Thursday, August 4, 2011

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 04-08 (Refresh)

Asing Net Sell, Picu IHSG Ditutup Turun 0,3%. Net foreign sell Rp507,5 miliar




Saham PGAS Menjadi Saham Teraktif Kamis (4/8)

Wow! BTEL Telah Realisasikan Capex 60%

Leyand International Beli 40% Saham Dharma Bumi

Ekonomi RI Diprediksi Tumbuh 6,5% Triwulan II-2011

JPMorgan: Harga komoditas akan reli, beli emas

Prediksi pertumbuhan pesat di semester II, saham TLKM melompat hingga 4%

RX covers Property ASRI 400 BSDE 1200 CTRA 550 ELTY 159 SMRA 1450

REMINDER::: ): Gudang Garam [ PDF ] Sending positive smoke signals - by Erwan Teguh (GGRM IJ / GGRM.JK, OUTPERFORM - Maintained, Rp50,900 - Tgt. Rp56,500, Tobacco) Gudang Garam's 1H11 core profit came in broadly in line at Rp2.3tr (+28% yoy), forming 47% of our full year forecast and 46% of consensus

MAPI: Initiate Coverage MAPI by Macquarie Securities (RX) Target Price Rp6,300 based on Forward 2012PE. Mapi dinilai masih sangat murah dan memiliki forecast EPS growth yang sangat jauh kedepan. MAPI merupakan raja sektor riil yang memiliki lebih dari 46 cabang tenant besar seperti Starbucks, burger king, dan sebagainya.


Bloomberg: Indonesia Cuts August Coal Reference Price to $117.21 a Ton

Laba SIPD naik 41.57% semester 1 dr 15.16m menjadi 21.46 m

Star Petrochem Suntik Modal Anak Usaha

Direktur Jual Saham BCA

Cuaca mendukung prospek panen kedelai, harga CPO tumbang

REMINDER::: PGAS UPDATE - BPMigas Looks toRaiseThe Gas price Paid by Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS IJ)? BPMigas Looks to Triple The Gas price Paid by Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS IJ). After negotiating a higher natural gas price with Malaysia’s Petronas Carigali, upstream oil and gas regulator BPMigas now wants to triple the rate paid by Indonesia’s state gas distributor. BPMigas has been working to renegotiate prices with customers to boost revenues as prices for natural gas rises, and state-controlled PGAS is one of them. PGAS buys natural gas at an average price of $1.8 per million British thermal units (mmbtu), but BPMigas’s chairman wants to triple the rate to $5.5 per mmbtu.

Last month BPMigas and Petronas Carigali, agreed to a new rate at close to $6 per mmbtu, more than double the previous $2.8 mmbtu.  

Comment: Too early to draw a conclusion but if it materialise it will be very negative for PGAS.  PGAS now making a really big margin and suppose to be very secure with LT contracts. They are selling gas at close to $7 and secured bulk of their gas long time ago at much lower price (2 major supppler: Pertamina from US$2/mmbtu to US2.54mmbtu to 2017 and Conoco Philip’s south Sumatran gas field for 17 years at US$1.85/mmbtu). Would not be surprised if they would be under pressure to revise their gas purchase contracts as 1) price of gas surged over the years 2) there is massive gas supply/demand imbalance for domestic market 3) govt want to stimulate investments in gas exploration.  The positive side is that they could probably pass through at least some of the higher cost.  PLN and industries still extemely gas hungry.  - we are working on a earnings sensitivity. (CLSA-KZ)

1st session on JCI 04.08.11
@ 4,119.891 (-16.616pts) (-0.402%)
H: 4,157.252 ; L: 4,114.400
Value: 3.31 T (NG 335 B )
Volume: 2.74 B (NG 244 M )
Foreign Nett Sell: 226 B

5 most active stocks by value:
PGAS @ 3,600 (-5.88%)
TLKM @ 7,750 (+2.65%)
BUMI @ 3,150 (-1.56%)
ASII @ 70,200 (-0.64%)
BBRI @ 7,050 (-2.08%)

5 most active stocks by volume:
BNBR @ 70 (-1.41%)
ENRG @ 240 (-5.88%)
ELTY @ 165 (-2.37%)
SIPD @ 81 (-2.41%)
PGAS @ 3,600 (-5.88%)

5 most up:
KPIG @ 700 (+25.00%)
PJAA @ 1,250 (+22.55%)
CNTX @ 7,900 (+19.70%)
ETWA @ 495 (+12.50%)
INAI @ 750 (+7.14%)

5 most down:
PUDP @ 590 (-14.49%)
ADMG @ 760 (-9.52%)
JKON @ 800 (-8.05%)
LAMI @ 245 (-7.55%)
BKSL @ 210 (-6.67%)

