Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.
Monday, November 28, 2011
@IHSG (Signal Bat Bearish) vs DJIA (Signal Bearish Gartley): A Bull Intraday Trap???
ADMG: The Worst is Not Over???
DJIA:
EURUSD: Wolfe Wave said Sell posititon met target, keep under pressure
GBPUSD: Wolfe Wave said Hold Sell since last week target 1.5180
N225:
Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 28-11 (Refresh)
2nd session JCI on 28.11.11
3647.04(+9.85pts)(+0.27%)
(H: 3676.40 ; L: 3618.96 )
Value: 3.80T (NG 961 B )
Volume: 2.38B (NG 468 M )
Foreign Nett Sell: 556 B
Incl. Crossing:
SCMA @7250 ~ IDR 90 B (F vs F )
BMTR @990 ~ IDR 40 B ( D vs F )
SMMA @3000 ~ IDR 228 B ( F vs D )
AMRT @4000 ~ IDR 223 B ( D vs D )
USD/IDR : 9105. (On Shore)
9117.5(Off Shore)
JCI for tomorrow:
Support: 3617; 3580
Resistance: 3671; 3696
6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
FINANCE (-0.13%) (1063.112 B )
MINING. (-0.03%)(823.595 B )
MANUFACTUR(+0.67%)(643.755 B )
INFRASTRUC.(+0.36%)(283.775 B )
CONSUMER. (+0.60%)(229.265 B )
PROPERTY. (-0.39%)(82.681 B )
6 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
ASII. @69235. (9.00 B )
KLBF. @3453. (8.06 B )
INDY. @2064. (5.21 B )
LSIP. @2327. (2.47 B )
MAPI. @5322. (941.63 M )
ULTJ. @1117. (737.65 M )
6 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
BMRI. @6411. (196.65 B )
BBRI. @6459. (94.17 B )
ITMG. @37671. (81.21 B )
HRUM. @6902. (56.60 B )
CPIN. @2265. (48.96 B )
UNTR. @23791 (48.04 B )
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VALUE
BMRI. @6400. (-0.77%)
AMRT @4000. (+1.26%)
HRUM. @6950. (-5.44%)
ITMG. @37800(-2.32%)
BBRI. @6400. (-2.29%)
ADRO @1900. (+1.60%)
ASII. @69150. (+1.54%)
BBCA. @7550. (+1.34%)
8 MOST ACTIVE STOCKs BY VOLUME
TMPI. @155. (258.804 M )
ENRG. @150. (174.442 M )
BIPI-W@29. (140.943 M )
TRAM @810. (96.341 M )
BIPI. @168. (83.889 M )
PNLF. @100. (83.650 M )
ADRO. @1900 (79.344 M )
AMRT @4000(58.643 M )
Bloomberg: Harum May Reschedule Coal Shipments After Bridge Collapse. HARUM SAYS NOV. COAL SHIPMENTS UNAFFECTED BY BRIDGE COLLAPSE. *HARUM SAYS MAHAKAM BRIDGE COLLAPSE MAY DISRUPT COAL SHIPMENTS
Bloomberg: Indonesia May Need to Tighten Monetary Policy in 2012, OECD Says
Bloomberg: Bumi Says Little, No Impact on Shipments After Bridge Collapse
Bloomberg: Borneo Lumbung Said to Arrange Site Visit for Senior Lenders
Bank Himpunan Saudara Sells IDR 175 Billion 11.75% 3-Year Bond
RUPIAH FALLS 0.7 PERCENT TO 9,115 AT 4 P.M. JAKARTA TIME
Asing Terbanyak Jual Saham PNLF, Senin (28/11)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801566/asing-terbanyak-jual-saham-pnlf-senin-2811
Aksi Beli Selektif Angkat IHSG 9 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/160912/1777391/6/aksi-beli-selektif-angkat-ihsg-9-poin
Inilah Saham-saham Berprospek di 2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801501/inilah-saham-saham-berprospek-di-2012
Net Foreign Sell, IHSG Tetap Hijau
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801540/net-foreign-sell-ihsg-tetap-hijau
Morgan Stanley Pangkas Proyeksi Ekonomi Global
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801496/morgan-stanley-pangkas-proyeksi-ekonomi-global
Trimegah Tangani 2 Emiten di 2012
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801547/trimegah-tangani-2-emiten-di-2012
Italia Giring Rupiah ke Level Terendah 2 Bulan
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801551/italia-giring-rupiah-ke-level-terendah-2-bulan
ULTJ Jadi Saham Teraktif Senin (28/11)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801554/ultj-jadi-saham-teraktif-senin-2811
INAF Proyeksikan Hasil Ekspor Capai US$2,4 Jt
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801488/inaf-proyeksikan-hasil-ekspor-capai-us24-jt
Garuda Tambah Penerbangan Jelang Natal & Tahun Baru
