Saturday, April 16, 2011

Kalender Ekonomi & Event Global (18 - 22 April 2011): Mr. Technical Bull Should Win In Q1 Earning Season

US Earnings Preview 4/15/11
The firms that are reporting read like a who’s who of the U.S. economy. The firms reporting this week include Apple (AAPL: 327.46 -4.96 -1.49%), American Express (AXP: 46.25 +0.37 +0.81%), Abbot Labs (ABT: 51.90 +0.90 +1.76%), DuPont (DD: 54.89 +0.78 +1.44%), Ford (F: 14.71 -0.10 -0.68%), General Electric (GE: 20.04 +0.04 +0.20%), IBM (IBM: 166.21 +1.24 +0.75%), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ: 60.56 +0.54 +0.90%), McDonald’s (MCD: 77.38 +0.31 +0.40%) and Verizon (VZ: 37.85 +0.14 +0.37%). That is a pretty good cross-section of the economy. 
http://www.dailymarkets.com/stock/2011/04/16/earnings-preview-a-trickle-becomes-a-flood-2/

WIB: +11 Jam
http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Week Ahead: Earnings Stumbles Could Awaken Bears
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42621315

Wall Street Pekan Depan Bakal Fluktuatif
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1424802/wall-street-pekan-depan-bakal-fluktuatif

U.S. stocks ready for barrage of earnings
Initial bout of first-quarter results mixed
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-ready-for-barrage-of-earnings-2011-04-16

Earnings Roundup: April 18
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42595149

At the NYSE, Larry Kofsky previews the coming week
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/at-the-nyse-larry-kofsky-previews-the-coming-week-2011-04-15

Global bull market may soon face biggest test
Commentary: A larger correction may be coming
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-markets-face-a-big-test-2011-04-15?link=MW_home_latest_news

How to forecast a stock-market top
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-to-forecast-a-stock-market-top-2011-04-15

Dull Market Could Get Rocked if Oil Keeps Rising
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42609989

Markets Look 'Worrisome'—Disruptions Ahead: Stock Picker
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42609816

First Quarter Likely Stronger Than Expected: Goldman
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42611171

Halftime: Oil May Not Plateau Until $150
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42609619

http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000016920

Gold investing: what to do and how to do it
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-investing-what-to-do-and-how-to-do-it-2011-04-15

U.K. Pound May Fall to Key Fibonacci Level at $1.6465: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-14/u-k-pound-may-fall-to-key-fibonacci-level-at-1-6465-technical-analysis.html

S&P 500 Below 50-Day Average May Signal Drop: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-13/s-p-500-below-50-day-average-may-signal-drop-technical-analysis.html

S&P 500 Falls for Second Week as Company Quarterly Reports Miss Estimates
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-16/s-p-500-falls-a-second-week-as-quarterly-reports-miss-estimates.html

Asian Stocks Fall on IMF Forecasts for Growth, Rising Inflation in China
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-15/asian-stocks-fall-on-imf-forecasts-for-growth-rising-inflation-in-china.html

Overheating Threatens Asia as China, India Rate Rises Fail to Tame Prices
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-15/overheating-threatens-asia-as-china-india-rate-rises-fail-to-tame-prices.html

Gold May Gain on Inflation Concern, Weaker Dollar, Survey Shows
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-14/gold-may-gain-on-inflation-concern-weaker-dollar-survey-shows.html

Oil May Rise on Mideast Unrest, Saudi Arabian Output Cuts, Survey Shows
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-15/oil-may-rise-on-mideast-unrest-saudi-output-cuts-survey-shows.html

EWI: The Stock Market and the Fed's Quantitative Easing

What 400 Analysts and Economists Say About 18 Market Indexes
Optimistic Market Psychology Persists for 2011
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/15/What-400-Analysts-and-Economists-Say-About-18-Market-Indexes.aspx

The Stock Market and the Fed's Quantitative Easing
EWI president Robert Prechter explains why QE1 failed to stabilize the market
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/13/The-Stock-Market-and-the-Fed-s-Quantitative-Easing.aspx

U.S. Retail Sales Hurt By High Gas Prices? Think Again
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/14/U.S.-Retail-Sales-Hurt-By-High-Gas-Prices-Think-Again.aspx

Is Now The Time To Board The Commodity Bandwagon?
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/15/Is-Now-The-Time-To-Board-The-Commodity-Bandwagon.aspx

Sugar Prices Sour to Six-Month Lows
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/14/Sugar-Prices-Sour-to-Six-Month-Lows.aspx

EURUSD: Stuck in a Sideways Move, But Not for Long
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/14/EURUSD-Stuck-in-a-Sideway-Move,-But-Not-for-Long.aspx

