Monday, September 26, 2011

Laporan & Rumor Saham Indonesia 26-09 (Refresh)

BLoomberg: Bumi Declines to One-Year Low on Margin-Call, Rupiah Concern.     Bumi Debt Repayment Not Impacted by Rupiah Drop, Director Says *BUMI READY TO SETTLE CIC $600 MILLION TRANCHE, DIRECTOR SAYS

Bloomberg: Indonesia Stocks Enter Bear Market, Rupiah Slides as Funds Sell


Bloomberg: *TIN PRICE DROPS 8.6% TO $18,460 A TON, TOUCHES $18,401

Bloomberg: Rubber Futures Fall 4.1% to 27,560 Yuan a Ton in Shanghai

Force Sell di Rekening Marjin Pemicu IHSG Tumbang. Net foreign sell Rp114,93 miliar.

IHSG Makin Terpuruk, Ambles 110 Poin

ASII, BBRI, dan ADRO menjadi tiga bluechips penggerus indeks terbesar sore ini

Sebelum akhir tahun, ADRO berencana akuisisi lagi

Siap-siap menghadapi bearish market Indonesia!

Tahun depan, EMDE akan bangun hotel bintang tiga di daerah Karawaci

BI Lengah, Dolar Sempat ke Rp 9.125

Yunani Dibiarkan Terpuruk, Rupiah Lunglai

Pasar Hancur, KS Tunda IPO Anak Usaha

Jasa Marga: Tarif Tol Naik Sekitar 11%

BUMI Teraktif Diperdagangkan Hari Ini

Inilah 10 Top Foreign Sell Senin (26/9)

Inilah 10 Top Foreign Buy Saham Senin (26/9)

Hatta: IHSG RI Masih Terbaik di Dunia

Garap empat power plant, WIKA proyeksikan penjualan listrik Rp 469,99 miliar

1st session JCI on 26.09.11
(H: 3429.46 ; L: 3264.72 )
Value:    2.56T (NG 190 B )
Volume:  2.41 B (NG 96.82 M )
Foreign Nett Sell: 7 B !!!!
USD/IDR : 8941.25

JCI for today:
Support:      3258; 3225
Resistance: 3375; 3425

FINANCE.    (-3.74%)(715.258 B )
MINING.        (-5.93%)(517.568 B )
MANUFACTUR (-4.68%)(509.891 B )
INFRASTRUC (-1.13%)(388.344 B )
PROPERTY(-5.47%)(190.571 B )
CONSUMER(-3.93%)(147.195 B )

TLKM.        @7285. (69.86 B )
BMRI.          @5588. (51.99 B )
PGAS.        @2338.  (26.71 B )
UNTR.        @19727 (11.90 B )
GGRM.      @49024 (6.51 B )
ICBP.          @4467.  (3.71 B )

BUMI.          @2042.  (46.51 B )
ADRO.        @1548.    (30.94 B )
ASII.            @57644 (28.59 B )
BORN.        @886.      (15.48 B )
BDMN.        @4571.    (12.08 B )
BBCA.        @7307.    (10.85 B )

BMRI.      @5500 (-1.78%)
BBRI.      @5350 (-4.46%)
BUMI.      @1950. (-10.34%)
TLKM.    @7350 (+2.08%)
ASII.        @56300(-4.33%)
ADRO.    @1480 (-10.30%)
PGAS.    @2300 (-2.12%)
UNTR.    @19550(-1.01%)

BNBR.      @52.    (308.799 M )
ENRG.      @131.    (223.971 M )
KIJA.        @140.  (187.503 M )
ELTY.      @107.  (155.868 M )
BUMI.      @1950 (98.716 M )
ADRO.    @1480 (88.145 M )
BKSL.      @245.  (81.004 M )
ASRI.      @345.  (75.024 M )

Sesi I
Tekanan Jual Masih Tinggi, IHSG Tinggalkan Level 3.300

Chandra Asri, Ciputra, London Sumatra: Indonesia Equity Preview

Bloomberg: Timah Drops to Lowest in More Than Two Years After Export Plan

Bloomberg; Astra Agro Drops Most in Nearly 3 Years After Palm Oil Estimate

 KOSPI futures wait for rebound and if can not break resistant at 220.60 then take sell at 220.55 until target 219.55 and stop loss at 221.15, bearish target probability until 208.85. (HP)

Nikkei futures wait for rebound and if break down again below support at 83.16 then take sell at 83.15 until target 82.15 and stop loss at 83.75, bearish target probability until 8182. (HP)

HangSeng futures wait for rebound and if can not break resistant at 17653 then take sell at 17650 until target 17550 and stop loss at 17710, bearish target probability until 17204. (HP)

