Sunday, October 16, 2011
Saturday, October 15, 2011
"Percaya Dengan Apa Yang Anda Lihat, Bukan Percaya Dengan Yang Anda Dengar"
What to Do Before the Next Crash
Executive Summary
* Are you prepared for a 'bank holiday'? (Hint: It's not nearly as fun as it sounds)
* Smart wealth safety strategies
* Securing the "big four" essentials: shelter, food, fuel, and water
* The immense advantage of cultivating a healthy mindset
* Why the steps before a crisis are so much more valuable than those taken afterwards
READ MORE: http://www.chrismartenson.com/martensonreport/what-do-before-next-crash
Global Moving Averages Show Market Recovery In Sight
As shown in the tables below, the key conclusions are as follows:
* Most developed markets are again trading above their 50-day moving averages (indicating the secondary trend), including the MSCI World Index and all the major U.S. indices. It is not surprising to see markets such as Greece and Portugal bucking the trend, with Japan also an underperformer.
* Considering the 200-day moving averages (an indicator of the primary trend), all the developed markets with the exception of New Zealand are below their averages, with Austria, Greece and Singapore more than two standard deviations in the red.
READ MORE: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/10/global-moving-averages-show-market.html
The Great Crash and Beyond
Gaithersburg, Maryland – The worst quarter for stocks since the first quarter of 2009 sent me back to the dusty archives of finance. Amid old tomes, I searched for what I might learn from the dark markets of years past. I found a collection of articles called The Great Crash and Beyond. They date from 1979, put together on the 50th anniversary of the crash of 1929. Only a handful of years before, the market fell by half (1973-74). Inside, I find writers reflecting on the mosaic of Wall Street history and the continuity of markets across the time.
READ MORE: http://dailyreckoning.com/the-great-crash-and-beyond/#ixzz1ap61Vh6V
Martin Armstrong - Lessons from ’87 Crash & What’s Coming
With continued turmoil in global markets, King World News interviewed internationally followed Martin Armstrong, Founder and Former Head of Princeton Economics International, Ltd.. Armstrong’s firm rose to be perhaps the largest multinational corporate advisor in the world. When asked what to look for going forward, Armstrong told KWN a fascinating account of what led to the ’87 Crash, “When Volcker raised interest rates to crazy levels, the discount rate up to 17% going into 1981, a tremendous amount of capital starts coming from overseas into the United States. So that drives the dollar up going into 1985 to a point where the (British) pound had fallen from 2.40 to par vs the dollar.”
READ MORE: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/14_Martin_Armstrong_-_Lessons_from_87_Crash_%26_Whats_Coming.html
Foreigners Dump $74 Billion In Treasurys In 6 Consecutive Weeks:
Biggest Sequential Outflow In History
Over the weekend, we observed the perplexing sell off of $56 billion in US Treasurys courtesy of weekly disclosure in the Fed's custodial account (source: H.4.1) and speculated if this may be due to an asset rotation, under duress or otherwise, out of bonds and into stocks, to prevent the collapse of the global ponzi (because when the BRICs tell the IMF to boost its bailout capacity you know it is global).
READ MORE: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/foreigners-dump-74-billion-treasurys-6-consecutive-weeks-biggest-sequential-outflow-history
Executive Summary
* Are you prepared for a 'bank holiday'? (Hint: It's not nearly as fun as it sounds)
* Smart wealth safety strategies
* Securing the "big four" essentials: shelter, food, fuel, and water
* The immense advantage of cultivating a healthy mindset
* Why the steps before a crisis are so much more valuable than those taken afterwards
READ MORE: http://www.chrismartenson.com/martensonreport/what-do-before-next-crash
Global Moving Averages Show Market Recovery In Sight
* Most developed markets are again trading above their 50-day moving averages (indicating the secondary trend), including the MSCI World Index and all the major U.S. indices. It is not surprising to see markets such as Greece and Portugal bucking the trend, with Japan also an underperformer.
* Considering the 200-day moving averages (an indicator of the primary trend), all the developed markets with the exception of New Zealand are below their averages, with Austria, Greece and Singapore more than two standard deviations in the red.
READ MORE: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/10/global-moving-averages-show-market.html
The Great Crash and Beyond
Gaithersburg, Maryland – The worst quarter for stocks since the first quarter of 2009 sent me back to the dusty archives of finance. Amid old tomes, I searched for what I might learn from the dark markets of years past. I found a collection of articles called The Great Crash and Beyond. They date from 1979, put together on the 50th anniversary of the crash of 1929. Only a handful of years before, the market fell by half (1973-74). Inside, I find writers reflecting on the mosaic of Wall Street history and the continuity of markets across the time.