Oil Price Up? "Bad for Stocks." Oil Price Down? "Bad for Stocks." Some "Market Indicator"!
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/13/Oil-Price-Up--Bad-for-Stocks.--Oil-Price-Down--Bad-for-Stocks.--Some--Market-Indicator-!.aspx

(Audio) Socionomics Researcher Matt Lampert: "The Ability to Forecast Social Change is Priceless"
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/11/Matt-Lampert-Socionomics-Researcher.aspx

Eur-WOE-zone: Grasping At all the Wrong 'Straws' of Insight
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/11/Eur-WOE-zone-Grasping-At-all-the-Wrong--Straws--of-Insight.aspx

Gold: One Giant $20-plus Leap For Precious Metal Kind
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2011/04/05/Gold-One-Giant-$20-plus-Leap-For-Precious-Metal-Kind.aspx

Friday, April 15, 2011

The Seven Steadfast Laws of Investing

In this missive I present a set of principles that have always guided sensible investment that, together, form what I call The Seven Immutable Laws of Investing. [Incidentally, immutable means "not subject or susceptible to change or variation in form or quality or nature."]  I hope they help you to avoid some of the worst mistakes, which, when made, tend to lead investors down the path of the permanent impairment of capital. Right now, I believe the laws argue for caution. [Let me explain.] Words: 3023

Read More: http://www.munknee.com/2011/04/the-seven-steadfast-laws-of-investing/

Oil Prices Look to Top $150 by Midsummer On Resilient Demand and MENA Turmoil

Money Morning predicted in its 2011 Outlook series that oil prices would see $100 a barrel by summer. And that's proven to be true - but not entirely for the reasons we discussed.

In addition to the increased demand we talked about in January, violence in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) has driven oil prices into the stratosphere. The price of light, sweet crude climbed above $112 a barrel last week, up more than 22% from where it started the year.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/04/14/oil-prices-look-to-top-150-by-midsummer-on-resilient-demand-and-mena-turmoil/

Basic Knowledge To Trading Like A Pro: BBTN/BJBR/DOID/PGAS/PYFA

Potential Return +/- 10 - 20% In 2 Weeks
Courtesy of Esmart BNI Securities
BBTN: Single Yellow/Red Circle = Spec Buy/Sell; Couple/Third Circles = Buy/Sell
BJBR
DOID
PGAS
PYFA

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 15-04

Detik Finance Jakarta - PT Intraco Penta Tbk (INTA) bagikan dividen Rp 56 per lembar atau  30% dari laba bersih perseroan pada tahun buku 2010 sebesar Rp 83,08 miliar. Demikian disampaikan Hasil Rapat Umum Pemegang Saham Tahunan (RUPST) perseroan, di Jakarta, Jumat (15/4/2011). Dividen yang dibagikan mencapai Rp 24,2 miliar

TPI 'Jatuh' ke Tangan Tutut, Saham MNC Rontok 
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2011/04/15/105218/1618062/6/tpi-jatuh-ke-tangan-tutut-saham-mnc-rontok 


Bagi Dividen Besar, BJBR Akan Naik ke Rp 1600
 http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1419022/bagi-dividen-besar-bjbr-akan-naik-ke-rp-1600

Diincar Investor, Cermati Saham WINS
 
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1420602/diincar-investor-cermati-saham-wins

Credit Suisse mendominasi aksi beli saham bluechips di sesi I
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1302845059/64972/Wah-Credit-Suisse-mendominasi-aksi-beli-saham-bluechips-di-sesi-I

Analis: Pekan depan emas berpeluang sentuh US$ 1.500 per ons troy
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1302843364/64969/Analis-Pekan-depan-emas-berpeluang-sentuh-US-1.500-per-ons-troy

Kuartal I 2011, penjualan alat berat INTA lampaui total penjualan tahun lalu
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1302851098/64979/Kuartal-I-2011-penjualan-alat-berat-INTA-lampaui-total-penjualan-tahun-lalu

Goldman Sachs: Harga emas dan minyak bakal jatuh pada 3-6 bulan mendatang
http://investasi.kontan.co.id/v2/read/1302850718/64977/Goldman-Sachs-Harga-emas-dan-minyak-bakal-jatuh-pada-3-6-bulan-mendatang

Laba Bersih BMTR Naik Jadi Rp579 Miliar
http://pasarmodal.inilah.com/read/detail/1421752/laba-bersih-bmtr-naik-jadi-rp579-miliar

Penjualan semen Indonesia pada Maret melonjak, saham INTP ikut terkerek. 

