Welcome To The Club of 3.600-3.850 (29 - 12): IHSG Still Supported By Global Rally

Seperti diperkirakan sebelumnya, IHSG masih mendapatkan support di akhir tahun ini dari aksi pemburuan saham di tengah tipisnya volume pasar, penyesuaian posisi oleh investor lokal disaat big fund asing libur hingga awal Januari 2011, investor asing masih mencatat net buy Rp 995 miliar dalam 2 hari perdagangan (Rp 430 miliar kemarin), kenaikan harga komoditas (harga minyak rebound ke $91, emas diatas $1.400, cpo mendekati Myr 3.800) hingga kinerja saham Wall Street mendekati level 11.600 (target CTA 11.740) dan regional Asia, meski dibayangi oleh kekhawatiran kenaikan suku bunga China lebih lanjut, penguatan dolar AS & belum berakhirnya krisis hutang di Eropa (potensi sejumlah negara diturunkan rating hutang oleh lembaga pemeringkat internasional). IHSG diperkirakan dalam kisaran 3.620-3.700.

Speculative Buy: KRAS/APLN/BORN/HRUM/MIDI/WINS/BRMS
Trading Buy: BBRI/BBTN/BBNI/BJBR/BMRI/BBCA/BDMN/BTPN/BBRI/BNLI/BNGA/BNLI
Trading Buy: ASII/UNTR/AALI, ICBP/INDF 
Speculative Buy: Telekomunikasi: TLKM ISAT EXCL, TBIG, TOWR, TBIG
Trading Buy: infrastruktur: ADHI, PTPP, WIKA
Speculative Buy : PGAS/TINS/ANTM/INCO/JPRS/GDST/NIKL
Trading Buy: GZCO/BISI/LSIP/SGRO/BWPT
Trading Buy & Hold (09/12): Coal DOID/ ITMG/PTBA/BYAN/ADRO/BRAU
Trading Buy:  BUMI, BNBR, UNSP, ELTY, DEWA, ENRG
Speculative Buy; MYOR/MAPI/JPFA//BMTR/MNCN/CPIN/GJTL/INDY/AKRA/ASRI/META/MLPL/ELSA/LPKR/INTA/MEDC/BSDE/UNVR
Buy on weakness: MPPA/MLPL/ASGR
Trading Buy: property: ASRI/BSDE/SMRA/LPKR/DGIK/DILD/BKSL

Saksikan Movers & Shakers (29/12) Jam 19.00 - 20.00 WIB, Dealing Room saham pilihan Kamis (30/12): 14.00-15.00 WIB  & Power Breakfast saham pilihan Rabu (09/12): 09.00-10.00 WIB, bersama analis PT. BNI Securities (NI) di Channel 95 MNC Bisnis (Indovision) 

Indeks berpeluang menguat ke target 3.150 (target GSM di Q3 2010, tercapai 26/08) dan 3.400 (target GSM akhir tahun; direvisi menjadi 3.850 dari 3.550; jika tembus ke target 4.040. Analisa EW/Gann/Fibonacci).

BNI SECURITIES DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 29-12 (ANTM/BMTR/INDF/GGRM) 

Technical Chart Saham CTA Sebelumnya: Hold BUY (09/11) SMCB (2.525).(19/11): AALI (24.000/24.400)/DOID (1.090)/ITMG (49.450)/CNKO (153)/BRAU (510).(22/11): PBRX (1.270-1.330)/ MEDC (3.600)/ADRO (2.450). (23/11): HEXA (7100)/MASA (320)/JSMR (3.500). (24/11) KRAS (1220)/BJBR (1520-1540)/BNII (650) = Done

