's challenged by some others. Our view is not one of a double-dip. It doesn't mean the probability is zero or that it cannot happen, but it's not our preferred scenario and I don't believe that will be the case.”However, he did add that the pace of the economic recovery has been rather sluggish.
Strauss-Kahn expects the Asian nations to play a big part in the global financial recovery because he feels that once you have Asian nations become a big player then there is more of a responsibility to make sure "the whole system is working.”
The Managing Director of the IMF, reports Press TV, is due to make an important speech at the Asian Financial Forum next week.
US economist Feldstein: 2010 double dip is big risk
* Another recession in 2010 is "significant risk"-Feldstein
* US govt needs to establish confidence about fiscal deficit
* US bond yields to rise further, but curve to stay steep
BEIJING, Jan 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. economy faces a "significant risk" of another recession in 2010, unless the Obama administration promotes confidence it can manage a growing fiscal deficit, a prominent Harvard University economist said on Thursday.
Without public approval, namely from investors, U.S. bond yields will climb, taxes will rise and a fragile recovery will be short lived, Martin Feldstein told Reuters in an interview. "I don't think the Obama administration is doing anything to reduce that risk. They are assuming the momentum is there," said Feldstein, who is also president-emeritus of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the arbiter of when U.S. recessions begin and end.
Sovereign Funds May Become Active Investors, State Street Says
(Bloomberg) -- Sovereign wealth funds may begin to take more active roles in the companies in which they invest after the global financial crisis, according to Street State Corp., the world’s biggest money manager for institutions. “It’s an item on their agenda,” said John Nugee, the London-based managing director of the official institutions group at State Street Global Advisors, in a phone interview. “It’s fairly clear that people are saying that ownership carries responsibilities and that shareholders should seek to exercise control over executive management.”
The 37 biggest sovereign wealth funds are worth a total of $3 trillion, or an average of $85 billion each, Boston-based State Street said in an e-mailed report. About 70 percent of the funds’ wealth is based on oil or gas, according to the company.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Update Daily Investment News
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by India Forex
EURUSD : EURUSD is currently trading at 1.4535 levels and it has touched high of 1.4580 levels yesterday (As Expected). Bias is little mixed but bullishness would be confirmed once 1.4650 would break on the upside. Initiate shorts near 1.4580 levels with tight stoploss above 1.4640 levels, profit target 100-120 pips (EURUSD–1.4535).Rangebound to Bullish.
GBPUSD :GBPUSD is currently trading near 1.6280 levels. If it breaks this level and trades above these levels for 2 - 3 tarding sessions then we could see 150-200 pips move upside. Initiated buy near 1.6150-80 area, keeping stoploss below 1.6100 levels.(GBPUSD-1.6280)Rangebound
USDJPY : The JPY is currently trading near 91.74 level and is having immediate resistance near 92.20 levels (200 days EMA) which if broken then could see upside move near 93.50 levels. Levels close to 93.50 remains strong technical resistance plus stochastic in weekly charts are also showing strength in yen. Cautious shorts can be initiated near 93.50 levels for the target of 90.20 levels with tight stoploss of 150 pips. Trend still remains bullish for yen below 93.50 levels (USDJPY- 91.74) Bullish.
AUDUSD :AUDUSD is consistently trading above 21 Days daily EMA and is currently trading at 0.9300 levels.Immediate resistance near 0.9410 levels (double top formation) where cautious shorts can be initiate for the target of 100-150 pips. (AUDUSD - 0.9300) Bullish.
Gold : GOLD is currently trading at $1142 levels and it has touched a low $1118 levels yesterday. Initiate buy near $1128 levels for a target of 30 dollars. Do not go short on gold since it seems quite bullish. Buying on downside levels is recommended. (Gold-$1142) Bullish.
Dollar Index: Dollar Index is having an immediate support near 76.70 - 76.80 levels. Dollar Index is in a consolidation mode and fall from 78.45 might extend further on the back of the strength in Euro in short-term. (DI -76.75). Neutral.
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.4483, 1.4465, 1.4444 and 1.4403(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4371, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4358. Break of the latter would result in 1.4300. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4288. Continuation will give 1.4257.
Today's resistance: - 1.4580(main). Break would give 1.4612, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4630. Break of the latter would result in 1.4647. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.4670. Continuation will give 1.4716.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 91.08, 90.78 and 90.57(main). Break would bring 90.23, where correction is possible. Then 90.00, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 89.78. If a strong impulse, we would see 89.55. Continuation would give 89.40 and 89.13.
Today's resistance: - 91.86(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 92.13, where also a correction may be. Then 92.46. If a strong impulse, we would see 92.70. Continuation will give 92.94 and 93.37.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10648.14 and 10620.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10600.31, where correction also can be. Then follows 10583.25. Be there a strong impulse, we would see 10563.80. Continuation will bring 10545.86 and 10515.70.Today's resistance: - 10690.50 and 10713.50(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10731.20, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10754.65, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10776.09. Continuation would bring 10797.88.