PT Intraco Penta (INTA) dikabarkan akan melakukan pemecahan nilai nominal saham (stock split) dengan rasio 1 : 5. Rencana tersebut diagendakan dalam RUPS yang digelar pada hari ini. Selain itu, INTA juga berencana untuk menerbitkan obligasi sebesar Rp500 miliar yang akan diterbitkan pada semester II/2011. Hasil dari penerbitan obligasi nantinya untuk membiayai diversifikasi usahanya dari perusahaan alat alat berat ke pertambangan batubara. Deutsche Bank AG : ADRO - Earnings revision on higher coal & oil price

Adaro Energy {Ticker: ADRO.JK, Closing Price: 2,275 IDR, Target Price: 4,000 IDR, Recommendation: Buy}

Revising 2011 and 2012 earnings forecasts on higher coal & oil prices
We have increased our earnings forecasts for 2011 and 2012 by 6% and 5%, respectively. This factors in adjustments to FY10 results, as well as higher DB coal price (up 13% and 4% to USD130/t and USD140/t for JFY11 and JFY12) and higher oil price (up c. 16% to USD117/bbl for both years) assumptions. We have also adjusted our currency assumption to Rp8990 from Rp9200 previously. So far, Adaro has priced around 40% of its 2011 volumes, implying a spot exposure of 60% (including 40% on index). (See table.)
Maintain Buy rating, with TP of Rp4,000.

Trades of the Day... Fundamentally: CIMB mempertahankan rating OVERWEIGHT untuk sektor infrastruktur dengan top picks pada Jasa Marga dengan target harga Rp4350 dan sektor semen, khususnya INTP, dengan target harga Rp19300, karena alasan fundamental. Katalis jangka pendek adalah keluarnya aturan pembebasan lahan dan konsesi jalan tol, yang juga akan menguntungkan sektor properti dan konstruksi. Dalam IIICE terakhir, pemerintah ingin mempercepat projek infra karena tahun lalu yang mengecewakan. Namun, kami tetap positif dengan semangat pemerintah. CIMB mempertahankan rating OUTPERFROM untuk Bank Bukopin (BBKP) dengan target harga Rp940 dari metode GGM (ROE: 17.4%, CoE: 15.2%, growth: 11%). BBKP telah menandatangani kontrak dengan APERSI (bekerja sama dengan Jamsostek) asosiasi penyedia rumah bersubsidi, menandai dimulainya skema subsidi FLPP. Dengan support pemerintah Rp1.7tr untuk BBKP pada 2011, emiten akan mencatat kredit KPR/KPA baru senilai Rp2.8tr (+9.3% yoy).

(BBKP IJ / BBKP.JK, OUTPERFORM - Maintained, Rp730 - Tgt. Rp940, Banks)  CIMB 

[Dow Jones] Indonesian shares are likely to open slightly higher, helped by gains in some Asian markets so far and a stronger rupiah, traders say. They expect the main index to top 3730 after it ended down 0.7% Thursday  at 3707.979. "I expect a rebound in select commodity-related stocks on higher oil prices to drive the main index higher despite further profit-taking in  consumer shares," says a trader with a local securities firm. Coal producer Bumi (BUMI.JK) and CPO producer Astra Agro (AALI.JK) may rebound on higher commodity prices. Meanwhile, car maker Astra (ASII.JK) may fall on further  profit-taking.

CMNP MAY BE ADDED TO LQ45 LIST OF STOCKS BY EARLY MAY.

ADRO 1Q NET PROFIT MAY RISE BY 39% TO IDR1.2 TRILLION FROM IDR 861 BILLION IN THE SAME PERIOD A YEAR EARLIER.

@Wave M.A: 7 Mr. Bull To Counter Some Negative Effects Before Full Moon

IHSG Gann Time & Price: Confirmation to tell IHSG to Rebound on 15/04
IHSG: Supported by 3.700
DJIA
CRUDE OIL
GOLD
N225
HSI


GBPUSD

Thursday, April 14, 2011

New Play of The Month: Solar Cycles vs Moon Cycles

Solar Cycle:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle
Moon Cycle: Ahead of Full Moon on 17th May (The 3rd times Full Moon) = A Bullish Signal Next Week

Lousy Track Record for Robert Prechter and Elliott Wave International

Financial analyst Robert Prechter is in the headlines, this time for another look at his 2003 predictions of financial apocalypse. You’d think I’d see eye-to-eye with the guy. He’s pessimistic on the economy and so am I.

The difference is that he’s a permabear who always thinks the world’s about to end. He’s been pessimistic since 2003, and most of the horrible thing’s he’s been predicting have yet to pass. So sure, he may not have gotten killed in the end of 2008 meltdown, but he didn’t have a run up, either.