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/153534/1777351/6/garuda-tambah-penerbangan-jelang-natal-tahun-baru
IHSG Diprediksi Tembus 4.250 Akhir Tahun 2012
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/121426/1777081/6/ihsg-diprediksi-tembus-4250-akhir-tahun-2012
IPO Baru Marak Lagi di Semester II-2012
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/130936/1777131/6/ipo-baru-marak-lagi-di-semester-ii-2012
Perolehan kontrak SDMU senilai US$ 6 juta tertunda
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322475228/83828/Perolehan-kontrak-SDMU-senilai-US-6-juta-tertunda-
Fitch sematkan peringkat BB+ untuk obligasi dollar BBRI
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322474439/83826/Fitch-sematkan-peringkat-BB-untuk-obligasi-dollar-BBRI-
SMGR memprediksi dana akuisisi KKA capai Rp 800 miliar
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322472629/83820/SMGR-memprediksi-dana-akuisisi-KKA-capai-Rp-800-miliar-
Bloomberg: Harum Energy Drops Most in Seven Weeks on Bridge Collapse
Rupiah Drops on Speculation Central Bank Away From the Market
Central Banks Ease Most Since ’09 to Avert Europe-Led Slump
Bloomberg: China Coal Shares to Outperform in 1H 2012, Cement in 2H: Citi
Rubber Futures Extend Gains in Tokyo, Rising as Much as 2.9%
Bloomberg: China 2012 Growth Est. Cut to 8.4% From 8.7% at Morgan Stanley
Bloomberg: Indonesia Stocks to Gain 20% in 2012, Citi Says. Indonesia Stocks May Rise to 4,450 by End-2012
Bloomberg: Agung Podomoro May Spend 3 Tln Rupiah on 2012 Capex, Daily Says
Bukit Asam Expects 2012 Profit to Rise to 3.3 Tln Rupiah: Bisnis
Posco to Hit Stainless Steel Output Record on Emerging Demand
Telkom Indonesia May Spend 15 Tln Rupiah on 2012 Capex: Kontan
PREDIKSI IHSG
Citigroup: IHSG akan melonjak ke level 4.450 di akhir 2012
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322449858/83768/Citigroup-IHSG-akan-melonjak-ke-level-4.450-di-akhir-2012-
Inilah Saham Pilihan Senin (28/11)
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801129/inilah-saham-pilihan-senin-2811
Sudah Jenuh Jual, IHSG Menanjak 28 Poin
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/093608/1776861/6/sudah-jenuh-jual-ihsg-menanjak-28-poin
Tak Ada Kenaikan Harga Spektakuler, Inflasi November bakal Rendah
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/065645/1776763/4/tak-ada-kenaikan-harga-spektakuler-inflasi-november-bakal-rendah
Rekomendasi Saham
Aksi Beli Selektif Bisa Angkat IHSG
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/073332/1776779/6/aksi-beli-selektif-bisa-angkat-ihsg
Cermati! Fund Manager Koleksi Saham BVIC
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801329/cermati-fund-manager-koleksi-saham-bvic
Saham Rokok, Tujuan Investasi Fund Manager
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1800962/saham-rokok-tujuan-investasi-fund-manager
Cermati! Fund Manager Koleksi Saham BVIC
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801329/cermati-fund-manager-koleksi-saham-bvic
Krisis Eropa 'Reda' Saham Asia Melesat
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801332/krisis-eropa-reda-saham-asia-melesat
Pelaku Pasar Saham Tak 'Pede'
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1800957/pelaku-pasar-saham-tak-pede
Inilah Saham Pemberi Sentimen Positif Pasar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801338/inilah-saham-pendorong-pasar-hari-ini
Sentimen Eropa Pacu IHSG Dibuka Naik 0,75%
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801348/sentimen-eropa-pacu-ihsg-dibuka-naik-075
WIKA Beton Realisasikan Investasi Rp130M
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801147/wika-beton-realisasikan-investasi-rp130m
Analis: Likuiditas Saham VIVA Bakal Turun
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1801150/analis-likuiditas-saham-viva-bakal-turun