[Dow Jones] Indonesia, usually more vulnerable to funding linkages than other Asean nations, is now less vulnerable than before, owing to structural improvements, including reduced external debt ratios and a higher forex reserve warchest, says Morgan Stanley. "Indeed, currency volatility seems to have decreased in recent episodes of risk aversion. We do not think 2008 currency lows would be tested," it notes, adding Bank Indonesia would intervene aggressively to keep the IDR first within the 8,500-9,000 range, then later within the 9,000-9,500 range. The "structural Goldilocks" story stays intact, cyclical stress notwithstanding, it notes. (

[Dow Jones] Indonesian shares are down 0.5% at 3410.225 in light volume, off an opening low of 3483.49, weighed by a weak IDR and declines in several Asian markets amid lingering concerns over the state of the global economy, traders say. They expect the main index in a 3380-3450 range for the day. "Overall, the market is consolidating amid an absence of fresh leads from the domestic economic front," says a trader with a local securities firm. Foreigners are net sellers of IDR10 billion worth of shares so far. Among decliners, car maker Astra (ASII.JK) is down 0.4% at IDR58,600 on swift profit-taking, while coal producer Bumi (BUMI.JK) is down 2.3% at IDR2,125 and palm oil producer Astra Agro (AALI.JK) is down 1.7% at IDR20,400 on lower commodity prices. (

[Dow Jones] Indonesian bonds continue to rebound early as Bank Indonesia's and the government's moves to buy back bonds last week helps sentiment, dealers say. The two-year yield is down 18 bps at 6.03% and the 10-year yield falls 9 bps to 7.27%. "Bank Indonesia and the government's actions seem to have paid off in stabilizing the bond market, but the underlying sentiment remains wobbly as the market still expects negative news from the euro-zone debt problems," a dealer says. (

[Dow Jones] While rising recession risks for U.S. and European economies and the ongoing European debt crisis are often cited for as reasons for the stock market weakness, it's likely the worry that the Chinese economy is itself in the deep trouble that have resulted in the recent selloff in Hong Kong stocks, as evidenced by the H-share index's 11.9% slump last week (vs the U.S. indices' around 6% decline). Going into 4Q, the market "will not be short of uncertainties," says UBS, as it expects continued liquidity tightening, further investment and business slowdown, and property sector destocking from China, and "worries about inflation and Chinese banking system may not dissipate as well." ICBC (1398.HK), China's largest bank, perhaps optimises investors' China worry; the stock is down 3.5% at HK$3.82 at midday, and has fallen 19.9% in 6 sessions. The HSI is down 1.8% at 17,352.00 at midday on a modest volume of HK$34.41 billion; its intraday low of 17,313.78 is the lowest since July 13, 2009. (

[Dow Jones] Gold will fall to test support at $1,580/oz in the next few days before regaining some ground towards the end of the week, according to MF Global analysts. "Precious metals prices are expected to exhibit a V-shaped pattern this week," the house says. It adds "we believe that the selloff can continue for a short period longer, but that the market is also nearing an intermediate-term bottom...We look for pressure to come from Friday's hike in exchange margins, technical damage done in last week's trade, a bearish flag pattern in the silver market, the lack of ETF liquidation, and the stronger dollar resulting from the FOMC's action last Wednesday." Later in the week, a recovery is possible as investors look to pick up gold and silver at the lower levels, it says; "we favor buying a dip in gold at $1,580/oz and targeting a recovery toward $1,700/oz." Spot gold trades at $1,640.70/oz, down $16.50 from its previous settlement; spot silver is down $1.09 at $29.84/oz. (

[Dow Jones] Crude-oil prices will likely track equities this week as some signs of an "equilibrium were seen on Friday," MF Global analyst says in a note. Oil prices may recover this week, with the prompt Nymex contract advancing towards $85/bbl. "Support will also come from technical factors, bargain hunting, and the possibility that European governments and the ECB [will] take further steps to aid Greece." November Nymex is up 5 cents at $79.90 on Globex. November Brent is down 18 cents at $103.79. (

(Dow Jones) Indonesia shares are likely to fall, weighed by declines in several Asian markets amid continuing concerns over the state of the global economy, traders say. They expect the main index to find support at 3400 after it ended up 1.7% Friday at 3426.346. "Overall, sentiment should remain cautious amid worries that foreigners may continue to sell blue chips," says a fund manager at an asset management company. Foreigners were net sellers of around IDR5 trillion ($561 million) worth of stocks last week. Most commodity-related stocks such as coal producer Bumi (BUMI.JK) and palm oil producer Astra Agro (AALI.JK) may lead falls on lower commodity prices.

Bloomberg: Indonesian Coal Sector Set to Perform Well, S&P Says

Bloomberg: Asian Stocks Retreat, Sending MSCI Asia to Lowest in 15 Months

Bloomberg: Susanto Likes Indonesian Coal, Cement, Consumer Stocks: Video

Bloomberg: Palm Oil Falls as Much as 1% to 2,962 Ringgit a Metric Ton

Bloomberg: Bangka, Indonesia Governor to Seek Tin-Export Halt, Irawan Says

Bloomberg: Manulife Indonesia’s Yudhistia Sees Opportunity in Coal, Cement


Bloomberg: Ciputra’s Unit May Spend 1.5 Tln Rupiah for Houses, Bisnis Says

Bloomberg; Gozco May Spend 350 Bln Rupiah for Plantation Area, Daily Says

Bloomberg: Kuwait Finance House Malaysia Seeks Indonesia Acquisition: Times



Rekomendasi Saham
Aksi 'Pungut' Saham Murah Bakal Berlanjut

IHSG 4.200 Jadi Mimpi di Siang Bolong?