Read More: http://www.lesjones.com/2010/06/02/lousy-track-record-for-robert-prechter-and-elliott-wave-international/

A Financial Crisis in 2012 is Inevitable! Here’s Why

2012 is shaping up to be the blockbuster main event of the ongoing financial crisis. Massive amounts of new debt, vast quantities of additional digital dollars and the spark of higher interest rates will set off version 2.0 of the credit-driven financial implosion. Let me explain. Words: 1954

Read More: http://www.munknee.com/2011/04/a-financial-crisis-in-2012-is-inevitable-here%E2%80%99s-why/

@Combo HITS Saham (Bahan Untuk Workshop Technical Analysis Intermediate & Advanced): Trading Like A Pro

IHSG Wave M.A 5 Minutes: Consolidate in Uptrend Momentum
IHSG Gann + EW + Fibo + Indicators: Mr. Bull still in charge, on the way to break 3.789 record next week
IHSG Aggresive Bollinger Band 240 Minutes: Lower Volatility in Uptrend

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Update Daily Investment News 13-04

Credit Suisse on COAL
Companies Mentioned (Price as of 11 Apr 11)
(ADRO.JK, Rp2275.00, UNDERPERFORM,
TP Rp2050.00)
(ITMG.JK, Rp48100.00, OUTPERFORM,
TP Rp57000.00)
(PTBA.JK, Rp22050.00, OUTPERFORM,
TP Rp27200.00)
(BORN.JK, Rp1640.00, OUTPERFORM,
TP Rp2000.00)
(HRUM.JK, Rp9100.00, NEUTRAL,
TP Rp9600.00)
(INDY.JK, Rp3975.00, OUTPERFORM,
TP Rp5400.00)

15 April 2011::  Rups INTA, TRIO, UNTR Roadshow Di United Kingdom(CLSA/KZ)     

Buy Crude, Could Hit $160: Bank of America
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42566061

Pro Traders: Bears About to Push S&P Sharply Lower?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42551162

Kleintop: S&P Could Erase 2011 Gains, Retest 1,250
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/kleintop-p-could-erase-2011-gains-retest-1250-20110412-130113-239.html;_ylt=Atg_EGwHxCT90qx8QkiBsBO7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTE2b3BwaWN0BHBvcwMxMgRzZWMDdG9wU3RvcmllcwRzbGsDc2FtcHBjb3VsZGVy?sec=topStories&pos=9&asset=&ccode=

History bodes ill for stock market
Commentary: Market’s valuation currently well above average
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/history-bodes-ill-for-stock-market-2011-04-12

Where have all the bears gone?
Commentary: The bulls recently have come out of the woodwork
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/where-have-all-the-bears-gone-2011-04-13

Goldman Call to Sell Oil Sets Up Buying Opportunity: Traders
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42554378

Correction in Commodities Likely Shortlived: Experts
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42547952

Five Things to Watch: JPMorgan, AIG & More
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42561019

Strong Demand for Dark Pools in Asia Boosts Liquidnet Volumes
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42547199

The Debt Bomb Is Coming Due
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42554620

U.S. Treasury Yields May Reach Two-Month High of 3.75%: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-13/u-s-treasury-yields-may-reach-two-month-high-of-3-75-technical-analysis.html

Exxon, Chevron May Be S&P 500’s ‘Soft Patch’: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-12/exxon-chevron-may-be-s-p-500-s-soft-patch-technical-analysis.html

Gold May Advance to $1,560 an Ounce, Commerzbank Says: Technical Analysis
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-12/gold-may-advance-to-1-560-an-ounce-commerzbank-says-technical-analysis.html

Crude Oil Plunges as Higher Prices Are Forecast to Curb Growth
Brent oil may drop more than $15 to $105 a barrel, Goldman said in a note to clients today.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-12/crude-oil-declines-the-most-in-almost-five-months-on-japan-crisis-economy.html

Hot Option Plays: Catalysts Bulls May Look For
http://www.dailymarkets.com/options/2011/04/12/hot-option-plays-catalysts-bulls-may-look-for/

Daily Forex Technicals |   Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD

Today's support: - 1.4394 and 1.4355(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4297, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4276. Break of the latter would result in 1.4258. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4225. Continuation will give 1.4197. Today's resistance: - 1.4513 and 1.4538(main). Break would give 1.4580, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4603. Break of the latter would result in 1.4627. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.4654. Continuation will give 1.4680.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 83.43, 83.22 and 82.77(main). Break would bring 82.38, where correction is possible. Then 81.96, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 81.67. If a strong impulse, we would see 81.43. Continuation would give 81.20. Today's resistance: - 84.63, 85.06, 85.21 and 85.52(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 85.77, where also a correction may be. Then 85.92. If a strong impulse, we would see 86.19. Continuation will give 86.40.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 12195.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 12180.70, where correction also can be. Then follows 12150.00. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 12135.72. Continuation will bring 12096.32. 
Today's resistance: - 12336.50, 12388.19 and 12425.63(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 12453.72, where a correction may happen. Then follows 12475.14, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 12508.37. Continuation would bring 12532.50