Bangun empat pembangkit, WIKA targetkan penambahan laba hingga Rp 46,998 miliar
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322447102/83763/Bangun-empat-pembangkit-WIKA-targetkan-penambahan-laba-hingga-Rp-46998-miliar-
Laba bersih PTBA tahun ini bisa Rp 3 triliun
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322383648/83732/Laba-bersih-PTBA-tahun-ini-bisa-Rp-3-triliun-
Laba bersih KKGI melonjak 195% di kuartal ketiga
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322299496/83715/Laba-bersih-KKGI-melonjak-195-di-kuartal-ketiga-
Wah! 32 dari 100 Gedung Tertinggi Dunia Ada di China
http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/11/28/083406/1776805/1016/wah-32-dari-100-gedung-tertinggi-dunia-ada-di-china
PREDIKSI HARGA EMAS
Analis : Turun 2,1%, harga emas masih akan tertekan
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1322376861/83724/Analis-Turun-21-harga-emas-masih-akan-tertekan-
Sunday, November 27, 2011
The 1st in Indonesia: Workshop CTA 6 "How To Beat Market's 2012 & Success By The Powerful 8 in 1 Trading Systems" in January 2012.
Workshop CTA 5 Was Done. CTA 6 Go To Surabaya.
Setelah CTA Trading Systems "Beat" Kinerja Market (Saham IHSG & AS) Dalam 3 Tahun Berturut-Turut (2009 - 2010 - 2011*Jan - Nov), CTA (CRASH TEST ANALYSIS) Akan Membuat Kejutan Workshop The Powerful & The Only One & Only "8 in 1 T.A Trading Systems", Yang Dapat Menciptakan Return (+) Yang Signifikan & Menyelamatkan Portofolio Anda Dari Skenario Terburuk (Finansial Armagedon???).
Saturday, November 26, 2011
The Bloody Weeks is Coming To An End or It's Just A Beginning
Don't Miss These Three Year-End Trading Strategies
Before yesterday's Thanksgiving leftovers even got cold many U.S. consumers ventured out to catch the best Black Friday deals, already worried about how much this holiday shopping season will cost them. But instead of fretting over how much you'll spend this year, now's the time to focus on how much more you can earn.
READ MORE: http://moneymorning.com/2011/11/25/dont-miss-these-three-year-end-trading-strategies/
Euro Meltdown: This One European Country Can Bring Down The Entire EU…
Before yesterday's Thanksgiving leftovers even got cold many U.S. consumers ventured out to catch the best Black Friday deals, already worried about how much this holiday shopping season will cost them. But instead of fretting over how much you'll spend this year, now's the time to focus on how much more you can earn.
READ MORE: http://moneymorning.com/2011/11/25/dont-miss-these-three-year-end-trading-strategies/
Euro Meltdown: This One European Country Can Bring Down The Entire EU…
And The Rest Of The Global Economy With It
It's been a rough few weeks for the Eurozone. Portugal is still in trouble, Spain will be back on the coals after its elections, and if I were a bond trader, I would be shorting Belgium, which has serious deficit and debt problems, runs for months at a time without a government and is in some danger of splitting apart into its French and Flemish bits.
READ MORE: http://moneymorning.com/2011/11/25/euro-meltdown-this-one-european-country-can-bring-down-the-entire-eu-and-the-rest-of-the-global-economy-with-it/
10 Signs That Fossil Fuels Are Changing The Commodities Market
There are a number of different aspects in Commodity markets which are far outpacing expectations, and changing market dynamics because of it. Here are ten of them:
READ MORE: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/11/10-signs-that-fossil-fuels-are-changing.html
Trouble
The global economy is heading for a massive amount of trouble in the months ahead. Right now we are seeing the beginning of a credit crunch that is shaping up to be very reminiscent of what we saw back in 2008.