Metals May Gain 32% in 2010, Morgan Stanley Forecasts
(Bloomberg) -- Metal prices may average 32 percent higher this year because of strengthening industrial production, driven by growth in China, said Morgan Stanley. “The economic outlook has improved materially in response to unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus initiated in 2009,” analysts led by Melbourne-based Peter Richardson said today in a report, citing copper as its preferred metal. Morgan Stanley raised its 2010 aluminum price forecast 16 percent to 98 cents a pound, copper by 7 percent to $3.18 a pound and zinc 21 percent to 97 cents a pound. JFE Holdings Inc., Alcoa Inc., Xstrata Plc, Vale SA and Vedanta Resources Plc are the broker’s top stock picks.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=abnbjEX1L4j4
Emerging Stocks to Match 40% Profit Gain, Fortis Says
(Bloomberg) -- Emerging-market corporate profits may rise as much as 40 percent this year, and it’s “reasonable” for stocks to post similar gains, according to Fortis Investments said. Developing-nation shares are trading at around 12 to 13 times earnings, with profit estimated to rise between 35 percent and 40 percent, said Gabriel Wallach, who oversees $2.5 billion in developing-market assets as head of global emerging market equities at Fortis in Boston. Investors can expect “returns in that range” even without valuations increasing, he said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aMRoDh6ZCNJc
Rubin, Oil Rally Predictor, Sees $100 Crude in 2010
(Bloomberg) -- Jeff Rubin, the former CIBC World Markets Inc. chief economist who accurately predicted oil’s surge during the last decade, expects crude to reach $90 a barrel this quarter and $100 by the year’s end. Accelerating demand in Asia and the Middle East will force consumers to rely on costlier non-conventional energy sources such as oil sands, said Rubin, who spent 20 years with the Toronto-based bank and last year published a book on energy economics, “Why Your World is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller.” Rubin correctly forecast in 2007 that crude would reach $100.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aZmJGmyDUVXM
Black Swans Abound as Year of Tiger Shows Teeth: William Pesek
(Bloomberg) -- If many of us could have turned around the moment we entered 2010 and made obscene gestures at 2009, we would have. After the wreckage of the past 12 months, 2010 has to be a good year, right? Good for governments staving off financial chaos, good for households struggling to stay afloat, good for investors wondering which rules of economics and markets still apply. It really is hard to see this year outdoing the last one in the doom-and-gloom department.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a6oJ.p_VFnSw
Citigroup Says Pound to Gain Versus Dollar: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The pound will probably gain versus the dollar after rising above the downward channel that contained the currency’s decline since November, according to Citigroup Inc.The U.K. currency rose 0.6 percent to $1.6264 at 10:20 a.m. in New York. It advanced through resistance between $1.6240 and $1.6260, according to a report by Citigroup analysts led by chief technical analyst Tom Fitzpatrick in New York. A downward channel connects a series of declining highs and lows to form a range of movement that is used to predict the pace of a trend and when it may end.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aVy0AJeK9uQI
The Future Reserve Currency Is the Euro: Strategist
By: Constance Faivre d'Arcier
Special to CNBC.com
The euro will become the world's favorite reserve currency because Europe has a better growth strategy than the US, David Roche, global strategist at Independent Strategy told CNBC."We'll actually produce a much stronger fiscal balance, a much better debt-to-GDP ratio within the eurozone", Roche said.The German economy has recorded its fastest post-war contraction, at 5 percent in 2009, with exports falling by 14.7 percent, alongside investment. But this, paradoxically, brings opportunities for private investors, according to Roche.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/34855822
EURUSD : EURUSD is currently trading at 1.4535 levels and it has touched high of 1.4580 levels yesterday (As Expected). Bias is little mixed but bullishness would be confirmed once 1.4650 would break on the upside. Initiate shorts near 1.4580 levels with tight stoploss above 1.4640 levels, profit target 100-120 pips (EURUSD–1.4535).Rangebound to Bullish.
GBPUSD :GBPUSD is currently trading near 1.6280 levels. If it breaks this level and trades above these levels for 2 - 3 tarding sessions then we could see 150-200 pips move upside. Initiated buy near 1.6150-80 area, keeping stoploss below 1.6100 levels.(GBPUSD-1.6280)Rangebound
USDJPY : The JPY is currently trading near 91.74 level and is having immediate resistance near 92.20 levels (200 days EMA) which if broken then could see upside move near 93.50 levels. Levels close to 93.50 remains strong technical resistance plus stochastic in weekly charts are also showing strength in yen. Cautious shorts can be initiated near 93.50 levels for the target of 90.20 levels with tight stoploss of 150 pips. Trend still remains bullish for yen below 93.50 levels (USDJPY- 91.74) Bullish.