READ MORE: http://dailyreckoning.com/the-great-crash-and-beyond/#ixzz1ap61Vh6V
Martin Armstrong - Lessons from ’87 Crash & What’s Coming
With continued turmoil in global markets, King World News interviewed internationally followed Martin Armstrong, Founder and Former Head of Princeton Economics International, Ltd.. Armstrong’s firm rose to be perhaps the largest multinational corporate advisor in the world. When asked what to look for going forward, Armstrong told KWN a fascinating account of what led to the ’87 Crash, “When Volcker raised interest rates to crazy levels, the discount rate up to 17% going into 1981, a tremendous amount of capital starts coming from overseas into the United States. So that drives the dollar up going into 1985 to a point where the (British) pound had fallen from 2.40 to par vs the dollar.”
READ MORE: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/14_Martin_Armstrong_-_Lessons_from_87_Crash_%26_Whats_Coming.html
Foreigners Dump $74 Billion In Treasurys In 6 Consecutive Weeks:
Biggest Sequential Outflow In History
Over the weekend, we observed the perplexing sell off of $56 billion in US Treasurys courtesy of weekly disclosure in the Fed's custodial account (source: H.4.1) and speculated if this may be due to an asset rotation, under duress or otherwise, out of bonds and into stocks, to prevent the collapse of the global ponzi (because when the BRICs tell the IMF to boost its bailout capacity you know it is global).
READ MORE: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/foreigners-dump-74-billion-treasurys-6-consecutive-weeks-biggest-sequential-outflow-history
Europe's Crunch Time May Drive Market Amid Earnings Flood
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44910718
Stocks Log 10-Week High; Dow, Nasdaq Up for 2011
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44902461
Coming Up Next Week:
MONDAY: Empire state mfg survey, industrial production, Fed's Lacker and Evans speak; Earnings from Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Halliburton, Hasbro and IBM
TUESDAY: PPI, treasury international capital, housing market index, Bernanke speaks; Earnings from BofA, Coca-Cola, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Apple, Intel, CSX and Yahoo
WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, CPI, housing starts, Fed's Rosengren speaks, oil inventories, Fed's Beige Book; Earnings from Morgan Stanley, Travelers, United Tech, AmEx, Ebay, Western Digital
THURSDAY: Jobless claims, existing home sales, Philadelphia Fed survey, leading indicators, Fed's Bullard and Kocherlakota speak, NewsCorp investor day; Earnings from AT&T, Eli Lilly, Nokia, AutoNation, Microsoft, Capital One, Chipotle and SanDisk
FRIDAY: Fed's Kocherlakota speaks, 2011 Dodd-Frank Rulemaking Deadline; Earnings from GE, McDonald's, Verizon, Honeywell and Schlumberger
Fourteen of 28 people surveyed expect corn to rise next week and 19 of 27 anticipate the same thing for soybeans.
Gold survey results: Bullish: 22 Bearish: 1 Hold: 2
Copper survey results: Bullish: 7 Bearish: 1 Hold: 1
Corn survey results: Bullish: 14 Bearish: 9 Hold: 5
Soybean survey results: Bullish: 19 Bearish: 5 Hold: 3
Raw sugar survey results: Bullish: 7 Bearish: 4 Hold: 1
White sugar survey results: Bullish: 8 Bearish: 3 Hold: 1
White sugar premium results: Widen: 6 Narrow: 2 Neutral: 4
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44910718
Stocks Log 10-Week High; Dow, Nasdaq Up for 2011
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44902461
Coming Up Next Week:
MONDAY: Empire state mfg survey, industrial production, Fed's Lacker and Evans speak; Earnings from Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Halliburton, Hasbro and IBM
TUESDAY: PPI, treasury international capital, housing market index, Bernanke speaks; Earnings from BofA, Coca-Cola, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Apple, Intel, CSX and Yahoo
WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, CPI, housing starts, Fed's Rosengren speaks, oil inventories, Fed's Beige Book; Earnings from Morgan Stanley, Travelers, United Tech, AmEx, Ebay, Western Digital
THURSDAY: Jobless claims, existing home sales, Philadelphia Fed survey, leading indicators, Fed's Bullard and Kocherlakota speak, NewsCorp investor day; Earnings from AT&T, Eli Lilly, Nokia, AutoNation, Microsoft, Capital One, Chipotle and SanDisk
FRIDAY: Fed's Kocherlakota speaks, 2011 Dodd-Frank Rulemaking Deadline; Earnings from GE, McDonald's, Verizon, Honeywell and Schlumberger
Fourteen of 28 people surveyed expect corn to rise next week and 19 of 27 anticipate the same thing for soybeans.
Gold survey results: Bullish: 22 Bearish: 1 Hold: 2
Copper survey results: Bullish: 7 Bearish: 1 Hold: 1
Corn survey results: Bullish: 14 Bearish: 9 Hold: 5
Soybean survey results: Bullish: 19 Bearish: 5 Hold: 3
Raw sugar survey results: Bullish: 7 Bearish: 4 Hold: 1
White sugar survey results: Bullish: 8 Bearish: 3 Hold: 1
White sugar premium results: Widen: 6 Narrow: 2 Neutral: 4
Friday, October 14, 2011
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)