READ MORE: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/trouble
12 Eerie Quotes From Wall Street Pros About The Coming Global Financial Collapse
Is the world on the verge of another massive global financial collapse? Yes. The western world is drowning in an ocean of debt unlike anything the world has ever seen before, and our financial markets are gigantic casinos that are dependent on huge mountains of risk and leverage remaining very stable.
READ MORE: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/11/12-eerie-quotes-from-wall-street-pros.html
Weekly Bull/Bear Recap: Thanksgiving Edition, 2011
Risk markets are losing their patience. The Eurozone situation is approaching a major climax. This is by far the most important story to follow in the coming days and weeks. U.S. Economic data has been quite encouraging and the economy remains muddling along.
READ MORE: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/weekly-bullbear-recap-thanksgiving-edition-2011
Japan ‘May Be’ Close to a Downgrade: S&P
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-24/s-p-says-may-be-right-it-s-closer-to-japan-downgrade-as-finances-worsen.html
Fitch Ratings cut Portugal’s debt rating to “junk” status. After markets closed, Standard & Poor’s dealt yet another blow to Eurozone debt, cutting Belgium’s rating to AA from AA+. S&P cited growing doubts that Belgium will be able to reduce its debt load as the continent’s economic situation deteriorates. Meanwhile, Moody’s Investors Service lowered Hungary’s debt rating to junk on Thursday, and Greece reportedly was trying to drive a harder bargain with creditors as it negotiates to have a large portion of its debt forgiven.
Why the Collapse of MF Global Should Frighten You
I try to not do apocalyptic posts because I do not want to unduly alarm our readers. But I can’t dodge this one because I believe the subject is genuinely disturbing. I apologize for springing this on you all at Thanksgiving — a time when we should all be enjoying being with family and friends, instead of worrying about our finances and the condition of our country’s economy.
READ MORE: http://fellowshipofminds.wordpress.com/2011/11/23/why-the-collapse-of-mf-global-should-concern-you/
World Economies In 2012
GDP and PPP by Country
GDP trillion PPP GDP per head PPP per head
United States 15.6 15.6 $49340 $49340
China 8.13 12.3 $6120 $9280
Japan 6.41 4.5 $50830 $36000
Germany 3.49 3.2 $43740 $40280
France 2.73 2.3 $42930 $36220
UK 2.51 2.3 $39770 $36310
Brazil 2.50 2.4 $12850 $12500
India 2.37 5.1 $1940 $4170
Italy 2.20 2.0 $36100 $32700
Russia 1.93 2.5 $13650 $17750
Canada 1.79 1.5 $51530 $41860
Spain 1.54 1.5 $33180 $32140
Australia 1.40 1.0 $61040 $42130
South Korea 1.25 1.6 $25010 $31770
Mexico 1.10 2.0 $9570 $17700
Indonesia 0.99 1.2 $3990 $4900
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_past_and_future_GDP_%28nominal%29#2010_to_2016_estimates
Jim Rogers: I Am Short Stocks (US Technology, Emerging Markets And Europe)
Be prepared for the next great transfer of wealth. Buy physical silver and storable food.
Bloomberg has reported that Venezuela will receive the first shipment of gold reserves being repatriated from U.S., Canadian and European banks today.
Presenting The Latest Hedge Fund Hotel:
It's been a rough few weeks for the Eurozone. Portugal is still in trouble, Spain will be back on the coals after its elections, and if I were a bond trader, I would be shorting Belgium, which has serious deficit and debt problems, runs for months at a time without a government and is in some danger of splitting apart into its French and Flemish bits.
READ MORE: http://moneymorning.com/2011/11/25/euro-meltdown-this-one-european-country-can-bring-down-the-entire-eu-and-the-rest-of-the-global-economy-with-it/
10 Signs That Fossil Fuels Are Changing The Commodities Market
There are a number of different aspects in Commodity markets which are far outpacing expectations, and changing market dynamics because of it. Here are ten of them:
READ MORE: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/11/10-signs-that-fossil-fuels-are-changing.html
Trouble
The global economy is heading for a massive amount of trouble in the months ahead. Right now we are seeing the beginning of a credit crunch that is shaping up to be very reminiscent of what we saw back in 2008.
