Friday, December 17, 2010

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (17 - 12): Don't Worry Be Happy, 3.500 is Going To Hold

IHSG diperkirakan masih berpeluang koreksi lebih lanjut, dimana sentimen negatif masih mendominasi di pasar seperti krisis finansial di Eropa yang belum mereda (spekulasi rating hutang Spanyol akan diturunkan Moodys), isu penangkapan hedge fund AS oleh FBI berhubungan dengan isu insider trading, isu kredit dan World Bank menurunkan prediksi RI tahun 2011 menjadi 6.2% dari 6.3%, investor asing mencetak net sell Rp 1 triliun untuk hari kedua,  meskipun isu positif seperti rating perbankan nasional diupgrade Moodys dan technical IHSG berada di area paling oversold sejak Agustus 2010 (selama bertahan diatas 3.500-3.529, potensi kenaikan ke target akhir tahun 3.850 masih terbuka), lebih baik dari perkiraan data ekonomi AS (Phily Fed & Jobless Claims), rencana pembagian dividen BBRI & RUPS TLKM  hari ini. IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.530-3.610.   

Buy on weakness: KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM/
Speculative buy: BBRI/BBTN/BBNI/BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI
Buy on weakness: ASII/UNTR, ICBP/INDF
Speculative Buy: Telekomunikasi: ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR
Sell on rally: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Buy on weakness : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Buy on weakness: LSIP/SGRO/BWPT/AALI
Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Speculative Buy:  BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Buy on weaknes; ASRI/DGIK/META/MLPL/MPPA/ELSA/BNLI/BNGA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/UNVR/CPIN/JPFA/MAPI/MYOR/GJTL
Trading Buy : BSIM/MRYX/BHIT/TLKM

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (16/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB  & Movers & Shakers (17/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision) 

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 17-12 (BOW: BBRI/PGAS/JPRS/KLBF) 

Technical Chart Saham CTA: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650) = Done

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah): Hold Buy (33 Saham): AALI/ADRO/BUMI/ENRG/UNSP/BLTA/MASA/PBRX/BRNA/BNII/TRUB/KRAS/BNBR/HEXA/JSMR/BRAU/DOID/CNKO/ITMG/SIPD/SMCB/CMNP/DGIK/ELSA/CPIN/BNGA/MLPL/TRUB/DILD/PNBN/SMMA/SOBI/TPIA. Rec Loss (7 saham): ASII/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP.

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07). 

From Chat Roll:  

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100 
08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)
(22/10):
3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html

Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700. (Reach Target Profit)
Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AM
Andri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880 (Stop loss done).
Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AM
Andri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania 
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com 

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