Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) dan nilai tukar rupiah dibuka kompak melemah. Tekanan jual pada saham-saham BUMN membuat IHSG melawan arus bursa regional yang masih menguat dan bergerak di zona negatif. Pada perdagangan Selasa (11/5/2010), IHSG dibuka naik tipis ke level 2.850,823 dan langsung menguat ke level 2.862,336, naik 12 poin dibanding penutupan kemarin di level 2.850,427. Saat ini IHSG berada di 2.830 (-20 poin). Namun Indeks LQ 45 juga melemah tipis 0,233 poin (0,04%) ke level 549,186.
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG) mencatat penurunan laba bersih triwulan I-2010 sebesar 34,00% akibat peningkatan harga pokok penjualan sebesar 33,17% ditengah kenaikan penjualan yang hanya sebesar 17,44%.
Tunggu Harga BHIT Maksimal, Baru Keluar
Investor disarankan mencermati saham PT Bhakti Investama (BHIT), terutama menjelang perdagangan saham bonus pada 21 Mei 2010 mendatang.
Keluarnya laporan keuangan kuartal pertama yang cukup memuaskan, membawa ekspektasi pada kinerja emiten sepanjang 2010. Bagaimana penerawangan para analis?
Pengamat pasar modal Willy Sanjaya menjagokan tiga emiten untuk 2010 yakni PT International Nickel Indonesia (INCO), PT Bumi Resources (BUMI) dan PT Energi Mega Persada (ENRG). Hal ini terkait kinerja tiga bulan pertama yang cukup menarik.
Adapun Janson Nasrial, pengamat pasar modal dari AmCapital Indonesia menjagokan sektor telekomunikasi untuk tahun ini, dengan saham-sahamnya PT Telkom (TLKM) dan PT XL Axiata (EXCL).
Economic: PDB 1Q10 Tumbuh 5,7%
Laju pertumbuhan ekonomi 1Q10 sebesar 5,7%, dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun lalu, diyakini sebagai awal yang bagus untuk mencapai target pertumbuhan tahun ini. Menteri Keuangan mengatakan realisasi pertumbuhan ekonomi cenderung meningkat pada kuartal berikutnya. Untuk pertumbuhan ekonomi pada 2Q10, Sri Mulyani menyebutkan pemerintah telah menyiapkan berbagai antisipasi yang sudah ada di dalam kerangka kerja APBN 2010.
* INTA: Bidik Rights Issue Rp500 M
* TGKA: Bagi Dividen Rp35,8 Miliar
* SMCB: Proyek Holcim di Nusakambangan Dievaluasi
* ISAT: Jumlah Pelanggan Naik 17,6%
* CTRP: Siapkan Capex Rp800 Miliar
* CPRO: Dapat Pinaman BNI Rp170 Miliar
* BMRI: Riswinandi Calon Kuat Wadirut Bank Mandiri
Saham PT Bhakti Investama (BHIT) kabarnya bakal dikerek ke level Rp400-500 untuk jangka pendek maupun menengah. Proyeksi kenaikan harga sahame tersebut terkait rencana BHIT yang bakal menerbitkan obligasi konversi pada harga Rp412,5 dalam waktu dekat. Selain itu, rencana perseroan membagikan saham bonus ikut memcau kenaikan BHIT. Total saham yang diperdagangkan sebanyak 84,43 juta lembar senilai Rp25,38 miliar.
Konsorsium broker diberitakan bakal mengerek saham PT Royal Oak Development Asia Tbk (RODA) menembus level Rp100.Proyeksi kenaikan harga saham RODA juga terkait kabar perseroan yang tengah mengkaji untuk masuk ke dalam bisnis pertambangan. Selain itu, kemungkinan perseroan menambah modal dengan menerbitkan saham baru (right issue) turut menopang kemungkinan naiknya harga saham RODA.