AUDUSD :AUDUSD is consistently trading above 21 Days daily EMA and is currently trading at 0.9300 levels.Immediate resistance near 0.9410 levels (double top formation) where cautious shorts can be initiate for the target of 100-150 pips. (AUDUSD - 0.9300) Bullish.
Gold : GOLD is currently trading at $1142 levels and it has touched a low $1118 levels yesterday. Initiate buy near $1128 levels for a target of 30 dollars. Do not go short on gold since it seems quite bullish. Buying on downside levels is recommended. (Gold-$1142) Bullish.
Dollar Index: Dollar Index is having an immediate support near 76.70 - 76.80 levels. Dollar Index is in a consolidation mode and fall from 78.45 might extend further on the back of the strength in Euro in short-term. (DI -76.75). Neutral.
Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD
Today's support: - 1.4483, 1.4465, 1.4444 and 1.4403(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4371, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4358. Break of the latter would result in 1.4300. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4288. Continuation will give 1.4257.
Today's resistance: - 1.4580(main). Break would give 1.4612, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4630. Break of the latter would result in 1.4647. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.4670. Continuation will give 1.4716.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 91.08, 90.78 and 90.57(main). Break would bring 90.23, where correction is possible. Then 90.00, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 89.78. If a strong impulse, we would see 89.55. Continuation would give 89.40 and 89.13.
Today's resistance: - 91.86(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 92.13, where also a correction may be. Then 92.46. If a strong impulse, we would see 92.70. Continuation will give 92.94 and 93.37.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 10648.14 and 10620.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10600.31, where correction also can be. Then follows 10583.25. Be there a strong impulse, we would see 10563.80. Continuation will bring 10545.86 and 10515.70.Today's resistance: - 10690.50 and 10713.50(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10731.20, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10754.65, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 10776.09. Continuation would bring 10797.88.
Metals May Gain 32% in 2010, Morgan Stanley Forecasts
(Bloomberg) -- Metal prices may average 32 percent higher this year because of strengthening industrial production, driven by growth in China, said Morgan Stanley. “The economic outlook has improved materially in response to unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus initiated in 2009,” analysts led by Melbourne-based Peter Richardson said today in a report, citing copper as its preferred metal. Morgan Stanley raised its 2010 aluminum price forecast 16 percent to 98 cents a pound, copper by 7 percent to $3.18 a pound and zinc 21 percent to 97 cents a pound. JFE Holdings Inc., Alcoa Inc., Xstrata Plc, Vale SA and Vedanta Resources Plc are the broker’s top stock picks.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=abnbjEX1L4j4
Emerging Stocks to Match 40% Profit Gain, Fortis Says
(Bloomberg) -- Emerging-market corporate profits may rise as much as 40 percent this year, and it’s “reasonable” for stocks to post similar gains, according to Fortis Investments said. Developing-nation shares are trading at around 12 to 13 times earnings, with profit estimated to rise between 35 percent and 40 percent, said Gabriel Wallach, who oversees $2.5 billion in developing-market assets as head of global emerging market equities at Fortis in Boston. Investors can expect “returns in that range” even without valuations increasing, he said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aMRoDh6ZCNJc
Rubin, Oil Rally Predictor, Sees $100 Crude in 2010
(Bloomberg) -- Jeff Rubin, the former CIBC World Markets Inc. chief economist who accurately predicted oil’s surge during the last decade, expects crude to reach $90 a barrel this quarter and $100 by the year’s end. Accelerating demand in Asia and the Middle East will force consumers to rely on costlier non-conventional energy sources such as oil sands, said Rubin, who spent 20 years with the Toronto-based bank and last year published a book on energy economics, “Why Your World is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller.” Rubin correctly forecast in 2007 that crude would reach $100.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aZmJGmyDUVXM
Black Swans Abound as Year of Tiger Shows Teeth: William Pesek
(Bloomberg) -- If many of us could have turned around the moment we entered 2010 and made obscene gestures at 2009, we would have. After the wreckage of the past 12 months, 2010 has to be a good year, right? Good for governments staving off financial chaos, good for households struggling to stay afloat, good for investors wondering which rules of economics and markets still apply. It really is hard to see this year outdoing the last one in the doom-and-gloom department.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a6oJ.p_VFnSw
Citigroup Says Pound to Gain Versus Dollar: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The pound will probably gain versus the dollar after rising above the downward channel that contained the currency’s decline since November, according to Citigroup Inc.The U.K. currency rose 0.6 percent to $1.6264 at 10:20 a.m. in New York. It advanced through resistance between $1.6240 and $1.6260, according to a report by Citigroup analysts led by chief technical analyst Tom Fitzpatrick in New York. A downward channel connects a series of declining highs and lows to form a range of movement that is used to predict the pace of a trend and when it may end.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aVy0AJeK9uQI
