@IHSG vs DJIA: E.W + Dow + Heiken Ashi + Ichimoku + ADX + Gator + Fibonacci

IHSG: Fase Distribusi dengan Selling Power Dominan, Pola Diamond & Bermuda Triangle dalam Corrective Wave c/B (Bear Market Rally) = Potensi kenaikan terbatas selama dibawah 3.910, meski Intraday Oversold = Dead Cat Bounce??? 

CTA ini akan diajarkan pada Workshop CTA HITSAHAM Level Intermediate - Pre Advanced (When Japan Combined With American T.A Style To Know When Market Will Bull Rally / Crash) pada 10-11 Sept di Jakarta & 24-25 Sept di Surabaya.

@DJIA: Fase Distribusi & Selling Power Dominan dan power dari gator cukup kuat untuk mendorong DJIA menuju wave 5/c dalam koreksi wave 4 (Bear Market Rally), potensi kenaikan terbatas. Risk > Reward

Commodity Review and Second-Half Outlook: Part 1 & 2

CTA ini akan diajarkan pada Workshop CTA HITSAHAM Level Intermediate - Pre Advanced (When Japan Combined With American T.A Style To Know When Market Will Bull Rally / Crash) pada 10-11 Sept di Jakarta & 24-25 Sept di Surabaya.

Crude Oil: Fase Distribusi in Heiken Ashi, Selling Power Dominan & Down Channel membatasi momentum kenaikan Short-Term

Gold: Strong Buying Power, Fase Akumulasi dalam Heiken Ashi, Uptrend Channel With Wave 5 Extend

 

@Copyrights: CTA HITSAHAM

Commodity Review and Second-Half Outlook: Part 1
By Taras Berezoswky

With all the “halftime reports” flying around on how commodities fared in the first half of 2011, we thought we’d weigh in and at least try to sort out what’s what – both on metals fundamentals or speculative market trends. While we’re not setting out to provide an absolutely comprehensive commodity report here, we’ll try to hit a few past highlights/lowlights and a few signals pointing to future activity.

Commodity Review and Second-Half Outlook: Part 2
Aluminum, Zinc and the LME
Although aluminum by some standards has been in the dumps lately (i.e. throughout Q2), we can encapsulate much of the light metal’s activity to the LME warehousing issue. Even though the LME has just doubled the amount of tonnage that may be removed per warehouse per day, it won’t be effective until next April.

Read More:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/282617-commodity-review-and-second-half-outlook-part-1

http://seekingalpha.com/article/282618-commodity-review-and-second-half-outlook-part-2

With Technical Support, Base Metals Are a Solid Long-Term Holding
From a technical standpoint, copper, zinc and lead look attractive. Base metals weren’t immune to the aggressive selling witnessed in other commodity markets over the past month. The sector plunged in the period, with prices for all of the major metals hitting multi-month lows.

Read More: http://seekingalpha.com/article/288608-with-technical-support-base-metals-are-a-solid-long-term-holding

Don't Miss It!!! Hanya Combo T.A HITSAHAM Yang Bisa Begini...

Ikutilah Workshop CTA HITSAHAM di Jakarta (10-11 September; Hotel Sofyan Tebet Jakarta Selatan) & Surabaya (24-25 September; Hotel Novotel Jl. Ngagel), Jika Anda ingin mendapatkan hasil Trading saham yang memuaskan anda di saat BULL RALLY / CRASH?  Telah terdaftar di Jakarta (8 Orang); Surabaya (4 orang).

How To Know Market When Bull Rally / Crash. Antisipasi "2 Event Crash & Big Rally”

ZOOM BY CLICK THE PICTURE BELOW: 

NOTHING CAN SAVE YOU BUT YOURSELF

After Published In Media (MNC Indovision Ch 95-99/Trust/Jakarta Globe) telah menyelamatkan Porfolio pemirsa & pembaca:
To Sell IHSG at 3.170 (28/07)/ Buy Nekad (08/08 - 11/08 - 15/08)

HOLD BUY NEKAD V (Sesi 2: 19-08): ASII 66.700 (19/08: Close 66.150)/ BBRI 6.500 (19/08: close 6.400)/ BBCA 7.900 (19/08: close 8.000)/ PGAS 3.350 (19/08: close 3.300)/ INTA 730 (19/08: close 740)/ CPIN 2.650 (19/08: close 2.625)/ BKSL 200 (19/08: close 200)/UNVR 16.700 (19/08: close 16.600). Risk < -4.5%, Hold Until 23-08.