Daily Forex Technicals |   Written by Mizuho Corporate Bank
EURUSD

Comment: Inching up to a new recent high at 1.4520, at the upper edge of the 'channel' since February, with tiny signs of instability. Moving averages are supportive and all elements of this daily Ichimoku 'cloud' chart suggest a long position. Strategy: Attempt longs at 1.4455/1.4400; stop below 1.4240. First target 1.4500/1.4520, then more.
Direction of Trade: →
Chart Levels:
Support     Resistance

1.4455 "     1.45
1.4421             1.4520*
1.4376             1.455
1.4291             1.4580*
1.4205*      1.462

GBPUSD
Comment: Sterling one of this month's worst-performing currencies along with the US dollar and the yen, EUR/GBP at its highest since October. Cable still till swinging either side of 1.6200, holding inside a potential 'broadening top'. We continue to favour a test of important resistance at 1.6500 with moving averages hopefully supporting today. This is a laggard. Strategy: Attempt small longs at 1.6275; stop below 1.6200. First target 1.6400, then 1.6500.
Direction of Trade: →
Chart Levels:
Support     Resistance

1.6245 "     1.6292
1.6227         1.6346
1.6184          1.64
1.617           1.6430*
1.61             1.6500*

USDJPY
Comment: Bouncing from the top of the large 'triangle' as expected, keeping to fairly neat consolidation in contrast to the very sharp moves in March. Allow for more work roughly between 83.50 and 85.50 today. Strategy: Attempt small longs on a dip to 83.80; stop below 83.45. Target 84.50, maybe 85.15.
Direction of Trade: →
Chart Levels:
Support     Resistance

83.95 "     84.43/84.50
83.75             84.79
83.47*      84.88
83             85.16
82.75             85.55**

Combo T.A HITS. Aggresive Intraday Trading (13/04) Like A Pro, Using Indicators + BB

Signal Lingkaran Kuning (Yellow) = Entry Buy; Merah (RED) = Entry Sell; Orange = Signal for MA - BB (Esmart: BNI Securities Online Trading)
BUMI
INDR
MAPI

Introducing A New HITS's Aggresive Trading Indicator (Bolinger Band)

IHSG

Are You Bullish or Bearish on Precious Metals?

Investors have been flocking to precious metals to protect from looming inflation and a weak outlook for the U.S. dollar. The trend has turned investments related to gold, silver and other precious metals into some of the hottest plays of the past year.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/04/12/are-you-bullish-or-bearish-on-precious-metals/

Copper Prices Update: Prosper as Copper Becomes the "New Gold"
The Statue of Liberty is one of the most recognizable American icons in the world.
And as she towers 305 feet above Ellis Island, what's Lady Liberty wearing? Copper - 60,000 pounds of it. Clearly, copper's big in art. It's also a key metal that keeps the world economy humming. Copper consumption has grown at an average annual rate of 4% since 1900. China and India - which some analysts describe as the combined market of "Chindia" - where one of every three human beings resides, needs loads of this element to meet its modernization requirements for electricity and infrastructure.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/04/01/copper-prices-update-prosper-as-copper-becomes-the-new-gold/

Higher oil prices may dent copper, platinum: Goldman Sachs
(MarketWatch) -- Copper and platinum futures will face "near-term headwinds" as higher oil prices could mean lack of demand for the metals, analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note to clients distributed Monday. The commodities are also "exposed to supply chain problems resulting from the earthquakes in Japan," particularly platinum given its large exposure to global automobile production, the analysts added.

Read More: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/higher-oil-prices-may-dent-copper-platinum-gs-2011-04-11

Base Metal valuations overstretched by all standards
AHMEDABAD (Commodity Online): Except Aluminium, other base metals on London Metal Exchange were trading with marginal loss during Asian session. Nickel and Lead were the major losers in metal complex. While, Aluminium prices were trading upside flat.