5 Leading Movers:
TLKM @ 7,750 (+4.71%)
UNVR @ 16,600 (+4.46%)
GGRM @ 52,750 (+1.69%)
INDF @ 6,550 (+1.03%)
ICBP @ 5,900 (+1.02%)

5 Lagging Movers:
PGAS @ 3,600 (-6.37%)
BBRI @ 7,050 (-4.28%)
UNTR @ 25,300 (-3.48%)
ASII @ 70,200 (-2.13%)
BBCA @ 8,650 (-1.43%)
Rgds, Nadya Isnaeni Data administrator Research Dept BNI Securities

Saham Perbankan Menarik Hari Ini

Star Petrochem Suntik Modal Anak Usaha

Aksi Jual Asing, IHSG Sesi I Ditutup Negatif. net foreign sell Rp226,48 miliar 

Sesi I
Investor Asing Ambil Untung, IHSG Berkurang 16 Poin 

Bursa keok akibat aksi jual asing atas PGAS, BBRI, dan UNTR 

Indonesia Stock Movers: Garuda Indonesia, Intraco Penta, Timah 

Menu Siang : Saham Sektor Bank-Konsumsi-CPO 

Konsorsium Bank Mandiri Genjot Dana Proyek Smelter Antam 

AKRA teken perpanjangan Corporate Guarantee dengan Bank Mandiri 

Direksi Danamon roadshow tawarkan saham terbatas 

Indocement harapkan pabrik baru dibangun 2012 

Laporkan Keuangan, Suspensi Saham TRUB Dicabut

Garuda Teken Pembelian 25 Pesawat A320 Family

Naikkan Target Penjualan, 'Hold' UNTR

Tambang Batu Hijau Tutup Sementara, 'Buy' BRMS

Reksadana Sinarmas kuasai 9,02% ELTY

Laba bersih di semester I tergerus, saham MLIA dilanda aksi jual

Target rampungkan akuisisi tambang di tahun ini, saham INTA mencetak rekor

Digosipkan akan akuisisi tambang, saham ARTI terbang hingga 7,6%

Utang AS Capai US$ 14,5 Triliun, Tembus 100% PDB

 PT Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering Tbk (TRUB) returned to post net profit of Rp1.77 billion in the first half of this year on the back of net other incomes. Truba Alam reported Rp14.40 billion net loss in the first half of last year. Net other incomes surged to Rp17.53 billion from Rp5.04 billion. However, Truba was still in operating loss of Rp469.08 million, narrowed from Rp4.74 billion operating loss as higher cost of goods revenue of 2.84%. Truba's revenue increased 2.84% to Rp601.98 billion from Rp585.35 billion.

Poultry feed: Bisnis Indonesia quoted corporate secretary of Malindo Feedmill (MAIN.IJ) saying the company will allocate Rp280b for capital expenditure this year. The capital expenditure breakdown is 43% for construction new poultry feed factory with capacity of 300,000 p.a in central Java, 29% for expansion DOC capacity, and 29% for development of a new subsidiary, Malindo Food Delight (kim eng)

Banks    [  PDF  ]
2Q11 results: Not for another rally - by Mulya Chandra CFA
Good results, but no surprise. Although Indonesian banks' 2Q11 results were good, we do not believe they justify another stock rally. Core operational performances were largely in line, with loans growing at 23% yoy and NIMs remaining stable. Although some banks delivered earnings which appeared to be above view, these better results were helped by unusually low cost-income ratios, low tax rates, or reductions in provisioning coverage, which we believe are unsustainable. The normalisation of the cost-income ratio and tax rate could result in a downside surprise for BRI, the top performing big bank YTD, which is also our top Sell. (selengkapnya lwt email)

Telekomunikasi Indonesia     [  PDF  ]
Upbeat about 2H - by Kelvin Goh CFA
(TLKM IJ / TLKM.JK, NEUTRAL - Maintained, Rp7,550 - Tgt. Rp7,800, Telecommunications - Integrated)
We maintain our recently-upgraded NEUTRAL recommendation, forecast and Rp7,800 target price for Telkom following its conference call. The telco reaffirmed its FY11 guidance, which implies that it expects a more robust growth in 2H. This is in line with our expectations, as we expect 3Q to be bolstered by the Ramadan festivities. However, the company also said it expects SMS revenues to be cannibalised by instant messaging down the road, echoing XL Axiata. The only uncertainty, in our view, is how quickly this substitution will take place. Telkom did not reveal anything more about its plan to buy SingTel's stake in Telkomsel except that its dividend payout may be affected by the acquisition. The stock lacks re-rating catalysts but downside risks are limited by its decent dividend yield of 5-6%. (selengkapnya lwt email

HOT RUMOUR : Group Djarum, Michael Hartono berencana akan kuasai 28% MLPL dengan harga Rp310 per saham.. Pihak grup Jarum saat ini tengah bernegosiasi dengan pemilik  MLPL yaitu Lippo Grup.  Pada kuartal I 2011 laba MLPL melonjak Fantastis  naik sebesar 2457% dibandingkan tahun sebelumnya.. (DISCLAIMER ON).