TRACK RECORD BUY NEKAD I / II / III / IV:

BUY NEKAD ATTACK I (2011-08-08 7:08 AM (14.08 WIB):
( ) = Modal Buy & Return %:
ASII (64.300 = +13.28%)/ INDF (6.100 = +5.73%)/ BMRI (6.900 = +6.52%)/ BBRI (6.300 = +7.93%)/ TLKM (7.500 = -0.67%)/ UNVR (15.800 = +10.12%)/ GGRM (49.700 = +12.67%)/ ADRO (2.300 = +4.34%)/ BBNI (3.975 = +11.95%)/ SMGR (8.800 = +3.40%)/ PGAS (3.075 = +11.38%)/ UNTR (23.200 = +8.19%)/ BUMI (2.550 = +7.84%). Stop loss -3.5%; 

Hasil Total Gross =+102.68%

= +7.9% (Average 13 Saham)

BUY NEKAD ATTACK II (Sesi 2 11/08):
( ) = Modal Buy & Return %:
SESI 2: BORN (1.230 = +4.06%)/ CLPI (1.890 = 4.76%)/ LPCK (1.510 = +58.94%*)/ KLBF (3.300 = +6.18%)/ JSMR (3.800 = +7.23%)/ AKRA (2.775 +6.72%) STOP LOSS IHSG CLOSE BELOW 200-day MA / -5% TARGET  PROFIT TAKING 18-08 (17/08 : INDEPENDENT DAY). *LPCK (Hold hingga 2.975, stop loss dibawah 2.175)

Hasil Total Gross = +87.89% 

= +14.65% (Average 6 saham)

BUY NEKAD ATTACK III (Sesi 1 15/08):

( ) = Modal Buy & Return %:
EKAD (390 = +6.40%) + ASII (68.900 = +5.22%) + ITMG (breakout inv H&S: 46.000 = -0.76%) Hingga 18-19 Agustus (Peak).

Hasil Trading Gross: +10.76% 

= +3.62% (Average 3 saham)

BUY NEKAD IV (19-08):

( ) = Modal Buy & Return %:
19/08: Cut Rekomendasi BUY NEKAD IV: KLBF 3.400 (19/08: close 3.425)/ BMRI 7.100 (19/08: close 6.900)/ UNSP 385 (19/08: close 385)/ BRAU 530 ((19/08: close 540)/ INDF 6.250 (19/08: close 6.100)/ AKRA 2900 ((19/08: close 2.925)/ ASII 69.000 ((19/08: close 66.400). 

Rekomendasi BUY NEKAD I / II / III:
http://hitsaham.blogspot.com/2011/08/join-me-to-know-how-market-works.html

Track Record Juni - Juli 2011:
Return: +161% + 254% = +415%
http://hitsaham.blogspot.com/2011/07/analisa-strategis-9-methods-hitsaham-23.html

Track Record 2010:
Return = +1.160%
http://hitsaham.blogspot.com/2011/01/last-of-track-records-combo-technical.html

@IHSG: Potential W-Shaped On Dead Cross Signal??? + INDF / MAPI

IHSG: Selama bertahan dibawah 3.910, IHSG extend bearish menuju support 3.718 (200-day MA), jika ditutup dibawah level itu target 3.590/3.426/3.236/3.150. Resist di 3.910, jika tembus 3.967/4.020/4.075.

INDF: Diamond Pattern You Should Worry About?

MAPI: Potential To Make M-Shaped & Head & Shoulder???

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 22-08 (Refresh)

Agenda 22 Agustus  Cum dev Lppf 14,0,  rupslb BDMN, rups lppf,  META RUPSLB, cum dev AKRA 200, Lap Keu BUMI

Aksi Beli ASII Tahan Jatuhnya IHSG. net foreign sell Rp684,8 miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767648/aksi-beli-asii-tahan-jatuhnya-ihsg

Sangat Fluktuatif, IHSG Akhirnya Hanya Melemah 4 Poin 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/22/161639/1708575/6/sangat-fluktuatif-ihsg-akhirnya-hanya-melemah-4-poin