Read More: http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Base-Metal-valuations-overstretched-by-all-standards-38121-3-1.html

Why Investing in Precious Metals and Energy is STILL the Way to Go
Why I Put Almost All My Eggs Into Precious Metals


“I have put almost all of my eggs in one basket – precious metals, energy and agriculture - with the bulk being in precious metals. These are diversified only in that they span bullion, geography and the range of very large to the very early stage junior exploration companies. A third of my investments are either in individual stocks (or their long-term warrants should they have any) of which many of the companies are  juniors and the other two thirds are in ETFs which invest in a range of larger-cap precious metals stocks.”  Let me tell you why I thought it was a good idea at the time and still think it is. Words: 1100

Read More: http://www.munknee.com/2011/03/why-investing-in-precious-metals-and-energy-is-still-the-way-to-go/

@Wave M.A: Mr Bull Still In The House - Intraday Oversold For A Technical Rebound

IHSG
DJIA
CRUDE OIL
GOLD
CRB COMMODITY INDEX
NIKKEI 225
HANG SENG
KOSPI

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Update Daily Investment News 12-04

Jadwal Corporate Actions di Bursa Efek Indonesia
 Courtesy of Kim Eng Daily Report 12-04 

 Agenda April 2011
13) Rups INCO, UNTR Roadshow Di Hongkong (CLSA/KZ)
14) Rups MERK, EXCL, Cum Dev MFMI 1,5, UNTR Roadshow Di United Kingdom (CLSA/KZ)
15) Rups INTA, TRIO, UNTR Roadshow Di United Kingdom (CLSA/KZ)
18) Rups SMCB

19) Cum Dev BJBR 59,67, Cum Dev ITMG 407, Cum Dev ROTI 24,64

IMF Cuts 2011 U.S. Growth Forecast on Oil, ‘Lackluster’ Pace of Job Gains
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-11/imf-cuts-2011-u-s-growth-forecast-on-oil-lackluster-pace-of-job-gains.html 

Is Goldman, Wall Street's Biggest Commodities Bull, Hanging Up the Horns?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42545164
Goldman Sachs told clients there is a strong chance commodity prices may reverse, recommending they take profits. Goldman Sachs recommended that investors stop buying a specific oil contract that the investment bank had previously recommended. The U.S. appears to have started cutting oil consumption as consumers face higher prices for gasoline and other petroleum-based fuels. Goldman Sachs is a major player in oil markets and it has been one of the most vocal about the potential for oil to rise this year.

Oil-Price Risk Threatens Stronger Global Recovery, IMF Says
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-11/oil-price-risk-threatens-stronger-global-recovery-imf-says-1-.html

Best Currency Forecasters See Weak Dollar as QE2 End Looms

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-11/best-currency-forecasters-say-dollar-weakness-to-persist-as-fed-stimulates.html

Markets to Continue Grinding Higher: Strategists

http://www.cnbc.com/id/42532371

Japan upgrades nuclear crisis to Chernobyl rank
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/japan-upgrades-nuclear-crisis-to-chernobyl-rank-2011-04-11

Will the Euro Contagion Be Contained?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42499009

Pros: Outside Reversal in Oil Sign of Breakdown?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42540160

Earnings Look Strong Now, But Growth May Not Last
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42536741

Cramer's View of the Market Is Now 'Grim'
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42538067

Buy the Dips—Markets Are 'Long and Strong': Strategist
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42534265

Everyone on Wall Street Agrees with Bill Gross: Short Treasuries
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42536993

Expect Double-Digit Earnings Growth This Quarter: Pro
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42532372

Cramer: Market Pullback Is Certainly Possible
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42538365

Insight on how investors are bracing for inflation
http://custom.yahoo.com/talking-numbers/?sec=topStories&pos=9&asset=&ccode=

Daily Forex Technicals |   Written by FXtechtrade
EUR/USD

Today's support: - 1.4394 and 1.4355(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4297, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4276. Break of the latter would result in 1.4258. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4225. Continuation will give 1.4197.Today's resistance: - 1.4513 and 1.4538(main). Break would give 1.4580, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4603. Break of the latter would result in 1.4627. If a strong impulse, we'd see 1.4654. Continuation will give 1.4680.
USD/JPY
Today's support: - 83.90,, 83.68, 83.22 and 82.77(main). Break would bring 82.38, where correction is possible. Then 81.96, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 81.67. If a strong impulse, we would see 81.43. Continuation would give 81.20. Today's resistance: - 85.21 and 85.52(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 85.77, where also a correction may be. Then 85.92. If a strong impulse, we would see 86.19. Continuation will give 86.40.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today's support: - 12330.07, 12318.75, 12279.37 and 12223.13(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 12180.70, where correction also can be. Then follows 12150.00. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 12135.72. Continuation will bring 12096.32. Today's resistance: - 12425.63(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 12453.72, where a correction may happen. Then follows 12475.14, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 12508.37. Continuation would bring 12532.50 

Daily Forex Technicals |   Written by Admiral Markets
The Daily Wave Analysis
Currency pair EUR/USD

Presumably formation of the correctional wave (4) within the limits of development of the impulse [3 v. if the assumption truly after its end growth of the price will proceed as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle (5) of [3] of v proceeds

Currency pair GBP/USD.
Presumably formation of the correctional wave [4] of iii proceeds. Probably, it will be the Double Three or the Flat after which terminations it is possible to expect continuation of growth of pair as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [5] of iii.

