By Alexander Green on July 15, 2009
Last month the first ETF adhering to strict Islamic beliefs, Dow Jones Islamic Market International (JVS: 38.74 0.00 0.00%), began trading.Following Shariah law, the index excludes anything close to investing in “sin stocks” or firms that produce or market alcohol, tobacco, gambling, weapons, or pornography.Investors are further assured that the stocks held in the index have nothing to do with borrowing or lending, women’s fashions, cosmetics, modern cinema, popular music, or pork.
Personally, I wouldn’t touch this fund with a barge pole. It is virtually guaranteed to earn sub-par returns.
Here’s why…
Investing in Sin Stocks vs. Socially Responsible Stocks
If you were given the choice six years ago between investing in the environmentally and socially responsible Sierra Club Stock Fund (SCFSX: 0.00 N/A N/A) or investing in sin stocks with the Vice Fund (VICEX: 13.18 +0.19 +1.46%), which invests primarily in tobacco, alcohol, defense and gambling, which would you have chosen?
I’ll give you a hint. Your profits would have been much bigger if your conscience weren’t your guide.
* The Sierra Fund has delivered negative returns over the past six years.
* The Vice Fund has delivered positive performance - and beaten the S&P 500 handily, too.
This is no aberration.
Merrill Lynch recently examined the performance of alcohol, tobacco and casino stocks in all recessions since 1970 and found that while the S&P 500 fell 1.5% on average, sin stocks rose an average 11%.This downturn isn’t shaping up to be any different.Sure, consumers are cutting their spending far more than in past recessions. But history shows that people do not drop their bad habits in hard times.
Rather many people feel an intense need to escape through alcohol, tobacco, or a trip to their local casino.
This is not too surprising.
If a citizen of ancient Greece or Rome were magically transported into the modern era, he would be astounded by the current state of agriculture, transportation, housing, medicine, architecture, technology and general living standards.
Humanity itself, however, would offer few surprises. We remain the flawed human beings we have always been, struggling with the same deadly sins our ancestors wrestled with millennia ago: greed, gluttony, sloth, pride, anger, envy and lust.
Investing in Sin Stocks Through The 7 Deadly Sins
Given this reality, when it comes to investing in sin stocks, four months ago The Oxford Club unveiled its new Seven Deadly Sins Portfolio. It is already up 41%, more than 10 times as much as the S&P 500.
We locked in a 92% profit in the casino stock Wynn Resorts (WYNN: 36.19 +2.39 +7.07%) in 64 days. Our shares of Smith & Wesson (SWHC: 5.95 +0.20 +3.48%) have doubled in less than four months. All but one of our positions are up over 20%.
Why are these vice stocks outstripping the broad market by such a wide margin? One answer is careful security selection.But two other studies out of Yale and Princeton offer a further rationale.
* One study attributes vice stock outperformance to the lack of attention pension and other institutional investors pay to these stocks in order “to maintain an aura of respectability.” (That creates opportunity.)
* The other believes it’s because companies in sin industries benefit from high barriers to entry, thanks to strict regulations and taxation.
These factors are not likely to change.
I’m not endorsing the sin industries, incidentally.
I don’t smoke and I hope my kids never do. I don’t gamble unless the stakes are negligible. And I don’t own a handgun, although I am a supporter of Second Amendment rights.
Why Would Anyone Invest in Sin Stocks?
So why would I consider investing in sin stocks and these types of companies?
* Because my investment portfolio is a vehicle for achieving and maintaining financial independence, not for making grand moral statements.
* Consumers and investors have every right to patronize or own any legal, publicly traded business that creates jobs, pays taxes and allows citizens to enjoy their many freedoms.
* Moreover, you only need look at Afghanistan under the Taliban to see what a society unleavened by political, religion and economic freedoms looks like.
Last month French President Sarkozy made news when he said the burqua - a symbol of the repression and subjugation of women - “is not welcome in France.”
Shariah law isn’t welcome in my portfolio either. And the returns have been superb because of it.
No comments:
Post a Comment