Aksi beli 123 saham berhasil membuat indeks bangkit di akhir perdagangan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1314004185/75952/Aksi-beli-123-saham-berhasil-membuat-indeks-bangkit-di-akhir-perdagangan

Orang-orang Super Kaya Masih Bisa Meraup Untung Saat Krisis
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/22/124012/1708203/4/orang-orang-super-kaya-masih-bisa-meraup-untung-saat-krisis

MNCN siap lunasi obligasi senilai US$ 142,7 juta
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1314004843/75955/MNCN-siap-lunasi-obligasi-senilai-US-1427-juta

Bloomberg: Bumi Resources Falls to Nine-Month Low on Debt Pay Down Concern

ASII pun Dapat Menjadi Pilihan
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767532/asii-pun-dapat-menjadi-pilihan

Naik Tajam, BEI Awasi Saham SQMI
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767587/naik-tajam-bei-awasi-saham-sqmi

Lakukan Refinancing Utang, META akan Gadai Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767628/lakukan-refinancing-utang-meta-akan-gadai-saham

APRDI Usul Perhitungan MKBD Ditinjau Lagi
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767568/aprdi-usul-perhitungan-mkbd-ditinjau-lagi

Hingga Agustus, SSIA raih komitmen penjualan 200 hektare lahan industri
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1314001803/75947/Hingga-Agustus-SSIA-raih-komitmen-penjualan-200-hektare-lahan-industri

Saham BUMI terjungkal ke level terendah dalam sembilan bulan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313997198/75934/Saham-BUMI-terjungkal-ke-level-terendah-dalam-sembilan-bulan

RUIS:::: Oil and gas services company PT Radiant Utama Interinsco Tbk (RUIS) has secured loan facility from Bank DBS Indonesia on July 25.
In an official statement to Indonesia Stock Exchange today, Director of Radiant Utama Coki Lubis said the facility will be used by the company to buy mobile offshore production unit (MOPU) worth US$35 million. Radiant has submitted a plan to buy MOPU to regulators. The company is seeking approval from shareholders.

REMINDER::: PT Bakrie&Brothers Tbk (BNBR) returned in net profit of Rp45.49 billion for the first 6 months of this year after suffering a prolonged net loss.  The company booked Rp171.51 billion net loss in 1H 2010.
The positive bottom line was mainly driven by write-off interest expenses of Rp362.08 billion and foreign exchange gain of Rp281.18 billion. 
Operating profit fell 41.68% to Rp296.69 billion from Rp508.76 billion, while gross profit slightly dropped 5.39% to Rp1.93 trillion from Rp2.04 trillion.
Bakrie posted net revenue of Rp6.48 trillion, reflecting a 7.46% increase from Rp6.03 trillion. 

IHSG Sesi 1 Ditutup Anjlok 1,74% ke 3.775,73. net foreign sell Rp412,59 miliar.
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767534/ihsg-sesi-1-ditutup-anjlok-174-ke-377573

IHSG Terpuruk di Bawah Level 3.800
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/22/121420/1708177/6/ihsg-terpuruk-di-bawah-level-3800

Sesi I, indeks masih terperosok dengan penurunan 1,74%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313989412/75921/Sesi-I-indeks-masih-terperosok-dengan-penurunan-174

Tingkat produksi diramal turun, saham INCO terjungkal hingga 4% lebih
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313984903/75912/Tingkat-produksi-diramal-turun-saham-INCO-terjungkal-hingga-4-lebih

Masih Terkoreksi, Sebaiknya Selective Buying
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767528/masih-terkoreksi-sebaiknya-selective-buying

SSIA Raih Komitmen Penjualan 200 Ha Lahan Industri'http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767521/ssia-raih-komitmen-penjualan-200-ha-lahan-industri

Bloomberg: Citi Upgrades Bank Negara to Hold, Lifts PT 52% to 4,700 Rupiah

MORGAN STANLEY EXPECTS INDONESIA MSCI INDEX TO GAIN 15% IN 2012, UP 1.500% FROM 2011

CLSA (kz)
UNTR::: Maintain BUY on UT, 19% upside to our TP of Rp28,000/sh.  Now trading at 13.8x PE12. 

ADRO::: is trading on a PE of 14.8x 11CL earnings. Despite minor adjustments to our earnings forecasts, we maintain our target price of Rp2,800/sh.