Mayoritas sektor tertekan, IHSG dibuka di zona merah

Analis: Meski sentimen belum kuat, IHSG berpotensi rebound

S&P: Bailout Zona Eropa Turunkan Rating Eropa

Pesona batubara masih membara

Strategi Pasar Pekan Terakhir September

Terseret Regional, IHSG Dibuka Turun 0,14%

Fluktuasi Rupiah Bisa Giring IHSG ke Bawah 3.000

WIKA Raih Kontrak Baru Capai Rp8,1T

Inilah Saham Pilihan Senin (26/9)

BI Picu Rupiah konsolidasi di Level 8.770

Chandra Asri Raup Laba US$26,3 Juta

ELSA Jalin Kerjasama dengan Exxon Mobil

Inilah Beberapa Saham Penolong IHSG Hari Ini

Matahari Department Store Raup Laba Rp 258 Miliar, Naik 99%

Beli Emas Praktis via ATM

Beli Emas Praktis via ATM

Bagi-bagi dividen, saham MTLA melaju

Buyback SUN sepi peminat

FREN siapkan obligasi Rp 2,7 triliun

Investor masih cemas, bursa Asia melorot ke level terendah dalam setahun

Bapepam berikan izin efektif rights issue KIJA dan CFIN

Semester pertama 2011, pendapatan TPIA naik sebesar 20%

Dongkrak modal, AMAG akan realisasikan right issue pada Oktober 2011

Kuasi reorganisasi GIAA pada 2012 akan gunakan laporan keuangan 2011

BJBR targetkan total penyaluran kredit naik 25% pada 2011

Meski harga kontrak emas turun, ANTM tetap optimistis dengan kinerjanya

CPIN: 13 Bank Kasih Utang Baru US$ 250 Juta ke Charoen Pokphand
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk (CPIN), perusahaan pengolah makanan dengan merek dagang Fiesta mendapat fasilitas pinjaman baru US$ 250 juta dari sindikasi perbankan. Pinjaman ini untuk menutup utang perseroan di 2007.

JSMR: Jasa Marga Pilih Akuisisi 3 Tol Daripada Buyback Saham
PT Jasa Marga Tbk (JSMR) tidak akan melakukan pembelian kembali alias buyback saham perseroan meski harganya sudah sangat murah akibat pelemahan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) kemarin. Perusahaan plat merah itu tidak menganggarkan dana untuk buyback.

JPFA: Laba Bersih Melonjak 21%
Emiten pakan ternak PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk membukukan laba bersih pada semester I/2011 sebesar Rp323,05 miliar naik 21,95% dari periode yang sama tahun lalu Rp264,89 miliar. Kenaikan laba bersih yang diatribusikan kepada entitas induk ini sejalan dengan angka penjualan bersih perseroan yang naik 16,7% menjadi Rp7,81 triliun dari sebelumnya Rp6,69 triliun. Beban pokok perseroan pada periode tersebut tercatat sebesar Rp6,49 triliun naik 19,7% dari sebelumnya Rp5,42 triliun. (bisnis/wsn)

* MASA: Quick comments*** Multistrada announced its plan to acquire rubber plantation in Kalimantan by October 2011. This acquisition plan has been in the making for a while and hence, not necessarily new news. MASA intends to fulfil the rubber supply internally as part of their competitiva advantage. *On the telco sector, the House of Reps is looking to impose additional 5% tax to telco operators. Part of the reasons is because no investment has been made in Indonesia by the telco equipment manufacturers. This plan actually has been raised in 2010 but it did not materialize. Resistance is expected by telco operators as they claimed that regulatory charges in Indonesia are higher than in other countries and it would hurt the industry which is already lacking growth. (DBS)

Trades of the Day...Fundamentally:CIMB mempertahankan rating Bank Mandiri (BMRI) pada OUTPERFORM dengan target harga Rp9300 berdasarkan metode GGM, ROE: 21.9%, CoE: 15.7%, g: 12.7%. Menurut kami BMRI seharusnya diuntungkan oleh koreksi bond yield. BMRI memiliki variable-rate government bonds senilai Rp75.4tr atau 16% dari asetnya. 3 month SPN rate telah naik sekitar 1% ke 5.1%. BMRI akan memperoleh interest income yang lebih besar, dengan setiap kenaikan 1% akan ada tambahan pendapatan Rp600bn (annual basis), atau 4.4% dari CY11 net profit. Hal ini membuat kami menyarankan untuk mengakumulasi saham BMRI, yang telah turun 30% dari level tertinggi.

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