20/11 (15.600)
Sell 16.050 (12/11) target 14.800 stop diatas 16.750. Penutupan dibawah trendline support dalam symmetrical triangle & neckline H&S di hourly chart di 15.500 dapat arahkan ke target 14.950, tetapi jka ditutup diatas trendline resistance 15.875, target 16.500. Buy 14.800/15.000 target 16.100 (76.4 FR). Sell dibawah 14.750 target 13.800, stop diatas 15.200. Disc on
Buy breakout 14.900 (06/11) target 15.700 was done; profit: +Rp 800 (+5.3%)
05/11(14.350)
Treng jangka pendek UNTR berbalik bearish setelah, berada dalam downchannel short-term dan ditutup 2 hari dibawah channel support dalam uptrend channel medium term, diikuti MACD yang bearish, breakout pola Head & Shoulder, pola three black crows hari ini, indikator ADX menunjukkan momentum penurunan mereda, meski masih berada diatas 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement 16.750-9.550 di 14.000, seharusnya menahan laju penurunan untuk besok, dan berpotensi technical rebound terbatas. Potensi penurunan seharusnya terbatas di target neckline - head di H&S di 14.000. Penutupan harian diatas 15.050 (23.6% FR) untuk menetralkan trend bearish jangka pendek. Hitungan EW menunjukkan UNTR telah menyelesaikan wave impulse 5, saat ini berada dalam proses wave 3/C adlam wave ABC yang seharusnya terhenti di 14.000 sebelum rebound untuk proses 4/C & 5/C minimal target 13.800 (channel support). Potensi rebound terbatas di 15.700 (former neckline)/16.050 (upper channel). Rekomendasi: Sell on rally 15.700/16.050 target 13.800 stop diatas 16.750 (record high), buy 14.000 target 14.800 stop dibawah 13.800, buy breakout 14.900 target 15.700 stop 14.500, sell breakout 13.800 target 12.300 stop diatas 14.300, buy back 12.300/12.500 target 13.600 stop dibawah 11.900. Good Luck. Globalmarketstrategist.blogspot.com
Blog milik Andri Zakarias Siregar, Analis, Trader, Investor & Trainer (Fundamental/Technical/Flowtist/Bandarmologi: Saham/FX/Commodity), berpengalaman 14 tahun. Narasumber: Berita 1 First Media, Channel 95 MNC(Indovision), MetroTV, ANTV, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Investor Today, Tempo, Trust, Media Indonesia, Bisnis Indonesia, Seputar Indonesia, Kontan, Harian Jakarta, PasFM, Inilah.com, AATI-IFTA *** Semoga analisa CTA & informasi bermanfaat. Happy Zhuan & Success Trading. Good Luck.
Friday, November 20, 2009
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