Berencana terbitkan obligasi, saham BNBR tergelincir hingga 3%
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313984571/75908/Berencana-terbitkan-obligasi-saham-BNBR-tergelincir-hingga-3

Harga Melesat 209%, Saham Central Omega Disuspensi 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/22/101914/1708004/6/harga-melesat-209-saham-central-omega-disuspensi

Bloomberg: United Tractors Retreats to Two-Month Low as July Sales Decline

Bloomberg: Danamon Falls, Leading Drop Among Banks, After Share Sale Price

Bloomberg: Palm Oil Climbs as Much as 1.1% to 3,036 Ringgit a Metric Ton

Bakrie, Jasa Marga, United Tractors: Indonesia Equity Preview
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-22/bakrie-jasa-marga-united-tractors-indonesia-equity-preview.html

Minim Sentimen Domestik, IHSG Dibuka Naik Tipis
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767469/minim-sentimen-domestik-ihsg-dibuka-naik-tipis

Morgan Stanley Pangkas Target Saham Asia Tenggara
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767474/morgan-stanley-pangkas-target-saham-asia-tenggara

Ekspansi US$1,5 Miliar, Buy INCO
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767467/ekspansi-us15-miliar-buy-inco

Raih Akses Pendanaan, 'Speculative Buy' BNBR
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767465/raih-akses-pendanaan-speculative-buy-bnbr

Rights Issue, Danamon Tawarkan Rp4.300 per Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767460/rights-issue-danamon-tawarkan-rp4300-per-saham

Kolom Aidil Akbar
Bijak Mengelola THR 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/22/100855/1707990/722/bijak-mengelola-thr

Property developer PT Summarecon Agung Tbk (SMRA) is considering to issue bonds or rights in a bid to grab Rp600 billion. The proceed will be used by the company to acquire land bank. Summarecon Director Michael Yong said the company requires Rp600 billion to buy 20 hectares of land in Serpong, Bekasi, and Bandung. "To buy land, properti is not allowed to use bank loan facility. This is why we are exploring several fund raising options such as bonds or rights issue," he said as quoted by Bisnis Indonesia today.

Bloomberg: Asia Stocks Pare Drop as QE3 Speculation Tempers Euro-Bond Clash

BLOOMBERG: *JATENERGY IN PACT FOR 2ND FAST-TO-PRODUCTION MINE IN INDONESIA

BLOOMBERG: *BANK DANAMON SETS RIGHTS OFFER PRICE AT 4,300 RUPIAH A SHARE

Bloomberg: Mobius Says He Thinks Markets `Bouncing Along Bottom

Bloomberg: Jasa Marga May Buy 202 Kilometers of Toll Roads, Kontan Reports

Bloomberg: Semen Gresik May Spend $150 Mln on Plant in Papua, Daily Reports

Bloomberg: XL Axiata Plans to Increase Capex to $850 Million, Daily Reports

Bloomberg: Wahana Ottomitra 1H Net Falls to 692 Million Rupiah, Bisnis Says

Bloomberg: Bakrie Plans to Sell 1 Trillion Rupiah of Bonds, Bisnis Reports

Bumi, which the politically connected Bakrie family and Nathaniel Rothschild control via London-listed Bumi Plc , plans to repay the first $600 million tranche of a $1.9 billion loan to the China Investment Corporation (CIC) in October

Trades of the Day...
Fundamentally:
CIMB mempertahankan rating Gudang Garam (GGRM) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp56500 sekitar 1X PEG. APBN 2012 menunjukan kenaikan cukai sebesar 6.3% yoy tahun depan, dan tidak ada perbedaan cukai untuk jenis rokok yang beragam. Menurut perhitungan kami, GG akan menaikan ASP sebesar 4%, dan katalis akan datang dari hal tersebut serta potensi interim dividend pada 4Q11

CIMB mempertahankan rating Bumi Resources (BUMI) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp4000 sekitar 11.4x FY12 PER, atau sesuai dengan sektor coal. Laba bersih inti 1H11 sebesar Rp154bn atau +318% yoy, dibawah ekspektasi, hanya 36% dari prediksi angka tahun ini. Pelemahan ini karena biaya dan pajak yang lebih tinggi, sementara pendapatan in-line karena tingginya ASP. Pembayaran hutang dan refinancing hutang dari CIC masih belum jelas. Kami belum mengubah prediksi harga coal sehingga akan mempertahankan earning estimate dan target harga saat ini.