READ MORE: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/trouble
12 Eerie Quotes From Wall Street Pros About The Coming Global Financial Collapse
Is the world on the verge of another massive global financial collapse? Yes. The western world is drowning in an ocean of debt unlike anything the world has ever seen before, and our financial markets are gigantic casinos that are dependent on huge mountains of risk and leverage remaining very stable.
READ MORE: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/11/12-eerie-quotes-from-wall-street-pros.html
Weekly Bull/Bear Recap: Thanksgiving Edition, 2011
Risk markets are losing their patience. The Eurozone situation is approaching a major climax. This is by far the most important story to follow in the coming days and weeks. U.S. Economic data has been quite encouraging and the economy remains muddling along.
READ MORE: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/weekly-bullbear-recap-thanksgiving-edition-2011
Japan ‘May Be’ Close to a Downgrade: S&P
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-24/s-p-says-may-be-right-it-s-closer-to-japan-downgrade-as-finances-worsen.html
Fitch Ratings cut Portugal’s debt rating to “junk” status. After markets closed, Standard & Poor’s dealt yet another blow to Eurozone debt, cutting Belgium’s rating to AA from AA+. S&P cited growing doubts that Belgium will be able to reduce its debt load as the continent’s economic situation deteriorates. Meanwhile, Moody’s Investors Service lowered Hungary’s debt rating to junk on Thursday, and Greece reportedly was trying to drive a harder bargain with creditors as it negotiates to have a large portion of its debt forgiven.
Why the Collapse of MF Global Should Frighten You
I try to not do apocalyptic posts because I do not want to unduly alarm our readers. But I can’t dodge this one because I believe the subject is genuinely disturbing. I apologize for springing this on you all at Thanksgiving — a time when we should all be enjoying being with family and friends, instead of worrying about our finances and the condition of our country’s economy.
READ MORE: http://fellowshipofminds.wordpress.com/2011/11/23/why-the-collapse-of-mf-global-should-concern-you/
World Economies In 2012
GDP and PPP by Country
GDP trillion PPP GDP per head PPP per head
United States 15.6 15.6 $49340 $49340
China 8.13 12.3 $6120 $9280
Japan 6.41 4.5 $50830 $36000
Germany 3.49 3.2 $43740 $40280
France 2.73 2.3 $42930 $36220
UK 2.51 2.3 $39770 $36310
Brazil 2.50 2.4 $12850 $12500
India 2.37 5.1 $1940 $4170
Italy 2.20 2.0 $36100 $32700
Russia 1.93 2.5 $13650 $17750
Canada 1.79 1.5 $51530 $41860
Spain 1.54 1.5 $33180 $32140
Australia 1.40 1.0 $61040 $42130
South Korea 1.25 1.6 $25010 $31770
Mexico 1.10 2.0 $9570 $17700
Indonesia 0.99 1.2 $3990 $4900
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_past_and_future_GDP_%28nominal%29#2010_to_2016_estimates
Jim Rogers: I Am Short Stocks (US Technology, Emerging Markets And Europe)
Be prepared for the next great transfer of wealth. Buy physical silver and storable food.
Bloomberg has reported that Venezuela will receive the first shipment of gold reserves being repatriated from U.S., Canadian and European banks today.
Presenting The Latest Hedge Fund Hotel:
These Are The Most Beloved Stocks By Hedge Funds At September 30
Every quarter, Goldman's David Kostin conveniently compiles a list of the 50 stock that "matter the most" to hedge funds, which is simply a polite way to define the "hedge fund hotel", or the companies which are expected to generate the most alpha.
READ MORE: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/presenting-latest-hedge-fund-hotel-these-are-most-beloved-stocks-hedge-funds-september-30
Every quarter, Goldman's David Kostin conveniently compiles a list of the 50 stock that "matter the most" to hedge funds, which is simply a polite way to define the "hedge fund hotel", or the companies which are expected to generate the most alpha.
READ MORE: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/presenting-latest-hedge-fund-hotel-these-are-most-beloved-stocks-hedge-funds-september-30
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