PT Bank Windu Kentjana International Tbk (MCOR) berencana menggelar penerbitan saham baru dengan hak memesan efek terlebih dahulu (HMETD) alias rights issue sebesar Rp 202,926 miliar. Harga rights issue ditetapkan sebesar Rp 200 per saham.
PT Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional Tbk (BPTN) menambah nilai obligasi yang akan mereka terbitkan, dari Rp 750 miliar menjadi Rp 1,3 triliun. Proses penerbitan obligasi sudah dalam tahap final dan ditargetkan bakal dicatatkan di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) pada 19 Mei 2010.
Sebuah operator telekomunikasi terkemuka di Indonesia, PT Indosat Tbk (ISAT) segera meluncurkan global bond sebesar US$500 juta. Penawaran ini awalnya akan menguji selera investor global.
INTA Beri Dividen Rp 30 Perlembar Saham
PT Intraco Penta Tbk (INTA) memutuskan memberi dividen tahun buku 2009 sebesar Rp 30 per lembar saham
Sumber: Bloomberg, inilah.com, kontan, detikfinance.com
Indonesia Stocks May Gain 20% to Record, Batavia Aset Says
(Bloomberg) -- Indonesia’s benchmark stock index, the best performer in Asia’s 10 biggest markets, may rise a further 20 percent to a record this year on faster economic growth, the nation’s top performing fund said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=arB8jS7WWw5k
Indonesia Trims Sukuk, Samurai Debt-Sale Plans, Waluyanto Says
(Bloomberg) -- Indonesia trimmed the size of its planned sales of Islamic and yen-denominated debt because of concern that Greece’s debt crisis will spread in Europe, an Indonesian finance ministry official said. “We will only the sell at benchmark size,” Rahmat Waluyanto, director general of the debt management office, said in a telephone interview in Jakarta. A benchmark sale typically means $500 million
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a0W1Tjjbb_b8
Goldman Says Buy Ringgit, Peso, Rupiah Against Yen (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended buying a basket of Asian currencies against the yen, saying there is “little obvious contagion” risk from Europe’s debt crisis.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aJSDFtfyF930
Euro Is ‘Oversold,’ May Rally to $1.3115: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro is “oversold” and may rally toward a two-week high against the dollar, Forecast Pte said, citing trading patterns.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aMEwE04NB4pw
S&P 500 May Retreat 19% by Third Quarter: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may fall a further 19 percent to the lowest level since July after plummeting the most in 14 months last week, according to a technical analyst at Thinktrading.com.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aVOuhQU9HgsI
Euro May Test May 6 Low as Market Fills Gap: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- The euro may fall below last week’s low after filling in the gap between Friday’s high and today’s open that occurred after Europe announced an aid package of almost $1 trillion for the region’s most indebted nations.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=arg4uX6vfKWQ
Treasuries Will Drop After Two-Week Rally: Technical Analysis
(Bloomberg) -- Treasuries are poised to fall over the next one to two weeks after a rally led to the biggest two- week drop in 10-year yields since December 2008, according to Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a_iOPGaU_a30
Commodity Slump a ‘Buying Opportunity,’ Goldman Says (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- The slump in commodity prices last week created a “buying opportunity” because economies are improving, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aVzv34fAMi3s
Biggs Says U.S. Stocks May Surge 20%, Led by Technology Shares
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks could jump as much as 20 percent, led by technology companies, as the global economy rebounds from Europe’s debt crisis, said Barton Biggs.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ajiFzOknCrOc
European Stocks Upgraded to ‘Overweight’ at Morgan Stanley
(Bloomberg) -- European stocks were upgraded to “overweight” from “underweight” by strategists at Morgan Stanley.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a6_hw01RSOlk
What the Euro Rescue Means for Investors
The markets aggressively and repeatedly asked the question, 'Do You Want To Save The Euro?'
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37069367
Poll: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold?
May has been a turbulent month for the market, and I'd like to hear what you think.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37074867
Was Monday’s Rally Just A Head Fake?