The Future Reserve Currency Is the Euro: Strategist
By: Constance Faivre d'Arcier
Special to CNBC.com
The euro will become the world's favorite reserve currency because Europe has a better growth strategy than the US, David Roche, global strategist at Independent Strategy told CNBC."We'll actually produce a much stronger fiscal balance, a much better debt-to-GDP ratio within the eurozone", Roche said.The German economy has recorded its fastest post-war contraction, at 5 percent in 2009, with exports falling by 14.7 percent, alongside investment. But this, paradoxically, brings opportunities for private investors, according to Roche.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/34855822
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Update Daily Investment News
Investors Turn Bullish on Stocks From U.S. to Japan on Economy
(Bloomberg) -- Sentiment toward stocks rose around the world, reaching a record level in the U.S., as reports on manufacturing showed the global economy is recovering and investors bet that profits grew for the first time since 2007. Investors forecast gains in each of the nine countries represented in the Bloomberg Professional Confidence Survey for the first time since the data began in 2007. The sentiment measure for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 35 percent to 54.37. That’s only the second time the reading exceeded 50, signaling participants anticipate a rally in the next six months. The responses from 4,101 Bloomberg users were gathered Jan. 4-8 as the MSCI World Index added 2.6 percent.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aoAomVkgW0ZU
Asian Stocks Chart’s Triangle Signals Gains: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks outside Japan may rise a further 3.8 percent, extending gains that drove a regional benchmark index through a resistance level, according to CIMB Investment Bank Bhd., citing a so-called triangle formation.The MSCI Asia excluding Japan Index may advance to 511, based on the height of its triangle, a pattern created when upper and lower trend lines intersect, CIMB analysts Nigel Foo and Kong Seh Siang said in a note today. The resistance level is drawn from the highs in August and November, while support index is at 475, its 50-day simple moving average, according to
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ac_VSuVbp01g
Global Confidence Rises on Signs of Sustained 2010 Recovery
(Bloomberg) -- Confidence in the world economy rose as an acceleration in manufacturing and service industries signaled a sustained recovery from last year’s recession, according to a Bloomberg survey of users on six continents. The Bloomberg Professional Global Confidence Index gained to 66.6 this month from 58.9 in December, reaching the highest level since the series began two years ago. The index exceeded 50 for a sixth month, which means there were more optimists than pessimists.A stimulus-driven rebound in global demand is boosting orders and encouraging companies such as Samsung Electronics Co. to raise capital spending and output. The recovery was aided by policy makers from the U.S. to Europe keeping interest rates at record lows to spur growth after the worst postwar recession.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ak4Myq1FQ4Sc&pos=5
Oil May Rebound From $78, End Losing Streak: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil may rebound from its current three-day losing streak, possibly reaching as high as $87.20 a barrel, as long as prices don’t fall below $78, according to Societe Generale SA. Oil is pulling back because its relative strength index shows prices have advanced too rapidly, said Stephanie Aymes, a commodity technical analyst at France’s second-largest bank by market value. Futures ended a 10-day climb on Jan. 7, the longest rally since February 1996.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=am2aAHkrZR7c
Treasury 30-Year Yields to Reach 3-Week Low: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Treasury 30-year bonds may gain after yields on the securities failed to remain above so-called resistance at 4.73 percent, according to a Citigroup Inc. report, citing technical indicators. Thirty-year yields added nine basis points last week as signs of an economic recovery reduced demand for the relative safety of government debt. Yields may fall to as little as 4.57 percent, analysts led by Tom Fitzpatrick in New York wrote to clients in a report dated yesterday. That would be the lowest level for 30-year yields in three weeks.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aHxW2zEMEzuc
Bill Miller Calls Top 10 Companies in S&P 500 Cheap
(Bloomberg) -- Legg Mason Inc.’s Bill Miller said the top 10 stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index are undervalued. The biggest 10 companies on the U.S. market’s index of most valuable stocks have an average price of about 12 times earnings, Miller said today in a CNBC television interview. He said they should be between 14 and 18 times earnings.“I think there’s a lot of value in the overall market,” said Miller, chairman and chief investment officer of Legg Mason Capital Management, a unit of the Baltimore-based company.Miller’s $4.87 billion Legg Mason Capital Management Value Trust rose 41 percent in 2009, beating 76 percent of similarly managed funds, according to Bloomberg data. The gain marks the first time since 2005 that Miller beat the S&P 500 Index, which rose 26 percent including reinvested dividends. Miller topped the benchmark for a record 15 straight years through 2005.
Of the top 10 S&P stocks, Miller said he favored New York- based JPMorgan Chase & Co. and General Electric Co., in Fairfield, Connecticut. He said he expected GE to restore its dividend within the next two years.