BHIT akan bagi deviden 2 rupia

PT Intracto Penta Tbk (INTA) sedang melakukan due diligence atas tambang batubara dimana proses tersebut akan selesai pada kuartal ke IV. INTA telah menyampaikan sebelumnya, untuk memasuki bisnis batubara, INTA memerlukan US$500 juta dimana INTA telah mendapatkan US$220 juta dari penerbitan obligasi MTN.

Indonesia’s GDP Likely Grew Despite Moderation (GDP Q2 Release on 05/08)

Bloomberg: Intraco Penta Rises to Record After Report on Mine Acquisition


Bloomberg: Palm Oil Falls as Much as 0.7% to 3,115 Ringgit a Metric Ton


Bloomberg: United Tractors Targets to Double Coal Reserves, Bisnis Reports

Bloomberg: Indonesia’s GDP Probably Grew 6.5% to ‘Buck’ Moderation in Asia

Inilah Saham Pilihan Kamis (4/8)

Rekomendasi Saham
IHSG Siap Kembali Melaju

Rekomendasi: Saham apa yang menarik hari ini?

IHSG Hari Ini Akan Bergerak Rebound

Inilah Saham-saham 'Jagoan' Hari Ini

Jepang intervensi yen, bursa Asia menari lincah

Saham Favorit: BUMI, TLKM, SIMP dan BNBR

Laba Bersih Panorama Jadi Rp8,6 Miliar

Penjualan Turun, Laba GYDR Naik Jadi US$109,5 Jt

INILAH.COM, Jakarta - PT Kresna Graha Sekurindo Tbk (KREN) disebut-sebut pelaku pasar segera menerbitkan obligasi Rp200 miliar dalam waktu dekat. Dananya akan digunakan untuk membiayai belanja modal dan ekspansi usaha. Selain itu, KREN juga dikabarkan segera melakukan stock split dengan rasio 1:4, sehingga sahamnya bakal dibawa bandar ke level Rp1.000. Pada perdagangan kemarin, saham KREN ditutup turun Rp10 ke level Rp520.

INILAH.COM, Jakarta – Saham PT Ratu Prabu Energi Tbk (ARTI) diperkirakan akan menembus level Rp800 per lembarnya. Sejumlah fund manager asing dan lokal dikabarkan sedang mmburu saham ARTI, terkait rencana perseroan mengakuisisi tambang batubara pada awal kuartal tiga 2011.
Adapun laba bersih ARTI semester pertama 2011 diperkirakan melonjak 100%. Dengan kinerja yang positif, saham ARTI dalam waktu dekat bisa menembus Rp800. Pada perdagangan Rabu (3/8) kemarin, saham ARTI ditutup melemah Rp10 (1,8%) ke level Rp520 per lembarnya. [ast]

iNILAH.COM, Jakarta - PT HD Finance Tbk (HDFA) telah menandatangani perjanjian penambahan fasilitas pinjaman dengan PT Bank Central Asia Tbk sebesar Rp200 miliar dengan jangka waktu maksimum 3 tahun. Menurut Corporate Secretary HD Finance Vonita Frestiani dalam keterbukaannya ke BEI, Kamis (4/8), fasilitas pinjaman ini dijaminkan dengan piutang sampai dengan sebesar 100% dari fasilitas pinjaman yang diberikan. Fasilitas ini merupakan fasilitas Installment Loan yang kelima yang diberikan BCA.

Kecemasan Italia Masih Hantui Rupiah

Tritunggal Buyback 4,78 Juta Saham Indomobil

Samuel Luncurkan Reksadana Saham September 2011

Potensi Rebound, Selective Buy Saham Bank-Batubara

Garuda spin off Citilink di kuartal 1 2012

POLY menunggu persetujuan Menkeu untuk restrukturisasi

Kepasitas produksi mentok, pasar SMGR tergerus

Porsi kepemilikan asing di SBN ritel naik

Mandiri Sekuritas siap tangani empat IPO

Tempuran Mas catat kerugian penjualan kapal Rp 64 miliar

Sentul City mengincar hasil rights issue Rp 333,92 miliar

Wow, harga emas kembali rekor di New York

Wall Street Balik dari Keterpurukan

Lagi, Telkom Pensiunkan Karyawannya di Kuartal III

Dirut Telkom : Laba Telkom Turun Karena Biaya Operasi Naik

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