Stocks racked up their best one-day gain in over a year on Monday after word of a $1 trillion emergency rescue package from the EU quelled fears that a new credit crisis would derail the global recovery.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37064610
Investors Hurt by Stock Freefall May Have to Live With Losses
Investors caught on the wrong side of trades in last week's market freefall may have to live with their losses.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37071046
EU Rescue Relief Will Be Short-Lived: Analysts
Having watched the Greek debt crisis rattle global investors European Union leaders, the International Monetary Fund and, crucially, the European Central Bank on Sunday unveiled a €720 billion ($936 Billion) emergency rescue package to help stabilize markets and prevent the break-up of the euro.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37058212
Daily Forex and Dow Jones Recommended Levels
by Nikolajs Serikovs FXtechtrade
Several words about the EUR/USD future.
Resistance (daily close) : 1.3182, 1.3364, 1.3590 and 1.3778. After that 1.3958, 1.4186 and 1.4400. Break of the latter will give 1.4490, 1.4692 и 1.4884. Then 1.5117, 1.5386, 1.5592 и 1.5660. Break of 1.5660 would lead to 1.5865, 1.7280 и 1.9430(published on 23.10.2008).
Support (daily close) : 1.2610, 1.2428 and 1.2246. Then 1.2128, 1.1970, 1.1838 and 1.1700. Break of the latter would give 1.1533, 1.1352 and 1.1181(published оn 23.10.2008).
Dow Jones :
Resistance(daily close) : 9382.12, 9744.26, 10 091.30, 10 935.23, 11 164.57, 11 344.92 and 11 520.30. Then 11 749.22, 11 970.00, 12 152.82, 12 600.24, 12 982.20, 13 162.50 and 13 320.00. Break of the latter will lead to 13 567.60, 13 668.74 and 13 792.53 (published on October 21, 2008).
Support (daily close): 9630.33 and 9358.35(main), 9090.00, 8912.62 (published on November 10, 2009).
Light Crude :
Support (daily close): 39.36, 34.88, 31.28, 23.17, 19.57, 15.10, 11.70, 9.64, 8.11 and 6.98(published on December 07, 2008).
Resistance(daily close): 95.73, 98.21, 99.45, 101.48 and 102.27 (published on October 30, 2007). Next levels 103.73, 105.32, 106.54, 109.35, 112.56 and 117.28. Then follow 121.50, 124.03 and 126.56(added on February 29, 2008). Continuation will bring 132.73, 135.08, 139.92, 141.46 and 144.00( added on May 12, 2008).
Next levels : 149.06, 151.88, 154.13, 157.36, 159.46, 162.00, 169.87 and 172.13(added on July 04, 2008).
EUR/USD
Today’s support: - 1.2761 and 1.2735(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2693, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2651. Break of the latter would result in 1.2623. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.2600. Continuation will give 1.2541.
Today’s resistance: - 1.2874, 1.2928 and 1.2967(main). Break would give 1.2988, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.3006. Break of the latter would result in 1.3032. If a strong impulse, we’d see 1.3061. Continuation will give 1.3095.
USD/JPY
Today’s support: - 92.63, 92.14 and 91.80(main). Break would bring 91.58, where correction is possible. Then 91.34, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 90.79. If a strong impulse, we would see 90.37. Continuation would give 90.05.
Today’s resistance: - 93.66(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 94.15, where also a correction may be. Then 94.40. If a strong impulse, we would see 94.68. Continuation will give 95.11.
DOW JONES INDEX
Today’s support: - 10632.25 and 10574.30(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 10533.40, where correction also can be. Then follows 10459.50. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 10417.50. Continuation will bring 10351.16.
Today’s resistance: - 10856.45(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 10891.38, where a correction may happen. Then follows 10932.37, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we’d see 10956.60. Continuation would bring 11009.12 and 11034.26.
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