(Bloomberg) -- Sentiment toward stocks rose around the world, reaching a record level in the U.S., as reports on manufacturing showed the global economy is recovering and investors bet that profits grew for the first time since 2007. Investors forecast gains in each of the nine countries represented in the Bloomberg Professional Confidence Survey for the first time since the data began in 2007. The sentiment measure for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 35 percent to 54.37. That’s only the second time the reading exceeded 50, signaling participants anticipate a rally in the next six months. The responses from 4,101 Bloomberg users were gathered Jan. 4-8 as the MSCI World Index added 2.6 percent.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aoAomVkgW0ZU
Asian Stocks Chart’s Triangle Signals Gains: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks outside Japan may rise a further 3.8 percent, extending gains that drove a regional benchmark index through a resistance level, according to CIMB Investment Bank Bhd., citing a so-called triangle formation.The MSCI Asia excluding Japan Index may advance to 511, based on the height of its triangle, a pattern created when upper and lower trend lines intersect, CIMB analysts Nigel Foo and Kong Seh Siang said in a note today. The resistance level is drawn from the highs in August and November, while support index is at 475, its 50-day simple moving average, according to
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ac_VSuVbp01g
Global Confidence Rises on Signs of Sustained 2010 Recovery
(Bloomberg) -- Confidence in the world economy rose as an acceleration in manufacturing and service industries signaled a sustained recovery from last year’s recession, according to a Bloomberg survey of users on six continents. The Bloomberg Professional Global Confidence Index gained to 66.6 this month from 58.9 in December, reaching the highest level since the series began two years ago. The index exceeded 50 for a sixth month, which means there were more optimists than pessimists.A stimulus-driven rebound in global demand is boosting orders and encouraging companies such as Samsung Electronics Co. to raise capital spending and output. The recovery was aided by policy makers from the U.S. to Europe keeping interest rates at record lows to spur growth after the worst postwar recession.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ak4Myq1FQ4Sc&pos=5
Oil May Rebound From $78, End Losing Streak: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil may rebound from its current three-day losing streak, possibly reaching as high as $87.20 a barrel, as long as prices don’t fall below $78, according to Societe Generale SA. Oil is pulling back because its relative strength index shows prices have advanced too rapidly, said Stephanie Aymes, a commodity technical analyst at France’s second-largest bank by market value. Futures ended a 10-day climb on Jan. 7, the longest rally since February 1996.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=am2aAHkrZR7c
Treasury 30-Year Yields to Reach 3-Week Low: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Treasury 30-year bonds may gain after yields on the securities failed to remain above so-called resistance at 4.73 percent, according to a Citigroup Inc. report, citing technical indicators. Thirty-year yields added nine basis points last week as signs of an economic recovery reduced demand for the relative safety of government debt. Yields may fall to as little as 4.57 percent, analysts led by Tom Fitzpatrick in New York wrote to clients in a report dated yesterday. That would be the lowest level for 30-year yields in three weeks.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aHxW2zEMEzuc
Bill Miller Calls Top 10 Companies in S&P 500 Cheap
(Bloomberg) -- Legg Mason Inc.’s Bill Miller said the top 10 stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index are undervalued. The biggest 10 companies on the U.S. market’s index of most valuable stocks have an average price of about 12 times earnings, Miller said today in a CNBC television interview. He said they should be between 14 and 18 times earnings.“I think there’s a lot of value in the overall market,” said Miller, chairman and chief investment officer of Legg Mason Capital Management, a unit of the Baltimore-based company.Miller’s $4.87 billion Legg Mason Capital Management Value Trust rose 41 percent in 2009, beating 76 percent of similarly managed funds, according to Bloomberg data. The gain marks the first time since 2005 that Miller beat the S&P 500 Index, which rose 26 percent including reinvested dividends. Miller topped the benchmark for a record 15 straight years through 2005.
Of the top 10 S&P stocks, Miller said he favored New York- based JPMorgan Chase & Co. and General Electric Co., in Fairfield, Connecticut. He said he expected GE to restore its dividend within the next two years.
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Track Record Saham IHSG/JKSE (17 Juni 2009 - 12 Januari 2010 = 28 Pekan)
Track Record Saham IHSG PT Universal Broker Indonesia Securities (TF): Periode 17 Juni 2009 - 12 Januari 2010 = 28 Pekan
Track Record (05 - 12 Januari 2010):
Average +114,28% (27 Pekan) + 5,813% (total +139,53% dari 24 Saham Pilihan Pekan ini: 05 - 12 Jan 10) = Total 120,093% (Profit: 27 Pekan / Loss: 1 Pekan; Profit dalam 10 Pekan terakhir; sebelumnya 10 pekan lalu 17 pekan berturut-turut Positive Return) = Average 4.289%/Week. Outperform IHSG dalam 28 pekan = +32,464% (IHSG Range 909 poin: 1,750-2,659); Average 1.159%/week.
