Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Gold Daily Technical Outlook

Written by Oil N' Gold | Wed Sep 09 09 06:41 ET/
Comex Gold (GC)

Gold retreats mildly after hitting 1009.7 and break of 995.9 minor support suggests that an intraday top is in place after hitting 1007.7 resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment and some pull back might be seen, possibly to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 981.3). Nevertheless, downside should be contained by 970.5 fibo support (50% retracement of 931.3 to 1009.7) and bring rally resumption. Above 1009.7 will target key resistance level at 1033.9 high next and then 61.8% projection of 681 to 1007.7 from 931.3 at 1133.2.

In the bigger picture, as noted before, rise from 681 is tentatively treated as resumption of long term up trend from 99 low of 253 after expanding triangle from 1033.9 has completed last year. Sustained break of 1033.9 will confirm long term up trend resumption and should target 61.8% projection of 253 to 1033.9 from 681 at 1160 next. On the downside, break of 931.3 support is needed to be the first signal that Gold has topped out in medium term. Otherwise, outlook remains bullish even in case of deep pull back.

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