Currency pair USD/JPY.
Presumably formation of the correctional wave [4] of iii proceeds. Probably, it will be the Double Three or the Flat after which terminations it is possible to expect continuation of growth of pair as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [5] of iii. Presumably, formation of the correctional wave [iv] of 5 of (1) proceeds. If the assumption is true, after its terminations growth of the price will proceed as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [v] of 5 of (1).

Special Reports: Gold vs. Oil: Underpriced Or Overvalued?

European Interest Rate Hike May Foretell Shift in Fed PolicyBy Jon D. Markman, Contributing Writer, Money Morning
Stocks traded with all the precision of a baseball skipping into the Boston Red Sox outfield over the past week, which is to say it was pretty sloppy. The major equity averages settled near the flat line, but it was a mess getting there after the European Central Bank raised rates for the first time since mid-2008, there was a 7.1 magnitude aftershock in Japan, and Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE: TXN) bought a rival chip maker at incredible premium.

Read More: http://moneymorning.com/2011/04/11/european-interest-rate-hike-may-foretell-shift-in-fed-policy/

Oil Price Inflated, Time to Take Profits From Resource Related Investments
An April 7 Bloomberg News survey indicated that oil prices may rise on speculation that elections in Nigeria will curb output and the Libyan conflict will halt exports.  Nevertheless, the current market snapshot remains in total contradiction to the oil bull’s assertion that both WTI and Brent (front month for the next 30 days) sitting at 2+ years high…and climbing, are driven by these aforementioned ‘market fundamentals.’

Read More: http://seekingalpha.com/article/262835-oil-price-inflated-time-to-take-profits-from-resource-related-investments-in-your-portfolio

Gold vs. Oil: Underpriced Or Overvalued?
No one agrees what the “fundamental” price of gold is. What’s indisputable is that the price went up by 400% over the past ten years; thus the “Gold Bugs” are purring like fat-cats full-up with fresh milk. Their indisputable logic is that the price went up, they got it right, and that proves their logic was correct; it’s hard to argue the other side of that debate.

Read More: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/04/gold-vs-oil-underpriced-or-overvalued.html

The QE2 Trade Is Over: Can We Start Dumping Risk Assets Now?
By Edward Harrison, March 28, 2011

    "The Fed could announce a federal funds target of 3% but the tsunami of excess reserves now out there swamps any conceivable demand, so the Fed funds rate would be guaranteed to remain stuck at zero. The target would be meaningless."

    ~ Ryan Avent as quoted in Why the Federal Reserve wants to drain excess reserves, Dec 2009.
Read More: http://www.econmatters.com/2011/04/qe2-trade-is-over-can-we-start-dumping.html

OPEC Needs Higher Oil Prices
OPEC is about to make history.
According to the International Energy Agency, the oil cartel will make $1 trillion in export revenues this year, a new all-time high. Talk about a gusher!
Read More: http://www.investmentu.com/2011/April/opec-needs-higher-oil-prices.html

Video: 3 Strategies for a Successful Retirement

3 Strategies for a Successful Retirement
This week is National Retirement Planning Week, so I would like to address one of the biggest questions in the minds of pre-retirees today: What does the word "retirement" even mean any more?
Read More: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-Strategies-for-a-Successful-usnews-3009496135.html;_ylt=Ajx0CycRrYgsyYKqH1NBC8O7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTFhajg4ZW1jBHBvcwM4BHNlYwNzcGVjaWFsRmVhdHVyZXMEc2xrAzNzdHJhdGVnaWVzZg--?x=0

Jeff Saut: Watch These S&P 500 Levels
"Chief investment strategist" can mean a lot of different things, many of which boil down to: "No actionable opinions."
Read More: http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/jeff-saut-watch-p-500-levels-20110411-135029-639.html;_ylt=ArZSv_56t.zujVNBqL001psm2YdG;_ylu=X3oDMTBvdDRyaDhmBHBvcwMxBHNlYwNNZWRpYUJsb2dJbmRleA--;_ylg=X3oDMTFjN2RjMHJ2BGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25zBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3