BUMI +17,2%/BBCA +1,9%/BMRI -1,5%/BBRI 0%/SGRO 7,0%/ ASII -0,14%/AALI 5,0%/INKP +19,8%/JSMR +1,6%/INDF +3,33%/HMSP 13,3%/HEXA +19,2%/TLKM -1,04%/CSAP -9.5%/TINS +6,8%/ANTM +2,15%/INCO +1,9%/UNTR +12,5%/PTBA 1,1%/ADRO +12,5%/DOID -2,3%/CTRA +24,5%/BSDE -1,1%/TBLA 5,33%
Track Record (17 Juni - 30 Desember 2009)
Average +110.88% (25 Pekan) + 3.40% (total +57.86% dari 17 Saham Pilihan Pekan ini: 28 Des - 30 Des 09) = Total 114.28% (Profit: 26 Pekan / Loss: 1 Pekan; Profit dalam 7 Pekan terakhir; sebelumnya 7 pekan lalu 17 pekan berturut-turut Positive Return) = Average 4.235%/Week. Outperform IHSG dalam 27 pekan = +30.46% (IHSG Range 1,750-2,542); Average 1.12%/week.
Track Record ( 28 Des - 30 Des 09) = +3,40%
BUMI +8,6%/PTBA +2,36%/ DOID +13,5%/ASII +1,7%/BRPT +3,8%/SGRO +2,8%
/HEXA +5,0%/ADRO 0% /ITMG +0,6%/BBRI 0%/BMRI +2.3%/INCO +2.0%/ TINS
+5,8%/ ANTM +1,1%/TLKM 0%/ELTY -1,0%/DEWA +9.3%
Track Record (16 Des - 23 Des 09)
BMRI +1.1%/ASII +0.58%/UNVR +0.44%/MNCN -4.6%/BSDE 0%/ANTM -1.1%/INDF +3.78%/GGRM +1.5%/UNTR +0.9%/HEXA -2.4%/PGAS -1.3%/SMGR +4.7%/INTP +3.9%/SMCB -1.3%/LSIP -4.1%/INKP +1.1%/BBTN +3.7%/BUMI 0%/TLKM -2.2%/ADRO -1.7%/ASRI -4.5%/SGRO 0%/BKDP +8.1%/INDY +3.7%/INCO +1.5%/DOID 1.3%/GDST -9.9%.
Track Record (09 Des - 14 Des 09)
BUMI 2.450 +3.9%/BMRI +2.7%/BBRI +1.9%/ASII +2.8%/UNVR +1.35%/TLKM +4.8%/BSDE +10%/JSMR +1.06%/ANTM +2.2%/INDF 0%/GGRM +15.5%/UNTR +10.9%/HEXA +6.8%/INCO 0%/BKSL 0%/PGAS +4.5% /SMGR 3.44%/INTP 4.09%
Track Record (25 Nov - 03 Des 09)
BUMI 2.575 (0%)/PTBA 15.750 (+17.7%)/ADRO 1.710 (+3.5%)/BMRI 4.600 (+1.08%)/ BBRI 7.600 (+5.9%)/ BKSL 101 (-4.9%)/RAJA 215 (-2.3%)/CTRA 550 (-1.8%)/BSDE 820 (+3.65%)/BTEL 155 (+1.29%)/INDF 3.175 (0%)/ BNBR 100 (+1.0%)/ KLBF 1.270 (+0.78%)/BRPT 1.330 (+2.2%)/ELTY 23 0 (+4.3%).
Track Record (19 - 23 November 2009)
BUMI +11.7%/DEWA +3.7%/PGAS +1.9%/DOID -0.6%/ASII +0.9%/MEDC 3.7%/ANTM 4.2%/SMGR 0%/HEXA -0.84%/TRUB +4.8%/BKSL +10.1%/PTBA 6.7%/ENRG +5.2%/BMRI +1.06%/TLKM 1.1%
Track Record Periode 09 Nov - 17 Nov: (24 Posisi)
PTBA 5.4%/DOID 10.0%/BBRI 3.3%/BBCA 0.5%/BMRI 0%/ MEDC 2.8%/PGAS 3.4%/JSMR 2.7%/SMRA 0%/CTRS -5.8%/SGRO 3.0%/ INDF 3.2%/KLBF 2.2%/GGRM 1.7%/SMCB 4.9%/SMGR 0%/ANTM 11.2%/MYOR 14.2%/UNVR 7.8%/ITMG 17.9%/BUMI 12.6%/ENRG 1.7%/ TRUB 9.7%/ASII 3.9%/FREN 3.7%
Track Record Periode 26 Okt - 06 Nov: (29 Posisi):
BBRI +2.7/BMRI 0%/PTBA -0.67%/ADRO 0%/PGAS +0.68%/SDRA 0%/AKRA +6.8%/BSDE +12.6%/SMGR 11.1%/SMRA +13.0%/BUMI +11.36%/ENRG +30%/HEXA 4.4%/MEDC 4.8%/BBCA +2.7%/INCO 0%/PGAS +2.7%/SMCB -1.2%/ASII -1.2%/INDF +2.4%/GGRM +12.2%/TRUB 0%/ANTM 3.2%/INKP -9.5%/BUMI -2.04%/SMCB 2.5%/ENRG 9.2%/ASII -0.6%/INDF 5.08%. Total Profit +122.21% untuk 29 posisi.