Inilah Pilihan Saham Senin (22/8)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767333/inilah-pilihan-saham-senin-228

Rekomendasi Saham
IHSG Masih Dibayangi Anjloknya Wall Street 
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/22/074923/1707915/6/ihsg-masih-dibayangi-anjloknya-wall-street

Bursa Asia Melemah, Terpukul Saham Eksportir
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767453/bursa-asia-melemah-terpukul-saham-eksportir

Pelemahan IHSG Bukan 'Crash'
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767394/pelemahan-ihsg-bukan-crash

Penjualan mobil Astra bulan ini diprediksi melemah
http://www.bisnis.com/articles/penjualan-mobil-astra-bulan-ini-diprediksi-melemah

INILAH.COM, Jakarta - Fund manager asing maupun lokal kabarnya sedang memburu saham PT Buana Listya Tama (BULL). Selain proyeksi kinerja perseroan yang bakal fantastis tahun ini, seorang pelaku pasar membisikkan perusahaan pelayaran asal Singapura sedang mengincar kepemilikan saham BULL. Sejumlah bandar yang mengetahui rencana ini pun dihembuskan tengah bersiap untuk mengerek harga saham hingg menuju Rp250-500 dalam waktu dekat. Pada perdagangan Jumat (19/8), saham BULL ditutup turun Rp5 ke level Rp148.

INCO Revisi Produksi Jadi 71 Ribu Ton pada 2011
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767231/inco-revisi-produksi-jadi-71-ribu-ton-pada-2011

Bapepam Harap MIRA Penuhi Aturan
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767236/bapepam-harap-mira-penuhi-aturan

UNTR Akuisisi Saham Duta Nurcahya 60%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767247/untr-akuisisi-saham-duta-nurcahya-60

Kecemasan Resesi Berlanjut, Rupiah Terpukul Mundur
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767238/kecemasan-resesi-berlanjut-rupiah-terpukul-mundur

JSMR:Volume Transaksi Kendaraan Capai 500 juta
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767348/jsmrvolume-transaksi-kendaraan-capai-500-juta

Dharma Bumi Potensi Menangkan Tender KP Eks INCO
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767387/dharma-bumi-potensi-menangkan-tender-kp-eks-inco

Kuasi Reorganisasi, BNBR Tunggu Sinyal Bapepam
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767286/kuasi-reorganisasi-bnbr-tunggu-sinyal-bapepam

BNBR Bayar Utang Credit Suisse
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767280/bnbr-bayar-utang-credit-suisse

META Akan Beri Jaminan Saham
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767336/meta-akan-beri-jaminan-saham

Garuda Kebanjiran Penumpang
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1767302/garuda-kebanjiran-penumpang

Lebaran tiba, emiten peritel gembira
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313973000/75868/Lebaran-tiba-emiten-peritel-gembira

Masih ada 43 sekuritas yang diperiksa terkait penjatahan ganda IPO KRAS
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313973933/75871/Masih-ada-43-sekuritas-yang-diperiksa-terkait-penjatahan-ganda-IPO-KRAS

JSMR butuh Rp 25 triliun untuk kerjakan proyek MP3EI
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313972400/75866/JSMR-butuh-Rp-25-triliun-untuk-kerjakan-proyek-MP3EI

Semester I, CTRP sudah pakai capex senilai Rp 550 Miliar
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313922891/75853/Semester-I-CTRP-sudah-pakai-capex-senilai-Rp-550-Miliar

BNBR akan cari investor dari Jepang
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313971800/75864/BNBR-akan-cari-investor-dari-Jepang

SMGR kaji pembangunan pabrik di Indonesia bagian timur
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313901622/75842/SMGR-kaji-pembangunan-pabrik-di-Indonesia-bagian-timur

Kena tulah proyeksi Morgan Stanley
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313805626/75824/Kena-tulah-proyeksi-Morgan-Stanley

BWPT bangun pabrik
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313805306/75822/BWPT-bangun-pabrik

BNBR berniat merilis obligasi Rp 1 triliun
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313804835/75821/BNBR-berniat-merilis-obligasi-Rp-1-triliun

Investor asing kembali menggempit SUN
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1313762201/75807/Investor-asing-kembali-menggempit-SUN

Penurunan harga kontrak minyak berlanjut
http://www.bisnis.com/articles/penurunan-harga-kontrak-minyak-berlanjut