Friday, November 20, 2009

Daily Technical Analysis ADRO (3)

ADRO (1.700)
12/11 Hold buy 1.620 target 1.800/1.820 (138.2 FR 1720/1440) stop di 1.550.
ADRO telah breakout pola bearish pennant resistance target 1.820 (138.2 FR)/1.840 (equal panjang pennant) dalam pola uptrend channel dan hitungan EW: telah menyelesaikan wave koreksi ABC minuette, saat ini dalam proses wave final 5. Sell on rally 1.800/1.840 target 1.450.
Chart Hourly ADRO. Globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com













07/08 Hold Buy breakout 1.450 stop 1.250 (channel support) target 1.750, stop di 1.500(Check out my Facebook: a_zakarias@yahoo.com).
29/10 Buy 1520 target 1.610 was done = profit +90 (+5.9%)
23/10. ADRO (1.600) Profit +80 (+5.0%).

Secara teknikal jangka pendek, ADRO masih menunjukkan momentum kenaikan yang kuat, terlihat dari signal breakout double top & congestion di 1.520, berada di atas 76.4 Fibonacci Retracement 1.750-460 di 1.450, signal breakout di stochastic oscilator, volume meningkat, ADX meningkat (tidak terlampir ci chart) dan menunjukkan pola ascending triangle. Meski untuk konfirmasi lebih lanjut ADRO perlu breakout trendline di 1.610, untuk target 1.750 (record high)/2.040 (equal vertical triangle; 420 + 1.620). Trend jangka pendek ADRO masih utuh selama tidak ditutup mingguan di bawah trendline support 1.430 dan jangka menengah di support channel 1.250. Hitungan EW menunjukkan ADRO masih berada dalam wave impulse extended 3/5, mininum target 0.61 wave 3 di 1.820. Rekomendasi Buy 1.520/1.560 target 1.610 , Buy breakout 1.620 & 1.770 target 1.750/2.040 dalam 1-3 bulan stop loss di 1.490, short 1.720-1.750 target 1.600 stop diatas 1.760, short 1.450 target 1.200 (Buy back), Short dibawah 1.000/950 target 770 stop loss 1.100.Disc On. Good Luck.

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