Track Record Periode 19 - 23 Okt:
BUMI (3.000) -9.16%, JSMR (1.860) -1.07%, INCO (4.225) +1.18%, PGAS (3.750) 0%, PTBA (14.650) +2.39%, ANTM (2.625) -0.95%, SMGR 6.950 -2.1%, UNTR (16.500) -3.03%, SMCB (1.640) -1.8%, KLBF (1.340) -2.2%/HEXA 3.075 -0.8%, SGRO (2.400) 2.08%,BMRI (4.775) -1.04%, BBRI (7.850) -3.18%, AALI (22.200) -0.45%, TLKM (8.650) +0.57%, UNVR (10.850) -3.38%, ADRO (1.510) +7.94%, BBCA (4.775) 0%, ITMG (24.450) 0% (+Dividen Rp 648).
Track Record Periode 12 - 16 Okt:
BUMI (2900) +4.3%, INDF (3100) +3.2%, JSMR (1800) +3.9%, ASII (33500)-0.6%, ANTM (2600) +1.9%, TLKM (8650) +0.6%, UNVR (11000) 0%, UNTR (15500) +7.7%, SMCB (1550) +7.1%, KLBF (1320) +2.3%, BMRI (4875) +1.03%, BBRI (8050) -0.62%, SMGR (6700) +5.2%, BSDE (640) +12.5%, PGAS (3575) +4.9%, MEDC (3175) 0%, INCO (4150) +2.4%, TINS (2200) +1.1%, SDRA (320) 1.5%.
Track Record Periode 17 Juni - 09 Okt 2009 lainnya bisa dilihat di blog (globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com).
Track Record (05 - 12 Januari 2010):
Average +114,28% (27 Pekan) + 5,813% (total +139,53% dari 24 Saham Pilihan Pekan ini: 05 - 12 Jan 10) = Total 120,093% (Profit: 27 Pekan / Loss: 1 Pekan; Profit dalam 10 Pekan terakhir; sebelumnya 10 pekan lalu 17 pekan berturut-turut Positive Return) = Average 4.289%/Week. Outperform IHSG dalam 28 pekan = +32,464% (IHSG Range 909 poin: 1,750-2,659); Average 1.159%/week.
BUMI +17,2%/BBCA +1,9%/BMRI -1,5%/BBRI 0%/SGRO 7,0%/ ASII -0,14%/AALI 5,0%/INKP +19,8%/JSMR +1,6%/INDF +3,33%/HMSP 13,3%/HEXA +19,2%/TLKM -1,04%/CSAP -9.5%/TINS +6,8%/ANTM +2,15%/INCO +1,9%/UNTR +12,5%/PTBA 1,1%/ADRO +12,5%/DOID -2,3%/CTRA +24,5%/BSDE -1,1%/TBLA 5,33%
Track Record (17 Juni - 30 Desember 2009)
Average +110.88% (25 Pekan) + 3.40% (total +57.86% dari 17 Saham Pilihan Pekan ini: 28 Des - 30 Des 09) = Total 114.28% (Profit: 26 Pekan / Loss: 1 Pekan; Profit dalam 7 Pekan terakhir; sebelumnya 7 pekan lalu 17 pekan berturut-turut Positive Return) = Average 4.235%/Week. Outperform IHSG dalam 27 pekan = +30.46% (IHSG Range 1,750-2,542); Average 1.12%/week.
Track Record ( 28 Des - 30 Des 09) = +3,40%
BUMI +8,6%/PTBA +2,36%/ DOID +13,5%/ASII +1,7%/BRPT +3,8%/SGRO +2,8%
/HEXA +5,0%/ADRO 0% /ITMG +0,6%/BBRI 0%/BMRI +2.3%/INCO +2.0%/ TINS
+5,8%/ ANTM +1,1%/TLKM 0%/ELTY -1,0%/DEWA +9.3%
Track Record (16 Des - 23 Des 09)
BMRI +1.1%/ASII +0.58%/UNVR +0.44%/MNCN -4.6%/BSDE 0%/ANTM -1.1%/INDF +3.78%/GGRM +1.5%/UNTR +0.9%/HEXA -2.4%/PGAS -1.3%/SMGR +4.7%/INTP +3.9%/SMCB -1.3%/LSIP -4.1%/INKP +1.1%/BBTN +3.7%/BUMI 0%/TLKM -2.2%/ADRO -1.7%/ASRI -4.5%/SGRO 0%/BKDP +8.1%/INDY +3.7%/INCO +1.5%/DOID 1.3%/GDST -9.9%.