Where to Make Money Now: Cunningham
It's easy to argue about the stock market and whether or not you think it's going higher. What's hard is to make a case that it should, especially if you feel that, at best, only one of three economic engines is poised to offer any growth right now.
Read More: http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/look-companies-win-road-amid-u-headwinds-cunningham-20110411-122941-787.html;_ylt=AlhayNxpvvCTqMQssxS8HQMm2YdG;_ylu=X3oDMTBvcmdvaHZ1BHBvcwM3BHNlYwNNZWRpYUJsb2dJbmRleA--;_ylg=X3oDMTFjN2RjMHJ2BGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25zBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3

Season’s Greetings: Here Comes Alcoa and the Rest of Earnings
If things go as the optimists plan, Alcoa (AA) will kick off a parade of earnings reports this afternoon that, by Memorial Day, will show S&P 500 earnings grew 15% or more in the first three months of the year.
Read More: http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/season-greetings-ready-alcoa-rest-earnings-20110411-045849-007.html;_ylt=AoW5.M3Z.JsCudNHL6v68FIm2YdG;_ylu=X3oDMTBwcmo4MGdvBHBvcwMyNwRzZWMDTWVkaWFCbG9nSW5kZXg-;_ylg=X3oDMTFjN2RjMHJ2BGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25zBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3

Monday, April 11, 2011

@Wave M.A: Aggresive Trades Using 1 Minutes Charts in Impulse 3

IHSG 1 Minutes
DJIA 1 Minutes
CRUDE OIL 1 Minutes
GOLD 5 Minutes
NIKKEI 225 1 Minutes
HANG SENG 1 MINUTES

Special Reports: Armageddon or Apocalypse 2012?

When It Comes To I Ching and Numerology, Apocalypse 2012 Is All About The Numbers
Numerologist and medium Yvonne Chan Siu-chu says 2012 will be a year of massive change. And literally every day someone asks her about it.

End of the World in 2012? Here's How to Make a Profit

What's Financial Armageddon? CNBC Editors Weigh In

Tips for the Apocalypse

FAQ: Apocalypse 2012 Explained

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Kalender Ekonomi & Event Global (11 - 15 April 2011): Q1 US Earning Season Begin + BI Rate = Mr. Bull Stays

WIB: +11 Jam
http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php (BI rate 12 April: Predict Unchanged 6.75%)

Retail Sales in U.S. Probably Rose on Job Gains
Investor Concern: Stocks May Have Priced in Earnings

Market to focus on earnings in coming week

Shutdown averted, retail and inflation in focus

China GDP, Bank of Korea in Asia spotlight

U.S. stocks drop on oil’s rise, budget battle

Investors Start to Worry About End of Cheap Money

The week ahead

2011 Is Not Like 2008 but 2007

Could 2011 Be Worse Than 2008? Don't Rule It Out

Yen Carry Trade is Back On: Strategist

Stock Bears Disappear as S&P 500 Nears High: Technical Analysis

Euro May Weaken More Than 4% Versus Yen on Trend Break: Technical Analysis

Dollar Stalls Before 85.75 Yen on Ichimoku Cloud Chart: Technical Analysis

Trading Dwindles as U.S. Stocks Revive Rally: Chart of the Day

U.S. Commodities Day Ahead: Lead Advances to Three-Year High

Toxic Dollar: Why Nobody Seems to Want US Currency

Gold May Gain Next Week on Inflation, European Debt Concerns, Survey Shows

EWI: Earthquake, Tsunami, Oil-shock, Middle East Wars, Debt Melt-Down

Earthquake, Tsunami, Oil-shock, Middle East Wars, Debt Melt-Downs
Will the Market Reward That Much "Unbending Loyalty"?

Oil Above $108 Is NOT What's Holding Back the Stock Market
Oil and stocks are inversely correlated? Don't fall for that argument
Bullish Sentiment: Turning into a Stampede?

Crude Oil: $112 a Barrel and Counting
Elliott wave patterns anticipated oil rally BEFORE Middle East unrest

North Carolina May Say Yes to Pot: Here's the Socionomic Angle]

U.S. Dollar: What Happens if Congress Doesn't Raise the U.S. Debt Ceiling?

Economic Recovery? Discover the FACTS

Believe the Promise to Keep A Broken Promise?

Is the Commodity Bull Taking A Breather, OR Is it Out Of Breath?\

Gold: One Giant $20-plus Leap For Precious Metal Kind
Saying that gold is rallying on Middle Eastern tensions is not enough

Home Prices: A Time for "Bargain Hunting?"

Sentiment Extremes: Tomorrow and Yesterday, but Never Today

“Core" European Stocks vs. “Peripheral" Ones: Will the Divergence Continue?

Nature's Fury: Why It Impacts Stocks Far Less Than You May Think

Kalender Ekonomi & Event


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