Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (28 - 12): The Last Days of This Bull Years

IHSG masih menunjukkan pola konsolidasi dalam sebuah uptrend med-term vs bearish short-term, dimana minimnnya sentimen positif, tipisnya volume pasar, fund manager asing telah keluar dari market untuk liburan akhir tahun, kekhawatiran terhadap aksi China menaikkan suku bunga di akhir pekan lalu & belum meredanya krisis finansial di Eropa, seharusnya dapat membebani potensi kenaikan hari ini berdasarkan kondisi technical daily, asing masih net buy Rp 365 miliar, potensi penguatan rupiah dan imbas kenaikan harga minyak (meski terkoreksi semalam ke $90/barel dari $92/barel), harga coal mencapai $124/mt). IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.600-3.660.

Buy on weakness: KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM/MIDI/WINS/BRMS
Speculative Buy: BBRI/BBTN/BBNI/BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNLI
Speculative Buy: ASII/UNTR/AALI, ICBP/INDF 
Speculative Buy: Telekomunikasi: TLKM ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR, TBIG
Speculative Buy: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Speculative Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Trading Buy: GZCO/BISI/LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/DOID/BRAU
Speculative Buy BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Speculative Buy; MYOR/MAPI/JPFATINS/INCO/BMTR/MNCN/CPIN/GJTL/INDY/AKRA/ASRI/META/MLPL/MPPA/ELSA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/UNVR
Speculative Buy: property: ASRI/BSDE/SMRA/LPKR/DGIK/DILD/BKSL

Saksikan Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (08/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (16/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB  & Movers & Shakers (17/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision) 

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 28-12 (BOW: BBNI, Buy LSIP/HRUM/ASII) 

Technical Chart Saham CTA Sebelumnya: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650) = Done

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah):  Total 61 Saham:
Hold Buy (48 Saham): AALI (24.200)/ADRO (2.400)/BUMI (2.850)BLTA (330)/MASA (320)/PBRX (1.270)/BNII (630-650)/KRAS (1.200)/BNBR (73)/JSMR (3.375)/BRAU (510)/CNKO (168)/ITMG (49.700)/SIPD (68)/ENRG (135)/UNSP (385)/ICBP (4.500-4.525)/SMCB (2.375-2.400)/BMTR (580-600)/CMNP (1.400)/DGIK (105-106)/ELSA (350)/TRUB (84/85)/SDRA (275)/DILD (410)/PNBN (1.120-1.130)/SOBI (3.300)/TPIA (3.000)/SMMA (1.980-2.000)/DOID (1.340-1.350)/TLKM (7.800)/ASII (49.650)/BUMI (2-2.850)/ADRO (2-2.500)/BMRI (6.250)/BBRI (10.000)/BBNI (3.650)/BDMN (5.600-5.650)/BBTN (1.570)/NIKL (420)/BWPT (1.150-1.160)/JPRS (560)/ADHI (900)/PTPP (750 & 780)/WIKA (690)/ELTY (155-158)/BHIT (160-163)
Rec Loss (13 saham): ASII/BRNA/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP/CPIN/HEXA/BNGA/MPPA/MLPL

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).  
From Chat Roll:  

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).
Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100 
08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)
(22/10):
3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html

Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700. (Reach Target Profit)
Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AM
Andri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880 (Stop loss done).
Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AM
Andri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania 
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com 

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