Track Record (09 Des - 14 Des 09)
BUMI 2.450 +3.9%/BMRI +2.7%/BBRI +1.9%/ASII +2.8%/UNVR +1.35%/TLKM +4.8%/BSDE +10%/JSMR +1.06%/ANTM +2.2%/INDF 0%/GGRM +15.5%/UNTR +10.9%/HEXA +6.8%/INCO 0%/BKSL 0%/PGAS +4.5% /SMGR 3.44%/INTP 4.09%
Track Record (25 Nov - 03 Des 09)
BUMI 2.575 (0%)/PTBA 15.750 (+17.7%)/ADRO 1.710 (+3.5%)/BMRI 4.600 (+1.08%)/ BBRI 7.600 (+5.9%)/ BKSL 101 (-4.9%)/RAJA 215 (-2.3%)/CTRA 550 (-1.8%)/BSDE 820 (+3.65%)/BTEL 155 (+1.29%)/INDF 3.175 (0%)/ BNBR 100 (+1.0%)/ KLBF 1.270 (+0.78%)/BRPT 1.330 (+2.2%)/ELTY 23 0 (+4.3%).
Track Record (19 - 23 November 2009)
BUMI +11.7%/DEWA +3.7%/PGAS +1.9%/DOID -0.6%/ASII +0.9%/MEDC 3.7%/ANTM 4.2%/SMGR 0%/HEXA -0.84%/TRUB +4.8%/BKSL +10.1%/PTBA 6.7%/ENRG +5.2%/BMRI +1.06%/TLKM 1.1%
Track Record Periode 09 Nov - 17 Nov: (24 Posisi)
PTBA 5.4%/DOID 10.0%/BBRI 3.3%/BBCA 0.5%/BMRI 0%/ MEDC 2.8%/PGAS 3.4%/JSMR 2.7%/SMRA 0%/CTRS -5.8%/SGRO 3.0%/ INDF 3.2%/KLBF 2.2%/GGRM 1.7%/SMCB 4.9%/SMGR 0%/ANTM 11.2%/MYOR 14.2%/UNVR 7.8%/ITMG 17.9%/BUMI 12.6%/ENRG 1.7%/ TRUB 9.7%/ASII 3.9%/FREN 3.7%
Track Record Periode 26 Okt - 06 Nov: (29 Posisi):
BBRI +2.7/BMRI 0%/PTBA -0.67%/ADRO 0%/PGAS +0.68%/SDRA 0%/AKRA +6.8%/BSDE +12.6%/SMGR 11.1%/SMRA +13.0%/BUMI +11.36%/ENRG +30%/HEXA 4.4%/MEDC 4.8%/BBCA +2.7%/INCO 0%/PGAS +2.7%/SMCB -1.2%/ASII -1.2%/INDF +2.4%/GGRM +12.2%/TRUB 0%/ANTM 3.2%/INKP -9.5%/BUMI -2.04%/SMCB 2.5%/ENRG 9.2%/ASII -0.6%/INDF 5.08%. Total Profit +122.21% untuk 29 posisi.
Track Record Periode 19 - 23 Okt:
BUMI (3.000) -9.16%, JSMR (1.860) -1.07%, INCO (4.225) +1.18%, PGAS (3.750) 0%, PTBA (14.650) +2.39%, ANTM (2.625) -0.95%, SMGR 6.950 -2.1%, UNTR (16.500) -3.03%, SMCB (1.640) -1.8%, KLBF (1.340) -2.2%/HEXA 3.075 -0.8%, SGRO (2.400) 2.08%,BMRI (4.775) -1.04%, BBRI (7.850) -3.18%, AALI (22.200) -0.45%, TLKM (8.650) +0.57%, UNVR (10.850) -3.38%, ADRO (1.510) +7.94%, BBCA (4.775) 0%, ITMG (24.450) 0% (+Dividen Rp 648).
Track Record Periode 12 - 16 Okt:
BUMI (2900) +4.3%, INDF (3100) +3.2%, JSMR (1800) +3.9%, ASII (33500)-0.6%, ANTM (2600) +1.9%, TLKM (8650) +0.6%, UNVR (11000) 0%, UNTR (15500) +7.7%, SMCB (1550) +7.1%, KLBF (1320) +2.3%, BMRI (4875) +1.03%, BBRI (8050) -0.62%, SMGR (6700) +5.2%, BSDE (640) +12.5%, PGAS (3575) +4.9%, MEDC (3175) 0%, INCO (4150) +2.4%, TINS (2200) +1.1%, SDRA (320) 1.5%.
Track Record Periode 17 Juni - 09 Okt 2009 lainnya bisa dilihat di blog (globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com).
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