Tuesday, November 1, 2011

@Risk > Reward Stock Markets Still Haunt Short-Term Outlook: Ahead of The Big Surprise

The Market's Next 1,000-Point Move
Stuart Varney, host of the aptly named and very highly rated "Varney & Co." program on Fox Business, put the following question to me in his usual direct style: "Will we have an agreement on Wednesday out of Europe and what will that mean for the markets?"
READ MORE: http://moneymorning.com/2011/10/25/the-markets-next-1000-point-move/

4 Factors That Shape Market Trends
READ MORE: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/4-Factors-That-Shape-Market-investopedia-1922626068.html;_ylt=Akw8844g_uidmAfFdhomtOJO7sMF;_ylu=X3oDMTFhbTQ3YzU5BHBvcwM1BHNlYwNzcGVjaWFsRmVhdHVyZXMEc2xrAzRmYWN0b3JzdGhhdA--?x=0

The End is Getting Close
There is a discomfort in the air that is palapable. People sense that we are not in a good place and that we are moving further away from such a place. Our political system is seen to have failed and our economic future appears even worse.
READ MORE: http://www.economicnoise.com/2011/10/27/the-end-is-getting-close/

This Year’s ‘Lehman Moment’ Might Occur Soon

One of the reasons for the stock market crash after Lehman is discussed in the article.  Innocent hedge fund money (if there is such a thing!) was lost to the rightful owners in the collapse.  If indeed there has been misappropriation of customer funds at MF, how many customers are going to withdraw their funds from other commodities accounts as well as at standard stock/bond brokers, after selling their holdings first?  Especially after the frustrating decade-plus we have experienced in the financial markets, why shouldn’t people just move to direct ownership of Treasurys and into FDIC-insured bank deposits?

The story could hardly be worse.  MF Global was not just any old futures firm.  It was run by a stalwart of the Democratic establishment and the former leader of Goldman Sachs.  If his firm was guilty of what would basically be akin to embezzlement of funds owned by the firms clients, whether or not Mr. Corzine was blameless, how could one trust a securities firm run by someone who had not been a high-ranking government official?

A major “risk-off” move could be in the making.
READ MORE: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/10/31/regulators-investigating-mf-global/?hp

What the World Will Look Like if Occupy Wall Street Wins

There are many reasons why the Occupy Wall Street movement could fail - a lack of cohesion, too many directions, no leadership, not enough money, and no representation, to name a few. But what if it "succeeds?" What would our investing landscape look like and what would we do about it?
READ MORE: http://moneymorning.com/2011/11/01/what-the-world-will-look-like-if-occupy-wall-street-wins/

Does the Eurozone Have Its Own Lehman Bros?
Does the Eurozone have its own American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG), or worse, its own Lehman Bros. when it comes to Greece? I believe it does.
READ MORE: http://moneymorning.com/2011/07/13/does-the-eurozone-have-its-own-lehman-bros/

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