Technical Chart Saham Periode Nov - Des 2010 (link di sebelah kanan bawah):  Total 65 Saham:
Hold Buy (52 Saham): AALI (24.200)/ADRO (2.400)/BUMI (2.850)BLTA (330)/MASA (320)/PBRX (1.270)/BNII (630-650)/KRAS (1.200)/BNBR (73)/JSMR (3.375)/BRAU (510)/CNKO (168)/ITMG (49.700)/SIPD (68)/ENRG (135)/UNSP (385)/ICBP (4.500-4.525)/SMCB (2.375-2.400)/BMTR (580-600)/CMNP (1.400)/DGIK (105-106)/ELSA (350)/TRUB (84/85)/SDRA (275)/DILD (410)/PNBN (1.120-1.130)/SOBI (3.300)/TPIA (3.000)/SMMA (1.980-2.000)/DOID (1.340-1.350)/TLKM (7.800)/ASII (49.650)/BUMI (2-2.850)/ADRO (2-2.500)/BMRI (6.250)/BBRI (10.000)/BBNI (3.650)/BDMN (5.600-5.650)/BBTN (1.570)/NIKL (420)/BWPT (1.150-1.160)/JPRS (560)/ADHI (900)/PTPP (750 & 780)/WIKA (690)/ELTY (155-158)/BHIT (160-163)/CTRA (335)/KRAS (1.150)/ASRI (290)/MLPL (295)
Rec Loss (13 saham): ASII/BRNA/BJBR/SMCB/MEDC/POLY/BHIT/ICBP/CPIN/HEXA/BNGA/MPPA/MLPL

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).  
From Chat Roll:  

Close all position (04/08): Mayoritas profit diatas 15% sejak (19/07).

Nov 10 2010, 3:55 PM. @KRAS: Buy 1.250 done. Hold target 1340 (tercapai)/1420 (tercapai)/1670. Risk dibawah 1.100 

08/11: Hold Buy BUVA (570/580) target 660/750/940/1050, selama ditutup diatas area 470/540 (Stop loss Done)
(22/10): 3 Metals: http://globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com/2010/10/trio-metals-upgrade-targets.html

Oct 21 2010, 9:40 AMAndri (guest): @MYOR: Buy 11.150 setelah breakout 11.100 target 13.400 stop loss dibawah 9700. (Reach Target Profit)
Oct 21 2010, 9:25 AMAndri (guest): @PTPP: Hold buy on breakout resist line 930 target 1.200 stop loss 880 (Stop loss done).
Oct 21 2010, 11:18 AMAndri (guest): @BTEK: wave koreksi 4 telah berakhir, jika breakout 485, Buy: 420-430 risk 350, target 485 - 620 (tercapai)/700 (3)/920 (long term).

Oct 20 2010, 2:32 PM: (Closed on 22/10): Buy on weakness (20/10-10.30 Wib): Hold TLKM (9.100), JPFA (3.400), CPIN (8.250), INDF (4.900), PGAS (4.100), BUMI (2.275), MNCN (560), SOBI (3.050), BHIT (128). Buy LPKR 580, BSDE 890 target Profit Taking Jumat (22/10), risk 5%.

Sep 2 2010, 4:07 PM Gallery Saham Mania 
HOLD BUY (liat chat roll): MASA: Buy breakout Fibo (23/09) at 380 target 440/500/MEDC: Buy (22/09) 3.150 target 3.400 (tercapai)/4.400 stop loss dibawah 2950/Buy ASII (21/09) 55.600 target 63.000/80.000/@ENRG Buy Breakout 125 (22/09) target 190/Buy (21/09) BWPT @910 target 1.030 (tercapai)-1.250/ ELSA @345 target 370-420/BUMI @1.960 (20/09) target 2.150 (tercapai)/2.350 (tercapai)/ CPIN @6.900 (15/09) target 10.350/ PGAS @ 3.950-4.000 (15/09) target 4.700/5.800/INDF @5.100 (15/09) 6.050-7.350/INCO @4.475 (15/09) target 5.300/6.500 (Upgrade)/BRAU (19/08) @420 & 455 tgt 485-500 (Tercapai)/JPFA @2.225 (A) tgt 3.000-3.500 (tercapai)/SOBI @2.325 tgt 2.750-3.200 (tercapai)/BLTA @240 tgt 265-280 (tercapai)/UNVR @16900 tgt 18.500/GJTL @1.760 tgt 2300 (Tercapai)/RALS @840 tgt 1050-1400/MAPI @1130 tgt 1625 (tercapai)-2285/BBKP @730 tgt 850-930/TPIA @2600 (-10%)/MYOR @8200 tgt 10.800 (tercapai)/BNGA @1260 tgt 1340 (Tercapai)-1.560/JSMR @2.925 tgt 3.325 (Tercapai)/BUMI @1.655 (A) tgt 1.780-1.840 (tercapai)/ADRO @1.825 (A) tgt 1.940 (tercapai). Stop loss < -7%.

Check out my blog (Gallery Saham Mania): globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com